50 let od vydani limits to growth

Dennis Meadows: “Limits to Growth turns 50 - Checking In” | The Great Simplification
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/12-dennis-meadows

Meadows revisits Limits to Growth 50 years after it was published. Looking back, how does Meadows view the book? How much of the response to his description of overshoot was based in fear?

Meadows offers advice to current leaders based on the models he developed in Limits to Growth. Why is it important to develop success indicators, and how can they be clearly communicated to the public?

Further, Meadows explores the available leverage points to avoid the worst types of collapse at our current stage of crises.

Eliot Jacobson
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1508921878668521473?s=19

Of the top 40 impacts of climate change, the ones that are most immediately urgent and deadly on a worldwide scale are crop failures and drought leading to famine. Civilization will never get to the point where SLR is a major issue.

https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/

Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change
1. Acid rain
2. Algae blooms
3. Ash & smoke
4. Bees dying & pollination loss
5. Climate refugees & migration
6. Coral bleaching
7. Crop failures
8. Deforestation
9. Desertification
10. Disease, pandemics (plants & animals)
11. Droughts
12. Drying up of lakes, rivers, wells, springs
13. Earth axis shift
14. Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Volcanoes
15. Extreme cold
16. Financial/bank/stock collapse
17. Fires
18. Floods
19. Food & water riots
20. Hazardous & polluted air
21. Heat waves: frequency, power, duration
22. Hunger, famine & starvation
23. Infrastructure collapse
24. Melting Antarctic & Greenland land ice
25. Melting Arctic Sea ice / Blue Ocean Event
26. Melting glaciers (drinking water crisis)
27. Methane (Siberia & Clathrates from ESAS)
28. Nuclear plant meltdown
29. Ocean acidification
30. Ozone layer depletion
31. Permafrost thaw
32. Price instability & inflation
33. Reanimated bacteria/viruses
34. Sea level rise (e.g. Thwaites glacier)
35. Shutdown of AMOC, SMOC
36. Species extinction (100+/day)
37. Storms — more frequent, power, duration
38. Supply chain & transportation collapse
39. Unemployment & poverty
40. War & terrorism

planetarni paliativa

To prevent climate catastrophe, abandon the idea we can limit overheating to 1.5C | The Independent
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/opinion/climate-change-latest-ipcc-report-b2025023.html

We have to let go of the idea that we can limit global heating to 1.5C. To avert the crisis that climate change will bring, we have to abandon our dreams of a smooth transition. Some say we need to keep the 1.5C hope “alive”. But we are not leveling with people on how entirely improbable 1.5C now is. We are not telling the truth. Our true power lies in admitting we have failed.

I don’t believe there would be a smooth transition to “OK then, let’s just retrench to 2C”. Because 2C is so much worse: it puts our very ability to feed ourselves at risk, even in the UK. Until we admit that it is now near-impossible to limit ourselves to 1.5C, we will continue to pretend we have this covered.

If we were to face the awful reality that 1.5C is gone, more people might well be jolted into truly stepping up. Without that shared shock it is impossible to have the deep reflection and narrative breakthrough that comes with admitting failure.

In 2018, I gave a talk at Churchill College, Cambridge, entitled, “This Civilisation Is Finished”. I said at the time: “I have fear for you. I fear that some of you are unlikely to grow old. There’s nothing really worse for human beings than not being able to take care of the next generation.” The talk went viral partly because, I believe, of this startling admission of shared failure.

By admitting we have failed bigger still, that the dream of 1.5C is gone, we can harvest and unleash greater power than we have dared to imagine. The power of our grief, our horror. The power of righteous rage. The much-needed power, which Extinction Rebellion and Greta Thunberg have started to bring into our climate politics in the last few years, of truth.

I refer you back to that great line from Star Wars. Ben Kenobi knew his time had come when he met Darth Vader. He also knew that accepting death was the only way to succeed, later.

kvuli klimatu nemozno

Germany close to gas rationing as it activates emergency fuel plan | Gas | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/mar/30/germany-close-to-gas-rationing-as-it-activates-emergency-fuel-plan

V poslední době se hodně mluví o tom, že jsou smrkové monokultury špatné. Mohl byste vysvětlit proč? Na jednu takovou se teď díváme…

Takové monokultury dnes ovšem existují už jen v omezené míře, respektive po kůrovcové kalamitě jsou místo nich holé pláně… Jedná se o přehoustlý, stejnorodý, stejnověký les s jednou etáží, kde je snaha vypěstovat co největší porostní zásobu dle tabulek. Ty však vznikaly v době klimatického normálu, v minulém století, a nereflektují změnu, která nastala. Takový les se tak pravděpodobně brzy velkoplošně rozpadne – stromy jsou přeštíhlené, je jich na jednotku plochy příliš. Konkurují si v přístupu ke zdrojům, mají krátké koruny, mělký kořenový systém – mají tedy vysoko těžiště, malou mechanickou stabilitu a celkově nízkou odolnost. Tyhle lesy naprosto nejsou připravené na klimatickou změnu. Ale platí to i pro monokultury jiných dřevin, včetně těch listnatých. Naší cestou jsou proto naopak lesy pestré, věkově a druhově rozrůzněné, řidší, a tím i odolnější. Ve větším plošném měřítku jsou zde přitom průměrné zásoby dříví a přírůst hmoty v porovnání s lesem věkových tříd, respektive holosečným hospodářstvím minimálně srovnatelné, spíše ale vyšší. Především se ale výrazně snižuje riziko předčasného rozpadu, což u jehličnaté monokultury nelze garantovat.

Vytěžit jen to, co přiroste. S Lumírem Dobrovolným o lesnickém freestylu – A2larm
https://a2larm.cz/2022/03/vytezit-jen-to-co-priroste-s-lumirem-dobrovolnym-o-lesnickem-freestylu/

GOJATLA: ale jo, my chceme. Problem je, ze:

A) politici v demokratickejch zemich nechtej aby to lidi bolelo, protoze kosile blizsi nez kabat a pak by je volit prestali, novym leadrem by se pak stal presenej opak... takze balancujou

B) diktatorskejm.rezimum je to uplne fuk, at uz z neznalosti, nebo kvuli jejich nature

Ale neco se deje a postupujem kupredu.

3ti svetova by imho urcite emise nesnizila, naopak, ty armadni stroje, nutna logistika atd by vsecko jeste zhorsila. Jadernej vybuch by asi tak neprospel transformaci energetiky, penize i focus politiku by byl na desetileti uplne jinde