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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    lovelockovi bylo 102 ted

    2008


    James Lovelock: 'Enjoy life while you can: in 20 years global warming will hit the fan' | Climate change | The Guardian
    https://theguardian.com/theguardian/2008/mar/01/scienceofclimatechange.climatechange

    Lovelock has been dispensing predictions from his one-man laboratory in an old mill in Cornwall since the mid-1960s, the consistent accuracy of which have earned him a reputation as one of Britain's most respected - if maverick - independent scientists. Working alone since the age of 40, he invented a device that detected CFCs, which helped detect the growing hole in the ozone layer, and introduced the Gaia hypothesis, a revolutionary theory that the Earth is a self-regulating super-organism. Initially ridiculed by many scientists as new age nonsense, today that theory forms the basis of almost all climate science.

    For decades, his advocacy of nuclear power appalled fellow environmentalists - but recently increasing numbers of them have come around to his way of thinking. His latest book, The Revenge of Gaia, predicts that by 2020 extreme weather will be the norm, causing global devastation; that by 2040 much of Europe will be Saharan; and parts of London will be underwater. The most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report deploys less dramatic language - but its calculations aren't a million miles away from his.

    ...

    "It's just too late for it," he says. "Perhaps if we'd gone along routes like that in 1967, it might have helped. But we don't have time. All these standard green things, like sustainable development, I think these are just words that mean nothing. I get an awful lot of people coming to me saying you can't say that, because it gives us nothing to do. I say on the contrary, it gives us an immense amount to do. Just not the kinds of things you want to do."

    ...

    Lovelock believes global warming is now irreversible, and that nothing can prevent large parts of the planet becoming too hot to inhabit, or sinking underwater, resulting in mass migration, famine and epidemics. Britain is going to become a lifeboat for refugees from mainland Europe, so instead of wasting our time on wind turbines we need to start planning how to survive. To Lovelock, the logic is clear. The sustainability brigade are insane to think we can save ourselves by going back to nature; our only chance of survival will come not from less technology, but more.

    Nuclear power, he argues, can solve our energy problem - the bigger challenge will be food. "Maybe they'll synthesise food. I don't know. Synthesising food is not some mad visionary idea; you can buy it in Tesco's, in the form of Quorn. It's not that good, but people buy it. You can live on it." But he fears we won't invent the necessary technologies in time, and expects "about 80%" of the world's population to be wiped out by 2100. Prophets have been foretelling Armageddon since time began, he says. "But this is the real thing."

    ...

    Humanity is in a period exactly like 1938-9, he explains, when "we all knew something terrible was going to happen, but didn't know what to do about it". But once the second world war was under way, "everyone got excited, they loved the things they could do, it was one long holiday ... so when I think of the impending crisis now, I think in those terms. A sense of purpose - that's what people want."

    ...

    There have been seven disasters since humans came on the earth, very similar to the one that's just about to happen. I think these events keep separating the wheat from the chaff. And eventually we'll have a human on the planet that really does understand it and can live with it properly. That's the source of my optimism."

    What would Lovelock do now, I ask, if he were me? He smiles and says: "Enjoy life while you can. Because if you're lucky it's going to be 20 years before it hits the fan
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    lovelock souhlasi


    James Lovelock and the End Times | Grist
    https://grist.org/article/james-lovelock-and-the-end-times/

    Within “Vanishing” he posits the areas of the world that he expects to be the places where human settlement will continue to be viable. “The northern regions of Canada, Scandinavia, and Siberia, where not inundated by the rising ocean, will remain habitable, and so will oases on the continents, mostly in mountain regions where rain or snow still fall. But the more important exceptions to this planet wide distress will be the island nations of Japan, Tasmania, New Zealand, the British Isles, and numerous smaller islands. Even in the tropics, global heating may not disable island communities such as those on the Hawaiian Islands, Taiwan, or the Philippines. The British Isles and New Zealand will be among the least affected by global heating. Their temperate oceanic position is likely to favor a climate able to sustain abundant agriculture. They will be among the lifeboats for humanity.” (15)
    TADEAS
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    PER2: a co v tom mas za emoci?
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    TADEAS: vetsina lidi: "hmm bad" a pak si pustej ruzovou zahradu a vesel na to zapomenou
    TADEAS
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    TUHO: kazdej vecer misto zprav. neposloucha se to dobre
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS: To +2 a +3 degrees world by melo jit kurva vsude. Imho jeden z nejlip podanejch vysvetleni, proc je cokoliv nad 2 stupne takovej pruser.
    TADEAS
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    Ben Franta
    https://twitter.com/BenFranta/status/1421173948381687811


    Effects of increased CO2 on the American west, Exxon internal memo, 1979:
    https://www.industrydocuments.ucsf.edu/fossilfuel/docs/#id=mqwl0228

