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    MESKPeak Oil - zlom ropy
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Mann also offers no data on tight oil production and price, but here are the key facts. In 2012, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the U.S. consumed about 18.5 million barrels a day (mb/d) of liquid fuels and produced about 11 mb/d. Only about 7 mb/d of that 11 was actual crude oil, and about 1 mb/d of that was from tight oil. The non-crude liquids the US produced have less energy content than crude, and some of it cannot be made into vehicular fuel.

    One cannot easily make a case for incipient U.S. "energy independence" on the basis of 1 mb/d of new tight oil production. A host of dubious assumptions and data distortions underlie the recent energy independence forecasts which I will not delve into here, but I have examined and debunked most of the reports that Mann cites, including those from the IEA (here and here), Ed Morse at Citigroup (here and here), and Leonardo Maugeri.

    Are Methane Hydrates Really Going to Change Geopolitics? - Technology - The Atlantic
    http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/print/2013/05/are-methane-hydrates-really-going-to-change-geopolitics/275275/
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Peak oil does not occur when we run out of oil. Peak oil occurs when the marginal consumer is no longer willing to pay the cost of extracting and processing the marginal barrel of oil. And we can actually calculate what the related numbers are.

    To begin with, we refer to the price a nation’s oil consumers are willing to pay as its “carrying capacity.” For the US, carrying capacity is about $95-100 Brent [per-barrel oil price in London]. If the oil price is above this level, oil consumption will decline—which is exactly what we see and what we predicted four years ago. But carrying capacity is not a static number. It changes over time, specifically, with three things: GDP growth, efficiency gains in the use of oil, and dollar inflation. So if GDP goes up, efficiency goes up and the CPI goes up, then the amount that consumers are willing to pay for oil will increase. For China, by the way, we estimate the carrying capacity at around $115-120 / barrel Brent. So oil consumption will increase in China at $115 Brent, but fall in the advanced economies—exactly the pattern we’ve seen in the last few years.

    Interview with Steve Kopits - capital expenditures in the oil industry
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    E2E4: spíš "kotransportace", nebo jak to říct :-) nevím, jak by skleněné izolátory nesly, kdyby ještě musely zvládat vibrace způsobené kladkama.. i když asi by se ten hliníkový drát odvíjel přeci jen relativně pomalu...

    mimochodem... víš, že pokud čepuješ benzín či naftu do auta tempem 1l/s (realistický odhad), tak tou hadicí protéká výkon asi 165 MW? tedy, kdyby se měly elektromobily dobíjely stejným tempem, jako osobní auta, tak celý dnešní Temelín zvládne v jednu chvíli dobíjet tak max. 15 elektromobilů? (a to nebereme v úvahu ztráty v rozvodné síti...)
    E2E4
    E2E4 --- ---
    XCHAOS: No a dokonce bys mohl kombinovat oboji - kongenerace elektriny a hliniku. :)
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    E2E4: samozřejmě. vždyť o tom mluvím už několik let. jednoduše by si místo ropovodů měl hliníkovody, no (vlastně můžeš použít vedení vysokého napětí, akorát drát bude na kladkách jako u lanovky, a bude se po trase posouvat)
    E2E4
    E2E4 --- ---
    XCHAOS: To ale nejsou dobijeci baterie - vskutecnosti palis hlinik, stejne jako bys palil uhli - jen je to pomalejsi. V hlinikarne se zase z oxidu hliniku dela hlinik - elektrolyzou.. Nejak nevim cemu to pomuze, hlinikovy cyklus bude jiste jeste mene navratny nez napr vodikovy..
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    o hliníkových bateriích jsem mluvil už před několika lety... aneb budoucnost patří aluminiu:
    Will Future Tesla Cars Use Metal-Air Batteries? - Slashdot
    http://tech.slashdot.org/story/13/04/23/199248/will-future-tesla-cars-use-metal-air-batteries
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Ropný zlom sa odkladá? Nie tak rýchlo! Blog - Alexander Ač (blog.sme.sk)
    http://ac.blog.sme.sk/c/326681/Ropny-zlom-sa-odklada-Nie-tak-rychlo.html
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Resource Insights: Aging giant oil fields, not new discoveries are the key to future oil supply
    http://resourceinsights.blogspot.sk/2013/04/aging-giant-oil-fields-not-new.html
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Some vested interest group played a dirty hand in getting me, Mark Anthony, completely banned on Seeking Alpha. My previous articles are still there. But I bet they will ultimately remove all traces of them eventually...

    My study shows that Bakken well declines MUCH FASTER than even Arthur Berman claimed. For example I summed up production from 3062 Bakken wells that has been continuously producing in all the months from May to Nov 2012, including 128 wells that only started in May 2012. That's the entirety of all wells I can find that has been producing continuously, but excluding a few that produced for a while and then shut down.

    In May 2012, those existing wells produced at average of 506869 Barrels per day (BOE), with gas and oil production lumped together as Barrel of Oil Equivalence (BOE).

    In Nov 2012, only six months later, these same 3062 wells produced at 353040 BOE/day. That's a drop of -30.35% in merely six months. That's averaging at -0.2% drop per day, or -5.9% drop per month, or -51.5% drop per year.

    The Oil Drum | Drumbeat: April 10, 2013
    http://www.theoildrum.com/node/9940#comment-956620
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    The Secret of the Seven Sisters - Special series - Al Jazeera English
    http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/specialseries/2013/04/201344105231487582.html
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Resource Insights: Will the final blow for America’s shale gas ‘revolution’ be high prices?
    http://www.resourceinsights.blogspot.sk/2013/03/will-final-blow-for-americas-shale-gas.html
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Jeden z posledních článků V. Smila. Za celý článek nezmínil cenu ropy...s ní to už až tak růžově nevypadá.

    When the final figures for the fourth quarter of 2012 are in, the world will have a new crude oil production record: the total for the first three quarters was about 1 percent ahead of the 2011 total. This is a remarkable achievement for a commodity with annual output that now surpasses, for the first time ever, 4 billion metric tons and which has been, for decades, the largest source of fossil energy and the most valuable item of international commerce

    http://www.vaclavsmil.com/wp-content/uploads/Memories-of-Peak-Oil-%E2%80%94-The-American-Magazine.pdf
    VSOUKOLOHLOR
    VSOUKOLOHLOR --- ---
    Russia, the second largest natural gas producer closely behind the U.S., faces a
    struggle between declining production from ageing fields and new expensive and time
    consuming developments in Northern Siberia and offshore. Russian gas production
    reached a first peak in 1989 when the largest fields passed peak production. Gazprom
    production never reached that level again. Ageing fields force Russia to speed up the
    development of new fields. The developments of Shtokmanskoye in the Barents Sea
    and of other fields in Yamal are delayed. If the gas fields in the Yamal Peninsula
    would be developed in time, they would have produced 310-360 bcm in 2030
    according to Gazprom. But even this will not be sufficient to compensate for the
    decline of ageing current fields. Domestic consumption in Russia and growing demand
    from Asia will put increasing pressure on volumes available for export from Eurasia to
    Europe in the coming years.

    Celý report -
    http://www.energywatchgroup.org/fileadmin/global/pdf/EWG-update2013_long_18_03_2013.pdf
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