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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Ano, trochu už to pár týdnů sleduji, ne že by od toho mohl člověk moc očekávat. :shrug:
    “China and US push each other on priorities for UN COP29 climate talks…

    “Washington’s top climate diplomat John Podesta has pressed Chinese leaders to come up with ambitious plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 in one of the final meetings between the world’s two largest polluters ahead of the UN COP29 climate summit in November.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/784bb728-a0d7-485a-9ab9-89da0d516f61
    https://archive.fo/ecZe9
    ___
    “Good Cop, Bad COP29: Azerbaijan’s greenwashing ahead of crucial climate summit…

    “Since it was announced as this year’s host in November last year, Azerbaijan has intensified crackdowns on independent media and academics, arresting dozens on falsified charges this year alone. And concerns are intensifying around Azerbaijan’s commitments to expanding its fossil fuel industry.”
    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/podcast-episode/good-cop-bad-cop29-azerbaijans-greenwashing-ahead-of-crucial-climate-summit/j5qm1xxq5
    ___
    "Satellite data shows an increase in gas flaring since Azerbaijan last reported its emissions six years ago, calling into question BP and state oil company’s pledge to eliminate methane flaring by 2030."

    "Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries are required to submit their emissions data every two years. Yet Azerbaijan, which will host the COP29 climate summit in November, has failed to do so since 2018. "
    wonderful

    "The Presidency of COP29 is headed by Mukhtar Babayev, who is currently serving as Ecology and Natural Resources of Azerbaijan, Babayev previously worked as the SOCAR’s Vice President for ecology."

    https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/fossil-gas/cop29-host-azerbaijan-failing-report-ever-growing-methane-emissions/
    ___
    Several major oil-producing countries, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, are pushing back against talks on an agreement at the upcoming COP29 climate summit to mitigate the use of fossil fuels.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Petrostates-Push-Back-Against-UN-Talks-on-Shift-from-Fossil-Fuels.html
    ___
    “COP29 host’s own climate plans are ‘critically insufficient’, says expert group…

    “Campaigners have expressed concerns about the selection of yet another country that is heavily reliant on the sale of oil and gas to oversee the world’s most important climate negotiations. Questions about human rights followed after several arrests of government critics.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/8ca61260-743a-4e4b-8699-e937a07d7cfc
    https://archive.fo/Nlg2O
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    vedeli jste ze za mesic je COP29 v azerbajdzanu?
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Nové hlášení od WWF - "Living Planet Report 2024"
    Over the past 50 years (1970–2020), the average size of monitored wildlife populations has shrunk by 73%,
    as measured by the Living Planet Index (LPI). This is based on almost 35,000 population trends and 5,495
    species of amphibians, birds, fish, mammals and reptiles. Freshwater populations have suffered the heaviest
    declines, falling by 85%, followed by terrestrial (69%) and marine populations (56%).
    In the natural world, a number of tipping points are highly likely if current trends are left to continue, with
    potentially catastrophic consequences. These include global tipping points that pose grave threats to
    humanity and most species, and would damage Earth’s life-support systems and destabilize societies
    everywhere.
    Food production is one of the main
    drivers of nature’s decline: it uses 40% of all habitable land, is
    the leading cause of habitat loss, accounts for 70% of water
    use and is responsible for over a quarter of greenhouse gas
    emissions. The hidden costs of ill health and environmental
    degradation in the current food system amount to US$10–15
    trillion annually, representing 12% of global GDP in 2020
    Globally, over half of GDP (55%) – or an estimated US$58
    trillion – is moderately or highly dependent on nature and
    its services. Yet our current economic system values nature
    at close to zero, driving unsustainable natural resource
    exploitation, environmental degradation and climate change.


    Hlášení: https://wwflpr.awsassets.panda.org/downloads/2024-living-planet-report-a-system-in-peril.pdf
    Exekutivní shrnutí: https://wwflpr.awsassets.panda.org/downloads/2024-lpr-executive-summary.pdf

    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    XCHAOS: aka soft landing vs hard impact
    A asi to má něco do sebe, hlavně z hlediska energie a s tím sjatým zemědělstvím. Oblasti, které jsou nejméně závislé na fosilních palivech budou z toho hlediska taktéž nejméně zasaženy, jak z hlediska zdroje potravy, tak i menším zásahem do jejich stylu života.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO:

    Vojtěch Pecka: Nový report o stavu klimatu od významných světových vědců a vědkyň - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/publicistika/nazory-a-komentare/vojtech-pecka-novy-report-o-stavu-klimatu-od-vyznamnych-svetovych-vedcu-a-vedkyn
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Europe was a leader on saving nature. Now, its backsliding could threaten global progress | Biodiversity | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/09/europe-eu-green-deal-backsliding-nature-biodiversity-farmers-far-right-cop16-aoe

    EU leaders scaled back plans to cut pollution and protect habitats after angry protests from farmers at the start of the year. A law to restore nature was turned into a political punching bag, barely securing majorities in key votes to rubber-stamp the deal, and a regulation to reduce deforestation will be delayed by a year, the commission announced last week.

    The backsliding has alarmed conservationists and scientists, who fear that biodiversity loss is being pushed to the sidelines on the eve of the world’s most significant nature negotiations.

    ...

    The most vocal opponents of Europe’s nature protection plans are far-right parties, which completely oppose the EU’s “green deal”, and centre-right parties, which nominally back the project but have repeatedly tried to weaken it. Both groups gained seats at the expense of the Greens in European parliament elections in June, in a rightward shift that has been echoed in national and regional elections across the continent.

    ...

    Pe’er said: “Instead of resilience, sustainability and planetary boundaries – not to speak of nature or biodiversity – we now hear the words competitiveness, boosting our economy, and helping the industry.

    ...

    Europe’s recent efforts to protect nature have been mixed. The EU failed to meet its 2020 biodiversity targets and risks falling short of its 2030 protection targets, too. In 2021, most of its member countries failed to pay their fair share of a $20bn (£15.3bn) a year commitment to protect nature, according to an analysis from the ODI in June.

    Just eight of the 27 member states have revised their national biodiversity strategies and action plans, and only the same number have submitted pledges to protect nature
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TADEAS: Think globaly, collapse localy?
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    Major tornado outbreak ongoing in Florida ahead of Hurricane Milton’s landfall tonight. So far over 60 tornado warnings just since early this morning.
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    Climate change censored in Florida science textbooks | National Center for Science Education
    https://ncse.ngo/climate-change-censored-florida-science-textbooks
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    TUHO: ano, ani na základě tohoto článku se v přístupu k politickému řešení nezmění vůbec nic.
    WOODMAKER
    WOODMAKER --- ---
    TADEAS: takhle bude AI zachranovat i klima?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    záchrana světa pomocí AI-assisted humoru

    FB-IMG-1728480625747
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    počasí

    Září bylo druhé nejteplejší v historii záznamů s celosvětovou průměrnou přízemní teplotou vzduchu 16,17 stupně Celsia, což je o 0,73 stupně více, než byl průměr pro září v letech 1991 až 2020. Oproti předindustriálnímu období byla průměrná teplota letos v září dokonce v průměru o 1,54 stupně vyšší. Současně šlo o 14. měsíc v 15měsíčním období, kdy průměrná globální teplota vzduchu při zemském povrchu byla více než 1,5 stupně nad předindustriální úrovní."

    Letošní září bylo globálně druhé nejteplejší v historii měření – EURACTIV.cz
    https://euractiv.cz/section/klima-a-zivotni-prostredi/news/letosni-zari-bylo-globalne-druhe-nejteplejsi-v-historii-mereni/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    solved by AI (sponsored by your local megacorp)

    FB-IMG-1728464974098
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    nasere je to aspon jako rogera hallama? :)

    Zelináři: Záplavy zničily 60 ha polí se zeleninou, podmáčených je dalších 400 ha
    https://www.asz.cz/clanek/13443/zelinari-zaplavy-znicily-60-ha-poli-se-zeleninou-podmacenych-je-dalsich-400-ha/
    ARAON
    ARAON --- ---
    Par (vodotesnych) live cams na Floride, ktere by by mely sledovat, jakou spoust Milton napacha.
    Hazcams by WXLogic
    https://hazcams.com/
    VOYTEX
    VOYTEX --- ---
    PER2: to bezi davno, maji 2 roky regulaci, predtim se jely WM pokusy nepriznane, coz jak znamo tisickrat leaklo, ted si jen vyplnis formular NOAA a muzes haarpit o 106 :); Akorat nevim co bude s debunkerama, snad je precvicej na vyvraceni parezu nebo tak neceho...

    Weather Modification Project Reports - Weather and Climate Collections - NOAA Library at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    https://library.noaa.gov/friendly.php?s=weather-climate/weather-modification-project-reports
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Just Collapse
    https://justcollapse.org/

    Just Collapse recognises the impossibility of a globally planned collapse, or degrowth, and instead advocates for localised social and ecological justice.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    PER2: just matter of time...

    Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) refers to deliberate, large-scale actions intended to decrease global average surface temperatures by increasing the reflection of sunlight away from the Earth. Proposed SRM methods involve the use of aerosols (small particles) or other materials to increase the reflectivity of the atmosphere, clouds, or Earth’s surface.

    Solar radiation modification: NOAA State of the Science factsheet | NOAA Climate.gov
    https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/solar-radiation-modification-noaa-state-science-factsheet

    NOAA CSL Research: ERB
    https://csl.noaa.gov/research/erb/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    SHEFIK: Pekny, ze prsi na Sahare. Ale zapomnel si jeste na tohle:

    Southern Africa is grappling with an unprecedented drought triggered by El Niño, a recurring climate phenomenon known for its capacity to exacerbate either dry or stormy weather patterns.

    Prolonged dry spells at critical moments of the 2023/2024 planting season resulted in widespread crop failure and livestock losses, in a region where 70 percent of the population relies on agriculture. While the current El Niño cycle has come to an end, the consequences will be felt for months to come, with the hunger crisis likely to worsen and persist until the next harvest season (April/May 2025)

    Five countries in the region have already declared national drought disasters: Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Mozambique and Angola are also severely affected.


    Southern Africa Drought | World Food Programme
    https://www.wfp.org/emergencies/southern-africa-drought
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    SHEFIK: Co jsem se o téma zajímal, tak hlavně migrace není úplně to co si lidé představují.
    1) Mnoho lidí domov neopustí ať se děje co se děje
    2) Hlavní cíl migrace bývají okolní země (ať už jde o možnost se tam snáze dostat, nebo kulturní blízkost, či známosti)

    Sice planetu v následujících 25 letech, dle UN, čeká přes 1 mld migrujících lidí, ale je potřeba se podívat na kontext v těchto scénářích. Ve světě kde více a více lidí propadá do energetické chudoby, bude jen hrstka mít prostředky na to, aby cestovala tisíce kilometrů do Evropy (nebo US/Kanady). Ty predikce udávají důvody jako je nedostatek vody/jídla, extrémní počasí a obecně neobyvatelnost postižených oblastí.
    Ač se o tom blbě mluví a není přijemné nad tím přemýšlet - jak daleko je člověk co nemá vodu a jídlo schopen dojít?

    Pakliže se něco velmi rapidně nezmění (k čemuž nevidím iniciativu a mám zároveň pochyby o realistických možnostech), tak si počet obětí v tomto století v souvislosti s planetárními změnami a do toho lidským faktorem s přehledem strčí do kapsy počet obětí 100 největších historicky zaznamenaných válek.
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam