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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    TADEAS: obrázek z Dimbangombe, to je subrovníková afrika se střídáním období sucha a deště. to fakt nemůžeš srovnávat s orbou v mírným pásmu. nebo můžeš, ale :)

    MATT: prezentovaný fotky mě překvapily, takže radikální změna režimu v krajině je očividně možná. ale za tímhle bude stát nějaká geologická-morfologická struktura, imho
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MATT: má
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: TADEAS: Teorii znam, je to muj chleba, ale prave proto bych moh sarkasticky dodat, ze tam je voda, protoze treba tvar terenu nebo vhodny geologicky usporadani. Ale predpokladam, ze za tim na byt nejaky management krajiny, nebo se pletu?

    PALEONTOLOG: muzes link, pls?


    ZAHRADKAR: PALEONTOLOG: V tom článku přijde primárně bizarní, to co tomuhle předchází..
    Rodina Grassotových, která u nedalekého města Pals pěstuje už po pět generací rýži, tvrdí, že vláda „léta věděla, že taková situace přijde, a nepřijala žádná opatření, aby tomu předešla“.

    pěstovat rejži při 430mm ročně, když udávané minimum je alespoň třikrát vyšší.. ?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: tak jsou i lidi ve smyslu vedomejch ekosystemovejch regulatoru / hyperpredatoru, ktery o tom vedej vic nez prd. to jen v ČR a okolnich skanzenech se furt oře :)


    alejandro carillo, chihuahua desert
    https://www.facebook.com/alejandro.carrillo.50951

    Screenshot-20240325-164208-Facebook

    TADEAS:
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    TADEAS: pak ještě záleží na reliéfu krajiny, ta trvalá vodní plocha může bejt v depresi, může vyznikat na obrovský zvodni podzemní vody a 1m rozdíl v hladině můžou bejt třeba miliony kubíků vody v podzemí. víme o tom prd, ale vypadá to dobře :)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MATT: obecne asi kvalita toho pudniho systemu ma zasadni vliv na tu akumulacni kapacitu, je to mnohonasobne vic nez co lze zadrzet v nejakych povrchovych nadrzich vody. kdyz je ta kapacita velka, tak ta voda je dostupna pro rust i v dlouhem obdobi bez deste.
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    MATT: prostředí je asi ssaturovaný vodou, právě jsem shlídnul video se savorym, jak to dělají. ty jeho fotky před a po berou dech. no pokud se voda vsakovala dostatečně dlouho, tak je v podzemí zásoba. a pokud má ten jeho grassland velkou plochu, tak je to taky možnej důvod, proč se zásoba podzemní vody neodpařila.
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    TADEAS: no me zajimalo, proc je tam mokro i po X mesicich bez deste..
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    jen pres agro-komplexni mrtvolu


    EU nature restoration laws in balance as member states withdraw support | European Union | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/25/eu-nature-restoration-laws-in-balance-as-member-states-withdraw-support

    The EU’s nature restoration laws are hanging in the balance after a number of member states, including Hungary and Italy, withdrew support for the legislation.

    Spain’s environment minister, Teresa Ribera, said it would be “enormously irresponsible” for countries to drop the laws, which have been two years in the making and are designed to reverse decades of damage to biodiversity on land and in waterways.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MATT: a co bys rad? zimbabwské hyperpredátoření ,)

    je to savory hub v zimbabwe kde je aktivni savoryho dcera

    Africa Centre for Holistic Management – Welcome to the Africa Centre for Holistic Management… stay, learn, explore
    https://achmonline.org/

    Sarah Savory
    https://www.facebook.com/sarah.savory.9

    ...

    dusledek tohoto:

    FB-IMG-1711375435238
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: tusim ze tam byl navrh pouzit jadernej spad jako marker.
    TUHO: kde jsi na to narazil? zrovna to sem nesu.. se stepanem jsem sedel v kanclu ;)

    YMLADRIS: tak mozna by stacilo engineerovat nad Atlantikem, tam jsme doted engineerovali aniz bychom si to uvedomovali... ;)

    PALEONTOLOG: trosku mi to evokuje lidi, kteri nemaji ceske vzdelani a jen prebiraji (a samy si prekladaji) anglicte terminy.

