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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    'Food insecurity is no longer just about low-income countries': Environmental economist explains how climate change is pushing agricultural systems to the brink | Live Science https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/food-insecurity-is-no-longer-just-about-low-income-countries-environmental-economist-explains-how-climate-change-is-pushing-agricultural-systems-to-the-brink
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    57 countries met in Colombia to accelerate the shift away from fossil fuels, backed by a new global science panel launched by PIKs @jrockstrom & Carlos Nobre. Co-chaired by PIKs #Edenhofer, it aims to deliver faster, policy-relevant insights.

    https://x.com/i/status/2051327459497312751

    Jen doufam, ze tam vsichni neleteli ledadlem :)
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Former NASA Engineers Create Ingenious Way To Save Homes From Wildfires Using Noise - Slashdot
    https://science.slashdot.org/story/26/05/02/2252228/former-nasa-engineers-create-ingenious-way-to-save-homes-from-wildfires-using-noise
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    GLOBAL TEMPERATURE INCREASE PAST 3 YEARS WORST-CASE

    By IPCC AR6, WG1, SPM temperature scenarios 2023, 2024 and 2025 are worst-case warming scenarios.

    Figure AR6 WG1 | Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis
    https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/summary-for-policymakers/figure-spm-8

    FB-IMG-1776197494026
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    related

    https://www.science.org/content/article/pesticides-may-wreak-havoc-gut-microbiome

    Velmurugan Ganesan of the KMCH Research Foundation wondered whether pesticide exposure could explain a curious finding. In a study of almost 3000 people in southern India, his team found that 23% of participants in urban areas had diabetes, which clustered with classic risk factors such as obesity and high cholesterol. Yet in rural areas, the prevalence was still 16%, and there was no association with those risk factors. “We started wondering whether environmental chemicals could be playing a role,” Ganesan says.

    The team then explored the effects of exposure to one widely used agricultural insecticide, chlorpyrifos, in mice. Previous animal studies had often tested high doses for short periods, but Ganesan’s team used what he calls a “realistic dose,” based on pesticide residues in the average Indian diet, for 120 days. The study, published in August 2025, found that chlorpyrifos reshaped the gut microbiome, with beneficial bacteria such as Lactobacillus declining and potentially harmful species such as Helicobacter rising. Mice exposed to chlorpyrifos also developed high blood sugar and diabetes, despite not gaining weight, says Karthika Durairaj, the study’s first author.

    Another study co-authored by Ganesan suggests a possible mechanism: When gut microbes break down chlorpyrifos, they produce acetate and other metabolites the liver uses to make glucose through a process called gluconeogenesis, leading to elevated blood sugar levels.

    Ganesan’s team is now analyzing blood, urine, and stool samples from people with diabetes, both with and without obesity, and healthy controls to examine whether the patterns hold up in humans. “We are working to show that diabetes induced by environmental chemicals is quite different [from lifestyle-associated diabetes] in its underlying disease mechanisms and could require different clinical care,” Ganesan says.

    Pesticides appear to drive not just population shifts in the microbes, but also changes in their activity. In a large study published in 2025, for example, researchers exposed 17 representative bacterial species from the human gut to 18 different pesticides and detected changes in the microbial production of hundreds of small molecules. They included short-chain fatty acids, bile acids, and tryptophan-related molecules—compounds that help keep the gut lining healthy, regulate inflammation, and guide immune responses.

    “Most studies focus on the effect of pesticides on … gut microbial composition, but this study shows that effects are far greater than that,” says study co-author Caroline Johnson, an environmental health epidemiologist at the Yale School of Public Health. The team also found that some bacteria accumulate pesticides within their cells, which could prolong their presence in the human body and increase the risk of long-term health effects.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    co byste chteli zkoumat vy vseznalkove


    For the second year in a row, US President Donald Trump has proposed significant cuts to the budgets of major US science agencies. Released Friday, the White House’s plan for federal spending next year also includes a ban on using federal funds for subscriptions and publishing fees for some academic journals.

    The plan proposes cuts to federal agencies that fund or conduct research on health, space and the environment. Some of the steepest cuts would be made to the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA): the budgets of both would fall more than 50% in 2027 compared to their current levels. The budget for the US National Institutes of Health would drop 13%.

    Trump administration proposes massive budget cuts to science | Scientific American
    http://spklr.io/6009Ey7GS
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    inspirativni... brzy jiste i u nas

    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1CYp6kAs41/


    The Trump administration is attempting to dismantle the U.S. Forest Service. The goal is to cause constant chaos so you can’t follow what’s happening day to day. Here is what’s going on.

    BREAKING: The administration just announced a sweeping restructuring and it’s as bad as it sounds. Headquarters is leaving Washington D.C. for Salt Lake City. All nine regional offices are closing. More than 50 research facilities across 31 states are being eliminated. The regional system the agency has used since its founding in 1907 is gone.

