Na cop28 si muzou podavat mastnou kliku, ale trend uz zastavit nejde. Pokud by se tech 75% v roce 2040 vyplnilo, byl by to obrovskej uspech, pac by to znamenalo i velkou cast prodeju v rozvojovejch zemich. Long tail uz neni tak podstatnej...
EV Sales Growing Faster Than Expected — Charts - CleanTechnicahttps://cleantechnica.com/2023/12/09/ev-sales-growing-faster-than-expected/Electric vehicle sales continue to grow faster than most people expected, even faster than professional analysts in the field expected, and — surprise, surprise — they’ve grown much faster than oil companies have forecasted.
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Long-term outlooks for ZEV adoption keep getting more bullish. On average, new forecasts for the BEV fleet size in 2030 have risen 26% since last year. These upward revisions are due primarily to increased policy support and growing consumer interest,” BNEF says.
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In the base-case Economic Transition Scenario of BNEF’s 2023 Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook, ZEV share of passenger vehicle sales reaches 75% globally by 2040. This figure, while unchanged from last year’s report, is up significantly from the 2020 Outlook, reflecting additional policy support for ZEVs that has been introduced over the past few years. The International Energy Agency’s 2023 Global EV Outlook sees an estimated 36% BEV share of passenger vehicle sales by 2030. That’s more than double the 17% estimated in its 2022 report, bringing the IEA’s scenario closer to BNEF’s 2023 Outlook.”