    TADEAS: mas k tomuhle neco pls?
    PAN_SPRCHA: letosni zima byla bohata na srazky, podzemni vody se lehce doplnili, ale s hodnocenim sucha bych pockal alespon na cerven..

    PALEONTOLOG: Aladin je ciste model.. nejaky aktualni data snad v aplikaci CHMU+

    PAN_SPRCHA: Zminky o polarnim viru se zacli objevovat tenkrat, jak byly v USA ty brutalni mrazy. Vir mel spomalit, vice meandrovat a nad a pod se meli vyskytovat stabilnejsi uzemi s extremnim teplem/zimou. Mozna ze i Cilek to vyzdvyhnul..

    TUHO: Rusove dlouhodobe vyhlizej plavitelnost severnim led. oceanem.
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    TADEAS: ze strany tv nova je to obesivni, zminovat to stale dokola. kdyz je rec o kvalite zpravodajstvi v cr. ale je mozny, ze za 20 let to budou mit mladi v hlavach, jako ja mam okluzni frontu ze spcialistickyho zpravodajsrvi
    PER2: no probehlo to pred par lety i ceskym rozhlasem, novinka to fakt neni a delat z toho nadpis clanku stale dokila je bizardni
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: tohle mi prijde zajimavy

    Through three provocations, we ‘stratify’ the concept of sovereignty: in the ‘royal metals’ of early modern states; in the rise of neoliberalism as a re-privatisation of mineral-energy infrastructures against the claims of social democracy; and in anticipatory extensions of mineral sovereignty to outer space. Mineral sovereignty discloses methodological problems for energy and climate policy. Pre-analytical distinctions between public law and the private power of fossil capital imply a hierarchy and separation that cannot be presumed, but must be achieved. We must ‘leave it in the ground’: this requires the re-assertion of democratic control over the mineral estate.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    On mineral sovereignty: Towards a political theory of geological power
    Jeremy Walker a, Matthew Johnson

    The Anthropocene thesis invokes the ‘enormous geological power’ of industrialism: driven by hydrocarbon combustion, manifest in planetary heating. Yet political theory has proceeded as if the organisation of geological power were incidental to history. Geological agency, we submit, is precisely what mining industries are organised to achieve, materially and politically. We propose mineral sovereignty as a term of method to analyse geological power in its legible, institutional and intentional forms. We deploy it to excavate an entwined genealogy of state and corporation: one evident in the constitutional (or extra-parliamentary) technologies of sovereignty and property that order the appropriation and distribution of mineral wealth. Through three provocations, we ‘stratify’ the concept of sovereignty: in the ‘royal metals’ of early modern states; in the rise of neoliberalism as a re-privatisation of mineral-energy infrastructures against the claims of social democracy; and in anticipatory extensions of mineral sovereignty to outer space. Mineral sovereignty discloses methodological problems for energy and climate policy. Pre-analytical distinctions between public law and the private power of fossil capital imply a hierarchy and separation that cannot be presumed, but must be achieved. We must ‘leave it in the ground’: this requires the re-assertion of democratic control over the mineral estate.
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2214629618307175
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination
    EUGENE RUMER, RICHARD SOKOLSKY, PAUL STRONSKI
    Summary: Russia has big Arctic plans, but how they will be realized is uncertain. For the United States this will likely mean the return to a Cold War–like environment rather than a new chapter in great-power competition in the Arctic.

    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/29/russia-in-arctic-critical-examination-pub-84181
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    How Russia is leveraging its Arctic region for global influence

    For the past decade, while the rest of us weren’t looking, Russia has invested seriously in its Arctic region. Now, some 20% of the country’s GDP and 30% of its exports come from these chilly lands. Climate change has softened the landscape where critical oil and gas reserves were stuck underground, while melting ice caps have allowed tanker ships to transport that fuel across Eurasia.