    - The southwest states would be hotter, probably by more than 3 °F, and drier.
    - The flow of the Colorado River would diminish and the southwest water shortage would become much more acute.
    - Most of the glaciers in the North Cascades and Glacier National Park would be melted. - There would be less of a winter snow pack in the Cascades, Sierras, and Rockies, necessitating a major increase in storage reservoirs.
    - Marine life would be markedly changed. Maintaining runs of salmon and steelhead and other subarctic species in the Columbia River system would become increasingly difficult.



    meanwhile o 40 let pozdeji

    Officials: Extreme heat will soon kill nearly all young salmon in one California river
    https://archive.is/pRHY3

    The Hoover Dam reservoir is at an all-time low
    https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/10/22527600/hoover-dam-reservoir-lake-mead-record-low-drought

    The Colorado River is shrinking. Hard choices lie ahead, this scientist warns
    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/colorado-river-shrinking-hard-choices-lie-ahead-scientist-warns
    TADEAS
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    Johan Rockström on a +2 and +3 degrees world
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuQIMnJejHc


    Cleaning Up Episode 49: Johan Rockström 'Pushing Planetary Boundaries'
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eIJkt_mY12s
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS: zac8na to rockstromovou tour de force ,)
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    CCAG Meeting: 29th July 2021
    https://youtu.be/dRx7oTSD_1M
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    Reports — Climate Crisis Advisory Group
    https://www.ccag.earth/reports
    TADEAS
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    Nerile Abram
    https://twitter.com/ClimateNerilie/status/1421241917644316677?s=19

    Extreme Weather Events in the Arctic and Beyond: A Global State of Emergency

    Read our latest report here: https://t.co/4Fd5zczsx6
    TADEAS
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    From elite folk science to the policy legend of the circular economy
    From elite folk science to the policy legend of the circular economy - ScienceDirect
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901120302033


    This paper explores the implications of the widespread success of the term circular economy in the institutional and public debate. The concept of circular economy in itself implies a logical contradiction: on the one hand, the concept acknowledges the dependence of the economy on biophysical flows; on the other hand, the proposed solution—a business model guaranteeing a full decoupling of the economy from natural resources—seemingly ignores that biophysical processes are subject to thermodynamic constraints. A biophysical view of the sustainability predicament—the flows exchanged between the technosphere and the biosphere — is depicted to show that the idea of a full decoupling is simply due to ignorance of the knowledge generated in (inter)disciplinary scientific fields other than the dominant economic one. The success of economics as an ‘elite folk science’ is explained by the need of the establishment to ignore uncomfortable knowledge that would destabilize existing institutions. The success of the term circular economy can be seen as an example of socially constructed ignorance in which folk tales are used to depoliticize the sustainability debate and to colonize the future through the endorsement of implausible socio-technical imaginaries. A strategy that can lead to an irresponsible management of expectation: implausible master narratives are impossible to govern. Rather than continuing to impose technocratic plans, as if we knew the optimal thing to do, Post-Normal Science suggests that it is much more effective and responsible to adopt a flexible management approach, exploring the ability of self-organization of social-ecological systems.
    TADEAS
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    How climate change is changing the Indian monsoon
    https://lifestyle.livemint.com/amp/news/big-story/dark-clouds-ahead-how-climate-change-is-changing-the-indian-monsoon-111627637725104.html

    Climate change is altering the nature of the Indian monsoon, turning it into an erratic and destructive force. According to climate projections, it promises to get even more unpredictable through the rest of the century. India is one of the most vulnerable nations to the ravages of climate change, and what makes our experience unique in many ways is that the country faces severe challenges on nearly every climate metric: be it sea level rise, the melting of Himalayan glaciers, an increase in the number of destructive cyclones or extreme heatwaves. In many ways, these separate impacts have come together to shape the destiny of one of the most awe-inspiring weather phenomena on the planet, the Indian monsoon.

    ...

    while the monsoon is a robust system and continues to remain so, climate change has added a further layer of variability to a weather system that anyway registers a degree of natural and regional variability. “Now the number of rainy days (in a season) is decreasing. And the length of the dry spells is increasing. There’s not much change in the total amount of rain. The number of rainy days may be small, but when it rains, it will rain very heavily, so that the seasonal total will be same. So there are changes in the daily rainfall activity, that is very obvious,” he says.

    ...

