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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Antarctica:

    1. melting is accelerating
    2. record melt of 15%: Dec 2019
    3. hottest day ever 18.3°C: Feb 2020
    4. irreversible collapse has begun
    5. rapid deglaciation of West Antarctica set to begin by 2027 with staggering consequences for humanity
    6. sea level rise chaos by 2035

    https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1225740144000536576/photo/1
    https://t.co/eGAaQauOXn
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global ocean heat content now updated through June 2020

    [Data (anomalies) & methods from @NOAANCEIocngeo: https://t.co/kO4F7zMlFs] https://t.co/Xbv1TdZQJ3

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Video: Covid-19 Will Be Just 'One of Many' New Infectious Diseases Spilling Over From Animals to Humans | InsideClimate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/12082020/zoonotic-diseases-coronavirus-climate-change-video

    "When human and animal populations are both stressed, if that's from disease, from lack of food, from crowding and from changing living conditions and ecology that's related to a changing climate," Akselrod said, "that kind of puts us and them together in a pressure cooker environment as far as disease transmission is concerned."

    Because globalization has increased international trade and travel, it's also far easier for diseases from wild animals to spread quickly around the globe.

    "We are disrupting wild ecosystems at a scale far beyond anything that we have ever done, and we are traveling more quickly" said Quammen. "So when a new virus gets into a human population in some remote corner of the world, it doesn't stay there as an obscure affliction of the people in that village. In more cases than not, it gets to a town, it gets to an airport. And in some cases it gets around the world."

    He added, "So the spillovers that happen are happening probably with greater frequency, but they're also more likely to turn into big events than ever before."
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    This is an excellent animation depicting the threat posed by Antarctica's Thwaites glacier, which is the about the size of Florida and could be the most dangerous glacier in the world.

    Why scientists are so worried about this glacier
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRUxTFWWWdY
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO:

    Canada's last intact ice shelf collapses into the sea
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iAXKN3y4SYs



    A Swiss glacier’s stunning collapse was caught on camera https://t.co/ddYNqa2H8w
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Melting arctic ice fuels climate change and extreme weather events | DW News
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjhj7lEVFZU
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    A discussion of Transformative Adaptation: a way forward for the 2020s
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=msvHevicz24


    Rupert Read in conversation with Ronan Harrington: Where does Extinction Rebellion go from here?
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1KqZAsi3w4c
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Seven top oil firms downgrade assets by $87bn in nine months | Business | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/...20/aug/14/seven-top-oil-firms-downgrade-assets-by-87bn-in-nine-months

    Analysis by the climate finance thinktank Carbon Tracker shows that in the last three month alone, companies including Royal Dutch Shell, BP, Total, Chevron, Repsol, Eni and Equinor have reported downgrades on the value of their assets totalling almost $55bn.

    The oil valuation impairments began at the end of last year in response to growing political support for transition from fossil fuels to cleaner energy sources, and they have accelerated as the pandemic has taken its toll on the oil industry.

    Lockdowns have triggered the sharpest collapse in demand for fossil fuels in 25 years, causing energy commodity markets to crash to historic lows.

    The oil market collapse, which reached its nadir in April, has forced companies to reassess their expectations for prices in the coming years.

    BP has cut its oil forecasts by almost a third, to an average of $55 a barrel between 2020 and 2050, while Shell has cut its forecasts from $60 a barrel to an average of $35 a barrel this year, rising to $40 next year, $50 in 2022 and $60 from 2023.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    „Ledovcová pokrývka se dostala do nové dynamické fáze. I kdyby se nám podařilo vrátit do klimatického stavu, který jsme měli před 20 nebo 30 lety, stále budeme ledovcovou masu ztrácet příliš rychle,“ uvedl pro CNN Ian Howat, spoluautor studie a profesor na Ohijské státní univerzitě.
    Grónské ledovce přijdou každoročně o 280 miliard tun tajícího ledu, což z nich dělá největšího přispěvatele k celosvětovému nárůstu hladiny moří. Ztráta ledu byla v posledních letech tak masivní, že podle vědců způsobila i měřitelnou změnu gravitačního pole nad Grónskem.

    Už není cesty zpět. Grónské ledovce roztály na kritickou hranici - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/...z-neni-cesty-zpet-gronske-ledovce-roztaly-na-kritickou-hranici-116148
    LINKOS
    LINKOS --- ---
    XCHAOS: nechtěl by sis třeba místo nepodložených tvrzení raději trochu pogooglit, když přijde někdo s jinými čísly? https://www.nazeleno.cz/kolik-elektriny-vyrobi-fotovoltaicke-panely/
    Teď je situace taková, že v době kdyby sme mohli spotřebu pokrýt z oze, palime uhlí, to se jako první musí napravit. Rozvojem oze, případně i nahrazením toho uhlí plynem. Obojí značně sníží naše emise.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    puda jako obnovitelny zdroj


    Topsoil is a Renewable Resource
    https://www.facebook.com/groups/Soil4Climate/permalink/2771188076486262/

    One of the most pervasive myths concerning agriculture, right up there with the false belief that cows are inherently deleterious to the environment, is the oft-repeated notion that it takes 500 to 1000 years to form an inch (2.5cm) of topsoil. Untrue.

    Contrary to what many scientists say, and most people believe, topsoil can be formed rapidly. This is a crucial aspect of the regenerative agriculture revolution, for it is only by forming topsoil quickly that billions of tons of excess carbon can be removed from the air to restore grassland ecosystems, fix the broken hydrological cycle, and cool the planet.

    The estimate that it requires 1000 years to form 1” of topsoil was originally made by Charles Darwin, who observed that approximately 2” of topsoil had accreted on top of Roman ruins that were roughly 2,000 years ago. It apparently did not occur to Darwin that atop marble or stone blocks might not be the ideal site for topsoil formation. The soil he measured was likely blown there by the wind or tracked in by animals.

    ACRES U.S.A. ... there’s a widespread belief, actually dogma, that the formation of soil is an exceedingly slow process. ... You describe the formation of topsoil as being breathtakingly rapid.
    DR. CHRISTINE JONES. People have confused the weathering of rock, which is a very, very slow process, with the building of topsoil, which is altogether different. ...
    ACRES U.S.A. Why have many soil scientists denied the phenomenon of rapid soil-building?
    JONES. Because they do their research in places where it’s not happening, where the carbon is running down and the soils are deteriorating. We need to measure carbon on farms where soil-building is occurring and see what the farmers and ranchers are doing to make that happen.

    Excerpt from interview with Australian soil ecologist Dr. Christine Jones
    SOS: Save our Soils
    Acres, March 2015, Vol. 45, No. 3
    http://www.amazingcarbon.com/PDF/Jones_ACRES_USA%20%28March2015%29.pdf

    In his book, “The Omnivore’s Dilemma,” author Michael Pollan describes how Virginia regenerative farmer Joel Salatin is able to form 1 inch of new topsoil in a few years.

    Graziers using Holistic Planned Grazing (aka “Adaptive Grazing”), developed by wildlife biologist Allan Savory, have reported an inch or more of new topsoil formation per year.

    [34:35] “We found almost a foot of new topsoil built directly on top of that gravel and sand layer, in 10 years.”
    Allen Williams, PhD - Restore Soil and Ecosystem Health with Adaptive Grazing (2018, 42 mins.)
    https://youtu.be/BwH6od6Jaq8

    [2:16] “In the last 3 years, we’ve accumulated about 2, 2 1/2 inches of soil ....”
    Rapidly Building Soil - See how we’re building soil and biodiversity with managed grazing
    Mastodon Valley Farm (2019, 4 mins.)
    https://youtu.be/1daaoX2uFqA