    It’s a fascinating trend that’s set to get more critical in the coming decades. To learn more, we spoke with Malte Humpert, senior fellow and founder of the Arctic Institute. Our interview transcript was lightly condensed and edited for clarity.

    FREIGHTWAVES: Just to get started, who or what entities or companies or countries are currently shipping through the Arctic Ocean?

    https://www.freightwaves.com/news/stronghow-russia-is-leveraging-its-arctic-region-for-global-influencestrong
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Ghosh included Cop27, which begins on 6 November in Egypt, in this damning assessment. “Cop27 will be just another talking shop. Greta Thunberg got it right when she called it ‘blah blah blah’. For those of us who have been watching negotiations for years, that has always been clear – but it came as a shock to her. One hope is that young people create a cultural change, and quickly.”
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    “The whole climate discourse is elite. It comes out of universities and from scientists, and is centred on the West. What about fishermen in India? They understand climate change. Many of us trust scientists but, as we saw in the pandemic, there is also scepticism about who these people are, telling us how to live our lives. The voices of fishermen carry credibility too.”

    Ghosh cited Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 Paris Agreement, and George W Bush’s withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol, as examples of Western nationalism hindering climate action. But he also pointed to the way poorer nations use nationalism as an argument against decarbonisation: why should they curb growth when the West has profited at their expense? For these nations climate action “is not about the future, but about the past”, he said.

    “When you come from a poor country such as India, you learn not to listen to what politicians say, but to look at what they do. Politicians around the world talk a good game, but they are basically preparing for war. Climate change is essentially becoming an all-out war and this is just the beginning.

    Amitav Ghosh: “Climate change is becoming an all-out war” - New Statesman
    https://www.newstatesman.com/environment/2022/10/amitav-ghosh-climate-change-war
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Zajimavej report na geopoliticky implikace tajici Arktidy...

    Climate change is already affecting geopolitics, and countries are adapting their geopolitical strategies to take account of anticipated future climate change. Russia is leading in this regard, explicitly integrating climate change forecasts into its economic and national security strategies. Vladimir Putin has signaled that he sees the Arctic as an essential resource base and military stronghold for Russia in the decades ahead. Putin also seems to believe that unexploited hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic will be crucial for Russia’s economic future post-Ukraine. Scientists and industry participants are skeptical that this plan will succeed, but the exit of Western firms has removed pressure on Russian policymakers and firms to guard against Arctic environmental risks. Russian activity is increasing the probability of Arctic environmental disasters in the years ahead, including oil spills and radiological leakage.

    The United States and its Arctic allies and partners cannot ignore Russia’s actions. As the war in Ukraine still rages, a future military confrontation between Russia and NATO in the Arctic cannot be ruled out. NATO faces the challenge of how to strengthen its defense structures and increase the frequency and scope of Arctic exercises without risking misperceptions and accidents that lead to conflict with Russia. Moscow’s diplomatic isolation and economic weakness may also force it to grant China a greater role in the development of the Northern Sea Route.



    The Geopolitics of Climate Change: Scenarios and Pathways for Arctic 2050 | Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/geopolitics-climate-change-scenarios-and-pathways-arctic-2050
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: ja myslim ze to odstartovali nekde tady (mann, rahmstorf)

    Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather Events | Scientific Reports
    https://www.nature.com/articles/srep45242

    tak se zacal resit tenhle klimatickej fenomen ve vztahu ke klima zmene a to pak preslo do nejaky zlidovely verze
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: Zkusim dohledat, ale cetl jsem kdysi rozhovor s Hansem J. Schellnhuberem tusim a ten rikal, ze vliv klimaticky zmeny na rozpadani polarniho viru vlivem oteplovani (ktery je spojeny s polarni amplifikaci, ergo snizovanim teplotniho gradientu mezi poly a tropy) je pomerne novej poznatek... Takze se z toho asi stava sveho druhu hype, kteryho se nejakym zpusobem chytaj media...
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam