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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    With the Atlantic hurricane season nearly over, a new champion has emerged in predicting both track and intensity of hurricanes: Google DeepMind.

    "DeepMind outpaced even the gold-standard corrected consensus models as well as the National Hurricane Center’s official track forecasts this year.

    The hurricane-specific model was introduced back in June and is trained on historical global weather data as well as information from global tropical cyclone records over the past 45 years.

    The beauty of DeepMind and other similar data-driven, AI-based weather models is how much more quickly they produce a forecast compared to their traditional physics-based counterparts that require some of the most expensive and advanced supercomputers in the world. Beyond that, these “smart” models with their neural network architectures have the ability to learn from their mistakes and correct on-the-fly."

    This Hurricane Season, Two Forecast Models Stand Out, but for Very Different Reasons
    https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/this-hurricane-season-two-forecast
    TADEAS
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    Elon Musk suggests AI satellites could dial down global warming
    https://interestingengineering.com/space/elon-musk-solar-radiation-management-geoengineering

    while Musk’s companies have unmatched reach in space infrastructure, scaling an SRM system to planetary levels is another story. “It would be far easier said than done,” as one analyst put it, especially given that even the most advanced SRM proposals remain largely theoretical.

    Beyond the science, there’s also geopolitics. Who decides when and how to shade the planet? And what happens if one nation’s cooling efforts trigger droughts in another?

    there’s no indication SpaceX is working on SRM-capable satellites. For now, the comment seems more like a thought experiment than a corporate roadmap.

    Yet Musk’s timing is telling. With heat records being broken year after year, and progress on emissions lagging, even the most radical climate ideas are starting to sound less far-fetched
    TADEAS
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    OIL/GAS EXPANSION UP 33% SINCE 2021

    Urgewald (German NGO) Companies spent US $60.3 billion annually on exploration over the past 3 years.

    The top explorer is China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) with US $6.6 billion, a year. This is no peak. It's global collapse of the human population and life on Earth.

    https://gogel.org/sites/default/files/2025-11/Urgewald_PR_GOGEL-2025.pdf

    TADEAS
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    James Hansen & Clare Farrell - Climate Reckoning in ATLAS25, Operaatio Arktis
    https://youtu.be/Y2UME_Z8oig?si=QfncJgk0QZ6qKb_g


    James Hansen—the NASA scientist who first alerted the world to climate change in 1988—brings groundbreaking findings that explain why global temperatures suddenly spiked in 2023-2024, leaving even climate scientists baffled. His research reveals that we've entered a period of accelerated warming that changes everything we thought we knew about climate timelines.

    In conversation with Clare Farrell, co-founder of Extinction Rebellion UK, Hansen will present evidence that the climate science community has been systematically underestimating both the speed and scale of change. Together, they'll explore why current climate assessments miss critical signals and what this means for our situation and the tools needed to address it.

    Following Hansen's 30-minute presentation, Farrell will lead an interview about what these findings mean for our societies, our souls, our politics, and the movements fighting for climate justice. If we have entered a new era of human and planetary history, what is asked of us as communities, as institutions, or as a species?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    24:16​ The climate crisis
    28:00​ His reputation as a global climate champion

    Mark Carney on Dealing With Trump, Trade Wars and Putin | The Mishal Husain Show
    https://youtu.be/hh9LsnE0hA0?si=4gs63mHRmpJFoEf0
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
    We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the
    climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction,
    unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms,
    floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing.
    Key Highlights
    • The year 2024 set a new mean global surface temperature record, signaling an escalation of climate upheaval.

    • Currently, 22 of 34 planetary vital signs are at record levels.

    • Warming may be accelerating, likely driven by reduced aerosol cooling, strong cloud feedbacks, and a darkening planet.

    • The human enterprise is driving ecological overshoot. Population, livestock, meat consumption, and gross domestic
    product are all at record highs, with an additional approximately 1.3 million humans and 0.5 million ruminants added weekly.

    • In 2024, fossil fuel energy consumption hit a record high, with coal, oil, and gas all at peak levels. Combined solar and
    wind consumption also set a new record but was 31 times lower than fossil fuel energy consumption.

    • So far, in 2025, atmospheric carbon dioxide is at a record level, likely worsened by a sudden drop in land carbon uptake
    partly due to El Niño and intense forest fires.

