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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Topíme a svítíme palivovým článkem, část 2. – vodík a metanol - TZB-info
    https://oze.tzb-info.cz/...elektriny/19331-topime-a-svitime-palivovym-clankem-cast-2-vodik-a-metanol
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TUHO: Hmm, vegetace to asi začne odbourávat až v květnu.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Peak Oil Review: 23 March 2020 - Resilience
    https://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-03-23/peak-oil-review-23-march-2020/

    The silver lining to the coronavirus epidemic is that a slowing global economy is leading to a significant reduction in harmful carbon emissions. The downside is that cheaper fossil fuels and a massive reduction in economic activity are leading to slower investments in clean energy projects ranging from electric cars to solar and wind generator farms. How long this situation will last is unknown.

    The conventional wisdom, as expressed by the IEA, is that the pandemic will be over shortly and that emissions will return to their inexorable growth. The IEA says that multi-billion-dollar investments in clean energy are likely to evaporate into thin air, with the current year set to record the first fall in solar energy growth in four decades.

    Sales of electric vehicles are expected to come to a standstill for the first time in more than a decade. Even more worrying, the agency sees a dramatic reversal in the incremental shift away from coal-fired power plants that have lowered harmful emissions in recent years. However, many industrialized countries, particularly in the EU, are dedicated to reducing harmful emissions in the next decade. Advances in battery technology and large-scale production of electric vehicles could make them cheaper to own and operate.

    ...

    Given the unprecedented impact the coronavirus epidemic is having on the global economy, it seems unlikely that there will be much new investment in renewable energy sources for the immediate future. With fossil fuels, consumption and prices plunging, and the consequent reduction in carbon emissions, the growth in renewable usage is likely to slow for a while.

    Observers are already ruminating as to whether the rush to electric cars will be grinding to a halt soon. While scientists continue to report progress in developing better batteries, hydrogen trucks, electrical recharging cables buried under highways, and even nuclear fusion, the implementation of these developments seems likely to be delayed for months, years, or perhaps decades.

    ...

    Biofuels markets across the world are reeling from the oil crash this week, from Brazil to Malaysia. Bloomberg News points out that crude’s nosedive erases any chance of discretionary blending of palm oil with diesel, and drastically inflates the cost of government mandates. Biofuels, such as a blend of diesel with palm, need to be attractively priced compared with fossil fuels to encourage consumption, and that often requires subsidies.

    ...

    Airline bankruptcies coming: Sydney-based consultancy CAPA Centre for Aviation warned in a statement on Monday morning that most of the world’s airlines will be bankrupt by the end of May. Airline carriers are suspending routes for March, April, and May, and a full grounding of fleets has yet to be ruled out as flight restrictions have been placed across the world, spurring a collapse in demand, due to the Covid-19 pandemic

    ...

    IEA urges stimulus package support for clean energy: The executive director of the International Energy Agency said on Saturday that any major economic stimulus package should have a heavy focus on clean energy. He noted that while everyone is rightly focused on the pandemic, the threat of climate change continues to grow. The IEA has long received criticism from environmentalists for favoring fossil fuels, so the full-throated statement for what sounds like a version of the Green New Deal, at a time when the oil and gas industry is in a historical crisis, is remarkable. (3/18)

    ...

    Negative oil prices? As prices barrel toward the lowest levels since the start of the century, negative prices have re-entered the realm of possibility. US oil futures just hit an 18-year low and that has a few traders and analysts wondering whether physical crude prices — in at least some parts of Canada and the shale patch — could actually drop below zero. It’s a rare but not impossible feat. Case in point: In the aftermath of the last major downturn four years ago, a North Dakota sour crude was briefly priced at negative 50 cents a barrel before being revised to a mere $1.50. (3/20)

    ...

    Ozone-destroying chemicals once thought to be successfully banished are now making their way into the air again, slowing down our atmosphere’s recovery after those same chemicals effectively ripped a hole in it in the mid-20th century. Slowing things down still further: scientists haven’t been able to figure out where the chemicals are coming from. (3/19)

    ...

