Abrupt Climate Change
Richard B. Alley
Winter temperatures plummeting six degrees Celsius and sudden droughts scorching farmland around the globe are not just the stuff of scary movies. Such striking climate jumps have happened before—sometimes within a matter of years

Sci-Hub | Abrupt Climate Change. Scientific American, 291(5), 62–69 | 10.1038/scientificamerican1104-62
https://sci-hub.se/10.1038/scientificamerican1104-62

TADEAS: Message from the Black star

TUHO: + neco aktualnejsiho

- Heymann, Matthias, Gramelsberger, Gabriele and Mahony, Martin. (eds.) (2017). Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science: Epistemic and Cultural Shifts in Computer-based Modelling and Simulation (Routledge Environmental Humanities). London: Routledge/Francis & Taylor.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele, Lenhard, Johannes and Parker, Wendy (2020). Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy and Understanding. In: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12(1). DOI: e2019MS001720.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2018). Climate and Simulation. In: Oxford Research Encyclopdia Climate Science. DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.52.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2015). Symbol Systems as Cognitive and Performative Hybrids: A Reply to Axel Gelfert. In: Social Epistemology Review and Reply Collective 4(8), 89-94.
- Mahony, Martin, Heymann, Matthias and Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2019). Cultures of prediction in climate science. In: Feola, Giuseppe et al. (eds.): Climate and Culture, 29-38. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2017). Calculating the weather – Emerging cultures of prediction in late 19th- and early 20th-century Europe. In: Matthias Heymann, Gabriele Gramelsberger, Martin Mahony (eds.): Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science, 45-67. London: Routledge/Francis & Taylor.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2017). Mathematical Images of Planet Earth. In: Nitzke, Solvejg and Pethes, Nicolas. (eds.): Imaging Earth. Concepts of Wholeness in Cultural Constructions of Our Home Planet, 23-44. Bielefeld: Transcript.

A trochu obecnejs k AI, modelum, komputacim etc.

- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2020). Affective Computing. In: Hessler, Martina and Liggeri, Kevin. (eds): Handbuch für Technikanthropologie, 445-452. Baden-Baden: Nomos/Edition Sigma.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2020). Algorithm Awareness. Towards a Philosophy of Artifactuality. In: Bösel, Bernd and Wiemer, Serjoscha. (eds.): Affective Media and Policy, 41-49. Lüneburg: Meson Press.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2020). Augmenting Human Intellect. In: Thomas, Paul and Dewes, Tobias (eds.): Vergangenheit analysieren - Zukunft gestalten (Aachener Studien zur Wirtschafts-, Sozial- und Technikgeschichte 20), 51-64. Düren: Shaker Verlag.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2013). Simulation and Systems Understanding. In: Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao J. et al. (eds.): New Challenges to Philosophy of Science The Philosophy of Science in a European Perspective, vol. 4, 151-161. Dordrecht: Springer.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele and Mansnerus, Erika (2012). The inner world of models and its epistemic diversity. The cases of infectious disease and climate modelling. In: Bissell, Chris and Dillon, Chris. (eds.): Ways of Thinking, Ways of Seeing. Mathematical and Other Modelling in Engineering and Technology, 167-195. Dordrecht: Springer.
- Gramelsberger, Gabriele (2011). From Computation with Experiments to Experiments on Computation. In: Gramelsberger, Gabriele. (ed.): From Science to Computational Sciences, 131-142. Zürich, Berlin: diaphanes.

Nejakej odklad na cteni do budoucna

#teorievedy

Gabriele Gramelsberger; Johann Feichter (eds.): Climate Change and Policy. The Calculability of Climate Change and the Challenge of Uncertainty, Springer: Heidelberg, Berlin, New York 2011.
• Gabriele Gramelsberger (ed.): From Science to Computational Sciences. Studies in the History of Computing and its Influence on Today’s Sciences, Diaphanes: Zurich, Berlin 2011.
• Gabriele Gramelsberger: Conceiving meteorology as the exact science of the atmosphere - Vilhelm Bjerknes revolutionary paper from 1904, in: Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 2009, p. 663–667.

SEJDA: no, oni ale víc dětí mít nechtěj i když můžou... existují dvě generace Číňanů co neměli sourozence, takže jim to připadá normální. Ale taky ty další faktory, hlavně peníze.
Zatím se nikde na světe demografická křivka neotočila když jednou vlezla do nízké porodnosti, tak uvidíme jak to bude dál. Západ to flekuje přistěhovalectvím, Čína tohle odmítá...

tam je víc faktorů - politika jednoho dítěte určitě (ačkoliv to 2013? zrušili)

drahé bydlení, drahý život, málo pracovních příležitostí, komplikované stěhování do města (mají nějaký interní pas, není to jako tady že se zvedneš a zejtra žiješ někde jinde)

víc možností zábavy = na dítě není prostor

a taky zvýšená úmrtnost samozřejmě (začínají umírat silné ročníky narozené po velkém skoku - 1962+, to se rodilo 25M dětí ročně, teď 9)

related

China’s population falls for first time in more than 60 years | China | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/17/chinas-population-falls-for-first-time-in-more-than-60-years

Rodger Savory: Let's Fix Deserts!
https://youtube.com/watch?v=TfvGORzbtM8&si=EnSIkaIECMiOmarE


HOW TO FEED 120 PLANT SPECIES TO CATTLE IN THE DESERT

Rodger Savory describes how he feeds his carefully selected 120 plant species to cattle in the desert.

HART HAGAN: You're proposing a cattle ranch to the east of Los Angeles and San Diego in the Salton Sea/Imperial Valley. How does the operation work? More specifically--and something that can be confusing at first--is that the cattle are roaming across a certain stretch of desert that does not have grass for them to eat. But you're growing the forage elsewhere and then bringing the forage in. But then after a while, the cattle have an impact and turn it into a grassland, right?

RODGER SAVORY: We need more complex life. To get the entire ecosystem functioning, we grow 120 different varieties of plants to feed the cattle.

By having 120 species of forage, we can build the soil life up in the fields, where we're growing the forage. And then we can move that soil life over to where the cattle are being fed.

On average for the Salton Sea, transport time from field to cattle will be 30 minutes. In an ideal world, hopefully, Elon Musk will have his autonomous electric trucks that can bring it from the field straight to the cattle. But we’ve got to grow it in one location where there's irrigation, move it via a 30-minute drive to the desert and have the animals in the desert eating it.

Then the animals move forward across the desert. What they leave behind is what we call the biological carpet. The biological carpet is the medium that protects the soil microorganisms from harmful ultraviolet light and maintains moisture, so that life can begin to grow again.

za normalnych okolnosti by tam bol asi sneh alebo premrznuta zem takto v lednu :)

https://twitter.com/UniversUltra/status/1614433332611235840