No a když už jsem v tom, tak sem hodím i toto, kdyžtak mě smažte
Paul Collier, Anke Hoeffler: Greed and Grievance in Civil War
We investigate the causes of civil war, using a new data set of wars during 1960-99.
We test a `greed’ theory focusing on the ability to finance rebellion, against a
`grievance’ theory focusing on ethnic and religious divisions, political repression and
inequality. We find that greed considerably outperforms grievance. Consistent with
the greed theory, both dependence upon primary commodity exports and a large
diaspora substantially increase the risk of conflict. Inconsistent with the grievance
theory, greater ethnic and religious diversity reduce the risk of conflict. The results are
robust to correction for outliers, alternative variable definition, and variations in
estimation method.
http://www.csae.ox.ac.uk/workingpapers/pdfs/2002-01text.pdf