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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    flooded futures of today

    France issues red flood alerts after ‘exceptional’ rainfall | France | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/17/red-flood-alerts-storm-nils-exceptional-rainfall

    “People who follow climate issues have been warning us for a long time that events like this will happen more often,” she said on Tuesday, the day after visiting the flood-stricken Gironde region, in comments to TV news channel LCI. “In fact, tomorrow has arrived.”

    Lucie Chadourne-Facon, director of Vigicrues, France’s flood monitoring service, said the succession of rainy disturbances had been “exceptional” and that soils were so full of water that as little as 20-30mm of rainfall could trigger floods.

    “We are dealing with two parallel phenomena,” she told broadcaster BFMTV at the weekend.

    “The fact that it is territorially widespread means … all the little rivers that have reacted are flowing into big rivers and everything swells by propagation,” she said. “And at the same time, we’re still getting rain that is reactivating the flooding.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Spain and Portugal brace for more floods
    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/climate/article/2026/02/07/spain-and-portugal-brace-for-more-floods_6750251_96.html

    Spain and Portugal on Saturday, February 7, faced fresh storms and torrential rain just days after floods caused by Storm Leonardo proved fatal in both countries and caused significant damage. In Portugal, the latest depression – christened Storm Marta – has prompted the deployment of more than 26,500 rescuers and led three municipalities to postpone a presidential vote by a week, which was scheduled for Sunday.

    The Iberian Peninsula is on the front lines of climate change in Europe. It has been experiencing increasingly prolonged heat waves and more frequent, intense episodes of heavy rainfall for several years. Both Spain and Portugal have issued warnings over potential fresh floods, after inundations that have blocked hundreds of roads, disrupted trains and forced thousands to evacuate from the rising waters.

    In Spain, much of the south, particularly the region of Andalusia, was placed on orange alert on Saturday, as was the north-west, which was facing heavy rain and violent storms. "We have never seen such a series of storms," said Andalusia's regional president, Juan Manuel Moreno, describing the situation as "complex" with dozens of roads cut off, rail traffic largely suspended, and a total of "more than 11,000 people" evacuated.

    He said the farming sector was badly hit, adding it would cost over 500 million euros ($590 million) to repair roads. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez held a crisis meeting on Saturday, a day after visiting flood-affected areas. Evacuated from Grazalema, one of the hardest-hit municipalities in Andalusia, residents were taken in at a gymnasium in the city of Ronda.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Governments must fix ‘faulty radar’ in economic climate models as storm approaches, scientists warn - Carbon Tracker Initiative
    https://carbontracker.org/governments-must-fix-faulty-radar-in-economic-climate-models-as-storm-approaches-scientists-warn/

    Flawed economic models mean climate crisis could crash global economy, experts warn | Green economy | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/05/flawed-economic-models-mean-climate-crisis-could-crash-global-economy-experts-warn



    This report by the Carbon Tracker Initiative and the University of Exeter makes clear that the economic modeling currently employed by many governments, regulators, and financial managers greatly underestimates the potential impacts of climate change. What this means is that we are speeding towards Armageddon while wearing rose-tinted glasses.

    - - - - - - - - - -

    "Flawed economic models mean the accelerating impact of the climate crisis could lead to a global financial crash, experts warn.

    Recovery would be far harder than after the 2008 financial crash, they said, as “we can’t bail out the Earth like we did the banks”.

    As the world speeds towards 2C of global heating, the risks of extreme weather disasters and climate tipping points are increasing fast. But current economic models used by governments and financial institutions entirely miss such shocks, the researchers said, instead forecasting that steady economic growth will be slowed only by gradually rising average temperatures. This is because the models assume the future will behave like the past, despite the burning of fossil fuels pushing the climate system into uncharted territory.

    Tipping points, such as the collapse of critical Atlantic currents or the Greenland ice sheet, would have global consequences for society. Some are thought to be at, or very close to, their tipping points but the timing is difficult to predict. Combined extreme weather disasters could wipe out national economies, the researchers, from the University of Exeter and financial thinktank Carbon Tracker Initiative, said.

    Their report concludes governments, regulators and financial managers must pay far more attention to these high impact but lower likelihood risks, because avoiding irreversible outcomes by cutting carbon emissions is far cheaper than trying to cope with them.

