Sbornik o existencnich rizicich - vystup konference ze Stanfordu. Prispevek tam ma i kral historie klimatologie Paul N. Edwards (na strane 133)
Is Climate Change Ungovernable?
Abstract: This paper reviews the potential for catastrophic, civilization-threatening climate change
within the next 2-3 centuries if climate sensitivity is on the high end of IPCC estimates and the
thresholds of various tipping points are crossed. I argue that empirical evidence supports a
substantial likelihood of future climate policy reversals by major emitters, resulting in continuing
accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. On high-end sensitivity estimates, Paris
Agreement pledges to date are insufficient even if fully implemented. Policy is always reversible,
and major reversals have already occurred. Climate denialism and misdirection can, and probably
will, be amplified by artificial intelligence and social media. Finally, the focus on international
governance mechanisms obscures the many levels of jurisdiction that must be engaged for strong
climate policy to take effect. The paper concludes that while renewable energy progress presents a
hopeful note, chances are high that current structu
Intersections, Reinforcements, Cascades
Proceedings of the 2023 Stanford Existential Risks Conference
https://stacks.stanford.edu/file/druid:pn116pv4512/Intersections%2C%20Reinforcements%2C%20Cascades_Proceedings%20of%20the%202023%20Stanford%20Existential%20Risks%20Conference.pdf#page=133