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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    DZODZO: jasny protoze, kdyz budeme mit vsichni pet deti, tak nam tady pak bude lip, to je jasny
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    DNF: no ohladne tohoto dam na nazor uspesnejsich a scitanejsich ludi, ktori si myslia, ze rast populacie nie je problem, naopak pokles je problem

    Jack Ma and Elon Musk are worried about a population collapse — Quartz
    https://qz.com/1697884/jack-ma-and-elon-musk-are-worried-about-a-population-collapse/
    DNF
    DNF --- ---
    DZODZO: No tak k tomu napadu ze soulozeni je jen pro plozeni deti se asi ani nebudu vyjadrovat :) Vubec, asi nema smysl to tema otevirat, jak jsem psal, to neni nic co by se dalo diskutovat vecne, protoze city vseho druhu v tom tematu hrajou majoritni az absolutni roli u vetsiny lidi.
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    DNF: to mi pride uz dost pritiahnute za hlavu, aby sa v ramci uhlikovej stopy prestalo robit to co je prirodzene (trtkat :)))

    uhlikova stopa decka sa da znizit, pouzijes napr. latkove plenky alebo bezplenkovu metodu ak mas trpezlivost, oblecenie vacsinou nemusis kupovat nove, lebo podedis od znamych, naucis ich ze sa maju sprchovat kratko a vypinat vodu ked si umyvaju zuby, aby neplytvali, vysvetlis im, ze jazdite autobusom, lebo to je lepsie pre ich buducnost ako keby sa vsade vyvazali autom, vysvetlis im, ze nejazdite kazdy rok na dovolenky lietadlom na kanary, ale miesto toho mate na streche FVE a pod.
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    ta bolivia hodne huste ako to tam kolonizuju

    Exploring Timelapse in Google Earth
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5W-zPqrGQWA
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    jestli si dobře pamatuju tak od poloviny osmdesátejch let jsou nové objevy pod těžbou (t.j. ročně se vytěží X ale objeví se jen X mínus 20%) a poslední roky se to jen zhoršuje

    takže snad konečně uvidíme výsledky :)
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Mozna ze ten prechod od ropy bude rychlejsi, nez si vsichni mysli. Vzhledem k transition planum, covidu a neochote bank, pojistoven a velkejch fondu sponzorovat dirty reseni velky ropny spolecnosti nemaji kapital ani focus na hledani novejch nalezist. Ta elasticita asi nebude moc velka a jestli v eu, usa a cine prijdou elektromobily, zeme, kde se netezi ropa budou tlaceny cenama prejit rychle taky na alternativy. Vize tretiho sveta s kamazama jeste 100+ let je asi dost nepravdepodobna

    Houston, We Have A Problem. Oil Reserves Have Fallen Below 10 Years
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/timtreadgold/2021/04/12/houston-we-have-a-problem-oil-reserves-have-fallen-below-10-years/amp/

    Big oil has a big problem. It’s running out of oil.

    Years of under-investment in exploration and a decline in project development has blown a hole in the reserves of the major international oil companies (IOCs), a group that includes ExxonMobil, Chevron and Royal Dutch Shell.

    Since 2015 the average reserves of the oil majors has fallen by 25% to now stand at less than 10 years of annual production.

    Reserves in the ground is a critical measure of an oil company with a decline seen as a negative by investors.

    The worst interpretation of falling reserves is that it might be an existential threat to the long-term survival of an oil company.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Nový Zéland chystá unikátní zákon. Banky mají referovat o dopadech na klima - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/novy-zeland-zakon-banky-investice-klima-zivotni-prostredi.A210414_111029_eko-zahranicni_maz
    DNF
    DNF --- ---
    HOWKING: Hm, no jo, ale je to pravda.
    S tema detma je to taky tak. Myslis, ze svet potrebuje zalidnit? Vic lidi do kazdeho koutu... Udelat si aspon tri deti, at ma kdo trpet za nasi spotrebu, az tu jednou nebudeme?
    Kdyz ale nekdo chce dite, tak se rozhodne nebude ridit racionalnimi uvahami, ale splasenym hormonem, takze to vlastne ani neni otazka. A to samy s tim psem na gauc.
    HOWKING
    HOWKING --- ---
    KEB: Víc takových publikací a bude naprostá většina populace považovat ekologii za hovadinu. Tohle jistě pomůže. (Jakou uhlíkovou stopu má dítě? Není čas sníst dítě?)
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    Máte kočku? Utratit! Hned!

    Je chov domácích mazlíčků, psů a koček, „eko“? - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zelena-domacnost/rady-a-navody/je-chov-domacich-mazlicku-psu-a-kocek-eko
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Management prirody zpatky prirode

    Jíst, spásat a zastřihovat. Zubři mají ve Španělsku zabránit požárům - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/jist-spasat-a-zastrihovat.zubri-maji-ve-spanelsku-zabranit-pozarum

    Zubr evropský zajistí okamžitou biodiverzitu," řekl Morán. "Vyčistí husté části lesa, takže dovnitř pustí světlo a v podrostu místo křoví a zákrsků poroste tráva. Tím jednak sníží riziko požárů, a navíc prospějí řadě dalších druhů, kterým poskytnou potravu a volnost pohybu," dodal.

