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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    +4
    India’s population will still continue to grow from its current tally of 1.45bn: it takes time for fewer births to translate into fewer people overall. But the number of births is already down by a fifth from its peak in 2001. In Tamil Nadu 1,200 schools were closed last year for a lack of pupils to fill their classrooms. Those who do attend increasingly show up without any siblings. The government frets that India will get old before it gets rich—that the country is on a similar path to China, where the population has already peaked and is starting to fall. Some politicians are offering cash to encourage Indians to procreate. India’s demographic transition is the most striking example of a global trend. For it is no longer just wealthy places where families have few, or no, kids. Over two-thirds of all countries are now below the replacement rate. Middle-income ones like Brazil, Iran, Thailand and Turkey have been well below it for years. Poorer countries are steadily joining their ranks. Sri Lanka has a TFR of just 1.3; Tunisia’s is 1.6. Morocco has fallen below replacement rate. Nairobi, the capital of Kenya, may be close to that point. In many places birth rates are plunging despite marriage remaining near-universal and even though few women have formal jobs.

    https://www.economist.com/leaders/2026/06/04/indias-surprise-baby-bust-is-a-warning-to-the-world

    pardon, nemám bez paywallu
    TADEAS
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    Europe, epicenter of global warming, faces its own contradictions
    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/article/2026/05/12/europe-epicenter-of-global-warming-faces-its-own-contradictions_6753360_23.html


    The war in the Middle East has highlighted Europe's double handicap. The EU is highly exposed not only to climate shocks but also to soaring energy prices; it imports 95% of its oil and nearly 90% of its gas. Renewable energy is making headway – providing 46% of electricity in 2024, compared to 28% from fossil fuels – but the real challenge now lies in the electrification of transportation, buildings and industry. This plan for the economy, which the Commission is set to unveil in June, could mark the start of this acceleration. Decarbonizing is no longer just a climate imperative: It is more than ever a matter of independence.

    Read more Subscribers only Will the war in Iran advance or hinder Europe's energy transition?
    Reducing emissions will not be enough; warming is already causing irreversible damage that will worsen. The EU must therefore take steps to better withstand shocks, but current climate adaptation policies are inadequate, according to the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change. These measures are reactive and fragmented, rather than preventive and systematic.
    TADEAS
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    +2
    Trump’s Iran war may stymie climate gains with boost to big oil, experts say | Oil | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/07/iran-war-big-oil-climate

    The billions in profits big oil is reaping due to the Iran war may stymie the energy transition, experts and advocates fear, incentivizing oil and gas expansion and boosting the sector’s funds for political lobbying.

    “Windfall profits from Trump’s war will allow big oil to build a wall of money around its Trump-era political victories,” said Lukas Shankar-Ross, a deputy director at the green group Friends of the Earth.

    The deadly conflict in Iran has created a historic energy shock due to attacks on fossil fuel facilities and the blockage of the crucial strait of Hormuz trade route. Amid the chaos, energy prices – and oil companies’ earnings – have soared.
    TADEAS
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    +2
    Power, Overshoot, and Climate with Tad Patzek | TGS 219
    https://youtu.be/BXR94APZ31Q?si=WHCyi-LBxioPMJBD


    Many of us were taught that humans have been the dominant force shaping the modern world through sheer grit, ingenuity, and innovation. While true to an extent, there are also deep, embedded laws of energy that have both constrained and enabled human cleverness and our influence over our surroundings. What exactly are these laws, and what happened in the past few centuries that allowed for an explosion of technology and consumption? Perhaps more importantly, how can that knowledge help us understand how the decades and centuries ahead might be different?

    In this episode, Nate is joined by earth scientist and thermodynamicist Tad Patzek for a deep dive into the mathematics and physics driving humanity's energetic and material predicament. Tad walks us through the six great flows of power and materials that keep civilization running, and explains why our public conversation about all of them is dangerously detached from physical reality. He argues that planetary breakdown is not merely a side effect of an economic system built on growing these flows – it is a direct mathematical consequence of overshoot. He rounds out this picture by pointing out that every energy transition in history has been additive, not subtractive – increasing total power in the system – and the current push toward renewables is no exception.

    What if we were to truly see ourselves through the lens of all the energy we consume – for Americans, the equivalent of a 40-ton whale – would that change how we live? How do technology, population, and per capita energy consumption amplify each other, creating an exponential demand for power? And if we were to acknowledge the inseparability of our ecological crises and our energy blindness, would it help us change our behavior in accordance with the kind of world we'd want our grandchildren to inherit?
    TADEAS
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    +7
    The world is threatened by a “suicidal” model of capitalism that is leading to war, fascism and the potential extinction of humanity, Colombia’s president has said, as he convened 57 governments to address the climate crisis.