    For every 1 degree Celsius rise in heat, the atmosphere can hold 7% more moisture. This is also due to the rapid heating of the global ocean, which has absorbed 90% of the excess heat generated by man-made climate change in the past 50 years. As a result, extreme rainfall events of the sort seen in Maharashtra would become very common. “We have found that there is a strong relationship of the monsoon with sea surface temperature (SST). One is the way in which it affects the monsoon circulation itself. There appears to be a competition between the changes in ocean temperatures and the land temperatures. Overall the warming (over land) in India in the last century is much less compared to other regions. At the same time, the Indian Ocean temperatures are high and goes up to 1.2 degrees Celsius above normal in some regions,” says Koll.

    this is leading to a weakening of the land-sea temperature gradient—the thermal contrast—thus drying the monsoon circulation. At the same time, there is a lot of moisture in the air because of an increase in SST. So even if the monsoon circulation is weak, in certain episodes, like in Maharashtra, strong winds can bring in plenty of moisture from the Arabian Sea region which then falls over land in the form of extreme rainfall

    ...

    over some 900,000 years, monsoon rainfall over India varied according to the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. “We show that over the last 900,000 years, higher CO2 levels along with associated changes in ice volume and moisture import from the southern hemisphere were associated with more intense monsoon rainfall. That tells us that CO2 levels and associated warming were major players in monsoon intensity in the past, supporting what the models predict about future monsoons — that rainfall will intensify with rising CO2 and warming global temperatures,”

    ...

    “The monsoon is obviously becoming more erratic, and intensifying and you have extreme flood events. But at the same time associated flood events are also increasing. These include landslides, hailstorms, thunderstorms, cloudbursts. Now floods are occurring also in the onset phase as well as the receding phase of the monsoon. And you’re seeing more instances of urban flooding and flash floods” says Mohanty. He points out that microclimates across India are changing. “Forty per cent of India’s districts are showing a swapping trend. Where flood prone areas are becoming drought prone and drought prone areas are becoming flood prone. And the majority of the swapping trends are being witnessed during the monsoon
    TADEAS
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    https://www.vrt.be/vrtnws/nl/2021/07/28/europa-zet-wellicht-licht-op-groen-voor-subsidies-aan-gascentral/

    "The European Commission has completed its investigation into the Belgian plan to subsidize gas-fired power stations as compensation for the nuclear phase-out. It appears that the Commission will not regard this as illegal State aid."
    TADEAS
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    Collapsing Gracefully: Making a Built Environment that is Fit for the Future | Emilio Garcia | Springer
    https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783030777821

    This innovative book investigates the concept of collapse in terms of our built environment, exploring the future transition of modern cities towards scenarios very different from the current promises of progress and development. This is not a book about the end of the world and hopeless apocalyptic scenarios. It is about understanding change in how and where we live. Collapse is inevitable, but in the built environment collapse could imply a manageable situation, an opportunity for change or a devastating reality.

    Collapsing gracefully means that there might be better ways to coexist with collapse if we learn more about it and commit to rebuild our civilisations in ways that avoid its worst effects. This book uses a wide range of practical examples to study critical changes in the built environment, to contextualise and visualise what collapse looks like, to see if it is possible to buffer its effects in places already collapsing and to propose ways to develop greater resilience.
    TADEAS
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    TUHO: tohle bohuzel v cesku nejde, odporuji tomu mistni prirodni zakony
    TADEAS
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    DG Defis
    https://twitter.com/defis_eu/status/1420763321100161026?s=19

    #HeatWave: worrisome temperatures high temperatures are being recorded in #Greenland

    On 28 July
    ✔️ 23.2°C in Constable Pynt (Lat 70°N)
    ✔️ 19.8°C in Danmarkshavn (Lat 76°N)

    @CopernicusEU #Sentinel2 mage of the same day showing high sediment discharge from ice melt






    Za jediný den roztála většina východního pobřeží Grónska - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/za-jediny-den-roztala-vetsina-vychodniho-pobrezi-gronska-171030
    TUHO
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    Nové podmínky také umožní sdílet elektřinu mezi občany, kteří vytvoří energetické společenství. Navíc k předávání elektřiny budou moci využívat veřejné distribuční sítě za snížený poplatek, tzv. místní tarif a takto sdílená elektřina bude také osvobozena od daně z elektřiny.
    foto: Myriams-Fotos, licence Pixabay
    Rakouský parlament dvoutřetinovou většinou schválil zákon o obnovitelných zdrojích energie, který vytvoří právní a finanční nástroje pro přechod země na 100% elektřiny ze slunce, větru, vody a biomasy do roku 2030. Do rozšíření obnovitelných zdrojů bude každý rok investována jedna miliarda EUR.

    http://www.hybrid.cz/rakousky-parlament-schvalil-zakon-ktery-zajisti-100-elektriny-z-obnovitelnych-zdroju
    PER2
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    happy holiday....
    Temperatures dropped across Brazil on Thursday - with rare snowfall overnight in some places - as a polar air mass advanced toward the center-south of the global agricultural powerhouse, threatening coffee, sugarcane and orange crops with frost.

    Cars, streets and highways were blanketed in ice while people took the opportunity to take pictures and play in the snow, building snowmen.

    "I am 62 years old and had never seen the snow, you know? To see nature's beauty is something indescribable," said truck driver Iodor Goncalves Marques in Cambara do Sul, a municipality of Rio Grande do Sul state, speaking to TV Globo network.

    More than 40 cities in the state of Rio Grande do Sul had icy conditions and at least 33 municipalities had snow, reported the meteorology company Somar Meteorologia.
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