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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Fears of ‘mass grave’ in Valencia as storms batter Majorca & 5,000 more troops deployed
    https://youtu.be/tL9Q_cZxSMY?t=258&si=jGF01ohrKSae3uhG


    Wars, famines, droughts, floods
    Hurricanes, heat waves, murders, thugs
    Chaos, refugees, stress, disease
    Extinction, disaster, I-P-C-C

    TADEAS
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Disaster Nationalism: The Downfall of Liberal Civilization | Verso Books
    https://www.versobooks.com/products/3147-disaster-nationalism
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Climate crisis leaves European farmers vulnerable to far right, say campaigners | Europe | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/04/climate-crisis-europe-farmers-vulnerable-far-right

    In recent years, farmers in western Europe have fought with increasing ferocity against policies to protect the planet that they say cost them too much. From the Netherlands, where the backlash has been strongest, to Belgium, France, Spain, Ireland, Germany and the UK, protests have led to convoys of tractors clogging roads and ports, farmer-led occupations of capital cities and even cows being herded into the offices of government ministers.

    These movements have been fuelled by the genuine grievances of farmers, who say that the burden of paying more for their pollution is a step too far, after an energy crisis and pandemic left many struggling to make ends meet. They say they feel overburdened by rules and undervalued by city dwellers, who eat the food they grow without any interest in where it came from.

    ...

    Richard Seymour, whose latest book, Disaster Nationalism, examines how the far-right is capitalising on economic shocks and climate chaos, small farmers reeling from the blows of globalisation, a changing climate, and high energy prices is part of a wider trend.

    Seymour said: “For farmers there’s all of this resentment requiring a target. But many of the things that are causing the harm – globalisation, capitalism, climate change – are abstract; you can’t take climate change to court, you can’t shoot globalisation … But conspiracy theories and far-right narratives allow you to identify some specific individuals or groups – cultural Marxists, globalists, Muslims – who are doing you down, that is the appeal.”

    “Downwardly mobile” farmers – those that have seen their living standards and social standing decline during their lifetimes – are particularly susceptible, according to Seymour. “The toxic feeling of failure, the feeling of being buffeted by these global forces, the feeling you have been abandoned, betrayed, when you traditionally had some sort of status, that is a toxic mix and that is where the far right comes in.”
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Iceland could get solar power from space in 2030 | Space
    https://www.space.com/iceland-space-based-solar-power
    Island průkopníkem. Za šest let chce z vesmíru posílat solární energii na Zemi - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/technet/vesmir/island-solarni-energie-obnovitelne-zdroje-vesmir.A241104_192718_zahranicni_vajo
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    PER2: tak snad ji stihnou postavit.

    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    lets build a wall!

    'Doomsday' Antarctic glacier melting faster than expected, fueling calls for geoengineering
    https://phys.org/news/2024-11-doomsday-antarctic-glacier-faster-fueling.html

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    SHEFIK: k hranici 2*C dle carbonbrief a IPCC:

    - The 2C threshold will likely be exceeded between 2034 and 2052 in the highest emissions scenario, with a median year of 2043.

    - In a scenario of modest mitigation – where emissions remain close to current levels – the 2C threshold would be exceeded between 2038 and 2072, with a median of 2052.

    ...

    Podle AI standford modelu pak kolem 2060 s 80% pravdepodobnosti

    AI predicts global warming will exceed 1.5 degrees in 2030s | Stanford Report
    https://news.stanford.edu/stories/2023/01/ai-predicts-global-warming-will-exceed-1-5-degrees-2030s
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    DESMOND: tak co se tyka hranice 1,5*C, vypada to podle projekci, ze bude prekrocena (global mean temperature) uz v 2025:

    Dashboard & forecast
    Current levels of warming | Climate Dashboard
    https://climate.metoffice.cloud/current_warming.html

    Coz neznamena, ze to bude trvale (i kdyz imho neni duvod, proc by mela klesat, La nina evidentne uz moc ochlazeni neprinasi a emise rostou)

    Podle WMO je likelihood 80%, ze se tak stane v pristich 5ti letech (opet temporarily)

    Global temperature is likely to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial level temporarily in next 5 years
    https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/global-temperature-likely-exceed-15degc-above-pre-industrial-level-temporarily-next-5-years
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    DESMOND: vetsina energie se uklada do oceanu, je to nejen carbon sink, ale i heat sink... diky stabilizaci tepla skrze oceany se na planete vubec mohl vytvorit zivot.
    DESMOND
    DESMOND --- ---
    Ještě jsem narazil na nevím jak aktuálního Johana Rockströma https://youtu.be/Vl6VhCAeEfQ?si=0KhcqH1IgdQw535l
    Zde hovoří aktuálně o +1,2°C, ačkoli na grafu z roku 2023 má +1,45°C ???! hovoří dál aktuálně o +1,2°C a o tom, že budget na 1,5 vyčerpáme za 5 až 10 let.
    Odhad +2°C je do roku 2050 a +3°C do roku 2100
    :(( Amazonie už překročila tipping point, emituje víc než ukládá
    Proč se extrémně ohřívají oceány není známo?
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Tak zítra se rozhodne. Doufám že bronzový psychopat a jeho sidekick Elon tohle neuhrají ...

    Trump razí heslo "vrtat, bejby, vrtat".
    Slibuje, že omezí regulaci při těžbě ropy, zemního plynu a uhlí, a slibuje,
    že zpřístupní více federální půdy k produkci fosilních paliv. Argumentuje zejména tím, že sníží náklady.

    Bývalý prezident rovněž říká, že ukončí politiku Bidenovy administrativy,
    která nabízí dotace na podporu takzvané zelené energie.

    Tohle jsou klíčové ekonomické dopady amerických voleb. Největší šok by vyvolala cla - Aktuálně.cz
    https://zpravy.aktualne.cz/zahranici/bloomberg-pet-klicovych-ekonomickych-dopadu-vysledku-prezide/r~b37589889a8911ef80bfac1f6b220ee8/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    DESMOND: nedavno sem nekdo daval link na dobry overview tipping points, urcite dohledas filtrem. Treba tady na linku dole [CHOSIE @ Klimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day], kdyz se proklikas na report za 2023.

    Co se tyka tech 2*C dlouhodobe, zkusim se podivat vecer.
    DESMOND
    DESMOND --- ---
    SHEFIK: typyčo! Tahle zpráva mě minula. Myslel jsem průměrnou roční pochopitelně. ;) K aktuálním tipping points jsem zachytil jen tohle: korálové útesy v háji, permafrost se drží jen díky pokrývce lesů, pokud zařvou ty, máte tady megabombu. Jak na tom jsou další na spadnutí nevím.. Amazonie např?
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    SHEFIK: tak ono by toelo být na nějaké dlouhodobějsi bázi.... ale jo už to brzo bude
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    DESMOND: listopad '23 :)

    ΔT +2.06 °C !!

    This is what uncharted territory looks like.

    The first time that the global temperature anomaly has broken through +2.0 °C, for a single day in observational history.

    Much more to come in the months ahead.

    x.com
    https://x.com/LeonSimons8/status/1726360315716313290?t=MED-t8aUM4MkqB3Euth66Q&s=19
    DESMOND
    DESMOND --- ---
    Prosím, jsou nějaké aktuální odhady: kdy dosáhneme +2°C stávajícím tempem + přehled, jak jsou na tom aktuálně relevantní body zlomu?
    Jsou i oficiální odhady zda už jsme tento rok překročili +1,5°C? Zachytil jsem naposled jen, že se to odhaduje spolu s efektem El nino na jaře příštího roku.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    prší prší.... pocasi, no

    Paiporta, one of the worst affected areas in Valencia is flooded again.
    a Tarragona:
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘Welfare for the rich’: how farm subsidies wrecked Europe’s landscapes | Farming | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/02/farm-subsidies-wrecked-europe-environments-common-agricultural-policy

    the environmental aspects of the CAP changes have not worked. The European court of auditors in 2020 found little evidence of a positive impact on biodiversity from the CAP. The European Environment Agency, in its State of Nature report in 2023, found that the EU’s farmed environment had continued to decline, with the health of only 14% of habitats and about a quarter of non-bird species classed as “good”. The CAP is also making the climate worse: about 80% of the budget goes to support carbon-intensive animal food products, according to a paper published this month in Nature.
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    PULNOC: elektromobil ma viac nez polovicne lca emisie nez fosil, nemusi hned prsat, staci ked aspon kvapka

    [DZODZO @ Elektromobily 🏞️ 🛣️ 🏎️ 🚗 🚐 🚙 🚌 🚒 🚛 🔌]
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