    “We’re not dealing with manageable economic adjustments,” said Dr Jesse Abrams, at the University of Exeter. “The climate scientists we surveyed were unambiguous: current economic models can’t capture what matters most – the cascading failures and compounding shocks that define climate risk in a warmer world – and could undermine the very foundations of economic growth.”

    “For financial institutions and policymakers, it’s a fundamental misreading of the risks we face,” he said. “We are thinking about something like a 2008 [crash], but one we can’t recover from as well. Once we have ecosystem breakdown or climate breakdown, we can’t bail out the Earth like we did the banks.”

    Mark Campanale, CEO of Carbon Tracker, said: “The net result of flawed economic advice is widespread complacency amongst investors and policymakers. There’s a tendency in certain government departments to trivialise the impacts of climate on the economy so as to avoid making difficult choices today. This is a big problem – the consequences of delay are catastrophic.”

    Hetal Patel, at Phoenix Group, which manages about £300bn of long-term investments for its customers, said: “Underestimating physical risk doesn’t just distort investment decisions, it underplays the real‑world consequences that will ultimately affect society as a whole.”

    Actuaries predicted in 2025 that the global economy could face a 50% loss in GDP between 2070 and 2090 from catastrophic climate shocks, far higher than previously estimated.

    The new report drew on expert judgments from 68 climate scientists from research institutions and government agencies in the UK, US, China and nine other countries. A key finding was that while economic modelling traditionally links climate damages to changes in average temperatures, societies and markets suffer most from extremes, such as heatwaves, floods and droughts.

    Another finding was that GDP can mask the full cost of climate damage by failing to account for deaths and ill health, social disruption and degraded ecosystems. GDP can actually increase after disasters owing to spending on recovery, the researchers added.

    They said that rather than waiting for perfect models of risk, greater emphasis should be placed on extremes, not just central estimates, and on the vulnerability of the entire financial system. Investors should also speed up the move away from fossil fuels as a fiduciary duty to avoid large future losses, said Campanale.

    Current economic models can give estimates of losses that look precise but which the scientists said were wildly optimistic. “Some are saying we’ll have a 10% GDP loss at between 3C and 4C degrees [of global heating], but the physical climate scientists are saying the economy and society will cease to function as we know it. That’s a big mismatch,” Abrams said.

    Laurie Laybourn, at the Strategic Climate Risks Initiative, said: “We are currently living through a paradigm shift in the speed, scale and severity of risks driven by the climate-nature crisis. Yet many regulations and government actions are dangerously out of touch with reality.” - Damian Carrington
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    OMNIHASH: tak v australsky tv to videj trochu jinak nez ty... "fires, floods, now more fires"

    ...

    Mass evacuations in Victoria, Australia as the state set to break its temperature record.

    ’Temperatures that used to be seen just once in a generation’.

    Expected to see 30C/86F at midnight, 24C/75.2F at 4am, a stunning 49C/120.2F in the afternoon

    https://x.com/i/status/2015914839474881009
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: aneb naznaky klimatickeho povstani, pro mainstream levicova anarchie.


    We can no longer afford the rich.
    We can initiate the end of the imperial lifestyle.
    We can stop the plundering of the Earth.
    In the greed for energy, the Earth is being drained, sucked dry, burned, abused, razed, raped, and destroyed. Entire regions are rendered uninhabitable by the heat. They simply burn up. Or habitats disappear beneath the waves during floods or due to rising sea levels.
    Shutting down fossil fuel power plants is a task that can be accomplished by hand. Have courage.
    We know we must interrupt this destruction. We know we are not alone. Don't give up hope for a world where life has space, not the greed for money, power, and destruction.

    ...

    Last year, the CO₂ concentration in the atmosphere rose to 423.9 parts per million, a value that surpasses all previous records. At the same time, climate scientists agree that the massive transatlantic ocean currents will collapse sooner or later due to global warming. This collapse of ocean currents, which has so far afforded the North a mild climate, is only one part of the catastrophe that awaits us. The extent of this devastation is simply ignored, abstracted, and discussed at global climate conferences until the scale of the destruction disappears into tables and declarations of intent.
    But the insatiable hunger for energy is eating its way through the Earth's crust and our lives, among other things to feed artificial intelligence, which then spouts stereotypes and absurdities, confusing, disorienting, and/or manipulating us. Meanwhile, with each new "learning" of the AI ​​using previous data, language, expression, and vitality are increasingly reduced, mutilated, and limited.

    ...

