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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    IOM_NUKSO
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    Natural feedbacks will warm world an extra 20 per cent this century | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2588740-natural-feedbacks-will-add-20-per-cent-extra-global-warming/

    Feedbacks that cause ecosystems to emit more carbon will make the climate crisis more severe than expected, amplifying global warming by 20 to 30 per cent this century.

    It isn’t just fossil fuel emissions that raise temperatures. Warming itself creates more warming. For instance, a hotter atmosphere absorbs more water vapour, which traps more heat in the atmosphere, which then holds more water vapour.

    Climate models already incorporate most global feedback loops like this one, and they have started to include feedbacks that are disrupting carbon storage in particular ecosystems. But no single model includes all ecosystem feedbacks. Now, a study has shown that these natural feedbacks will heat the planet by an extra 0.2°C to 0.4°C by 2100, on top of at least 1°C to 2°C of global warming already expected between now and then.

    Christina Schädel at Woodwell Climate Research Center in Massachusetts and her colleagues estimated the emissions from four major natural feedbacks. The first is mainly in the Arctic, in permafrost that once remained frozen year-round. As this ground thaws, microbes begin to decompose plant and animal remains that have been frozen for millennia, emitting carbon dioxide and methane.

    A second feedback involves wetlands, which also release more methane as temperatures rise. This is because warmer water can hold less gas, and because microbes in the water decompose organic matter at a higher rate. The same processes lead to additional methane emissions from ponds and lakes, a third feedback.

    The fourth feedback kicks in as the air gets hotter, winters get shorter and soils get drier. All of this increases the frequency and intensity of wildfires, which results in greater CO2 and methane emissions.

    “We need to fully account for all sources of emissions that contribute to warming, otherwise we plan for the wrong future,” says Schädel. “These emissions are left out of carbon budgets, and we adapt to the wrong targets.”

    Much of this extra warming is already unavoidable, the modelling suggests. In a climate scenario in which human emissions decline after 2050, the natural feedbacks add an average of 0.4°C of warming by 2100.

    Rather than instilling hopelessness, this should inspire governments to redouble their efforts to cut emissions, she adds. Currently, fossil fuel emissions are still increasing each year.
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    Roger Hallam - Rich people get their latest suicide report...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1CibHrKYPu/

    Rich people get their latest suicide report - progressing nicely now that the oceans are starting to heat the world all by themselves. Roll on 0.5C+ increase in the next decade unless we relieve them of those riches. And you know what that requires - a R.... (you got it).

    Why A Record-Hot Ocean Is Supercharging The El Niño Effect
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/we-dont-have-time/2026/07/09/why-a-record-hot-ocean-is-supercharging-the-el-nio-effect/
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    neda se nic delat

    Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit | UK arable farmers lose billions…
    https://eciu.net/media/press-releases/uk-arable-farmers-lose-billions-after-three-years-of-devastating-harvests

    Three poor harvests in a row after unprecedented extreme weather are set to cost farmers billions of pounds in lost revenue, according to new analysis from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) [1]. Compared to the 2014-2023 ten-year average, the shortfall in production of wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape in 2024, 2025 and the estimated shortfall in 2026 is 14.4m tonnes. This is estimated to have cost farmers £4.8 billion in lost revenue when these years and the historical average are both adjusted for inflation.

    This summer’s extreme heat and drought are projected to have led to the worst harvest on record [2], after wheat and spring barley yields were hit by the lack of moisture and high temperatures. The Met Office project that 2026 will be the hottest summer on record [3], talking the place of 2025 [4], which together with drought similarly affected the yields of last year’s harvest. The harvest in 2024 was hit by the winter washout of that year [5], as a wet autumn in 2023 and winter and spring in 2024 hit both crop areas and yields [6]. Several scientific studies have attributed the severity of these extreme weather events to climate change [7].
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    Planet’s atmosphere breaks record for water vapour levels increasing risk of extreme heat and rainfall | Environment | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/18/planets-atmosphere-breaks-record-for-water-vapour-levels-increasing-risk-of-extreme-heat-and-rainfall
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    What’s the Government’s plan? Its own National Security Assessment warns that: “Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity.” It says every critical ecosy...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/v/19nrwQp2Pt/

    What’s the Government’s plan?