    • Global fire-related tree cover loss reached an all-time high, with fires in tropical primary forest up 370% over 2023,
    fueling rising emissions and biodiversity loss.

    • Ocean heat content reached a record high, contributing to the largest coral bleaching event ever recorded,
    affecting 84% of reef area.

    • So far, in 2025, Greenland and Antarctic ice mass are at record lows. The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets
    may be passing tipping points, potentially committing the planet to meters of sea-level rise.

    • Deadly and costly disasters surged, with Texas flooding killing at least 135 people, the California wildfires alone
    exceeding US$250 billion in damages, and climate-linked disasters since 2000 globally reaching more than US$18 trillion.

    • Climate change is endangering thousands of wild animal species; more than 3500 species are now at risk and
    there is new evidence of climate-related animal population collapses.

    • The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is weakening, threatening major climate disruptions.

    • Climate change is already affecting water quality and availability, undermining agricultural productivity, sustainable
    water management, and increasing the risk of water-related conflict.

    • A dangerous hothouse Earth trajectory may now be more likely due to accelerated warming, self-reinforcing
    feedbacks, and tipping points.

    • Climate change mitigation strategies are available, cost effective, and urgently needed. From forest protection
    and renewables to plant-rich diets, we can still limit warming if we act boldly and quickly.

    • Social tipping points can drive rapid change. Even small, sustained nonviolent movements can shift public
    norms and policy, highlighting a vital path forward amid political gridlock and ecological crisis.

    • There is a need for systems change that links individual technical approaches with broader societal
    transformation, governance, policies, and social movements.
    Figure 1.Time series of climate-related human activities. In panel (f), tree cover loss does not account for forest gain
    and includes loss due to any cause. For panel (h), statistics are based on total energy supply (Energy Institute 2025);
    hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in supplemental figure S2. Sources and additional details about each
    variable are provided in supplemental file S1.

    Figure 2.Time series of climate-related responses. For surface temperature anomaly (d), estimates based on a
    segmented linear regression model are shown in gray (prior to 2010) and black (beginning in 2010). For area burned
    (o), the black horizontal lines show changepoint model estimates, which indicate abrupt shifts (supplemental figure S3).
    For other variables with relatively high variability, local regression trendlines are shown in black. The variables were
    measured at various frequencies (e.g., annual, monthly, weekly). The labels on the x-axis correspond to midpoints of years.
    Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S1.


    https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biaf149/8303627
    TADEAS
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    Goliath's Curse: Climate, Inequality, and Societal Collapse | Luke Kemp
    https://youtu.be/K1le5Sj7Qp4?si=YPqB36jJrqKTqzC6


    As soon as inequality in resources tipped over into inequality in power, Goliath-like states and empires, with vast bureaucracies and militaries like our own, began carving up and dominating the globe.

    What brought them down? Compounding inequality and concentrations of power, says Luke Kemp, research associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge.

    According to Kemp — nicknamed "Dr. Doom" by some of his colleagues — we now live in a single, global Goliath. In this talk, recorded at BESI on September 30, 2025, Kemp explore the ways growth-obsessed, extractive institutions like the fossil fuel industry, Big Tech, and military-industrial complexes rule our world and produce new ways of annihilating our species, from climate change to nuclear war.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Jak se sabotuje klimatická politika: Nová kniha odhaluje globální popíračskou síť

    V Česku se do vrcholné politiky vrací popírání základních vědeckých faktů o změně klimatu. Právě včas vychází zásadní kniha, která pomáhá pochopit, proč i po několika desítkách let jsou popíračské mýty tak účinné. Climate Obstruction: A Global Assessment z Oxford University Press, na níž se podílelo více než sto vědců z celého světa, ukazuje, že popírání klimatické vědy se neděje jentak náhodně. Rozkrývá dlouhodobou a systematickou sabotáž politiky ochrany klimatu. Rozkrývá globální síť fosilních zájmů, mediálních operací a dezinformačních kampaní, které po desetiletí brzí přechod k ekonomice bez uhlí, ropy a plynu – a jejich ozvěny dnes znějí i v české politice.

    Jak se sabotuje klimatická politika: Nová kniha odhaluje globální popíračskou síť – evidence.ninja
    https://evidence.ninja/posts/jak-se-sabotuje-klimaticka-politika-nova-kniha-odhaluje-globalni-popiracskou-sit/
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Global Circularity Rate Is Falling Steadily Every Year, Humanity consumed 500 billion tonnes of materials in five years—nearly equal to entire 20th century consumption circularity
    Global Circularity Rate Is Falling Steadily Every Year —Study Pinpoints Key Reforms to Revert This Trend
    https://www.circularity-gap.world/updates-collection/global-circularity-rate-is-falling-steadily-every-year--study-pinpoints-key-reforms-to-revert-this-trend

    CGR 2025
    https://www.circularity-gap.world/2025
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Scientists have uncovered that glaciers can temporarily cool the air around them, delaying some effects of global warming. This self-cooling, driven by katabatic winds, is nearing its peak and will likely reverse in the next two decades. Once glaciers lose enough mass, they will heat up faster, speeding their decline. The team urges immediate global action to curb emissions and manage dwindling water resources wisely.

    Glaciers’ secret cooling power won’t last much longer | ScienceDaily
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/10/251025084606.htm
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/22/global-use-of-coal-hit-record-high-in-2024
    Clea Schumer, a research associate at the World Resources Institute thinktank, which led the report, said: “There’s no doubt that we are largely doing the right things. We are just not moving fast enough. One of the most concerning findings from our assessment is that for the fifth report in our series in a row, efforts to phase out coal are well off track.”

    Samotná publikace - "State of Climate Action 2025"
    State of Climate Action 2025 | Systems Change Lab
    https://systemschangelab.org/state-climate-action-2025


    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Dlouho očekávaná dohoda o snížení emisí z lodní dopravy, která měla být milníkem v boji proti klimatické změně, se zhroutila doslova v poslední minutě.

    Landmark global shipping deal abandoned under US threats
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vnl0yxg53o

    Kolaps dohody o emisích z lodní dopravy: Trump a Saúdové pohřbili historický plán | Hrot24.cz
    https://www.hrot24.cz/clanek/kolaps-dohody-o-emisich-z-lodni-dopravy-trump-a-saudove-pohrebili-klimaticky-plan-imo-usa-HWdGa

    Prezident Donald Trump označil plán za „globální zelený podvod“ a pohrozil celními tarify zemím, které by jej podpořily. Výsledek: emisní pravidla, připravovaná deset let, skončila v troskách – a přechod na čistší paliva je znovu v nedohlednu.

    Na zasedání Mezinárodní námořní organizace (IMO) v Londýně prosadily Spojené státy a Saúdská Arábie návrh na odklad jednání o celý rok – čímž prakticky zmařily možnost, že by dohoda začala platit od roku 2028, informuje BBC.

    Více než sto zemí se sešlo, aby potvrdilo rámec dohodnutý už v dubnu. Ten měl zajistit, že se lodní doprava stane prvním odvětvím na světě s mezinárodně závaznými emisními limity. Majitelé lodí by museli postupně přecházet na čistší paliva, jinak by čelili pokutám.

    Ale tlak z Washingtonu byl obrovský, popisuje BBC. Prezident Donald Trump označil návrh za „green scam“ – zelený podvod – a jeho administrativa hrozila zavedením cel na zboží z těch zemí, které by pro dohodu hlasovaly.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    BEIJING, Oct 14 (Reuters) - A Chinese container ship has completed a pioneering journey through the Arctic to a UK port, state-run news agency Xinhua reported, cutting in half the usual transit time for the electric vehicles and solar panels aboard destined for Europe.

    The Istanbul Bridge's maiden voyage, originally expected to take 18 days, was delayed by two days due to a storm off the coast of Norway but the ship still reached Europe earlier than the 40 to 50 days it takes freighters going through the Suez Canal or around the Cape of Good Hope.

    The new Northern Sea Route, running entirely through Arctic waters and within Russia's exclusive economic zone, can now be navigated by ships due to global warming.

    https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/chinese-freighter-halves-eu-delivery-time-maiden-arctic-voyage-uk-2025-10-14/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Petr Vidomus
    Tahle kniha je fakt velký počin v mapování globální klima-popíračské lobby. Žádný aktivismus, ale seriózní syntéza, publikovaná v Oxford University Press jako open access: https://lnkd.in/eUxK2AZE

    🌍 Kniha ukazuje, že klimatická politika neselhala - byla zablokována.

    🛑 Fosilní, zemědělské i technologické korporace po celém světě brzdí klimatická opatření prostřednictvím lobbingu, greenwashingu a dezinformací.

    📖 Tým 100+ vědců popisuje, jak tyto mechanismy fungují - a jak je možné se jim bránit právními, mediálními a advokačními prostředky.

    💡 Pokud se zajímáte o klimatickou politiku/komunikaci vědy, opravdu zásadní čtení. A za mě osobně velké plus, že se kniha zaměřuje i na popíračství na Globálním Jihu, což je kapitola sama pro sebe - a velmi podceňovaná.

    https://global.oup.com/academic/product/climate-obstruction-9780197787144
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    World’s oceans losing their greenness through global heating, study finds | Oceans | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/17/worlds-oceans-losing-their-greenness-through-global-heating-study-finds
    TADEAS
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    Inside the planet’s most urgent climate warning | Global Warning E1 | Featured Documentary
    https://youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?si=W3LnXHLL8sVFL3au
    TADEAS
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    Planet’s first catastrophic climate tipping point reached, report says, with coral reefs facing ‘widespread dieback’ | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/13/coral-reefs-ice-sheets-amazon-rainforest-tipping-point-global-heating-scientists-report
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Jinak před pár dny vyšla publikace EAT-Lancet, na téma zdravých, udržitelných a spravedlivých potravinových systémů. Jedním z autorů je Johan Rockström a obecně pracuje s daty Planetárních mezí.
    https://www.thelancet.com/commissions-do/EAT-2025

    A článek
    Even if the entire world transitions away from fossil fuels, the way we farm and eat will cause global temperatures to rise 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels.

    The new report builds on the commission’s first report, published in 2019 — an enormous undertaking that examined how to meet the nutritional needs of a growing global population while staying within planetary boundaries. It was highly influential and widely cited in both policy and academic literature, but it was also ruthlessly attacked in an intensive smear campaign by meat industry-aligned groups, academics, and influencers — a form of “mis- and disinformation and denialism on climate science.”

    “The diets of the richest 30% of the global population contribute to more than 70% of the environmental pressures from food systems,” the new report reads.

    If globally adopted, this plant-rich diet would prevent up to 15 million premature deaths each year.

    EAT-Lancet 2.0: Major climate study finds rich countries must eat less meat, more plant-based diets | Vox
    https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/463643/eat-lancet-plant-based-diet-climate-week
    odemknuto: https://archive.ph/mDDob

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Historic: Coal has been the dominant fuel source for electricity generation worldwide since the early 20th century. This era is now over, likely forever: Renewables overtook coal in the electricity mix for the first time on record 34.3% to 33.1%

    Global Electricity Mid-Year Insights 2025 | Ember
    https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/global-electricity-mid-year-insights-2025/

    FB-IMG-1759910207201
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    China’s giant solar parks aren’t just changing the power mix—they may be changing the ground beneath them. Fresh field data point to cooler soils, extra moisture, and pockets of greening, though lasting ecological shifts will hinge on design and long-term care.

    ...

    Assessment of the ecological and environmental effects of large-scale photovoltaic development in desert areas | Scientific Reports
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-72860-8

    Photovoltaic development has played a crucial role in mitigating the energy crisis and addressing global climate change. However, it has also had significant impacts on the ecological environment. To ensure the sustainable growth of the photovoltaic industry, it is essential to establish an indicator system to assess the ecological and environmental effects of photovoltaic development. This study utilizes the Driving-Pressure–Status–Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework to create an indicator system for evaluating the ecological and environmental effects of desert photovoltaic development. The study evaluates the ecological and environmental effects at the on-site (WPS), transitional zone (TPS), and off-site (OPS) areas of the Qinghai Gonghe Photovoltaic Park in China. The entropy weight method was utilized to calculate indicator weights, while the evaluation model and indicators were transformed uniformly to obtain standardized scores for ecological and environmental effects. and conducting a thorough analysis of the distribution characteristics and factors influencing the evaluation indicators’ scores. Overall, the large-scale development of desert photovoltaics in Gonghe County has had a positive impact on the ecological environment. The WPS had better ecological and environmental conditions than did the TPS and OPS, and the ecological and environmental evaluation levels of the WPS were categorized as “general” (0.439), while the ecological and environmental effect evaluation levels of the TPS (0.286) and OPS (0.28) were both “poor”, indicating significant room for improvement. Moreover, all indicators in the scheme layer, which are used to evaluate ecological and environmental quality, yielded higher scores for the WPS than for the TPS and OPS, demonstrating that photovoltaic development has a positive effect on desert area ecology and the environment.
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