    Gustavo Petro blamed fossil fuel interests for taking ever more desperate measures to prevent a transition to green energy. “There is inertia in the power and the economy of this archaic form of energy – fossil fuels – that lead to death. Undoubtedly, that form of capital can commit suicide, taking with it humanity and [other] life,” he said. “The question that needs to be asked is whether capitalism can truly adapt to a non-fossil energy model.”

    ‘Suicidal’ model of capitalism leading to war and fascism, climate summit told | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/29/capitalism-colombia-climate-summit-gustavo-petro
    TADEAS
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    +1
    What does the Iran war mean for clean energy transition? | Fossil fuels | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/mar/26/iran-war-clean-energy-transition
    TADEAS
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    ‘Yes to fields of wheat, no to fields of iron’: how the world’s greenest country soured on solar | Denmark | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/20/solar-power-renewable-energy-denmark-backlash-national-elections

    In one telling of the story, the golden fields of a proud farming nation are under attack. Besieged by an industrial sprawl of solar panels, they are being smothered at the behest of an urban elite.

    That narrative has failed to thrive in conservative heartlands such as Texas and Hungary, which have embraced solar power while lambasting green rules. But it is taking root in Denmark, the most climate-ambitious nation on Earth. “We say yes to fields of wheat,” said Inger Støjberg, the leader of the rightwing populist Denmark Democrats in a speech in 2024. “And we say no to fields of iron!”

    Jernmarker, or iron fields, was chosen as the Danish word of the year in December after the solar backlash swayed municipal elections and prompted some councils to pull projects. The spectre of barren metal landscapes has since returned to the campaign trail as Danes prepare to vote in national elections on Tuesday. “We need more common sense in the green transition,” Støjberg said in the first televised debate between party leaders last month.

    Pockets of resistance to clean energy have hardened across Europe as far-right parties focus on climate action as their second target after migrants. Until now, solar panels had escaped the wrath of powerful campaigns that have stymied the rollout of wind turbines, heat pumps, electric cars and plant-based meat.

    But in Denmark, which generates 90% of its electricity from renewables and aims to cut planet-heating pollution faster than any other wealthy country, the spread of solar power has alarmed some regions in which construction is concentrated. Solar tripled from 4% of Danish power production in 2021 to 13% in 2025. And a handful of villages have found themselves surrounded by silicon.

    Opponents of solar farms say the photovoltaic panels are ugly, destroy nature and deflate property prices in neglected hinterlands. As drone shots of encircled farmhouses have become a symbol of urban overreach, the campaign has led even some established parties to soften their support of solar.

    The backlash had been brewing locally, but Lukas Slothuus, a climate politics researcher at the University of Sussex who grew up in a rural town near the Danish-German border, said the Denmark Democrats had provided a “clear vector to articulate that discontent politically” across the nation. “The far right have realised – and decided – that climate is a potent electoral battleground,” he said. “It’s just about finding one issue to centre it around.”
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    New book incoming

    Climate, Hydrocarbons, Sanctions: Perspectives on the Russian Arctic Hardcover – 16 April 2026

    by Arild Moe (Author), Anna Korppoo (Author)

    This timely book addresses the impact of global energy trends and rapid climate change on the Arctic’s increasing role in Russia’s hydrocarbon-based economy in the new geopolitical landscape. Arild Moe and Anna Korppoo utilise new data to provide a comprehensive understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of Russia’s Arctic development strategy and its economic underpinning, with its emphasis on hydrocarbon extraction and exports.
    Chapters analyse the potential developments that may impact Russia’s future activities in the Arctic. Key topics include scientific progress, the role of climate policy and public concerns, the economic foundation of mega-projects in the Arctic, and the repercussions of sanctions after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Moe and Korppoo offer key insights, arguing that geopolitics and the energy transition away from fossil fuels will be pressures Russia must eventually confront.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    +5
    China’s Renewable Energy Revolution Is a Huge Mess That Might Save the World
    A global onslaught of cheap Chinese green power is upending everything in its path. No one is ready for its repercussions.