    Its own National Security Assessment warns that:

    “Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity.”

    It says every critical ecosystem is on a pathway to collapse and warns of serious threats from biodiversity loss, food and water insecurity, flooding, drought, extreme heat, displacement and geopolitical instability.

    But the assessment released to the public is redacted.

    Today we’re taking Love & Rage to the streets of London.

    We’re demanding:
    • The full, unredacted National Security Assessment
    • A UK-wide briefing on the climate and nature risks facing us
    • A plan to address the threats the Government’s own assessment identifies

    At the heart of today’s procession is a Cacerolazo — hundreds of people banging pots and pans, demanding that the climate and nature crisis can no longer be ignored.

    And leading the procession is Le Crucible, our giant simmering casserole.

    Because we’re all in the same soup and it’s coming to the boil.

    ❤️ Love for the Earth and for life itself.
    🔥 Rage at continued denial and delay.

    Tell the Truth. Act Now. What’s the Plan?

    Read the National Security Assessment:

    Nature security assessment on global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security - GOV.UK
    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/nature-security-assessment-on-global-biodiversity-loss-ecosystem-collapse-and-national-security

    More about Love & Rage:

    Love & rage - Extinction Rebellion UK
    https://extinctionrebellion.uk/love-and-rage/
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    Facebook
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1Fz7JAoznf/

    The rate of the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) increase and global Ocean Heat Content (OHC) increase (mostly to deep into the uppermost 2000 meter layer) more than doubled starting in ~2017 and is related to the strong El Niño (EN) of 2015-2016. With the 2026-2027 EN looking like it will be stronger by a large margin, the inference is that this could lead to a sharp additional rise in the rate of global OHC increase and of the EEI around 2028. If that is the case then a larger average global 2 m height air temperature increase is already baked in unless we drastically and very rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and existing atmospheric concentrations.

    The sharp increase and subsequent acceleration in global OHC starting in ~2017 is primarily driven by accelerating atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and the accumulation of Earth's excess thermal energy deep within the ocean layers. Because the world's oceans absorb more than 90% of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases, full-depth OHC acts as the primary indicator of global warming, experiencing less year-to-year fluctuation from temporary weather events than surface temperatures do.

    Scientists point to several overlapping factors that explain the distinct surge around 2017:

    1. The planet experienced one of the most powerful El Niño events on record between 2015 and 2016. During an El Niño, vast amounts of ocean heat are released into the atmosphere, causing atmospheric surface temperatures to spike. Once that cycle ended, the ocean surface cooled slightly, but the ongoing global energy imbalance meant the oceans immediately resumed absorbing massive amounts of heat. Instead of staying at the surface, this heat was mixed and stored deep into the 0–2000 meter layers.

    2. According to findings published by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), the sharp spike in 2017 was not uniform across the planet. An unusually massive amount of thermal energy was deposited into the Atlantic Ocean and the Southern Ocean, pushing full OHC to record-breaking thresholds—absorbing an extra 1.51 x 10^22 Joules compared to previous baselines.

    3. Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirmed that 2017 saw atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations hit 405 parts per million (ppm), which was the highest in modern recorded history. Currently it is 427 to 429 ppm. As these gases trap more energy, Earth’s energy imbalance worsens, forcing the oceans to continually uptake greater quantities of heat at a much faster rate.

    4. According to data tracked by NASA’s Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO), the upper 200 meters of the ocean saw a pronounced acceleration in heat content right after 2017. This acceleration means that the ocean is warming more than twice as fast over the last decade compared to previous decades.

    Because water has a much higher heat capacity than air (the oceans have a total heat capacity about 1,000 times that of the atmosphere) the oceans act as Earth's primary climate buffer.

    In 2025, ocean heat content (OHC) set yet another consecutive record high, storing an immense volume of energy.

    The oceans absorb about 90% of the EEI while EEI is accelerating. While the total amount of heat the ocean absorbs is skyrocketing - because the total EEI is accelerating - the 90% share is projected to remain relatively stable in the near future, though subtle shifts are possible.