    Soil Carbon Cowboys
    (2013, 12 mins.)
    https://youtu.be/MDoUDLbg8tg

    Allan Savory’s TED Talk - How to fight desertification and reverse climate change (2013, 22 mins.)
    https://www.ted.com/talks/allan_savory_how_to_green_the_world_s_deserts_and_reverse_climate_change
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    Warming Greenland ice sheet passes point of no return
    https://news.osu.edu/warming-greenland-ice-sheet-passes-point-of-no-return
    MRTVEJ
    MRTVEJ --- ---
    me fascinuje :o)
    jak zvratit co zvratit ? vzdyt ani nezpomalujem a co setrvacnost ? :o)
    Už není cesty zpět. Grónské ledovce roztály na kritickou hranici - Seznam Zprávy
    https://www.seznamzpravy.cz/...z-neni-cesty-zpet-gronske-ledovce-roztaly-na-kritickou-hranici-116148
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    LINKOS: Možná 25%... ale jen poloviční dobu. Takže jsme poblíž těch 10%, o kterých mluvím.

    Já nejsem v žádném případě proti fotovoltaice.. jen zdůrazňuju, že bez úložiště se jako záloha bude používat pořád ten zemní plyn, protože prostě má rychlý start a tak (a navíc ho samotný skladujeme v úložištích). Energetické úložiště by mohlo i vykupovat levné přebytky OZE z okolních zemí, takže by to mohlo být zajímavé i při menším podílu OZE u nás (samozřejmě ho nemá cenu krmit "přebytečnou" energií z uhlí, že jo...)

    V zimě prostě na fotovoltaiku nemá smysl spoléhat. Spousta lidí si elektřinou i topí nebo ohřívá vodu... prostě to nebude fungovat, od poloviny března možná trochu, ale uprostřed zimy ne.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Heating of the world’s oceans could radically reorganise marine food webs across the globe causing the numbers of some species to collapse while promoting the growth of algae, new research has warned.
    Healthy marine food webs that look like a pyramid, with smaller numbers of larger predatory species at the top and more abundant smaller organisms at the bottom, could become “bottom heavy”.
    The types of species that could become less abundant in the oceans are the same ones targeted by commercial fishing and also are socially and culturally important to many communities around the globe.
    In the research, published in the journal Science, researchers at the University of Adelaide recreated a marine habitat in a series of 1,800-litre tanks and then subjected some to temperature and CO2 changes.

    Marine food webs could be radically altered by heating of oceans, scientists warn | Environment | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/...-webs-could-be-radically-altered-by-heating-of-oceans-scientists-warn
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: ad regenerativni zemedelstvi (podobnej systemovej / motivacni nahled jako obrazek nize)

    LINKOS
    LINKOS --- ---
    XCHAOS: panel v zimě dává 25% toho co v létě... Úložiště se nejspíše budou řešit jednak predimenzovanim, osobní akumulací v domácnostech a jednotlivích podnicich... I kdyby sme byli schopni pokrýt jen denní spotřebu ze solárů byl by to velký pokrok. Záloha by byla potřeba hlavně v zimě, to by sme mohli klidně zatím dále řešit uhlim/plynem a tak za deset dvacet let kdy by sme meli už dostatek solárů, by se teprve vyresila ta zimní spotřeba.

    Jestli si myslíš že dnešní krajina není technizovana, zkus trochu více zjistit jak se pěstuje jídlo, co všechno se používá za mechanizaci a co se používá za postřiky. Lesnictví podobně. V podstatě smíšený nebo nějaký přirozenější les je v podstatě marginální věc. Starý či umírající strom je prakticky rarita, ani včely co chováme nejsou původní a bez lidské péče je rychle zlikviduje varoa destruktor. A to vůbec nemluvím o pěstování řepky, která je silně neefektivní, viz moje nedávná tabulka.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global Climate Action III:
    The Power of Consciousness
    https://medium.com/...stitute-blog/global-climate-action-iii-the-power-of-consciousness-a15b9422e57f



    ...

    Access to what the Wuppertal Institute’s Uwe Schneidewind calls “transformation literacy” is highly restricted, which is even more true for vertical literacy, as I have argued before. Both of these capacities happen to be in the blind spot of higher education today. Yet access to them is more critical than ever before. What could scale, and amplify vertical transformation literacy at a level of scale that is commensurate with the challenges we face? What might be a real game changer in addressing this blind spot of our learning and leadership systems today?

    ...

    Today, our main issue is no longer how to bring cutting-edge design into the construction of physical architecture, but how to bring state-of-the-art systems change methods to the evolution of new social architectures — social architectures that would be critical to accelerate the civilizational renewal and planetary healing called for today.

    What if we reimagined a 21st century Bauhaus for transformation literacy? What if such a social Bauhaus would focus on the development and dissemination of vertical transformation literacy, that is, on methods and tools for awareness-based systems change? What if such a school, unlike the one a hundred years earlier, were available for not only the few, but in principal for each and everyone? What if all the prototypes for such a new school were already here? What if the methods and tools, the living examples, the inspired pioneers, the ecosystems of hubs, the innovation labs and all the new platforms for high-quality online-offline learning — what if all these strategic assets of a new Bauhaus school were already here?

    What if the only thing we needed to do to activate this dormant school of transformation were the following three things: a set of intentional places that would host the inaugural regional hubs of this school; a small core group that would refine and clarify the conceptual cornerstones; and some seed funding that would allow for creating an infrastructure that is built for purpose — to support the civilizational renewal and planetary healing — and designed for replication at all levels of scale.

    ...

    At the Presencing Institute, an outgrowth of the MIT Learning and Leadership Centers, we have already been prototyping new whole-person, whole-systems learning environments for many years. These free and open-source-based, online-to-offline learning infrastructures have attracted more than 150,000 registered users over the past five years and have activated a global ecosystem of change makers for awareness-based systems change (see MITx u.lab, Societal Transformation Lab).

    ...


    The first two articles in this three-part series explored two blind spots in the response to global climate change: soil and democracy. The third one is consciousness.

    January 2020, Northern Germany: Farmer’s Conference On Creating From Nothing
    On the last day of the gathering, I was asked to sum up my take on our discussions over the previous two days. Here is what I shared:

    1. First: Action Confidence. All profound change starts with a deep trust in our own capacities to rise to the occasion. My colleague Shobi Lawalata articulated this the other day when she said, reflecting on the larger challenges of her community and country: “This is the moment I was born for.” Thus, the first thing we need is the awareness and courage that makes us turn toward the problem, rather than away from it.

    2. The Goal: Reach 100% Regenerative Agriculture by 2040. Anyone who reads the climate science with an open mind will reach the same conclusion: the goal is to be 100% regenerative by 2040, both in our farming and in our energy systems worldwide. Granted, given our institutional realities, it might take a few more years. Maybe it won’t happen until 2050. But the goal remains the same.

    3. How: Direct Dialogic Democracy. How do we make progress toward this goal? By building new coalitions — Fridays For Future, Scientists For Future, Farmers For Future, etc. — and by making our democracy more dialogic, distributed, and direct. The problem today is not that we have too many options, but that we have too few. We have private choices as consumers, but we lack true public choices as citizens to debate and decide about the future we want to co-shape. What we need today is citizens’ assemblies, focusing on what will be essential in 2040. Then, after extensive public dialogue, the best ideas should be voted on in a citizens’ referendum. The resulting roadmap would be passed on to the legislative and executive bodies to refine and incorporate into the public policy framework, all in consultation with the relevant stakeholder groups. Much of this is already beginning to happen in a variety of places and communities around the world, including Ireland, France, England, Scotland, Spain, Canada, and Taiwan. But these are tiny beginnings. A lot more needs to happen now…