    China’s greenhouse gas emissions rose 2.6 percent in 2019 despite a fall in the share of coal in the country’s energy mix, driven by a rise in energy consumption and greater use of oil and gas, the research team Rhodium Group said Wednesday. Total greenhouse gas emissions in China last year were estimated at 13.92 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. The annual growth rate is slightly lower than the 2010-2019 average of 3 percent and well below the average 9.2 percent increase over 2000-2009. (3/19)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Biologicke centrum AVCR



    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Colombian death squads exploiting coronavirus lockdown to kill activists | World news | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/...23/colombian-groups-exploiting-coronavirus-lockdown-to-kill-activists
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TUHO: imho nejhorsi, co se mohlo klimatu stat, je koronavir. pac sme se zase dostali k zakladum maaslowovy hierarchie potreb, misto abysme resili dlouhodoby kulturne-moralne-udrzitelny problemy a meli "nadbytky" casu a zdroju, ktery do reseni muzeme alokovat

    ale treba se pletu, treba spicky evropy opravdu pouzivaji vic neokortexu misto amygdaly a snad budou mit koule to obhajit a prodat i lidem ktery nebudou mit co do huby az se vody trochu uklidni

    pokud ano, tak to bude dalsi tipping point lidsky kulturni evoluce... alespon v EU..
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Minimálně v USA požadavky průmyslu, kterého by se měla klimatická opatření dotknout, padají v posledních dnech na úrodnou půdu. Prezident Trump oznámil, že stojí plně za sdružením amerických leteckých dopravců, které požádalo o kompenzaci ve výši 58 miliard dolarů za ztráty způsobené koronavirem. S šokujícím požadavkem přišel i svaz amerických těžařů: usiluje o zrušení nebo snížení části poplatků, které musí odvádět. Patří mezi ně příspěvky na rekultivaci opuštěných uhelných dolů, ale například i daň určená na podporu horníků s plicními onemocněními. Na koronavirové odpustky by tak doplatili ti, kteří mají svých problémů dost a navíc jsou vůči nákaze velmi zranitelní.

    Jak se k fosilnímu průmyslu postaví Evropa, zatím není úplně jasné. Že se možná nacházíme na bodu zlomu, si uvědomuje více než 150 organizací sdružených do sítě Stay Grounded. Ta evropským ministrům dopravy před jejich virtuálním jednáním minulou středu poslala otevřený dopis, ve kterém žádá, aby leteckému průmyslu neposkytovali ničím nepodmíněnou finanční injekci. Už teď mají aerolinky nadstandardní podmínky, které je zvýhodňují před jinými způsoby dopravy. Letecké palivo je osvobozené od daně a existují i výjimky, díky kterým aerolinky nemusí platit daň z přidané hodnoty. Podle uniklé zprávy Evropské komise by přitom samotné standardní zdanění kerosinu snížilo emise letecké dopravy o 11 procent, aniž by mělo negativní dopad na ekonomiku.

    Zelená dohoda je prostředek, jak z krize ven. V Evropě to na rozdíl od Babiše vědí – A2larm
    https://a2larm.cz/...lena-dohoda-je-prostredek-jak-z-krize-ven-v-evrope-to-na-rozdil-od-babise-vedi/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Kris Karnauskas
    @OceansClimateCU
    I'm not certain this is caused by #COVID19 but there have only been two years since 1975 when CO2 rose less since the first of the year.

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    The Largest Ecosystems On The Planet Could Collapse In A Single Lifetime, Study Finds | CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/...osystems-on-the-planet-could-collapse-in-a-single-lifetime-study-finds/
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    mě spíš zaujalo tohle:

    Vývoz uhlí z USA loni kvůli slabší globální poptávce poklesl o 20 %
    https://oenergetice.cz/uhli/vyvoz-uhli-usa-loni-kvuli-slabsi-globalni-poptavce-poklesl-20

    v souvisloti s tímhle:

    Dánská společnost pomůže s projektem největšího amerického offshore větrného parku
    https://oenergetice.cz/...-spolecnost-pomuze-projektem-nejvetsiho-americkeho-offshore-vetrneho-parku

    a s tím, že už minulý rok v usa zavřeli několik uhel. elektráren, to znamená, že havíří za chvíli nebudou mít, co žrát, protože cena uhelný elektriky půjde čím dál víc do háje.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Spotřeba elektrické energie v evropských zemích vlivem omezení v souvislosti s infekčním onemocněním Covid-19 významně klesá. Největší pokles hlásí Itálie a Francie, kde spotřeba ve 12. týdnu klesla o 16-20 % ve srovnání s dlouhodobým průměrem. S narůstajícím úsilím zemí pro zpomalení šíření viru lze očekávat, že podobný pokles bude brzy zaznamenán i v dalších evropských zemích.

    Koronavirus má za následek výrazný pokles spotřeby elektřiny. V Itálii klesla o 16 %, ve Francii dokonce o 22 %
    https://oenergetice.cz/...k-vyrazny-pokles-spotreby-elektriny-italii-klesla-16-ve-francii-dokonce-22
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: more corona, oops

    The Systemic Implications of the Coronavirus - a brief overview
    The Systemic Implications of the Coronavirus - a brief overview | Facebook
    https://m.facebook.com/...stemic-implications-of-the-coronavirus-a-brief-overview/10159503423888496/


    1) This cements November 2018 as global peak oil, because there will now be very little upstream investment to offset existing ~6% underlying decline rates.
    2) At $25 oil and $1.5 natural gas, and (about to be) a serious lack of capital, scaling of renewable energy is now dead in the water.
    3) And worst of all, with energy at rock bottom prices (not costs) it means general public (and politicians) will not emotionally recognize the centrality of fossil energy depletion as central cause of our ecological overshoot situation, nor that the viability of our societies in 10-20 years needs to use our remaining one ‘wish’ (the other 2 we wasted), to use this fossil magic towards some longer lasting higher purpose cultural objectives.

    In any case, even though global oil production has now peaked, financial depletion will be steeper than oil depletion and so for the foreseeable future advanced economies will be awash in oil and gas –expect under $1 a gallon coming to a town near you in early April. What a horrible signal for what we need to do and where we need to go.

    ...

    I really hate the term ‘social distancing’ – we need spatial distancing, with social bonding. During this crisis, reach out to people who politically disagree with you and break bread, find common ground and find some plans on projects you can collaborate on locally in an apolitical collective that makes the future of your city/neighborhood better. This is one of those times when there is no natural leader to do these things so if not you, WHO?
    RADIQAL
    RADIQAL --- ---
    RADIQAL: OT cont'd: @kámoší disaster kapitalismu od Monbiota:

    The worst possible people are in charge at the worst possible time. In the UK, the US and Australia, the politics of the governing parties have been built on the dismissal and denial of risk. Just as these politics have delayed the necessary responses to climate breakdown, ecological collapse, air and water pollution, obesity and consumer debt, so they appear to have delayed the effective containment of Covid-19.

    Politics is best understood as public relations for particular interests. The interests come first; politics are the means by which they are justified and promoted. On the left, the dominant interest groups can be very large – everyone who uses public services, for example. On the right they tend to be much smaller. In the US, UK and Australia, they are very small indeed: mostly multi-millionaires and a very particular group of companies: those whose profits depend on the cavalier treatment of people and planet.

    The groups these corporations helped to fund – thinktanks and policy units, lobbyists and political action committees – were then used by other interests: private health companies hoping to break up the NHS, pesticide manufacturers seeking to strike down regulatory controls, junk food manufacturers resisting advertising restrictions, billionaires seeking to avoid tax. Between them, these groups honed the justifying ideology for fragmenting and privatising public services, shrinking the state and crippling its ability to govern.

    Monbiot, Prescription for Disaster
    22nd March 2020
    Prescription for Disaster – George Monbiot
    https://www.monbiot.com/2020/03/22/prescription-for-disaster/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    DZODZO: celkovej impakt asi 5%, kde to najdes ,)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Globally networked risks and how to respond
    https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12047?page=3
    dl: https://t.co/WQ4a8udMij

    Today’s strongly connected, global networks have produced highly interdependent systems that we do not understand and cannot control well. These systems are vulnerable to failure at all scales, posing serious threats to society, even when external shocks are absent. As the complexity and interaction strengths in our networked world increase, man-made systems can become unstable, creating uncontrollable situations even when decision-makers are well-skilled, have all data and technology at their disposal, and do their best. To make these systems manageable, a fundamental redesign is needed. A ‘Global Systems Science’ might create the required knowledge and paradigm shift in thinking

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    corona again, but related

    Why you are harming others by not "overreacting" (N N Taleb)
    https://t.co/iSDperUx8g https://t.co/sojDM03Oia

    (PDF) Ethics of Precaution: Individual and Systemic Risk | Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Joe Norman - Academia.edu
    https://www.academia.edu/42223846/Ethics_of_Precaution_Individual_and_Systemic_Risk

    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    TADEAS: akurat to letectvo je male percento znecistovatelov, ale ak to zere tolko penazi, tak ekonomicky to ma zmysel
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Corona lessons for climate change - lifestyle
    https://m.mid-day.com/amp/articles/corona-lessons-for-climate-change/22690205

    The question to ask is that if certain behavioural changes that have been implemented on a large scale during this period—mandatory work from home has reduced vehicular traffic movement restrictions have led to a cut in consumption and eating out; air travel has fallen sharply—can be replicated to combat climate change.

    UK-based Dr Rupert Read from the University of East Anglia (and Extinction Rebellion), says, "The lockdown of entire countries gives us an opportunity to reassess the sort of society we have created. We should reflect on the extreme fragility of our globalised world. The fact that a virus can spread so fast and shut down large sections of the global economy in a matter of months should deeply worry us. This is especially relevant in the context of catastrophic climate change, which threatens to do much the same, but on an unimaginably magnified scale. If we want to get serious about minimising harms like this, then we should scale back globalisation and reduce the extent to which countries require international trade and travel. Producing more stuff on a local or regional level will innoculate us against the types of supply line disruptions that we can expect catastrophic climate change to bring. Reducing international travel will also reduce harmful emissions."

    ...

    Read says, "Countless more people will find themselves destitute unless governments are willing to take radical redistributive action. Beyond this, we should also be looking to question who exactly our economies are currently working for. The economic growth of the last few decades has been characterised by vastly deepening wealth inequalities, while consumption patterns have been ecology-wrecking. The fact is that even before the millions of job losses that we are now seeing in response to the virus, most economies were not working for most people anyway. We should see this crisis as an opportunity to reset our attitude towards economics. Instead of focussing on perpetual economic growth, we ought to reduce overall global consumption and redistribute resources more fairly. This reduction in consumption will weaken the harms of climate collapse, and this redistribution will lead to more people being better able to withstand those harms."

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Coronavirus UK - No bailouts except ‘green’ bailouts
    https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/opinion/coronavirus-uk-no-bailouts-except-green-bailouts/

    Allowing most airline companies simply to fail and turning their resources into a better direction would help to significantly reduce our use of air travel to far more modest amounts. The money earmarked for this industry could be put into alternative industries to create green jobs. Those jets should be beaten into ventilators, solar panels and ploughshares.

    Our government now has the opportunity to realign our economy and shrink sectors like aviation. There is near-universal economic consensus that spending is necessary in these bleak times. Let’s make sure we do such spending wisely. Letting aviation fail, and green jobs rise, would be money well spent. Any bailout of any industry should be subject to stringent green tests. The aviation industry is one of the few that is bound to fail such tests.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Extinction Rebellion UK launches AloneTogether - a Regenerative Rebellion as part of the response to coronavirus - Extinction Rebellion
    https://rebellion.earth/...together-a-regenerative-rebellion-as-part-of-the-response-to-coronavirus/

    This is a world-changing moment. As coronavirus takes hold of our day to day lives, the way we organise and support each other will change. We will lose much we hold dear.

    This calls for an evolution – not a shelving – of our rebellion. This is a time to remember what we are rebelling for – a thriving and just world of regenerative cultures that can weather crises, foster cooperation and look after each other on a global scale.
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