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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
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    Hot summer economics
    https://www.triodos.com/en/articles/2026/hot-summer-economics

    Europe's heatwave this summer will cut EU GDP by around 1% in 2026, roughly €180 billion, matching the bloc's entire expected growth for the year, according to a new Triodos Bank report. An estimated 20,400 people died from heat-related causes across France, Germany, Spain and Italy in a single week in June, with wildfires having already burned more land by 30 July than in any full previous year on record.

    France is projected to take the biggest economic hit, with GDP growth cut by 1.4 percentage points, potentially pushing an already weak forecast into a 0.6% contraction for 2026. The Netherlands faces near-stagnant growth after an 0.8-point loss. Poland, despite being highly exposed on paper, escapes largely unscathed this year simply because it has had fewer extreme-heat days than usual, while Spain and Italy, hit by the most hot days, are cushioned by decades of acclimatisation.

    Labour productivity is the single largest driver of the losses, more than agriculture, energy or transport combined, with research showing measurable output drops once temperatures pass roughly 25–30°C, especially in outdoor and non-air-conditioned work.

    The report's authors point to 17 July, when the European Commission proposed easing the trajectory of the EU's carbon-pricing emissions cap through the 2030s on competitiveness grounds, the same week wildfire and death tolls were hitting record levels. That, they argue, illustrates the loop they say Europe is now caught in: heat damages growth, policy loosens to protect growth, emissions rise, and the next heatwave costs more.
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    since 2018, Europe has lost an annual average of 46% more biomass per hectare of forest area than during the period 1985-2017. The researchers attribute the sharp increase since 2018 primarily to climate change-related events. A substantial portion of the overall forest loss has been concentrated in Central Europe.

    Link to the research paper:

    Accelerating biomass loss from forest disturbances across Europe | Nature Geoscience
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-026-02032-y

    Link to a summary article;

    Europe's Forests Suffer Record Biomass Loss Since 2018 | Mirage News
    https://www.miragenews.com/europes-forests-suffer-record-biomass-loss-1722180/
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    Well, this isn’t going to be... - Alt National Park Service
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1KhzdT9qZx/

    Well, this isn’t going to be good. We all know how this will likely go. The Supreme Court has announced that one of the first cases it will hear when its new term begins in October is a major climate change lawsuit. Boulder County, Colorado, is seeking millions of dollars from fossil fuel companies, including Suncor Energy, to help cover the costs of climate-related disasters like wildfires, extreme heat, and flooding. The county argues the companies hid the risks of fossil fuels while communities were left to deal with the consequences.
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    based load

    France Shuts Off More Nuclear Power as Heat Builds Across Europe - Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-30/france-shuts-off-more-nuclear-power-as-heat-builds-across-europe

    ❝ Electricite de France SA shut down the Golfech-2 nuclear reactor in southern France as a blistering heat wave pushes temperatures toward 40C across parts of Europe.

    The Golfech shutdown is the latest in a record number of heat-related outages across France’s nuclear fleet this summer, curbing output from the backbone of Europe’s electricity system. EDF has also warned that the Tricastin plant could face production cuts overnight as soaring river temperatures constrain reactor cooling.

    Many of France’s nuclear plants rely on river water for cooling before discharging the warmer water back into the river. Environmental regulations limit those discharges when river temperatures are already high, forcing reactors to reduce output.

    “The heat wave is a big factor kicking in on French nuclear power,” said Christopher Kurish, portfolio manager at power trader Mind Energy in Denmark. “How long the heat will last is worrisome and if it escalates even more.”

    French evening power prices during July have been higher than any other year on record, besides during the energy crisis of 2022. This evening they will hit about €200 per megawatt-hour, according to data from Epex Spot SE, up from a low of about €5 around noon.

    Elsewhere, Hungary’s nuclear power plant Paks will cut capacity at block 2 by 50% on Thursday due to low water level of the Danube river, the fourth cut in capacity in two days.

    At the same time, German wind power is also set to decline sharply overnight. The country’s fleet of wind farms could produce less than a gigawatt of power early Friday morning before recovering early next week, according to a Bloomberg model. ❞
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    Datacentres are growing target of global climate-related legal cases, report finds | Environmental activism | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jun/25/datacentres-facing-increase-in-global-climate-related-legal-cases-report-finds
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    Marius Comper - Average annual excess deaths from heat...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1BQ7YiG7qZ/

    Average annual excess deaths from heat across 2000–19.

    Europe accounts for 178,712 heat-related deaths a year — 36.5% of the global heat-related total — despite accounting for a much smaller share of the world’s population than Asia.

    Europe's heat-related death rate was 24 per 100,000 people, far above the global average of 7, the Americas at 6, and Northern America also at 6.

    FB-IMG-1782382369897
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    kind of related, strip mining beyond earth

    Can helium-3 create a ‘gold rush’ on the moon? | Scientific American
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-helium-3-create-a-gold-rush-on-the-moon/

    A kilogram of helium-3 costs roughly $20 million on Earth, where the entire planet produces only a few kilograms of it per year — almost all through the radioactive decay of tritium, a hydrogen isotope used to boost thermonuclear weapons. Scientists estimate that around a billion kilograms of the rare isotope lie embedded in the lunar surface, deposited over billions of years by the solar wind. That gap between terrestrial scarcity and lunar abundance is now driving serious commercial interest in moon mining, with Seattle-based Interlune among the companies positioning themselves to extract it.

    The appeal is not speculative. Helium-3 is a superlative coolant that enables quantum computers to reach their operating temperatures — fractions of a degree above absolute zero — and is also essential for advanced medical imaging, for detecting smuggled nuclear material, and holds promise as a fuel for future fusion reactors. Writing in Scientific American, Robin George Andrews quotes Clive Neal, a lunar geoscientist at the University of Notre Dame, who draws a sharp distinction between helium-3 and other touted lunar resources such as water ice: "Helium-3 is where the money is".

    The reason so much accumulates on the moon comes down to exposure and mineralogy. Earth's atmosphere and magnetic field deflect the solar wind; the airless moon has no such protection. Sara Russell, a planetary scientist at London's Natural History Museum, describes the result as helium-3 being "spray-painted across the whole of the lunar surface". Much of it is retained by ilmenite, a mineral composed of iron, titanium, and oxygen, which Neal describes as "a sponge" for solar-wind gases. The richest deposits are expected in mare regions — the dark, ancient lava plains — particularly in near-equatorial areas and, more often than not, on the lunar far side, where solar-wind exposure tends to be strongest.

    Extracting the gas is considerably harder than locating it. "It's like trying to mine spray paint from a wall", Russell says. Interlune, founded in 2020, has developed a prototype extractor with industrial partner Vermeer Corporation capable of processing 100 metric tonnes of lunar regolith per hour. NASA awarded the company a $6.9-million contract earlier this month to advance its hydrogen- and helium-capturing technology. The company's robotic Prospect Moon mission, planned for as early as 2028, will carry a robotic arm, a mass spectrometer, and three different extraction devices. "That's what we need to demonstrate our business case for full-scale operations on the moon", says co-founder and CEO Rob Meyerson.

    Not everyone is persuaded the enterprise is either viable or desirable. Russell raises environmental concerns about unregulated strip-mining leaving mechanical scars potentially visible from Earth. "The moon belongs to everybody, surely", she says. Meyerson counters that Interlune plans to dig to around three metres, leaving behind no waste or pollutants, describing the aim as "leaving the site looking like a tilled agricultural field" — though the article notes this is an optimistic projection that no one can yet verify in practice. Even NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has expressed scepticism, recently suggesting that asteroid mining may offer a greater return than lunar helium-3.

    There are also open scientific questions with industry-defining stakes. If the solar wind replenishes the moon's helium-3 supply quickly, it could function as something approaching a renewable resource. If regeneration takes centuries or more, reserves may not keep pace with surging demand from quantum computing and other applications. "If helium-3 is a renewable resource, then you've got long-term prosperity", Neal says. Robotic prospecting missions — including NASA's VIPER rover, expected by next year, and the joint Japan-India LUPEX mission planned for 2028 — should begin to answer that question. "We're going to hit the mother lode", Neal ventures. "If it's proven, it could change everything."
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    related

    The Last Oil Tanker From the Strait of Hormuz has Arrived – Now What? with Art Berman | TGS 220
    https://youtu.be/Gk6xm5IuY4w?si=0AqHE4OHs_3ktzM-
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    related

    https://www.science.org/content/article/pesticides-may-wreak-havoc-gut-microbiome

    Velmurugan Ganesan of the KMCH Research Foundation wondered whether pesticide exposure could explain a curious finding. In a study of almost 3000 people in southern India, his team found that 23% of participants in urban areas had diabetes, which clustered with classic risk factors such as obesity and high cholesterol. Yet in rural areas, the prevalence was still 16%, and there was no association with those risk factors. “We started wondering whether environmental chemicals could be playing a role,” Ganesan says.

    The team then explored the effects of exposure to one widely used agricultural insecticide, chlorpyrifos, in mice. Previous animal studies had often tested high doses for short periods, but Ganesan’s team used what he calls a “realistic dose,” based on pesticide residues in the average Indian diet, for 120 days. The study, published in August 2025, found that chlorpyrifos reshaped the gut microbiome, with beneficial bacteria such as Lactobacillus declining and potentially harmful species such as Helicobacter rising. Mice exposed to chlorpyrifos also developed high blood sugar and diabetes, despite not gaining weight, says Karthika Durairaj, the study’s first author.

    Another study co-authored by Ganesan suggests a possible mechanism: When gut microbes break down chlorpyrifos, they produce acetate and other metabolites the liver uses to make glucose through a process called gluconeogenesis, leading to elevated blood sugar levels.

    Ganesan’s team is now analyzing blood, urine, and stool samples from people with diabetes, both with and without obesity, and healthy controls to examine whether the patterns hold up in humans. “We are working to show that diabetes induced by environmental chemicals is quite different [from lifestyle-associated diabetes] in its underlying disease mechanisms and could require different clinical care,” Ganesan says.

    Pesticides appear to drive not just population shifts in the microbes, but also changes in their activity. In a large study published in 2025, for example, researchers exposed 17 representative bacterial species from the human gut to 18 different pesticides and detected changes in the microbial production of hundreds of small molecules. They included short-chain fatty acids, bile acids, and tryptophan-related molecules—compounds that help keep the gut lining healthy, regulate inflammation, and guide immune responses.

    “Most studies focus on the effect of pesticides on … gut microbial composition, but this study shows that effects are far greater than that,” says study co-author Caroline Johnson, an environmental health epidemiologist at the Yale School of Public Health. The team also found that some bacteria accumulate pesticides within their cells, which could prolong their presence in the human body and increase the risk of long-term health effects.
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    Reduced economic activity caused by the current Iran war has not been sufficient to offset the surge in CO₂ emissionsgenerated by the conflict. While economic slowdowns typically lead to modest declines in emissions, the scale of disruption in this case has been relatively limited on a global level.

    At the same time, the war has produced a sharp and concentrated spike in emissions from infrastructure destruction, fires, and intensified military operations, resulting in a clear net increase in CO₂ output. A key reason is that war-related emissions are largely additive rather than substitutive. Military fuel use, explosions, and the burning of oil and buildings introduce new emissions on top of ongoing civilian and industrial activity, rather than replacing it. Moreover, the destruction of infrastructure creates a pipeline of future emissions, as rebuilding cities, roads, and energy systems requires large amounts of carbon-intensive materials like cement and steel. These delayed emissions often outweigh any short-term reductions from decreased economic activity.

    In addition, the war is triggering indirect effects that further raise emissions, such as shifts toward dirtier energy sources, increased fossil fuel investment for energy security, and longer transportation routes due to regional instability. Historical patterns from other conflicts show that even when emissions dip briefly during periods of disruption, they tend to rebound and exceed prior levels during recovery and reconstruction. Overall, the evidence indicates that the Iran war is contributing to a net increase in emissions both immediately and over the longer term, rather than being offset by reduced economic output.

    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1AiasFSuCW/
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    TADEAS: related

    Antarctica just saw fastest glacier collapse ever recorded
    Antarctica’s Hektoria Glacier lost nearly half its ice in just 2 months after lifting off a flat seabed and shattering apart
    Such events could accelerate global sea level rise much faster than predicted

    Antarctica just saw the fastest glacier collapse ever recorded | ScienceDaily
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/02/260226042454.htm
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    The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear a major case that could reshape how climate accountability lawsuits move forward across the country.

    At issue is a lawsuit filed in Colorado that seeks to hold energy companies financially responsible for the local costs of climate change things like wildfire mitigation, infrastructure damage, extreme weather response, and public health impacts. The companies are asking the Court to throw the case out entirely.

    The justices’ decision to take up the case is significant. While the Colorado lawsuit is the one directly before them, the ruling will likely determine whether similar cases brought by cities and states nationwide can proceed. Across the country, municipalities have filed lawsuits seeking billions of dollars in damages, arguing that fossil fuel companies misled the public about climate risks while continuing business practices that worsened those risks.

    If the Court sides with the energy companies, many of these cases could be dismissed before they ever reach trial. If the Court allows the Colorado case to move forward, it could open the door for more local governments to pursue compensation through the courts.

    This isn’t just about one state it’s about whether communities across the United States can use state courts to seek accountability for climate-related costs, or whether those efforts will be shut down at the federal level.

    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1AhZn3nVui/

    US supreme court takes up fossil fuel firms’ climate accountability case | US supreme court | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/feb/23/supreme-court-suncor-exxonmobil-case
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    Promoting the National Defense by Ensuring an Adequate Supply of Elemental Phosphorus and Glyphosate-Based Herbicides – The White House
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/02/promoting-the-national-defense-by-ensuring-an-adequate-supply-of-elemental-phosphorus-and-glyphosate-based-herbicides/

    Trump has issued an executive order invoking the Defense Production Act of 1950, a law that allows a president to direct and prioritize industrial production in the name of national defense. The order is designed to boost domestic production of glyphosate, a widely used weedkiller that has been at the center of major health-related lawsuits.

    It specifically instructs federal agencies to ensure that any resulting rules or directives do not undermine the financial stability of U.S. producers of these materials. “Making America Healthy Again”? It looks more like protecting chemical manufacturers once again.
    TUHO
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    Oh no a ted jsem v pasti related lectures, ktery si nikdy nestihnu skutecne nakoukat

    Jon Lawhead: Multi­Scale Modeling and Pluralism in Climate Systems
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYYAzw56s9M
    CHOSIE
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    Polycrisis and Systemic Risk: Assessment, Governance, and Communication

    The emphasis of integrated disaster and risk research has shifted from topical analysis, such as dealing with natural hazard-related disasters, technological accidents, or environmental crises, to a comprehensive analysis of interconnected and mutually interactive risk sources and crises.

    This interaction has often been framed in the language of “polycrisis” indicating the potentially amplifying and cascading effects of each crisis from one domain to the next. At the same time, the literature on systemic risk also includes the effects of multiple, interacting risks on the functionality and survivability of entire systems such as climate stability, cybersecurity, or energy production.

    This review article provides first a summary of the literature on both concepts, explicates the commonalities and differences and develops a risk and crisis concept that builds a bridge between the two research traditions. Based on this concept, the review delineates the implementations of a joint understanding of polycrisis and systemic risk for risk assessment, risk and crisis governance, and effective communication to different audiences.

    Polycrisis and Systemic Risks: New Approaches in Governance and Communication | Research Institute for Sustainability
    https://www.rifs-potsdam.de/en/news/polycrisis-and-systemic-risks-new-approaches-governance-and-communication
    Polycrisis and Systemic Risk: Assessment, Governance, and Communication | International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13753-025-00636-3
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    Related pro preppery

    O hydroponii začínají mít zájem školky, říká podnikatel - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/domaci/pestovani-greeentech-greeenville-tech-lipovskij.A251122_112734_ekonomika_drh
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS: mann re gates

    You can’t reboot the planet if you crash it
    https://thebulletin.org/2025/10/you-cant-reboot-the-planet-if-you-crash-it/

    I became concerned about Gates’ framing of the climate crisis nearly a decade ago when a journalist reached out to me, asking me to comment on his supposed “discovery” of a formula for predicting carbon emissions. (The formula is really an “identity” that involves expressing carbon emissions as a product of terms related to population, economic growth, energy efficiency, and fossil fuel dependence). I noted, with some amusement, that the mathematical relationship Gates had “discovered” was so widely known it had a name, the “Kaya identity,” after the energy economist Yōichi Kaya who presented the relationship in a textbook nearly three decades ago. It’s familiar not just to climate scientists in the field but to college students taking an introductory course on climate change.

    If this seems like a gratuitous critique, it is not. It speaks to a concerning degree of arrogance. Did Gates really think that something as conceptually basic as decomposing carbon emissions into a product of constituent terms had never been attempted before? That he’s so brilliant that anything he thinks up must be a novel discovery?

    I reserved my criticism of Gates, at the time, not for his rediscovery of the Kaya identity (hey—if can help his readers understand it, that’s great) but for declaring that it somehow implies that “we need an energy miracle” to get to zero carbon emissions. It doesn’t. I explained that Gates “does an injustice to the very dramatic inroads that renewable energy and energy efficiency are making,” noting peer-reviewed studies by leading experts that provide “very credible outlines for how we could reach a 100 percent noncarbon energy generation by 2050.”

    The so-called “miracle” he speaks of exists—it’s called the sun, and wind, and geothermal, and energy storage technology. Real world solutions exist now and are easily scalable with the right investments and priorities. The obstacles aren’t technological. They’re political.

    Gates’ dismissiveness in this case wasn’t a one-off. It was part of a consistent pattern of downplaying clean energy while promoting dubious and potentially dangerous technofixes in which he is often personally invested. When I had the chance to question him about this directly (The Guardian asked me to contribute to a list of questions they were planning on asking him in an interview a few years ago), his response was evasive and misleading. He insisted that there is a “premium” paid for clean energy buildout when in fact it has a lower levelized cost than fossil fuels or nuclear and deflected the questions with ad hominem swipes.
    CHOSIE
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    The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
    We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the
    climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction,
    unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms,
    floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing.
    Key Highlights
    • The year 2024 set a new mean global surface temperature record, signaling an escalation of climate upheaval.

    • Currently, 22 of 34 planetary vital signs are at record levels.

    • Warming may be accelerating, likely driven by reduced aerosol cooling, strong cloud feedbacks, and a darkening planet.

    • The human enterprise is driving ecological overshoot. Population, livestock, meat consumption, and gross domestic
    product are all at record highs, with an additional approximately 1.3 million humans and 0.5 million ruminants added weekly.

    • In 2024, fossil fuel energy consumption hit a record high, with coal, oil, and gas all at peak levels. Combined solar and
    wind consumption also set a new record but was 31 times lower than fossil fuel energy consumption.

    • So far, in 2025, atmospheric carbon dioxide is at a record level, likely worsened by a sudden drop in land carbon uptake
    partly due to El Niño and intense forest fires.

    • Global fire-related tree cover loss reached an all-time high, with fires in tropical primary forest up 370% over 2023,
    fueling rising emissions and biodiversity loss.

    • Ocean heat content reached a record high, contributing to the largest coral bleaching event ever recorded,
    affecting 84% of reef area.

    • So far, in 2025, Greenland and Antarctic ice mass are at record lows. The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets
    may be passing tipping points, potentially committing the planet to meters of sea-level rise.

    • Deadly and costly disasters surged, with Texas flooding killing at least 135 people, the California wildfires alone
    exceeding US$250 billion in damages, and climate-linked disasters since 2000 globally reaching more than US$18 trillion.

    • Climate change is endangering thousands of wild animal species; more than 3500 species are now at risk and
    there is new evidence of climate-related animal population collapses.

    • The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is weakening, threatening major climate disruptions.

    • Climate change is already affecting water quality and availability, undermining agricultural productivity, sustainable
    water management, and increasing the risk of water-related conflict.

    • A dangerous hothouse Earth trajectory may now be more likely due to accelerated warming, self-reinforcing
    feedbacks, and tipping points.

    • Climate change mitigation strategies are available, cost effective, and urgently needed. From forest protection
    and renewables to plant-rich diets, we can still limit warming if we act boldly and quickly.

    • Social tipping points can drive rapid change. Even small, sustained nonviolent movements can shift public
    norms and policy, highlighting a vital path forward amid political gridlock and ecological crisis.

    • There is a need for systems change that links individual technical approaches with broader societal
    transformation, governance, policies, and social movements.
    Figure 1.Time series of climate-related human activities. In panel (f), tree cover loss does not account for forest gain
    and includes loss due to any cause. For panel (h), statistics are based on total energy supply (Energy Institute 2025);
    hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in supplemental figure S2. Sources and additional details about each
    variable are provided in supplemental file S1.

    Figure 2.Time series of climate-related responses. For surface temperature anomaly (d), estimates based on a
    segmented linear regression model are shown in gray (prior to 2010) and black (beginning in 2010). For area burned
    (o), the black horizontal lines show changepoint model estimates, which indicate abrupt shifts (supplemental figure S3).
    For other variables with relatively high variability, local regression trendlines are shown in black. The variables were
    measured at various frequencies (e.g., annual, monthly, weekly). The labels on the x-axis correspond to midpoints of years.
    Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S1.


    https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biaf149/8303627
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    2025 is quickly becoming “The Year of the Flood” in the United States.

    So far, 3,358 Flash Flood Warnings have been issued, over 250 more than the next closest year to date.

    The US has already surpassed its annual average for flash flood reports, with more than double the typical number seen by this point in the year.

    The Texas floods, which have tragically claimed at least 145 lives, are now the deadliest non-tropical cyclone-related flood event in the US since 1976.

    Abnormally high levels of atmospheric moisture are expected to persist over the Central and Eastern US for the next two weeks, so expect more flooding.

    https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1947012757729227095?t=WNpA8oBqVf1xrsDlXyEb8g&s=19
    SHEFIK
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    Related

    Dams around the world hold so much water they've shifted Earth's poles, new research shows | Live Science
    https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/dams-around-the-world-hold-so-much-water-theyve-shifted-earths-poles-new-research-shows

    Scientists found that large dams hold so much water they redistribute mass around the globe, shifting the position of Earth's crust relative to the mantle, the planet's middle layer.

    Earth's mantle is gooey, and the crust forms a solid shell that can slide around on top of it. Weight on the crust that causes it to shift relative to the mantle also shifts the location of Earth's poles, the researchers said.
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