    There’s a particular kind of sci-fi nerd who equates fusion tech with utopia. If we could only harness the engine of the stars, it would uncork near limitless energy and neatly sweep away a whole mess of humanity’s problems. But how would that work exactly? What would the transition look like?
    You don’t have to wonder. It’s happening now. Solar panels and wind turbines capture the fusion of the sun and convert it to electricity. And at the scale and pace that China is producing them, plenty of things stand to be swept away—including, quite possibly, the once seemingly intractable problems of energy poverty and fossil-fuel dependence. In 2024, the total installed electricity capacity of the planet—every coal, gas, hydro, and nuclear plant and all of the renewables—was about 10 terawatts. The Chinese solar supply chain can now pump out 1 terawatt of panels every year.
    In China itself, vast energy megabases combining solar and wind stretch for miles in the country’s western deserts and Tibetan highlands, each producing the power of multiple nuclear plants and connecting to population centers in the country’s east via ultrahigh-voltage power lines. At the smaller end of the scale, panels have sprouted on rooftops all over the more populated eastern half of the country, thanks to policies that standardize the process and paperwork required to install and tie them into the grid. Huge factories, urban apartment buildings, and humble village homes are plastered with panels. In Europe, Chinese-made photovoltaic panels are so cheap that they cost less than fencing materials. Globally, the glut of solar has lowered the average cost of generating electricity to 4 cents a kilowatt hour—perhaps the cheapest form of energy ever.

    https://archive.is/20260305231230/https://www.wired.com/story/china-renewable-energy-revolution/#selection-947.0-969.864
    TADEAS
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    1 odpověď+2
    Will war in the Middle East accelerate the clean energy transition? | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2519862-will-war-in-the-middle-east-accelerate-the-clean-energy-transition/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +1
    SKORZENY: refeeuje to k segmentu predtim v tom samem videu:

    Wind and solar reaching 30% in the EU is the visible numerator of a fraction whose denominator is shrinking. Industrial demand is leaving Europe which makes the renewable share look better while the economy gets worse. The energy transition did add renewables, but it also shut down nuclear, replacing zero-carbon base load with intermittency, severed Russian gas, replacing cheap pipeline gas with expensive LNG, and layered on carbon taxes and grid surcharge charges that made the total system cost uncompetitive.

    Europe is running a real-time experiment in whether an advanced industrial economy can maintain its productive capacity at today's superorganism throughput level while fundamentally restructuring its energy system. And so far the answer is not without enormous economic pain and possibly not at all.
    TADEAS
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    1 odpověď+2
    TADEAS: nate hagens ad cinske stagnujici emise TADEAS


    China's CO2 emissions were flat or slightly down, down 3/10ths of 1% in 2025. And again, every news outlet is framing this chart as proof the green transition is working. That's looking at the chart, but let's look at the system. Chinese coal production hit an all-time record of 4.8 billion tons in 2025, up 1.2%. Coal power capacity additions hit their highest level in a decade. New coal project proposals surged to a record 1.6 gigawatt and China still consumes nearly 40% more coal than the rest of the world combined.


    So where did the emission savings come from?

    Cement production collapsed close to 10% due to the real estate contraction. Building materials, metals, and steel all down. So the emissions decline isn't clean energy replacing dirty energy in a growing economy. It's partly a construction sector in freefall masking continued and growing coal dependence and the chemical sector which is coal to chemicals grew their emissions 12%.

    This is the EU renewable story again just from the other direction. The metric and the graphics in the news — flat emissions — looks like progress. But the system — record coal, collapsing cement on a real estate crisis — tells us something very different
    TADEAS
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    1 odpověď+1
    climax

    https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322%2825%2900391-4

    Point of no return: a hellish ‘hothouse Earth’ getting closer, scientists say | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/11/point-of-no-return-hothouse-earth-global-heating-climate-tipping-points

    Continued global heating could trigger climate tipping points, leading to a cascade of further tipping points and feedback loops, they said. This would lock the world into a new and hellish “hothouse Earth” climate far worse than the 2-3C temperature rise the world is on track to reach. The climate would also be very different to the benign conditions of the past 11,000 years, during which the whole of human civilisation developed.

    At just 1.3C of global heating in recent years, extreme weather is already taking lives and destroying livelihoods across the globe. At 3-4C, “the economy and society will cease to function as we know it”, scientists said last week, but a hothouse Earth would be even more fiery.

    The public and politicians were largely unaware of the risk of passing the point of no return, the researchers said. The group said they were issuing their warning because while rapid and immediate cuts to fossil fuel burning were challenging, reversing course was likely to be impossible once on the path to a hothouse Earth, even if emissions were eventually slashed.