    In their place 15 political “state directors,” embedded with the same state officials and industry groups that have long pushed for more logging and fewer protections mirroring the Bureau of Land Management model that public lands advocates have fought for decades.

    That puts 193 million acres (the largest public land system in the nation, bigger than Texas) under a structure designed for political access, not scientific stewardship.

    Forest Service Chief Tom Schultz framed it as getting “closer to the forests.” What it actually does is gut the career scientists and independent oversight that stood between those forests and the people who want to exploit them.

    Scientists won’t relocate en masse. Long-term studies, datasets, and research partnerships built over decades will collapse. Once that expertise walks out the door, it doesn’t come back.

    The Forest Service was built by Theodore Roosevelt and Gifford Pinchot to keep professional, science-based management out of the hands of industry. That vision is being systematically dismantled not with a bang, but with a press release. 193 million acres. Gone from federal protection in all but name.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Arctic Winter Sea Ice Ties Record Low, NASA, NSIDC Scientists Find - NASA Science
    https://science.nasa.gov/earth/arctic-winter-sea-ice-2026/

    The Arctic just hit its lowest winter sea ice level in 48 years of recorded history for the second year in a row. On March 15, Arctic sea ice peaked at just 5.52 million square miles a statistical tie with last year’s record low. To put that in perspective, the missing ice compared to the 1981–2010 average is roughly twice the size of Texas. And it’s not just shrinking scientists say it’s also much thinner and more fragile than it used to be, with sea ice near the North Pole recording record-low thickness for several months now.
    ATOMIKS
    ATOMIKS --- ---
    MARSHUS: v Coloradu už vystoupily v platnost úsporná opatření. Vody je zatím dost, ale už ji nemá moc co dál plnit.
    Colorado residents face earliest water restrictions ever
    https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/colorado-earliest-water-restrictions-ever-snow-drought-rcna265377
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Kate Marvel, NASA’s leading climate scientist, has resigned her position, citing the White House’s attacks on science.

    MSN
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/prominent-researcher-exits-nasa-citing-us-attacks-on-science/ar-AA1ZkqAa
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Informal Institutions in Policy Implementation : Comparing Low Carbon Policies in China and Russia
    Anna Korppoo, Iselin Stensdal, Marius Korsnes


    "At a time of global climate crisis, this crucial book examines the prospects for implementing low-carbon policies in the two global superpowers of China and Russia, focusing on the role of informal institutions in achieving reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Chapters shed light on how informal institutions function and work in practice, how and why they take shape and how they influence formal low-carbon policies. Forensically examining five critical cases relating to Chinese and Russian institutions, this book demonstrates how informal institutions can both support and obstruct the achievement of formal policy goals. Through comparisons within and between each country, it shows how these dynamics differ and offers key hypothesis on the role of these institutions in policy implementation. Comprehensive and incisive, this book will be important reading for scholars researching public policy in China and Russia, particularly those specialising in environmental science and politics. The practical insights derived from new case studies will also be useful for policymakers working on climate mitigation policy"-- Provided by publisher

    Informal Institutions in Policy Implementation : Comparing Low Carbon Policies in China and Russia - Anna’s Archive
    https://annas-archive.gd/md5/b2183bbd0083aa22b3f3767acdb4178b
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    J Pecho
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/18Wiy7HA4G/

    Lesy nie sú len zásobárňou uhlíka, ako sa často hovorí. Nová vedecká štúdia ukazuje, že pre naše prežitie sú ešte dôležitejšie. Okrem toho, že viažu CO₂, regulujú teplotu a vodný cyklus tak, aby nám uľahčili život.

    Výskumníci zhrnuli desiatky štúdií a zistili, že v lese je počas dňa v priemere o 4 °C chladnejšie než na priľahlých lúkach; v tropických oblastiach je rozdiel často dokonca väčší než 6 °C. V mestách dokáže stromová zeleň znížiť teplotu o 1,5–1,7 °C. Počas vĺn horúčav býva v lesoch pocitovú teplotu až o 6–14,5 °C nižšiu ako na otvorených priestranstvách.

    Toto ochladzovanie nie je len príjemné, ale zachraňuje aj životy. Odlesňovanie v trópoch vystavuje stovky miliónov ľudí vyšším teplotám a prispieva k desiatkam tisíc úmrtí ročne v dôsledku prehriatia. Výskumníci tiež upozorňujú, že lokálne otepľovanie spôsobené výrubom môže byť v niektorých regiónoch porovnateľné alebo silnejšie ako samotný signál globálneho otepľovania.

    Lesy sú zároveň dôležitou súčasťou vodného cyklu. Zachytávajú zrážky, zlepšujú vsakovanie a dopĺňajú podzemné vody. Odparovaním vracajú vlhkosť do atmosféry a stabilizujú prietok riek. V tropických a monzúnových regiónoch znižujú riziko záplav, no v suchších oblastiach môže prílišná výsadba stromov naopak znížiť dostupnosť vody.

