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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Nakonec bude Cina svetovym leadrem v dekarbonizaci. Kdo by to pred par lety rekl...

    China's CO2 emissions have started falling – is this finally the peak? | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2480289-chinas-co2-emissions-have-started-falling-is-this-finally-the-peak/

    China, the world’s largest emitter of carbon dioxide, has seen a slight decline in those emissions over the past twelve months, even as demand for power has gone up. This is an encouraging sign the country’s massive buildout of clean energy has begun to displace fossil fuels – but emissions could still surge again.

    That is according to an analysis of China’s economic and energy data by Lauri Myllivirta at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a research organisation in Finland. According to the report, published in Carbon Brief, China’s CO2 emissions have declined by 1 per cent over the past 12 months; in the first quarter of 2025 alone emissions declined by 1.6 per cent relative to last year.
    ...
    This isn’t the first time China’s CO2 emissions have dipped. For instance, they dropped in 2022 as the economy came to a standstill during covid-19 lockdowns. But this is the first time emissions have fallen even as the country has used more power. “That, of course, means the current fall in emissions has a much better chance of being sustained,” says Myllivirta.

    This is mainly a consequence of China’s record build-out of solar, wind and nuclear power, which is beginning to eat into the total electricity generated by burning fossil fuels. Wider economic shifts away from cement and steel production, which are carbon-intensive industries, have also contributed to the decline. Another factor is the jump in the share of people driving electric vehicles, which has cut into the demand for oil.

    If China maintains these trends, its carbon emissions could continue to fall. A sustained drop would indicate the country has passed peak emissions, putting it several years ahead of its 2030 target. The achievement would represent a substantial physical and psychological milestone for efforts to tackle climate change, says Myllivirta.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    In March (2025?), 440 winter and summer Olympians representing more than 90 countries and 50 sports wroteExternal link an open letter to candidates for the presidency of the International Olympic Committee. They expressed concern about the risks that climate change poses to many sports and called for the organisation to take more action to fight climate change. This included setting standards for sponsorships, upholding sustainable practices, and strengthening commitments to cut carbon emissions.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Inside the controversial tree farms powering Apple's carbon neutral goal | MIT Technology Review
    https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/04/24/1115751/apple-carbon-neutral-eucalyptus-tree-farm-brazil/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Trump targets California climate laws in new executive order - CalMatters
    https://calmatters.org/environment/climate-change/2025/04/trump-order-california-climate-laws/

    Trump’s order singles out California’s cap and trade program, a market-based system created in 2012 that is considered one of the state’s key policies for combating climate change. The program sets limits on greenhouse gas emissions and allows companies to buy and sell credits. Twelve other states have similar trade programs for cutting greenhouse gases.

    “California, for example, punishes carbon use by adopting impossible caps on the amount of carbon businesses may use, all but forcing businesses to pay large sums to ‘trade’ carbon credits to meet California’s radical requirements,” Trump’s order says.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Living carbon sinks - rip

    Scientists unsure why gray whales are dying off Pacific Coast again - Los Angeles Times
    https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2025-04-08/gray-whales-are-dying-off-the-pacific-coast-again-and-scientists-arent-sure-why

    At least 70 whales have perished since the start of the year in the shallow lagoons of Mexico’s Baja California peninsula where the animals gather to calf, nurse and breed.

    Three gray whales have died in San Francisco Bay recently during their migration north, with one showing signs of malnourishment.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: ale ty neelektrolyzuješ sůl, ale vodný roztok, ve kterém je sůl stejně disociovaná na ionty. že se jim z toho uvolňuje jako vedlejší efekt vodík, to je pravda - je to další kladný iont, akorát se neusazuje v pevné formě, ale uniká. Asi už jsme v tématu klubu #offtopic, obecně je to stejný efekt, se kterým se počítalo i na pasivní carbon capture - tedy že vysypou nějaký štěrk o správném složení na pláže moří.

    Víceméně mám info, poté, co jsem tuhle otázku nastolil jinde, že v té mořské vodě, ze které odebereme kladné ionty vápníku a hořčíku, pak chlor vytvoří v podstatě velmi slabý roztok HCl: sníží se pH mořské vody a ta bude mít větší tendenci si ty chybějící kladné ionty vyžrat ze všech možných hornin břehu a dna a ustavit tak opět rovnováhu složení solí ve vodě a neutrální pH. Takže de-facto se ten materiál netěží z mořské vody jako takové, ale prostřednictvím vody se těží dno a břeh... akorát atom a po atomu a jaksi dodatečně :-) Asi když to dělají i koráli, taky dost ve velkým, tak s tím moře nějak počítá...
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: no, něco jiného je čerpat to pár metrů, něco jiného "do vnitrozemí". Jinak ale čehokoliv, co by nebyl chlorid něčeho, je v mořské vodě zatraceně málo. V litru je asi 0.1g hydrogenuhličitanu vápenatého, to mi přijde dost málo a navíc v něm už uhlík je.... Jinak jestli chtějí do "umělého písku" zabudovávat i prvky vázané v solích, tak to znamená že elektrolýzou z mořské vody uvolňují chlor? To asi ne, to bychom sice dělali carbon capture, ale současně chlor release, a to vážně nic moc :-) ten hořčík by asi měl tenhle původ.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Factcheck: Kemi Badenoch’s claim that net zero is ‘impossible’ by 2050 | Kemi Badenoch | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/mar/19/factcheck-kemi-badenoch-conservative-leader-claim-that-net-zero-is-impossible-by-2050

    The Conservative party leader, Kemi Badenoch, officially ditched net zero by 2050 as a Tory policy this week. The target was signed into law in June 2019 by her predecessor Theresa May, the then prime minister. So what arguments did Badenoch make for reversing?

    Analysis by the London School of Economics has found that, though reaching net zero by 2050 initially costs between 1% and 2% of GDP a year, it will save money by about 2040. To put that into context, the UK spends about 11% of GDP on healthcare, and 10% on social security including pensions. The money spent on reaching net zero is also an investment, according to the most recent carbon budget; for example, upgrading the electricity grid or updating homes.

    A former minister made this point in parliament in 2022: “Our latest estimates put the costs of net zero at under 2% of GDP – broadly similar to when we legislated for it two years ago – with scope for costs of low-carbon technologies to fall faster than expected.” Wise words from Badenoch herself.

    The Office for Budget Responsibility has analysed the Climate Change Committee’s plans and found: “From 2040 onwards, net operating savings are projected to outweigh investment costs. And by 2050, the CCC projects a £19bn annual saving relative to its baseline emissions scenario.” If similar savings of the same size continued in the years beyond 2050, investment costs would be completely offset by 2070. The same report found “unmitigated climate change would ultimately have catastrophic economic and fiscal consequences for the UK”.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    carbon capture elektřinou do moře má dlouhou historii. možná jsou carbon capture metody, které nejsou nesmysl, přeci jen...
    Biorock - Global Coral Reef Alliance
    https://www.globalcoral.org/biorock-coral-reef-marine-habitat-restoration/
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    The carbon-trapping capacity of these materials is remarkable – they can store more than half their weight in CO2. For instance, one metric ton of the material (composed half of calcium carbonate and half magnesium hydroxide) could permanently sequester over half a metric ton of carbon dioxide.
    ..
    a process that not only traps carbon but also produces hydrogen as a clean fuel byproduct
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Sounds legit. Tohle by byl zatím nejsympatičtější geoinžinýring, problém je, že by pravděpodobně pouze cementový průmysl snížil vlastní stopu zachytáváním CO₂ z výroby cementu do mořské vody, nešlo by o carbon capture. Záleželo by navíc jestli elektřina bude pocházet z OZE..
    https://scienceblog.com/557317/scientists-create-artificial-sand-that-eats-co2-could-transform-construction-industry
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    Global soil moisture in 'permanent' decline due to climate change - Carbon Brief
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/global-soil-moisture-in-permanent-decline-due-to-climate-change/?
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Forget carbon neutral, Northwestern takes concrete NEGATIVE
    https://electrek.co/2025/03/25/forget-carbon-neutral-northwestern-develops-carbon-negative-concrete/

    We have developed a new approach that allows us to use seawater to create carbon-negative construction materials. Cement, concrete, paint, and plasters are customarily composed of or derived from calcium- and magnesium-based minerals, which are often sourced from aggregates –– what we call sand. Currently, sand is sourced through mining from mountains, riverbeds, coasts and the ocean floor. In collaboration with Cemex, we have devised an alternative approach to source sand — not by digging into the Earth but by harnessing electricity and CO2 to grow sand-like materials in seawater.
    SPOTTER
    SPOTTER --- ---
    EN-ROADS energetický simulátor máá aktualizaci, vyzkoušejte si

    Zde je stručný přehled změn v aktualizaci
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Jiri Jerabek
    🇦🇹 Co plánuje nová rakouská vláda v oblasti klimatu a energetiky?

    • Plánují pokrýt 100 % rostoucí domácí spotřeby elektřiny z obnovitelných zdrojů. (datum v dokumentu není)
    • Plánují nový klimatický zákon, který stanoví závazné roční emisní cíle a pravidelné pětileté revize, při nichž se vyhodnocuje dosažený pokrok a případně se upravují opatření s cílem dosáhnout klimatické neutrality do roku 2040.
    • Podpora rozšíření využívání zelených plynů, včetně biometanu a dalších obnovitelných plynů, na 6,5 TWh ročně do roku 2030.
    • Zavést regulační rámec pro postupný přechod od fosilního plynu ve vytápění budov směrem k nulovým emisím.
    • Připravuje se právní rámec pro vytvoření adekvátně dimenzované vodíkové sítě.
    • Rakouský model oceňování CO₂ bude převeden do schématu EU ETS 2. V EU ETS 1 se bude jednat s EU o úpravách proti carbon leakage, aby se zajistila spravedlivá konkurenceschopnost domácích podniků.
    • Vyvine se mechanismus pro řešení krizových situací v oblasti elektřiny, plynu a tepla na základě evropských právních norem, aby byly ceny dostupné i v náročných obdobích.
    • Program podporuje rozvoj baterií a zmiňujě např. využití protihlukových zdí pro instalaci fotovoltaiky.
    • Národní energetický a klimatický plán (NEKP) bude přepracován a implementace opatření bude dělána za účasti spolkových zemí.
    • Spolková vláda bere svou roli vzoru v otázkách ochrany klimatu vážně a proto rychle zavede klimaticky šetrnou správu ve své působnosti, využije veřejné zakázky jako účinný nástroj a zvažuje vytvoření prioritních oblastí (trhů) pro ekologicky udržitelné produkty a služby.