    It was difficult to predict when climate tipping points would be triggered, making precaution vital, said Dr Christopher Wolf, a scientist at Terrestrial Ecosystems Research Associates in the US. Wolf is a member of a study team that includes Prof Johan Rockström at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and Prof Hans Joachim Schellnhuber at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Austria.

    “Crossing even some of the thresholds could commit the planet to a hothouse trajectory,” said Wolf. “Policymakers and the public remain largely unaware of the risks posed by what would effectively be a point-of-no-return transition.
    TADEAS
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    +4
    ‘The trend is irreversible’: has Romania shattered the link between economic growth and high emissions? | Romania | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/11/is-romania-blueprint-economic-growth-low-emissions

    Once the frozen fields outside Bucharest have thawed, workers will assemble the largest solar farm in Europe: one million PV panels backed by batteries to power homes after sunset. But the 760MW project in southern Romania will not hold the title for long. In the north-west, authorities have approved a bigger plant that will boast a capacity of 1GW.

    The sun-lit plots of silicone and glass will join a slew of projects that have rendered the Romanian economy unrecognisable from its polluted state when communism ended. They include an onshore windfarm near the Black Sea that for several years was Europe’s biggest, a nuclear power plant by the Danube whose lifetime is being extended by 30 years, and a fast-spreading patchwork of solar panels topping homes and shops across the country.

    “The trend is irreversible,” said Liviu Gavrila, vice-president of the Romanian Wind Energy Association and manager at Enery, which is building the solar farm. “But we need to play it smart.”

    Few would consider Romania a climate leader but on one metric it has found the holy grail of the energy transition. The country has decoupled economic growth from pollution faster than anywhere else in Europe, and perhaps even the world. Its net greenhouse gas emissions intensity fell by 88% between 1990 and 2023, the latest data shows, meaning each dollar’s worth of economic activity heats the planet almost 10 times less than it did before. Emissions have plunged by 75%.
    TADEAS
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    +2
    "Climate hushing"—the quiet trend undermining global climate action
    https://www.talkingclimate.ca/p/climate-hushingthe-quiet-trend-undermining?

    As political winds have shifted in the United States and elsewhere over the past year, “climate hushing” has become a real thing: and that’s bad news. “When leaders don’t talk about something, enthusiasm falls among voters,” Senator Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island writes here. “In politics, you can often make your own wind, or you can make your own doldrums.”

    Unfortunately, climate hushing is going global. This year, when world leaders spoke at the World Economic Forum’s meeting in January, nearly every single one of them avoided the topic—even Prime Minister Mark Carney, a former UN Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance. Why is this? “In today’s deeply polarizing U.S. political stance, climate discussion has come to feel so radioactive that many leaders would rather avoid it,” sustainable business professor Anjali Chaudhry writes.

    The only major leader to break the silence was Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, who used his speech to press for collaborative climate action. ”We invite enterprises from all over the world to embrace the opportunities from the green and low-carbon transition, and work closely with China in such areas as green infrastructure, green energy, green minerals and green finance,” he said.

    The organization We Don’t Have Time hosted an alternative WEF speech, held on a pile of snow and featuring several of my colleagues and leading systems thinkers, including Dr. Johan Rockström, Sandrine Dixson-Declève, and former Unilever CEO Paul Polman, who said,

    “We know what needs to be done [about climate change]. It is not a failure of resources. Global capital has never been more abundant. It is a failure of collaboration and collective action. A failure of governments to align around shared interests rather than narrow advantage; of businesses to act as system-shapers rather than short-term competitors; and of leaders across sectors to share risk, and act in service of a common good.”
    TUHO
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    +6
    How Ukraine Is Turning to Renewables to Keep Heat and Lights On
    Russia continues to bomb Ukraine’s fossil-fueled power plants, leaving much of the nation shivering during a brutal winter. But Ukraine’s new emphasis on developing decentralized power — from solar panels to wind turbines — is advancing an unexpected green energy transition.
    How Ukraine Is Turning to Renewables to Keep Heat and Lights On - Yale E360
    https://e360.yale.edu/features/ukraine-war-renewable-energy
    TUHO
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    +4
    More and More and More
    Jean-Baptiste Fressoz

    A radical new history of energy and humanity's insatiable need for resources that will change the way we talk about climate change

    It has become habitual to think of our relationship with energy as one of transition: with wood superseded by coal, coal by oil, oil by nuclear and then at some future point all replaced by green sources. Jean-Baptiste Fressoz’s devastating but unnervingly entertaining book shows what an extraordinary delusion this is. Far from the industrial era passing through a series of transformations, each new phase has in practice remained almost wholly entangled with the previous one. Indeed the very idea of transition turns out to be untrue.