    Dôležitý je aj kontext. Najväčší prínos majú prirodzené "staré" lesy a to predovšetkým na miestach, kde sa prirodzene vyskytovali aj v minulosti. Vysádzať stromy do stepí či tundry sa nemusí oplatiť: tmavé koruny absorbujú viac slnečnej energie ako svetlé trávnaté plochy alebo sneh a môžu spôsobiť lokálne oteplenie. Naopak, staré porasty majú jedinečnú schopnosť tlmiť teplotné výkyvy a regulovať kolobeh vody.

    Lesy ovplyvňujú aj veľkopriestorové procesy: uvoľňujú organické zlúčeniny, ktoré pomáhajú tvoriť oblaky, a recyklujú vlhkosť, čo ovplyvňuje zrážky aj stovky kilometrov ďaleko. Výskum z Bornea ukazuje, že rozsiahla strata lesa zvyšuje denné teploty, zintenzívňuje extrémy a významne znižuje množstvo zrážok, čo priespieva k väčšiemu suchu.

    Lesy teda pôsobia ako klimatická "infraštruktúra": ochladzujú, hospodária s vodou a zmierňujú extrémy lepšie než mnohé technické riešenia. Nemôžu síce zastaviť globálne otepľovanie, ale môžu urobiť teplejší svet znesiteľnejším. Aj preto odborníci zdôrazňujú, že ochrana a obnova pôvodných lesov patrí medzi najefektívnejšie a najlacnejšie formy adaptácie na zmenu klímy.

    Zdroj:

    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ads4361 a

    Forests don’t just store carbon. They keep people alive, scientists say
    https://news.mongabay.com/2026/02/forests-dont-just-store-carbon-they-keep-people-alive-scientists-say/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Suicide (Paperback) – JUST RELEASED – Revolution in the 21st Century
    https://rev21.earth/product/suicide/

    From a cell in Wayland Prison, Roger Hallam—farmer, researcher, and co-founder of Just Stop Oil—delivers a searing indictment of a legal system that punishes those who resist, while protecting those who destroy. In July 2024, Hallam was dragged from a British courtroom for refusing to stay silent about the climate crisis. For “conspiracy to cause a public nuisance,” he was sentenced to five years in prison, the harshest punishment for civil disobedience in the UK in modern British history. The case made front-page news and drew global outcry.

    Suicide is part memoir, part political reckoning. Drawing on Hallam’s award-winning research and experience representing himself in four Crown Court trials, it lays bare the moral and legal failures of a society sleepwalking into catastrophe. From climate science and the right of necessity, to the collapse of democratic norms and the illusions of secular reason, this is a radical call to rethink justice, truth, and duty in the face of extinction.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘Daunting but doable’: Europe urged to prepare for 3C of global heating | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/16/europe-climate-advisory-board-3c-global-heating

    Maarten van Aalst, a member of the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change (ESABCC), said the continent was already “paying a price” for its lack of preparation but that adapting to a hotter future was in part “common sense and low-hanging fruit”.

    “It is a daunting task, but at the same time quite a doable task. It’s not rocket science,” said van Aalst, who used to lead the climate centre at the International Red Cross and Red Crescent and is now the director general of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI).

    The ESABCC describes current efforts to adapt to rising temperatures as “insufficient, largely incremental [and] often coming too late” in a new report that advises officials to prepare for a world 2.8-3.3C hotter than preindustrial levels by 2100.

    ...

    Weather extremes in Europe in recent years have at times surprised climate scientists with their strength and adaptation experts with their lethality as rising temperatures have warped the climate.

    Heavy rains supercharged by climate breakdown killed 134 people in Germany’s Ahr valley in 2021 and 229 people in the Valencia region of Spain in 2024. Across the continent, summer heat kills many tens of thousands of people each year, with studies attributing between half and two-thirds of the death toll to the rise in temperatures caused by fossil fuel pollution. Last year’s wildfires, meanwhile, torched more of Europe than scientists have ever recorded.