    The absolute velocity of heat absorption is accelerating. Due to rising greenhouse gases and declining global reflectivity (albedo) from melting ice and fewer marine clouds, the Earth's total energy imbalance has dramatically widened. 👉The rate of ocean warming has effectively quadrupled over the past four decades.👈

    As the top layer of the ocean warms, it becomes less dense than the cold water beneath it, leading to increased stratification (layering). This makes it harder for the ocean to mix. If the warm surface layer cannot efficiently transport heat down into the deep ocean, the surface layer will heat up even faster. Over a long timeframe, this could decrease the ocean’s efficiency as a heat sink, leaving a slightly higher fraction of heat to remain in the atmosphere and accelerate land warming.

    Large -scale ocean currents like the AMOC act as a conveyor belt that pushes heat into the deep ocean. Climate models indicate that as fresh meltwater from glaciers flows into the sea, the AMOC may weaken. A weaker conveyor belt alters regional heat uptake patterns and reduces how effectively the deep ocean stores excess energy.

    While the ocean’s heat absorption remains high, its carbon dioxide absorption is a different story. The ocean absorbs about 25–30% of human-emitted CO2. However, warmer water physically holds less dissolved gas. Scientists have observed that the ocean’s carbon sink capacity is showing signs of weakening during extreme heat years. If the ocean absorbs less CO2, atmospheric CO2 will rise faster, widening the EEI and forcing the ocean to absorb even more heat.

    More: https://ecco-group.org/ohc.htm

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    klimatizační krize

    Air conditioners are our best bet in the fight against extreme heat – whether we like it or not | Eduardo Porter | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/06/climate-crisis-air-conditioning-access

    Roger Hallam - 1. The most evil article the Guardian has...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/19GwCgbJJR/

    The most evil article the Guardian has published in my lifetime.

    The Nazis come up to you and say: "You have two choices - we can kill lots of your people or only a few. If you help build a wall to imprison everyone then we will only kill a few".

    The Guardian thinks it's fine giving the lead opinion article over to a person suggesting you go for building the wall.

    We all know where that leads. Except this time we are talking billions not millions.
    IOM_NUKSO
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    Snaha a bojkot
    As marine heat breaks records, countries seek ocean roadmap at COP31
    Africa and the EU are leading a push for COP31 to deliver a roadmap that lays out measures to protect fast-warming oceans
    As marine heat breaks records, countries seek ocean roadmap at COP31
    https://www.climatechangenews.com/2026/08/20/marine-heat-records-countries-ocean-roadmap-australia-turkiye-cop31/

    This year's Ocean and Climate Dialogue, chaired by Fiji and Belgium, urged countries to discuss ways of "transitioning away from fossil fuels", which generated pushback from big fossil fuel-producing and consuming countries who said they would not accept this as a negotiated agreement.

    Both the group of Arab nations and India, meanwhile, warned against "imposing additional burdens" on developing countries and rejected a dialogue with "prescriptive expectations".

    The Arab group submission said its members oppose "any report that explicitly or implicitly targets specific energy sources, advocates sectoral restrictions, or fails to adequately reflect different national circumstances, development priorities, and energy security considerations". This is a thinly veiled reference to singling out fossil fuels within the discussions.
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    At least 35,000 excess deaths recorded in Europe’s back-to-back heatwaves | Extreme heat | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/25/at-least-35000-excess-deaths-europe-back-to-back-heatwaves
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    doomed minds

    Air conditioning push favoured over emissions cuts in six European nations, survey finds | Extreme heat | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/24/air-conditioning-higher-priority-than-lowering-emissions-europeans-poll

    more people across six major European nations including the UK favour encouraging the adoption of air conditioning over keeping carbon emissions down, a survey has found.
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    John Scheve - Global average 2 meter height air...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/19kfohArNF/

    Global average 2 meter height air temperature is now + 1.69 degrees C (+ 3.04 degrees F) above the 1850-1900 baseline. We are likely rocketing to well above + 2 degrees C (+ 3.6 degrees F) in early 2027. There is no sugar coating this. Even though this temperature jump will be largely due to the record intensity El Niño and should ease back slightly by late 2027, the higher that margin goes the more mutual amplifications of climate feedbacks will occur, the more new feedbacks will kick in, and the more tipping points will be crossed irreversibly. There is unfortunately a growing possibility that Antarctic sea ice will shrink so dramatically this coming austral summer - reducing Earth’s reflectivity so much that the atmosphere will continue warming after this El Niño - which would trigger other feedbacks that dramatically accelerate global atmospheric warming to a runaway degree.

    We are playing with not just fire but with a bomb in that further warming will trigger massive releases of methane and carbon dioxide from the melting of Arctic tundra and frozen sea floor hydrates on shallow sea floors and shelves in the Arctic plus around Antarctica.

    The Holocene which began 11,700 years ago and enabled the rise of human civilization is no more. There is no going back to it barring rapid and massive greenhouse gas emissions reductions to near zero PLUS massive reductions of existing greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere PLUS developing and implementing some method of stopping the massive acceleration of uppermost ocean heat uptake. This is a long shot and it depends not only on global cooperation and resolve by all humanity working together but also on technologies yet to be developed. But we must give it all we’ve got or the warming trajectory we are on leads inexorably to extinction.

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    John Scheve - No one wants to say this but the...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/17zDTPumGv/

    the Mediterranean and even the Bay of Biscay will soon be mostly dead marine biomes as well as enhanced catalysts for severe thunderstorms, torrential flooding rains, tornadoes, stronger mid latitude cyclones, heavier winter snowfall and even Medicanes in late summer.

    Marine Heat Waves (MHWs) are becoming perpetual though annually oscillating in intensity and are generally amplifying year to year. The more sheltered and shallow the body of water the more rapid the heating in calm sunny conditions. When the uppermost ocean is highly stratified as it is increasingly, MHWs can intensify stunningly fast even in the open deep Pacific. The North Pacific marine heatwave which is worst in the NW Pacific now, has recently warmed at a staggering 1 to 2 degrees C per week under calm sunny conditions with sinking air under an atmospheric high pressure dome. These conditions are increasing over the oceans in tandem with MHWs in an amplifying mutual feedback.

    Generally speaking, climate and marine feedbacks and mutual amplifications are kicking in with ferocious speed now as global atmospheric warming accelerates - both far faster than modeling predicted. Climate models ignore many feedbacks and amplifications and use linear extrapolations for others which has rendered them useless. Plus climate sensitivity is likely 2 to 3 times greater than modeled due to the accelerating Earth Energy Imbalance caused by our increasing greenhouse gas emissions and the surprising relative reduction of outgoing long wave energy from the upper atmosphere associated with cloud reduction and cloud dimming over warmer ocean surfaces and higher levels of water vapor (the most powerful greenhouse gas).

    If we don’t find a way to stop the accelerating heat absorption of the world ocean we will not stop the trajectory towards extinction we are now in.

    Image: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) showing an SSTA for the date of + 5.2 degrees C (+ 9.4 degrees F) in the open Mediterranean Sea as of yesterday from earth.nullschool.net

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    Planes flying over the Atlantic will be re-routed to avoid contrails | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2585091-planes-flying-over-the-atlantic-will-be-re-routed-to-avoid-contrails/

    ❝ Planes flying across the North Atlantic Ocean later this year will be re-routed to avoid causing condensation trails, in a first-of-a-kind trial to address the global warming impact of contrails across an entire airspace.

    Starting in November, air traffic controllers managing the Shanwick airspace on the eastern side of the North Atlantic will advise planes to adjust their altitude to avoid creating fresh contrails. The controllers will be using AI-generated forecasts of atmospheric conditions from Google that predict where contrails will form.

    “We can predict the regions that are going to form persistent climate-warming contrails, and we can re-route planes around them,” Marc Shapiro at Contrails.org, a research organisation that is participating in the project, said during a press briefing on 17 August.

    Contrails are formed when soot particles emitted by jet engines trigger the formation of ice particles, leaving a condensation trail that can last for hours. During the day, these persistent contrails help to reflect solar radiation back to space, which has a cooling effect. But they also trap heat below them, causing warming. Overall, contrails are thought to account for around one-third of aviation’s climate impact.