    4. Transforming the Economy from Ego to Eco. Currently, our economies use an operating system based on egosystem awareness. Changing that operating system from ego to eco would transform it in almost every way imaginable, and transform one of the most important root issues of these problems. For example community-supported agriculture (CSA) connects farmers more closely and more intentionally with those who consume what they grow. Rather than getting paid for every apple or carrot, the farmer receives a fixed amount per week or per month from me (and from the other members of the CSA). In return, I receive a selection of fresh fruits and vegetables that are produced using the principles and practices of regenerative organic farming. The model changes how consumers relate to the farm, from transactional to transformative or intentional. This model exists in many places on a small scale today but going forward this model of solidarity-based agriculture could also be scaled to reshape the whole system. Thomas Jorberg, CEO of GLS Bank, a socially responsible bank in Germany, asked: “How can we take what’s working in the CSA model to the regional or the national level of solidarity-based farming? That is where the next wave of social and economic innovation will be coming from.” And that is exactly where we need new forms of direct, dialogue-based democratic decision-making.

    5. Vertical Impact. My parents converted to regenerative organic farming some 60+ years ago. For decades, young people visited the farm to learn about regenerative farming practices. Today, many of them have taken these principles and practices to their own farms across Germany, Europe, and the world. You might call this the “horizontal impact.” But some of those farmers also describe a deeper level of impact. They describe a process of being seen for who they really are, of waking up to their deeper purpose or intention in life. The phrase that came to mind when listening to these descriptions is vertical impact or vertical efficacy (vertikale Wirksamkeit).
    The vertical impact of regenerative organic farming in this context, even though it’s a subtle process, may well be its most important role in the long run. In society today, we lack places that help people wake up to their true aspirations, to their highest future potential, to what they really want to do with their lives going forward. Vertical impact farming connects people to the living beings that are the farm’s ecosystem: the soil, the plants, and the animals. This deep sensing and listening experience could serve as a gateway to the deeper territories of human development and with that to the deeper dimension of leadership and self-leadership. That subtle impact, allowing people to sense and listen deeply beyond the boundaries of their own bubble, and to wake up to their deeper intentions in life, may well be one of the most important functions that the “farmers for future” can deliver for the healing of people and the planet today.

    Innovation happens in places. The same is true for civilizational renewal. Where are these places? Regenerative organic farms could serve as one type of place for societal renewal.

    ...

    Another upcoming movement building event in Berlin that has the potential to blend the deeper leverage points at issue here — soil, democracy, consciousness — is the Olympia 2020 event on June 12, 2020, that, co-inspired and supported by Fridays For Future Berlin and Scientists For Future, will bring together 70,000 or so citizens and change makers in the Berlin Olympia Stadium. Even though the place has some deeply dark page in its history, like so many places in Berlin, it might be quite an interesting venue to stage such a radically new type of event. The intention of the event, as I understood from the organizers, is to create a blend between a cultural festival and a citizens’ event that activates collective action around climate change, biodiversity, social justice, and the future of democracy. The intended results include three to four specific petitions that will be delivered to the German Bundestag. Personally, I hope that events like this and the ones mentioned earlier, will help to explore new formats of deep learning-based movement building to activate the awareness-based agency that is called for today.
    DRSH
    DRSH --- ---
    Adaptace na sucho a změnu klimatu. Expedice za nejzajímavějšími inovativními projekty v ČR | Dvojka
    https://dvojka.rozhlas.cz/...sucho-a-zmenu-klimatu-expedice-za-nejzajimavejsimi-inovativnimi-8273322
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    KEB:
    PAD: tak agrofotovoltaika tu krajinu ještě víc industrializuje, ale mohla by např. chránit půdu i před přívalovými dešti a erozí. takže je to asi skutečně budoucnost. ale spoléhat se, že to něco bude dávat v zimě, je naivní. Na zimu je třeba zapomenout, za celou zimní sezónu, kdy je spotřeba energie největší, se vyrobí tak třeba 10% roční produkce. Je potřeba kapacitní úložiště přebytků z OZE. Dnešními technologiemi bychom zoufale usilovali aspoň o výdrž 1 den, přitom co je reálně potřeba, je výdrž aspoň třeba 100 dnů...
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