    Last week, Portugal was urged to draw up climate adaptation plans as the country was hit by an unprecedented series of storms that killed at least 16 people and caused an estimated €775m (£675m) of damage.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Tohle už tu jednou bylo, ale stejně:
    COVID-19 cleared the skies but also supercharged methane emissions - Ars Technica
    https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/02/covid-19-cleared-the-skies-but-also-supercharged-methane-emissions/

    Možná by místo nějakého šíleného geoinženýringu s aerosolama bylo jednodušší prostě hlídat v jakém poměru různé škodliviny vypouštíme, aby se optimalizovalo odbourávání toho, co je odbouratelné?
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Trump asi obnoví výrobu dreadnoughtů. nebo nevím, co bude armáda s tím uhlím dělat :-)
    Trump orders the military to make agreements with coal power plants - Ars Technica
    https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/02/trumps-latest-plan-to-revive-coal-power-make-the-military-buy-it/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Flooded Futures: Understanding the Rising Threats and How We Prepare | Stefan Rahmstorf
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtd8ZFWIFMA


    Flooding has shaped human settlement for millennia—but the scale, speed and complexity of flood risk in the 21st century are unprecedented. In this opening keynote at the Holcim Foundation Forum 2025, climate scientist Stefan Rahmstorf sets the scientific foundation for the Forum, outlining why flood risk is accelerating globally and why urgent, coordinated action is now unavoidable.

    Rahmstorf presents the full spectrum of flooding—from coastal, riverine and pluvial flooding to groundwater and compound flood events—showing how multiple hazards increasingly coincide to create extreme impacts. Drawing on the latest climate science, he explains how rising sea levels, intensifying storms and shifting precipitation patterns are being amplified by urbanisation, land-use change and ageing infrastructure designed for past conditions.

    A central focus of the talk is time. Rahmstorf challenges the audience to consider what we are planning for—and over what horizons—by examining projections for 2050 and 2100, the limits and strengths of flood models, and the growing role of real-time data, AI-driven analysis and historical records in improving preparedness.

    The keynote also addresses the wider societal consequences of flooding, including cascading infrastructure failures, economic exposure, climate migration and the question of who ultimately pays for precautionary measures. Closing the talk, Rahmstorf frames the critical questions that will guide the Forum discussions, positioning the Retreat – Resist – Respond framework as essential for navigating an era of accelerating climate risk.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Emails Show Epstein Scheming That Environmental Destruction Could Solve "Overpopulation"
    https://futurism.com/science-energy/epstein-climate-change-population
    “Maybe climate change is a good way of dealing with overpopulation,” Epstein wrote. “The earths forest fire. potentially a good thing for the species.”
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    The Seabed Curtain Project Dreams Of Building An 80-Kilometer Barrier Around The Thwaites Glacier Of Antarctica | IFLScience
    https://www.iflscience.com/the-radical-plan-to-build-an-80-kilometer-wall-around-the-doomsday-glacier-of-antarctica-82525

    V nejodlehlejší části planety se rozhoduje o budoucnosti pobřežních měst, ostrovů i milionů lidí. Jeden obří kus antarktického ledu – přezdívaný „ledovec soudného dne“ – totiž taje rychleji, než by si vědci přáli. Proto v zákulisí vzniká plán tak odvážný, že připomíná sci-fi film.

    Thwaites Glacier Transformed - NASA Science
    https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/thwaites-glacier-transformed-146247/
    https://theweek.com/environment/plan-wall-curtain-doomsday-glacier
    Zeď proti potopě. Vědci odhalili plány, jak zabránit kolapsu ledovce soudného dne – Aktuálně.cz
    https://magazin.aktualne.cz/zed-proti-potope-vedci-odhalili-plany-jak-zabranit-kolapsu-ledovce-soudneho-dne/r~aaa292a71f532a7b3ebecede9e8b6c1b/


    Představte si ledovou masu velkou jako Velká Británie – majestátní a přesto nebezpečně křehkou.

    V odlehlé části Antarktidy leží ledovec přezdívaný „Doomsday Glacier“ neboli ledovec soudného dne, jehož oficiální jméno zní Thwaites Glacier. A není náhoda, že pravý název tohoto ledového masivu zná mnohem méně lidí než jeho mnohem trefnější pseudonym. Ledovec totiž do budoucna nepřináší zrovna pozitivní vyhlídky: jeho kolaps by mohl dramaticky přepsat mapy pobřeží po celém světě.

    Od roku 1880 se hladiny oceánů zvedly o 21 až 24 centimetrů – a právě tento ledovec se na současném růstu podílí čtyřmi procenty. Nejde ale jen o něj. Vědci se obávají, že jeho kolaps by mohl destabilizovat celý Západoantarktický ledový štít.

    (...) Do 100 km od pobřeží: Podle údajů z roku 2018 žije v tomto pásmu přibližně 2,86 miliardy lidí, což představuje asi 38–40 % celosvětové populace.


    Mezinárodní tým vědců sdružený v projektu Seabed Curtain Project navrhuje vybudovat podmořskou bariéru dlouhou 80 kilometrů a vysokou 150 metrů, která by kotvila do mořského dna v hloubce asi 650 metrů a fungovala by jako obří podvodní clona. Její úkol? Zabránit teplým proudům, aby se dostaly k nejzranitelnějším částem ledovce.

    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    COVID-19 cleared the skies but also supercharged methane emissions - Ars Technica
    https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/02/covid-19-cleared-the-skies-but-also-supercharged-methane-emissions/
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