    The Shanwick airspace is a contrail hotspot and a busy area for planes crossing the North Atlantic. Modelling suggests the airspace is responsible for about 5 per cent of global contrail warming, and most of this effect occurs during the winter season between November and February.

    The £5 million Operation Blue Skies project will re-route flights in the evening and night, which have the biggest warming effect. Pilots entering the Shanwick airspace will be instructed to adjust their altitude by up to 2000 feet (600 metres) to avoid atmospheric conditions where contrail formation is likely. The advice will be issued under the same procedures already used by air traffic controllers to help pilots avoid turbulence or other weather conditions.

    The trial will run during two four-month winter trials over 2026-2027 and 2027-2028, with approximately 20 to 40 test days during each winter season. Around 10,000 flights are expected to pass through the airspace during trial hours each year, and hundreds will need to be re-routed to produce a statistically significant data set for analysis. Researchers from the University of Cambridge and Imperial College London will analyse the data from the trial.

    The climate benefit of avoiding contrails is worth any extra fuel burn from shifting flight paths, Paul Hodgson at Google UK said during the briefing. Re-routed flights may have to burn an additional 100 kilograms of fuel per aircraft while crossing the airspace, resulting in an additional few hundred kilograms of CO2 emitted. By comparison, “the contrail impact on those flights, especially at those times of day, is measured in the tonnes or even the tens of tonnes”, he said.

    The project follows previous trials of Google’s AI contrail forecasts, which have been used to inform airlines’ flight plans before take-off and routes set by air traffic dispatchers. This work suggests re-routing a plane can cut contrail formation by 50 to 60 per cent.

    But this is the first time contrail forecasts will be used across an entire airspace, and airlines will not be able to opt out. “This is what we call an airspace-scale trial, where deviations will effectively be instructed from the air traffic controller and affect all of the aircraft that are flying in this particular region,” said Hodgson. ❞
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    klimatizační krize

    Heat Deaths in a ‘Cold’ Country Are a Warning to the Rest of Europe
    https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/15/world/europe/belgium-heat-wave-deaths.html

    A June heat wave in Belgium and neighboring countries exposed a lethal lack of readiness. That’s a risk as another wave hits Europe.

    ...

    More deaths were recorded in Wallonia, Belgium, at the peak of June’s heat wave than on any day of the Covid-19 pandemic:

    ❝ Seniors died in stifling apartments. Emergency calls were left on hold. Doctors treated an onslaught of people sick from heat, sometimes in wards without air-conditioning.

    These are scenes that played out in Belgium, one of the world’s wealthiest nations, on a recent summer weekend. They are also a warning to Europe.

    Europe is the fastest-warming continent, yet large parts remain ill prepared. As heat waves scorch its nations this summer, they are killing thousands in countries with strong health systems. In just one week in late June, there were around 16,000 excess deaths, or more people who died than usual, in Europe. Belgium, France and Germany were the worst affected, based on data collected by the European Mortality Monitoring Network.

    Belgium, known for cold and damp, not searing heat, had the highest excess deaths in Europe, making it a case study into what went wrong. In Wallonia, the region that makes up the country’s south, the death rate was 77 percent higher than what would be expected between mid-June and early July. Some hospitals were overrun, with gurneys and patients lining the hallways and medical staff working without breaks in the unrelenting heat.

    “Each crisis is becoming increasingly severe,” said Yves Coppieters, the health minister for Wallonia. “That’s what we’re failing to anticipate.”

    Climate change means that the issue is most likely here to stay. Across Europe, “we think the summers are hot now,” said Joan Ballester Claramunt, a research professor at the Barcelona Institute for Global Health who focuses on climate change and health. “The future that we’re seeing, it could be much worse.”

    Belgium is a stark example of why heat waves can become deadly in countries more accustomed to cool weather. Emergency systems in some cases buckled under the pressure, and structural challenges left the most vulnerable to suffer.

    The federal health ministry defended elements of the response and noted that hospital capacity had been scaled up during the crisis, but it acknowledged that some change was needed. “I believe we must indeed learn lessons quickly,” Frank Vandenbroucke, the Belgian minister of social affairs and public health, told lawmakers early last month.

    During the late June wave, MontLégia hospital, in the Belgian city of Liège, experienced a rush of patients so intense that in the emergency room healthier people were temporarily lined up in hallways so that those past the point of saving could have privacy while they died.

    Dr. Arnaud Detroz, who was working that weekend, said his team was confronted with overheating cases that they had seen mostly in textbooks. “In our countries, at our latitudes, these cases are relatively rare,” he said.

    ‘Very Crushing’

    Belgium is not accustomed to taking heat so seriously.

    At the start of the June heat wave, Theo Francken, the defense minister, posted an image on Instagram of himself smiling in the sun with the caption, “It’s warm for two days and we’re all going to die again apparently.” He criticized the press.

    “Enjoy the beautiful weather,” he added. “And LIVE!”

    The weather quickly turned into a matter of life or death.

    Temperatures shot up between mid-June and early July, surpassing 100 degrees in parts of Wallonia. The fact that it was early in the summer, before people had a chance to acclimatize, worsened the danger, experts said.

    In the last weekend of June, the Belgian emergency call line was severely overwhelmed, according to medical groups whose representatives signed an open letter protesting the meltdown. In some cases, they said, it took 10 minutes just to get through to an operator. (Bernard Quintin, the Belgian interior minister, told lawmakers that average waits were much shorter and noted that extra staff members were brought in.)

    “If you have to wait for 10 minutes if you have a stroke or heart attack, it’s quite a big problem,” said Dr. Pierre-Louis Deudon, a general practitioner in the Brussels region who signed the letter.

    Emergency rooms were also overrun in parts of Wallonia. During the peak of the heat wave, the number of emergency vehicles arriving at Grand Hôpital de Charleroi, about an hour’s drive west of Liège, rose from an average of 60 to up to 110 per day, said Dr. Laurent Peyskens, deputy head of the emergency department.

    “It was very crushing,” Dr. Peyskens said.

    Half of all emergency rooms in Wallonia lacked air-conditioning, said Dr. Phillippe Devos, director general at Unessa, a federation of Belgian health care providers in Brussels and Wallonia.

    For Belgium, June 27 appears to have been the second-deadliest day of the 21st century, after a day early in the coronavirus crisis. In Wallonia, June 28 was deadlier than the depths of the pandemic in 2020.

    “We should definitely be afraid of a repeat,” said Loïc Gillerot, a climate-health expert at CERAC, an independent Belgian research center that studies climate risk. “The question is: Are we talking about a repeat this summer?”

    Pre-existing Conditions

    In Belgium, as elsewhere, extreme heat hit the vulnerable the hardest.

    Part of the problem, experts said, is that people in Wallonia have lower incomes on average. Poor people are more likely to have pre-existing health conditions, and they often lack access to well-ventilated housing.

    About 85 percent of the more than 900 excess deaths in Wallonia between mid-June and July 1 were of people 65 or older, according to figures from Sciensano, the Belgian health data institute. Low-income seniors who lived alone were particularly at risk, health care professionals said, as their houses or attic apartments became baking death traps.

    “You have people who are isolated, old,” Dr. Devos said. “We saw in the emergency rooms: When people came to the E.R., it was impossible to save them.”

    Wallonia’s housing was part of the challenge. Many residential buildings are aging and were constructed to hold in heat, not to keep it out.

    “It’s a country that is considered cold, culturally,” said Gilles Vanvolsem, managing director of the Belgian Green Building Council. “People think more about heating their house than cooling their house.”

    Nor did behaviors adjust. Belgians, including those with medical conditions and their caregivers, at times appeared unaware of how to handle the heat.

    Dr. Deudon in Brussels noted, for instance, that people on antidepressants and other mental health drugs often are not made aware that they are at higher risk, and so they continued to go to work as normal.

    Dr. Toon Ceyssens, a general practitioner in Flanders, echoed that concern, noting that blood pressure medications also increase the danger.

    During the worst of the heat wave, he was alarmed to see residents at a care institution where he works still taking excursions. “The caretakers and the patients didn’t take the heat wave that seriously,” he said.

    Cold Country No More

    To limit heat risk, countries like Belgium will need to shake their cold-country mentality, experts said.

