Eliot Jacobson
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1419996328726126598?s=19

As of July 25, Arctic sea ice is the 4-th lowest. Last year's record low was 6.328 million km^2 on July 25. No Blue Ocean Event this year -- lucky humans! Another La Nina means no BOE in 2022, so we've got another year at least. But fire/flood/drought/heatwaves will continue.

How to Live in a Climate ‘Permanent Emergency’
By David Wallace-Wells
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/07/how-to-live-in-a-climate-permanent-emergency.html

This year suggests the possibility of a new arrival — the age of adaptation, or what climate-and-energy researcher Juan Moreno-Cruz yesterday called “climate realism.”

Alarmism, he said, was “useless,” and even efforts to decarbonize have served as a kind of distraction. “Stop dreaming up climate solutions, think of climate managing strategies,” he admonished.

Talking climate solutions has left us unprepared for actual climate change. We keep running models and fighting over which “solution” is the best, but we have done nothing to address the impacts of climate change.


Managing climate change is not as sexy as solving climate change, but it’s what we need. Yes, we need real action to achieve deep decarbonization in our economy. There is no amount of adaptation we can do if we don‘t get emissions under control. But we already baked in so much warming we need to deal with it now. We painted ourselves into this corner, and we need to navigate our way out of it. Dreaming about a future carbon-free system will do nothing for people in India and Pakistan today.


Perhaps the great awakening on warming has already happened — or keeps happening and keeps being forgotten, among other reasons so that we can continue to believe we stand just at the threshold of climate suffering rather than well beyond it. But the great awakening on adaptation probably still lies ahead of us. Or maybe that “permanent emergency” is beginning right now.

PER2: ani ta zkusenost neni to ono. to ono je nejaky rozhodnuti, to rozhodnuti probehlo (parizska dohoda), a ted to jejak probublava systemem, ale imho jsme v ty situaci ze to sociopoliticky rozhodnuti ma jen volnou vazbu k tem agro/techno/logistickejm infrastrukturam (posilovany tim, ze tyto infrastruktury nam skutecne poakytuji vysokou miru komfortu) ... takze se deje tenhle proces, zda vubec jsme pany svych infrastruktur (= svych investic, tzn zda investice se podrizuji stabilizaci klimatu potazmo regeneraci ekosystemu). zaroven ta transformace potrva nejmene dekady, a zaroven transformace ekosystemovych praktik potrva nejmene dekady... takze neji potreba to videt cerne, spis dlouze, skutecne cerny to bude az pozdeji :D

PER2: imho jde o to to videt v patricnejch casovejch proporcich

systemove je to imho strukturovany klima -> ekosystemy --> agro/techno/logisticke infrastruktury -> kulturni/civilizacni potazmo sociopoliticka struktura -> kazdodennost

nase sociopoliticky struktury defakto nemaj pod kontrolou ty agro/techno/logisticky infrastruktury, ani ekosystemovy procesy, ani klimaticly procesy, tzn. systemove videno jsou jim podrazeny, ackoliv bychom chteli, aby jim byly nadrazeny. to samy bychom chteli i vuci ekosystemum (zaujmout roli hyperpredatora) a klimatu (dostat se tak k planetarite).

ta institucionalni struktura ma sice ruzny diskontinuity, ale slutecnej vyvoj tech socialnich struktur nekam je otazkou dekad az stoleti a tady je otazka, jestli lze vyuzit digitalni architekturu k radovymu urychleni tohohle procesu (coz bychom potrebovali). z hlediska infrastruktur opet jsme z hlediska jejich transformaci v dekadach az staletich, z hlediska ekosystemovejch praktik se pohybujeme v daleko delsich meritkach a z hlediska klimatu jeste delsich vyvojovejch cyklech.

takze kazdopadne nejaky volebni obdobi jednoho mikroregionu s velkejma historickejma emisema je takrka irelevantni.

podle me nas sociopoliticky ceka serie diskontontinuit, kdy na druhy strane bude nejaky digitalni usporadani vypadajici dost krute z pohledu individualisticky socializovanyho zapadoevropana, ktery umozni nejakou rychlou reorganizaci urcitejch casti civilizace na takovou infrastrukturu, ktera bude odpovidat potrebam min stabilniho klimatu. jestli se mezitim prokouseme globalne k takovy reorganizaci ekosystemovejch praktik, abychom ve druhy polovine byli schopny rozjet tu mitigaci slrze ekosystem, to je ve hvezdach, ale urcite se to nestane nahodnym evolucnim vyberem stran ve volbach v cechach :D

PER2: Někde mezi jako vždycky, ono to ani tak nestojí na tom jestli je někdo pro klimatický nebo ne, ale na tom jak moc bude mít všechno v prdeli a bude se snažit si urvat co nejvíce pro sebe.

To je IMHO ano i ODS u pirátů doufám, že snad mají i něco jako vizi do budoucna. Protože ti ostatní se ani nesnaží předstírat že by ji měli.

let me look at this lovely .... desert!

The US’s largest solar farm is canceled because Nevada locals don’t want to look at it
The 850 megawatt, 9,200-acre solar farm, which would have been constructed in southern Nevada’s Moapa Valley, was to sit on 14 square miles on the Mormon Mesa, a flat-topped hill around 50 miles northeast of Las Vegas.

The group, which is made up of residents, environmentalists, and others, feels that the solar farm would hinder hiking, camping, driving off-highway vehicles, and horseback riding and deter tourists from visiting artist Michael Heizer’s environmental sculpture, “Double Negative” (1969).

casto tu premysim, jestli ste naivni, vidite svet ruzove nebo naopak ja vidim vsechno cerne a jsem pesimista, ale docela me bavi, ze si nekdo mysli, ze se tu neco zmeni k lepsimu... ikdyz volby vyhraje nejaka "nejlepsi strana pro klima", nic moc se nezmeni, protoze jakykoliv opatreni budou stat penize danovy poplatniky a to bude v dusledku konec ty strany v pristim volebnim obdobi a za ten cas se tu neda zmenit nic, navic penez bude min... populace starne/dluhy rostou, ale treba bude pravda nekde uprostred... pral bych si zit v zemi, co ma nejakou vizi do budoucna v delsim casovym hotizontu, ale to bych se asi musel vratit v case o 100 let

a abych jen neblabolil:
At least 1m people facing starvation as Madagascar’s drought worsens...
Four consecutive years of drought have wiped out harvests and cut off people’s access to food. With the lean season around the corner, the time of year when food stocks run low, the crisis is expected to drastically worsen. More than 1.14 million people are food insecure in southern Madagascar and the number of people in ‘Catastrophic’ conditions (IPC Phase 5) risks doubling to 28,000 by October.

a SA pred par dny:
https://twitter.com/bradvb4/status/1418827533366218754

SEJDA: expatu na jinou planetu? ... nenechat se zvyklat mikroregionalnimi (ceskymi) problemy :)