    We don't claim to know the way out. But we do know we must stop this destruction. Hedonism can no longer hold us captive once we've tasted the sweat of fear that spreads when there's no way out. No going forward, no going back. Only the horror of where we, as humanity, have ended up. When the question falls back on us, what did you actually do to prevent what was coming? You saw it coming, the survivors, the next generations, ask us. Please don't bring up the political parties. Please don't bring up the brown-shirted alternatives in pinstriped suits and dresses. And not the Greens or the Left either. Don't bring up the economy, whose free market will supposedly solve the problem. Economics and politics deal with death every day. With dictatorships and butchers. Their concerns vanish into thin air when it comes to satisfying our energy needs, for example. Russia is still supplying gas to Europe via Nord Stream 1. And the US wants Venezuela's oil. That's why military attacks are now taking place. And fracked gas arrives by ship from all over the world. Currently, 79% comes from the USA! Fracking is extremely environmentally damaging in its production. Even during extraction, a methane loss of 6 to 10 percent is assumed, which further warms the atmosphere.

    95% of the gas burned in Germany is imported. At climate summits, only tactical lip service is forthcoming because the oil-producing countries are not interested in climate protection but in money. Because the major cities base their policies on money and growth, lobbyists in Europe are being handed the end of the combustion engine phase-out.

    For example, the German Minister of Economic Affairs, Katharina Reiche, was State Secretary in the Federal Ministry of Transport, a lobbyist for the Association of Municipal Enterprises (VKM), and a manager at the E.ON subsidiary Westenergie. Minister Reiche presents herself as a supporter of hydrogen but primarily relies on natural gas. She intends to issue tenders for additional gas-fired power plants with a capacity of 10 gigawatts, which are to be connected to the grid by 2031, corresponding to approximately 25 new power plants. 20 billion euros are earmarked for these new gas-fired power plants.

    Reiche would prefer to postpone Germany's climate neutrality target from 2045 to 2050 anyway.

    The main culprits behind human-induced climate destruction are not those who suffer the most, those who pay with their health and their lives. The people of the Global South are already paying the highest price. The countries of the Global North, and soon China among others, are deciding the fate of everyone. China, as a communist, racist, and patriarchal dictatorship, can use "rare earth elements" to blackmail countries that don't toe the line, gradually weaving countries, cultures, and political systems into the cocoon of this new dictatorial world power. Over 85% of the world's refined "rare earth elements" come from China. And it is the rich who are the problem. It is the super-rich who are setting the world ablaze. In the East, in the West, in the South, and in the North. Sixty percent of the super-rich's investments worldwide go into gas and oil. And around 300 super-rich countries emit more CO₂ than the 110 poorest countries in the world. These criminals know it. They don't care. Their greed for even more wealth and power sets the standard by which everyone else follows
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Boze :-/

    SatWorld
    @or_bit_eye
    🔴⚠️🌀🇮🇩Catastrophic aftermath of #Cyclonesenyar in #Sumatra: 442 died,404 still missing, more than 1 M people affected by the first cyclone formed in the Malacca strait. ⬇️Northern #Aceh with devastating #floods covering 500km2 in #Sentinel2 view of Nov.29 #ClimateEmergency

    https://x.com/or_bit_eye/status/1995282318685311030/photo/1
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Po Vietnam floods prichazi jeste vetsi klimaticky blockbuster

    Evakuaci po elektrickem vedeni jsem jeste nevidel, ale treba to jednou dorazi i k nam :)

    https://x.com/WeatherMonitors/status/1993265408665673950?t=7e9vOrcrYtlwjxUTHRJDlQ&s=19

    It’s a very serious situation, as floodwaters in Hat Yai, Songkhla Province, Thailand have surged to 1.5–3 meters, forcing authorities to evacuate both residents and tourists.

    https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1993348170760253511?t=InmJ9qgR4yM-nGhY8Jq66Q&s=19

    Listen to the cries for help! 💔

    This is not just a flood. This is record-breaking.

    Southern Thailand has been hit by unprecedented rainfall, with some areas seeing “1-in-300-year” levels of rain.

    Entire neighbourhoods are submerged, vital roads are destroyed, and families are being evacuated.

    This isn’t a typical monsoon. This is a crisis.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
    We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the
    climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction,
    unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms,
    floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing.
    Key Highlights
    • The year 2024 set a new mean global surface temperature record, signaling an escalation of climate upheaval.

    • Currently, 22 of 34 planetary vital signs are at record levels.

    • Warming may be accelerating, likely driven by reduced aerosol cooling, strong cloud feedbacks, and a darkening planet.

    • The human enterprise is driving ecological overshoot. Population, livestock, meat consumption, and gross domestic
    product are all at record highs, with an additional approximately 1.3 million humans and 0.5 million ruminants added weekly.

    • In 2024, fossil fuel energy consumption hit a record high, with coal, oil, and gas all at peak levels. Combined solar and
    wind consumption also set a new record but was 31 times lower than fossil fuel energy consumption.

    • So far, in 2025, atmospheric carbon dioxide is at a record level, likely worsened by a sudden drop in land carbon uptake
    partly due to El Niño and intense forest fires.

    • Global fire-related tree cover loss reached an all-time high, with fires in tropical primary forest up 370% over 2023,
    fueling rising emissions and biodiversity loss.

    • Ocean heat content reached a record high, contributing to the largest coral bleaching event ever recorded,
    affecting 84% of reef area.

    • So far, in 2025, Greenland and Antarctic ice mass are at record lows. The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets
    may be passing tipping points, potentially committing the planet to meters of sea-level rise.

    • Deadly and costly disasters surged, with Texas flooding killing at least 135 people, the California wildfires alone
    exceeding US$250 billion in damages, and climate-linked disasters since 2000 globally reaching more than US$18 trillion.

    • Climate change is endangering thousands of wild animal species; more than 3500 species are now at risk and
    there is new evidence of climate-related animal population collapses.

    • The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is weakening, threatening major climate disruptions.

    • Climate change is already affecting water quality and availability, undermining agricultural productivity, sustainable
    water management, and increasing the risk of water-related conflict.

    • A dangerous hothouse Earth trajectory may now be more likely due to accelerated warming, self-reinforcing
    feedbacks, and tipping points.

    • Climate change mitigation strategies are available, cost effective, and urgently needed. From forest protection
    and renewables to plant-rich diets, we can still limit warming if we act boldly and quickly.

    • Social tipping points can drive rapid change. Even small, sustained nonviolent movements can shift public
    norms and policy, highlighting a vital path forward amid political gridlock and ecological crisis.

    • There is a need for systems change that links individual technical approaches with broader societal
    transformation, governance, policies, and social movements.
    Figure 1.Time series of climate-related human activities. In panel (f), tree cover loss does not account for forest gain
    and includes loss due to any cause. For panel (h), statistics are based on total energy supply (Energy Institute 2025);
    hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in supplemental figure S2. Sources and additional details about each
    variable are provided in supplemental file S1.

    Figure 2.Time series of climate-related responses. For surface temperature anomaly (d), estimates based on a
    segmented linear regression model are shown in gray (prior to 2010) and black (beginning in 2010). For area burned
    (o), the black horizontal lines show changepoint model estimates, which indicate abrupt shifts (supplemental figure S3).
    For other variables with relatively high variability, local regression trendlines are shown in black. The variables were
    measured at various frequencies (e.g., annual, monthly, weekly). The labels on the x-axis correspond to midpoints of years.
    Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S1.


    https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biaf149/8303627
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    povodnove povstani :)

    ‘Still angry’: more than 50,000 protest in Valencia on first anniversary of floods | Spain | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/25/still-angry-more-than-50000-protest-in-valencia-on-first-anniversary-of-floods
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Toplist pro priznivce checklistu. Od pohledu uz budem nejmin za tretinou, lokalni stastlivci budou mit za chvili bingo

    Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change

    1. Acid rain
    2. Algae blooms
    3. Ash & smoke
    4. Bees dying & pollination loss
    5. Climate refugees & migration
    6. Coral bleaching
    7. Crop failures
    8. Deforestation
    9. Desertification
    10. Disease, pandemics (plants & animals)
    11. Droughts
    12. Drying up of lakes, rivers, wells, springs
    13. Earth axis shift
    14. Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Volcanoes
    15. Extreme cold
    16. Financial/bank/stock collapse
    17. Fires
    18. Floods
    19. Food & water riots
    20. Hazardous, smoke-filled & polluted air
    21. Heat waves: frequency, power, duration
    22. Hunger, famine & starvation
    23. Infrastructure collapse
    24. Melting Antarctic & Greenland land ice
    25. Melting Arctic & Antarctic sea ice / Blue Ocean Event
    26. Melting glaciers (drinking water crisis)
    27. Methane bomb (Siberian permafrost methane & Clathrates from ESAS)
    28. Nuclear plant meltdown
    29. Ocean acidification & deoxygenation
    30. Ozone layer depletion
    31. Permafrost thaw
    32. Price instability & inflation
    33. Reanimated bacteria/viruses
    34. Sea level rise (e.g. Thwaites glacier)
    35. Shutdown of AMOC, SMOC
    36. Species extinction (100+/day)
    37. Storms — more frequent, power, duration
    38. Supply chain & transportation collapse
    39. Unemployment & poverty
    40. War, extremism, fascism & terrorism

    Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change – Watching the World Go Bye
    https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Hong Kong has just experienced its wettest August day on record.

    Roughly the same amount of rain fell in 17 hours that London gets on average in six months.

    Flash floods and landslides were reported, and 12000 lightning strikes accompanied the rainstorm.

    https://x.com/bbcweather/status/1952823207905448365?t=pWrkkgd5oV5x_-n4Rwg-jw&s=19
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    New Yorkers and millions of others in the Northeast have faced flash floods for the second time in two weeks as severe thunderstorms and torrential downpours slammed the East Coast.

    Some workers in NY and New Jersey were sent home early Thursday afternoon ahead of the evening commute. The city’s emergency management agency urged people to avoid unnecessary travel, warning that street, basement, and transit flooding were possible. States of emergency were declared in New York and New Jersey as the storms arrived.

    NYC and NJ weather: States of emergency declared as millions in Northeast drenched by heavy rain | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/new-york-nyc-new-jersey-flash-flooding-state-of-emergency-b2800123.html
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    2025 is quickly becoming “The Year of the Flood” in the United States.

    So far, 3,358 Flash Flood Warnings have been issued, over 250 more than the next closest year to date.

    The US has already surpassed its annual average for flash flood reports, with more than double the typical number seen by this point in the year.

    The Texas floods, which have tragically claimed at least 145 lives, are now the deadliest non-tropical cyclone-related flood event in the US since 1976.

    Abnormally high levels of atmospheric moisture are expected to persist over the Central and Eastern US for the next two weeks, so expect more flooding.

    https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1947012757729227095?t=WNpA8oBqVf1xrsDlXyEb8g&s=19
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    A ‘Himalayan tsunami’ has just devastated Nepal. It should be a wake-up call | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/nepal-glacial-burst-collapse-floods-border-b2789199.html
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    How climate crisis makes rainstorms that flooded New York more common | New York | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/16/new-york-floods-storm-climate-change
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/07/15/nyregion/new-york-jersey-floods

    The heavy rain flooded parts of the New York City subway, and delayed dozens of flights. Flash flood warnings were issued from Virginia to Pennsylvania.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    počasí

    the least heavy rainfall in the next 20 years

    Greece’s Aegean islands reel from ‘lake of mud’ flash floods before Easter rush | Greece | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/04/greece-aegean-islands-flash-floods-mud-rainfall-easter-tourists
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Outback deluge pushes Queensland towns to the brink: ‘Out here it’s drought or floods’ | Flooding | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/mar/31/outback-deluge-pushes-queensland-towns-to-the-brink-out-here-its-drought-or-floods
    Spíš povodně, než sucho. A ano, mluvilo se o tom, že teplejší vzduch pojme víc vlhkosti.... čistě fyzikálně. Dokud občas spadne zase dolů, není to ale to nejhorší, co může nastat.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Farmers Sue Agriculture Department Over 'Purge' of Climate Information - Newsweek
    https://www.newsweek.com/farmers-sue-agriculture-department-climate-information-government-website-2035619

    Gillingham told Newsweek that many farmers rely on the USDA site for information on climate-smart farming practices and technical assistance for grants and loans designed to help farmers adapt to climate impacts such as drought, floods and changes in growing seasons.
    ...
    This isn't a political agenda," Gillingham said. "We're trying to feed the country, and to take science and information and potential funding resources away from farmers is ludicrous."

    The nonprofit environmental group Earthjustice filed a suit Monday on behalf of the organic farming association and two environmental organizations, the Environmental Working Group and the Natural Resources Defense Council.

    Earthjustice associate attorney Jeffrey Stein said that following an executive order by President Donald Trump reversing climate policies, the USDA began removing climate-related interactive tools, data sets, guides and policy statements.
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam