I think losing both would be a big disappointment and might kill his psych for the Bupa run. He is likely to pull out citing burnout or injury! You say you give him silver in 10000m and that is where I consider to be his strong event for now. In 5000m, he is likely to finish 4th. Edwin Soi, Alamirew, Isiah Koech, Gebrehiwet, Idris Muktar, Longosiwa as well as John Kipkoech are all possible winners of this title. Mo Farah will not be able to monitor each and everyone of them. So he gets locked out of the medals. In 10000m, I give him bronze