    The author shares the same acute anxiety about the need for a green transition as the rest of us, but shows how, disastrously, our industrial history has in fact been based on symbiosis, with each major energy source feeding off the others. Using a fascinating array of examples, Fressoz describes how we have gorged on all forms of energy – with whole forests needed to prop up coal mines, coal remaining central to the creation of innumerable new products and oil still central to our lives. The world now burns more wood and coal than ever before.

    This book reveals an uncomfortable truth: ‘transition’ was originally itself promoted by energy companies, not as a genuine plan, but as a means to put off any meaningful change. More and More and More forces its readers to understand the modern world in all its voracious reality, and the true nature of the challenges heading our way.

    More and More and More - Jean-Baptiste Fressoz | Knihy z Martinusu
    https://www.martinus.sk/3010425-more-and-more-and-more/2686021
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    +1
    https://news.mongabay.com/short-article/2025/12/critical-minerals-dropped-from-final-text-at-cop30/
    “Critical minerals [environmental warning] dropped from final text at COP30…

    “An earlier draft text on the just energy transition included a paragraph recognizing “the social and environmental risks associated with scaling up supply chains for clean energy technologies, including risks arising from the extraction and processing of critical minerals… however, China made it clear that any inclusion of language about minerals governance was a red line…”
    TADEAS
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    +2
    Compromises, voluntary measures and no mention of fossil fuels: key points from Cop30 deal | Cop30 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/nov/22/roadmaps-adaptations-and-transitions-what-climate-measures-were-agreed-at-cop30

    The roadmap for the transition away from fossil fuels was blocked from the formal Cop30 decision and the Brazilian presidency announced the plan would proceed outside the UN process. It will be merged with a plan backed by Colombia and about 90 other countries, with a summit set for April. This “coalition of the willing” could push progress forward.

    The Cop30 president, André Corrêa do Lago, said the plan to develop the roadmap had the support of President Lula and would involve high-level dialogues over the next year, led by science and involving governments, industry and civil society. Once complete, he said they would report back to Cop.

    “Those governments committed to tackling the climate crisis at its source are uniting to move forward outside the UN, under the leadership of Colombia and Pacific Island states, to phase out fossil fuels rapidly, equitably, and in line with 1.5C,” said Nikki Reisch, at the Center for International Environmental Law. “The international conference next April is the first stop on the path to a livable future.”
    TADEAS
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    +2
    China doesn’t want to lead alone on climate policies, senior adviser warns | Cop30 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/nov/19/china-doesnt-want-to-take-lead-on-climate-policies-alone-senior-adviser-warns

    In an exclusive interview, Wang said theChinese president, Xi Jinping, was committed to the energy transition for the long haul despite resistance from some industrial sectors. He explained that China’s priority in Belém was to help the Brazilian presidency achieve a successful climate conference, and to show the benefits of multilateral decision-making. On Tuesday, the first draft of a possible agreement was published at the Cop30 summit, reviving the hotly contested plan to transition away from fossil fuels.

    China is the planet’s biggest emitter of carbon dioxide from burning of coal, oil and gas, but it is now also a world leader in the production, installation and export of wind turbines, solar panels and electric cars.

    He said China wanted to “speed up and scale up its efforts to provide more global public goods” despite serious geopolitical and economic tensions and unilateral barriers to trade, including tariffs. The country’s emissions have been flat or falling for 18 months.

    He estimated China’s per capita power consumption would continue to grow from 7,000 kilowatt hours in 2024 to “well over 10,000, maybe 12,000” – but there would be a steady move away from fossil fuels to wind and solar, as well as green hydrogen, green ammonia and electric vehicles. Along with a new power grid system, he said the country was in the midst of a “comprehensive green transition of social economic development”.

    As in many countries, Wang suggested there was some resistance to change, but the president had sent a clear signal about the direction of travel. “Even in China, we have a lot of industrial conflict ... but the central government, including President Xi, is very clear to us that we must, in the next five years’ time, speed up the new power system.”

    In the absence of the US, China’s role is even more crucial than usual to the success or failure of Cop30, where the Brazilian president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has urged his negotiators to lay the foundations for an exit ramp out of the fossil fuel era.
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