    ...

    Na lesní inženýry podle Morána udělal dojem už první projekt, v jehož rámci bylo v roce 2010 vypuštěno sedm zubrů na 20hektarovou plochu dubového lesa. Zubři se tu postarali o lesnickou práci. Čistili podrost a dokonce nechávali růst rovné semenáčky, zatímco ohnuté spořádali - možná proto, že k ohnutým mají lepší přístup. Podobné manuální čištění lesa stojí asi 3000 eur (asi 77 800 korun) za hektar - a zubři ho provádějí zadarmo.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    JINDRICH: to mi pripomnelo sri lanku:
    Palm Oil imports completely banned with immediate effect…. – Presidential Secretariat of Sri Lanka
    https://www.presidentsoffice.gov.lk/index.php/2021/04/05/palm-oil-imports-completely-banned-with-immediate-effect/
    - completely ban the importation of Palm Oil with immediate effect
    - cultivation of oil palm (katupol) will be completely banned
    Furthermore, those companies and entities which have done such cultivations shall be required to remove them on a phased out manner with 10% uprooting at a time and replacing it with the cultivation of rubber or environmental friendly crops each year to free Sri Lanka from oil palm plantation and palm oil consumption
    When this is fully operational, the government intends to stop the cultivation of oil palm and the consumption of palm oil completely.


    otazka samozrejme je, aby to pak treba jeste nenahradili nejakym vetsim zlem
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Kalifornie zažívá nejsušší jaro, letos zřejmě pokoří historické sucho. Nedostatek vody ničí ornou půdu, zvyšuje riziko požáru, ohrožuje výrobu elektřiny a v neposlední řadě také lidské životy.

    Fotky: Na západě USA narůstá klimatická katastrofa. Sucho - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/fotky-na-zapade-usa-bobtna-klimaticka-katastrofa-sucho-150613
    JINDRICH
    JINDRICH --- ---
    Palm-oil biodiesel can cause up to three times the greenhouse gas emissions of fossil diesel. This is the result of #deforestation and the loss of wetland and peatland habitats, which hold vast stores of carbon. Good news that Belgium has moved to ban it

    Belgium bans biofuels made from palm oil, soy
    https://news.mongabay.com/2021/04/belgium-bans-biofuels-made-from-palm-oil-soy/?__hstc=117075033.7cd7ef48f8204b8c8b2f296c1731527c.1602260699370.1618410185280.1618469396628.81&__hssc=117075033.1.1618469396628&__hsfp=1453891317&_ga=2.174406050.1672625061.1618260497-961918716.1602260698
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Given the circumstances, Scientific American has agreed with major news outlets worldwide to start using the term “climate emergency” in its coverage of climate change. An official statement about this decision, and the impact we hope it can have throughout the media landscape, is below.

    This idea is not a journalistic fancy. We are on solid scientific ground. In January Scientific American published an article about a study entitled “World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency.” At the time, more than 11,000 scientists from 153 countries had signed a report to signify their agreement that the world is facing a climate emergency that requires bold action. As of April 9 another 2,100 had signed on. As our article said, “the adverse effects of climate change are much more severe than expected and now threaten both the biosphere and humanity.... Every effort must be made to reduce emissions and increase removal of atmospheric carbon in order to restore the melting Arctic and end the deadly cycle of damage that the current climate is delivering.” Our article also noted that as of January, “1,859 jurisdictions in 33 countries have issued climate emergency declarations covering more than 820 million people.”

    We Are Living in a Climate Emergency, and We're Going to Say So - Scientific American
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/we-are-living-in-a-climate-emergency-and-were-going-to-say-so
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    PER2: fajn, priroda dava vedet kdo ma posledni slovo :) ...jeste par zmen k tomu, treba golfskej proud a uvedomime si, jaky stesti mame, ze zijeme na relativne 'klidny' planete v klidnym obdobi
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: (nesouvisi sice se zmenami klimatu, ale snad mi odpustite)

    Over the relatively short span of human history, major innovations, such as the domestication of livestock, adoption of an agricultural lifestyle, and the Industrial Revolution, have increased the human population dramatically and have had radical ecological effects. Today, the biomass of humans (≈0.06 Gt C; SI Appendix, Table S9) and the biomass of livestock (≈0.1 Gt C, dominated by cattle and pigs; SI Appendix, Table S10) far surpass that of wild mammals, which has a mass of ≈0.007 Gt C (SI Appendix, Table S11). This is also true for wild and domesticated birds, for which the biomass of domesticated poultry (≈0.005 Gt C, dominated by chickens) is about threefold higher than that of wild birds (≈0.002 Gt C; SI Appendix, Table S12). In fact, humans and livestock outweigh all vertebrates combined, with the exception of fish. Even though humans and livestock dominate mammalian biomass, they are a small fraction of the ≈2 Gt C of animal biomass, which primarily comprises arthropods (≈1 Gt C; SI Appendix, Tables S13 and S14), followed by fish (≈0.7 Gt C; SI Appendix, Table S15). Comparison of current global biomass with prehuman values (which are very difficult to estimate accurately) demonstrates the impact of humans on the biosphere. Human activity contributed to the Quaternary Megafauna Extinction between ≈50,000 and ≈3,000 y ago, which claimed around half of the large (>40 kg) land mammal species (30). The biomass of wild land mammals before this period of extinction was estimated by Barnosky (30) at ≈0.02 Gt C. The present-day biomass of wild land mammals is approximately sevenfold lower, at ≈0.003 Gt C (SI Appendix, Pre-human Biomass and Chordates and Table S11). Intense whaling and exploitation of other marine mammals have resulted in an approximately fivefold decrease in marine mammal global biomass [from ≈0.02 Gt C to ≈0.004 Gt C (31)]. While the total biomass of wild mammals (both marine and terrestrial) decreased by a factor of ≈6, the total mass of mammals increased approximately fourfold from ≈0.04 Gt C to ≈0.17 Gt C due to the vast increase of the biomass of humanity and its associated livestock. Human activity has also impacted global vertebrate stocks, with a decrease of ≈0.1 Gt C in total fish biomass, an amount similar to the remaining total biomass in fisheries and to the gain in the total mammalian biomass due to livestock husbandry (SI Appendix, Pre-human Biomass). The impact of human civilization on global biomass has not been limited to mammals but has also profoundly reshaped the total quantity of carbon sequestered by plants. A worldwide census of the total number of trees (32), as well as a comparison of actual and potential plant biomass (17), has suggested that the total plant biomass (and, by proxy, the total biomass on Earth) has declined approximately twofold relative to its value before the start of human civilization. The total biomass of crops cultivated by humans is estimated at ≈10 Gt C, which accounts for only ≈2% of the extant total plant biomass (17).
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Tohle je slusnej ulet. Odhady vahy uhliku ve VESKERY biosfere je cca 550 miliard tun uhliku. Antropogenni cinnost pritom dostava do atmosfery cca 9 miliard tun uhliku rocne. Nemuzu ted najit prehledny kumulativni data , ale dle vseho uz bude v atmosfere uhliku spaleneho lidskou cinnosti v hodnote vahy (nasel jsem akorat odhad do roku 2011, kde to vychazi na 358 miliard tun uhliku od zacatku prumyslove revoluce) temer odpovidajici veskere biomase na zemi...

    A census of the biomass on Earth is key for understanding the structure and dynamics of the biosphere. However, a global, quantitative view of how the biomass of different taxa compare with one another is still lacking. Here, we assemble the overall biomass composition of the biosphere, establishing a census of the ≈550 gigatons of carbon (Gt C) of biomass distributed among all of the kingdoms of life. We find that the kingdoms of life concentrate at different locations on the planet; plants (≈450 Gt C, the dominant kingdom) are primarily terrestrial, whereas animals (≈2 Gt C) are mainly marine, and bacteria (≈70 Gt C) and archaea (≈7 Gt C) are predominantly located in deep subsurface environments. We show that terrestrial biomass is about two orders of magnitude higher than marine biomass and estimate a total of ≈6 Gt C of marine biota, doubling the previous estimated quantity. Our analysis reveals that the global marine biomass pyramid contains more consumers than producers, thus increasing the scope of previous observations on inverse food pyramids. Finally, we highlight that the mass of humans is an order of magnitude higher than that of all wild mammals combined and report the historical impact of humanity on the global biomass of prominent taxa, including mammals, fish, and plants.

    The biomass distribution on Earth | PNAS
    https://www.pnas.org/content/115/25/6506
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for up to 10 years. Skilful predictions at time slices from subseasonal to seasonal (S2S), seasonal to interannual (S2I) and seasonal to decadal (S2D) offer information useful for various stakeholders, ranging from agriculture to water resource management to human and infrastructure safety. In this Review, we examine the processes influencing predictability, and discuss estimates of skill across S2S, S2I and S2D timescales. There are encouraging signs that skilful predictions can be made: on S2S timescales, there has been some skill in predicting the Madden–Julian Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation; on S2I, in predicting the El Niño–Southern Oscillation; and on S2D, in predicting ocean and atmosphere variability in the North Atlantic region. However, challenges remain, and future work must prioritize reducing model error, more effectively communicating forecasts to users, and increasing process and mechanistic understanding that could enhance predictive skill and, in turn, confidence. As numerical models progress towards Earth System models, initialized predictions are expanding to include prediction of sea ice, air pollution, and terrestrial and ocean biochemistry that can bring clear benefit to society and various stakeholders.

    Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales | Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-021-00155-x
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    Snow chaos in Europe caused by melting sea-ice in the Arctic
    https://phys.org/news/2021-04-chaos-europe-sea-ice-arctic.html

    Thawing permafrost cools Arctic currents: This might affect fish stocks
    https://phys.org/news/2021-04-permafrost-cools-arctic-currents-affect.html
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