    Dr. Ceyssens said patients were often hesitant to install air-conditioning, worried that it would make them sick, spread germs and harm the environment.

    Belgians do not “want to be Americans,” with the indoor temperature set to 65 degrees, he said, but he saw a middle ground in which vulnerable people would have access.

    “The mentality on air-conditioning has to change,” he said.

    Others disagree. Even some Belgian officials are wary of relying too much on climate control, concerned that adding it could overwhelm the power grid and leave cities even hotter by pumping hot air into the streets.

    “Air-conditioning can be appropriate in specific situations, particularly for vulnerable people or certain buildings,” said Simon Souris, a spokesman for Wallonia’s housing and energy minister. “However, our long-term strategy is not based on its widespread deployment.”

    Since June, Belgian experts have issued recommendations for more cooling spaces and resources for the vulnerable. Federal authorities are working toward handling emergency calls differently, doctors said. The housing authorities in Wallonia are instituting policies to encourage housing renovation.

    Yet medical workers and public health experts fear that the kind of changes that are needed — like housing and infrastructure improvements — will take more time than Belgium has. At MontLégia, doctors remain concerned that officials will not dedicate enough resources to the ongoing threat of heat.

    Late last month, as emergency doctors recalled losing patients in June, another arrived.

    A 77-year-old woman was wheeled in with heat stroke, her frail chest heaving, her temperature near the point of organ failure. Doctors cut off her blouse and covered her in ice packs.

    They are bracing for more. A supply closet on the emergency-room floor is stocked with fans. Nearby, a refrigerator is filled with cooling IV drips.

    “As emergency-room doctors, we can come to terms with fatality, but it’s not the same when you know it’s due to a systemic failure,” said Dr. Michèle Yerna, who runs the MontLégia emergency unit. That, she added, is “much harder to bear.” ❞
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    zabalit posledni ledovcovou vodu...

    https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/glaciers-permafrost/dozens-of-swiss-glaciers-are-likely-to-disappear-this-summer/91892119

    20 to 30 Swiss glaciers could disappear this summer

    Switzerland is on course for its second-most severe glacier melt on record.Small glaciers are especially vulnerable, with around 20–30 potentially losing their remaining ice completely.

    The severe melt is driven by little winter snow and intense heat early in the summer.
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    2027 could briefly feel like the climate of 2037. A new analysis by climate scientist Zeke Hausfather gives next year a 95% chance of becoming Earth’s hottest on record, with global temperatures around 1.76°C above preindustrial levels — about 0.29°C hotter than the recent warming trend alone would suggest.

    The reason is an exceptionally powerful El Niño arriving on top of long-term greenhouse warming. Hausfather’s middle 50% forecast range is 1.67–1.85°C, equivalent to temporarily jumping roughly 7 to 13 years ahead of the recent temperature trend. “I’m not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures”, he wrote.

    The Pacific is already behaving extraordinarily: temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific have broken records for 75 consecutive days and could rise more than 4°C above average by December, more than a degree beyond the previous record. Even 2026 has a 48% chance of becoming the warmest year on record; Jim Hansen expects it to do so, before 2027 overtakes it.

    The spike should ease afterwards — Hausfather expects 2028 to be cooler — but the underlying warming continues. His stark description of the longer-term trend: “human emissions are adding a permanent El Niño worth of heat to the climate system each decade”.

    A hotter atmosphere can also carry more water vapour, at roughly 7% more per degree Celsius, meaning 2027 could set a global moisture record as well and increase the conditions associated with extreme rainfall. For a brief period, this El Niño may effectively move the whole planet into temperatures otherwise expected roughly a decade from now.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026/08/13/record-el-nio-could-fast-forward-planets-temperature-by-decade/
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    Goodbye 1936, Hello 2026!

    July 2026: Hottest US Month Ever.

    The climate skeptic talking point of 1936 has been dethroned. NASA says July 2026 is now the hottest month on record in the US, by a small margin, due to El Niño on top of long term warming. 1936 was an incredibly hot summer - many city all-time records were set and still exist from that year. But Zoom Out and there are two key points:

    1. The heat was very concentrated mainly in the Dust Bowl and adjacent regions. That’s 1% of Earth’s surface.

    2. In 1936 the Earth had both extreme heat and cold, but July 2026 has anomalous heat virtually EVERYWHERE. That’s the difference: it’s now warm EVERYWHERE, and it will only get warmer from here.

    FB IMG 1786491976728
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    Hot summer economics
    https://www.triodos.com/en/articles/2026/hot-summer-economics

    Europe's heatwave this summer will cut EU GDP by around 1% in 2026, roughly €180 billion, matching the bloc's entire expected growth for the year, according to a new Triodos Bank report. An estimated 20,400 people died from heat-related causes across France, Germany, Spain and Italy in a single week in June, with wildfires having already burned more land by 30 July than in any full previous year on record.

    France is projected to take the biggest economic hit, with GDP growth cut by 1.4 percentage points, potentially pushing an already weak forecast into a 0.6% contraction for 2026. The Netherlands faces near-stagnant growth after an 0.8-point loss. Poland, despite being highly exposed on paper, escapes largely unscathed this year simply because it has had fewer extreme-heat days than usual, while Spain and Italy, hit by the most hot days, are cushioned by decades of acclimatisation.

    Labour productivity is the single largest driver of the losses, more than agriculture, energy or transport combined, with research showing measurable output drops once temperatures pass roughly 25–30°C, especially in outdoor and non-air-conditioned work.

    The report's authors point to 17 July, when the European Commission proposed easing the trajectory of the EU's carbon-pricing emissions cap through the 2030s on competitiveness grounds, the same week wildfire and death tolls were hitting record levels. That, they argue, illustrates the loop they say Europe is now caught in: heat damages growth, policy loosens to protect growth, emissions rise, and the next heatwave costs more.
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    "We can now expect everything from yellow and orange air and failed crops to buckling railways and the forced shutdowns of nuclear plants due to low water."

    "Water bombers, the air cavalry of wildfire fighting, buzz the treetops like air show stunt pilots as they save the day with surgical drops of water or orange retardant.

    But what happens when those drops have no effect? When, as a pilot working the massive Gironde Fire just west of Bordeaux, France, described
    ( https://zeit.de/wissenschaft/2026-07/cap-ferret-frankreich-waldbrand-tourismus-urlaub ) it:

    “The environment above the fire is so hot that my payload of 10,000 liters of water evaporates in the air.”? Mathieu Jomain, a commander and 26-year veteran in Gironde’s fire service, compared the fire’s intensity to “a meteorological nuclear bomb.”

    "This is the new reality of wildfires in the 21st Century: they hit different. And, too often now, the water doesn’t hit at all.
    From America to Algeria, dangerous blazes are occurring around the world, giving us a glimpse into an age ablaze We should all be asking the question: What will this age entail?


    "Fire phenonemon"

    We are witnessing, live and in person, a terrible convergence of prolonged drought and record-breaking temperatures across the Northern Hemisphere. It is a convergence expressed most emphatically by unfightable fires racing across tinder-dry landscapes, fanned by high winds that are, increasingly, generated by the fires themselves. Just as warm waters fuel hurricanes, hot landscapes alive with roaring fire energize a wildfire’s chimney-like central column by burning all available fuel—grassland, forests, and neighborhoods alike—with explosive speed, and irrepressible ferocity that can produce flames higher than a thirty-story building and radiant heat approaching 1,000 °C"
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    Roger Hallam - 1/2. The essence of humanist hubris is the...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1Dj2ZHHbah/

    The essence of humanist hubris is the notion every problem can be solved - meaning we are not humans but gods. But, as we are about to discover, we are just human after all. We sit there and let people in charge fuck things up. And then there is no going back.

    10 years of hubris gets you 10,000 years of climatic chaos. Not clever.

    “What people are not getting is that we can’t turn this back – the CO2 to a large part remains in the air for thousands of years,” said Rahmstorf. “Some people think we can wait and, when it gets too bad, then we reduce emissions and things will get better again. People don’t realise that we can’t make it get better again. We can only prevent it from getting much worse.”

    ‘We can’t make it better again’: what Europe’s wildfires tell us about the climate crisis | Environment | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/30/europe-wildfires-climate-crisis-heat-summer
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