    (programové prohlášení vlády má 200 stran, body jsem sepsal s pomocí NotebookLM AI)
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Carbon-Negative Construction
    https://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2022/01/carbon-negative-construction/

    Hemp’s rapid growth, dense canopy, and ability to grow in nutrient-poor soils make the plant more efficient than trees at sequestering carbon. In construction, hemp is combined with a lime-based binder to create hempcrete, a carbon-negative biocomposite that can sequester over 100 kilograms of CO2 per square meter.

    “Hempcrete’s not only healthy and nontoxic, but is also resistant to fire, pests, mold, and mildew,” says Drew Oberholtzer, cofounder of Coexist Build, an architecture studio with a regenerative organic farm that doubles as a research and development lab for hemp-based building materials. The sustainable building material also boasts benefits for indoor air quality and, as its name implies, can be precast in blocks. This eliminates the time needed for curing on site and makes it easy to incorporate it into existing construction trades.

    Although hempcrete can be cast like concrete, it isn’t a substitute. The lightweight material lacks the structural integrity needed for load-bearing. It can, however, be used in place of traditional drywall, insulation, and siding—where its high thermal mass offers energy-saving benefits by reducing the need for heating and cooling.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/what-happens-to-a-tree-that-dies-in-a-forest-180986121/

    Rotting logs turn out to be vital to forest biodiversity and recycling organic matter
    ...
    Dormant fungi within the tree awaken to feast on it, joined by others that creep up from the soil. Bacteria pitch in, some sliding along strands of fungi to get deeper into the log. Termites alert their colony mates, which gather en masse to gobble up wood. Bit by bit, deadwood is decomposed, feeding new life along the way.
    ...
    Wood-gobbling life forms, in turn, nourish other living things. Many beetle species munch on the spores, mycelia or mushrooms of wood-decaying fungi, while some ants specialize in hunting and eating termites. Estimates suggest that one third of insect species in a forest rely on deadwood in some way—and these insects are food for other invertebrates, as well as birds and bats. Rotting logs create excellent spots for tree seedlings to grow, and for animal nests, dens and burrows.

    “It’s pretty clear,” Seibold says, “that this is a habitat type and resource that we need to maintain this part of life on Earth.”
    ...
    As a log disappears, where does the wood ultimately go? Wood-eaters use some of the carbon for energy, expelling carbon dioxide—and farting methane, in the case of termites—as a waste product. Carbon also goes into building bodies; some termites use their lignin-rich feces to build nests and mounds. When these structures decay, some of the carbon is released into the air, while a portion stays on the ground, alongside leftover wood bits. Collectively, these leftovers become part of the humus of the soil, helping retain water and support soil-dwelling microbes, invertebrates and roots.
    ...
    Earth system scientist Steven Allison of the University of California, Irvine, reckons that while most of deadwood’s carbon ends up in the air, some stays locked in the soil for more than a century. “Deadwood is really your friend,” he says. “You want more of it, and you want it to stick around longer.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Arctic Climate Collapse! This time it's REALLY flipped!!
    https://youtu.be/LrS4PKDln0E?si=za6QYaol7wHREGSk


    The Arctic region has been a massive store of carbon for thousands of years. Now it's warming between 3 and 7 times faster than the global average and that carbon is escaping into our atmosphere. The latest research suggests that more than a third of it is now a net emitter!
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    Massive methane leaks detected in Antarctica, posing potential risks for global warming | Climate | EL PAÍS English
    https://english.elpais.com/climate/2025-02-12/massive-methane-leaks-detected-in-antarctica-posing-potential-risks-for-global-warming.html

    Scientists have found enormous columns of methane gas leaking into the atmosphere from Antarctica, with the potential for further leaks amounting to the sum total of what humanity emits over two years.

    ...

    A team of Spanish scientists exploring the Antarctic seabed has detected “massive emissions” of methane, a gas with a capacity to warm the planet around 30 times greater than carbon dioxide (CO₂). The researchers, on board the ship Sarmiento de Gamboa, have observed columns of methane in the ocean up to 700 meters long and 70 meters wide, according to the geologists Ricardo León and Roger Urgeles, leaders of the expedition, in statements to EL PAÍS. These previously unknown emissions could potentially represent an environmental bomb for the planet’s climate.
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