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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    $170,000 a minute: why Saudi Arabia is the biggest blocker of climate action | Saudi Arabia | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/15/170000-a-minute-why-saudi-arabia-is-the-biggest-blocker-of-climate-action
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    TADEAS:
    Za mě zkrátka za těch pár let co od něj občas něco vidím se snaží diskreditovat to co vybočuje z mainstreamu a přibarvuje realitu (podobně jako Gates/Richie, jestli si pamatuji byla mezi nimi i nějaká spolupráce) a označení "hopium" je na místě - můj problém tedy je, že to není vědecky upřímné - například jako argument používá zjednodušené ZEC modely a TCRE/CWC odhady, zatímco kritizuje ECS odhady a ignoruje ESS. Nemluvě o výrocích, které jsou lživé.

    To že potom hází do jednoho pytle to co vybočuje (např. James Hansen, či obecně kritika IPCC apod.) společně s lidmi, kteří propagují NTHE (near-term human extinction) - např. McPherson, Dowd - je přinejmenším nečestné. A stejně lze za "nečestné" a "neupřímné" označit ty, kteří NTHE hlásají, je to v podstatě druhá strana mince.

    Takže to není jen o nějaké bublině, tady se bavíme o datech, která selektivně ignoruje. Pokud je třeba ta zmíněná kritika IPCC nebo publikace Hansena fakticky špatná, tak to lze přeci obhájit vědecky místo škatulkování, že jsou to všechno "doomeři". A poté tuto škatuly, do které hází široké spektrum vědců a expertů nazývá "mentální poruchou", H. Richie "horší než popírači" (oprava mé předchozí zprávy)

    Some of the friendly fire comes from fellow scientists who have gone down the path of doomism or at least what we might call "soft doomism," that is, emissions reductions alone are not adequate to prevent catastrophic warming.

    Even revered climate scientist James Hansen, whose early predictions of warming proved prophetic, has gotten sucked into the vortex of soft doomism. The scientific consensus is that we can still avert a catastrophic planetary warming of 1.5 degrees Celsius (3 degrees Fahrenheit) if we rapidly reduce carbon emissions this decade.
    (https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/action-on-climate-change-faces-new-threat-the-doomers-who-think-its-too-late-to-act)

    Nicméně samozřejmě jsou mnohem horší lidé a dá se jasně říct, že "taháme za stejný provaz", jen jsme myslím v dostatečně specifickém vláknu, kde je prostor na pro tuto diskuzi.

    Další materiál k tématu:

    I read Michael Mann’s The New Climate War so you don’t have to. – Another End of the World is Possible
    https://anotherendoftheworld.org/2021/03/23/i-read-michael-manns-the-new-climate-war-so-you-dont-have-to/

    GBU Episode 2: Good Bad & Ugly - Science Communicators - Michael Mann / Bill Nye Corporate Shills.
    https://youtu.be/YxMCxgv5wGE
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Scientists have uncovered that glaciers can temporarily cool the air around them, delaying some effects of global warming. This self-cooling, driven by katabatic winds, is nearing its peak and will likely reverse in the next two decades. Once glaciers lose enough mass, they will heat up faster, speeding their decline. The team urges immediate global action to curb emissions and manage dwindling water resources wisely.

    Glaciers’ secret cooling power won’t last much longer | ScienceDaily
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/10/251025084606.htm
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Zlati motoriste

    Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum today announced that he will open the entire 1.56 million acres of the Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil and gas leasing. These lands are sacred to the Gwich’in Nation, home to irreplaceable wildlife, wilderness and cultural values, and have never seen industrialization.

    In an action taken during a government shutdown, the Department of Interior held a press conference to announce a series of resource development actions aimed at opening up Alaska for the benefit of corporate polluters. A key announcement made today was the rescission of the Biden administration’s drilling program for the refuge. The Department of the Interior (DOI) is instead replacing that program with a previous Trump-era plan that fully opens the Coastal Plain of the Refuge to maximum oil and gas development.

    Trump Administration Opens the Entire Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to Oil and Gas Leasing - Earthjustice
    https://earthjustice.org/press/2025/trump-administration-opens-the-entire-coastal-plain-of-the-arctic-national-wildlife-refuge-to-oil-and-gas-leasing
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/22/global-use-of-coal-hit-record-high-in-2024
    Clea Schumer, a research associate at the World Resources Institute thinktank, which led the report, said: “There’s no doubt that we are largely doing the right things. We are just not moving fast enough. One of the most concerning findings from our assessment is that for the fifth report in our series in a row, efforts to phase out coal are well off track.”

    Samotná publikace - "State of Climate Action 2025"
    State of Climate Action 2025 | Systems Change Lab
    https://systemschangelab.org/state-climate-action-2025


    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    na podporu solar radiation management


    Preventing 2°C by 2040 | Act Now for Climate Action
    https://www.preventing2degrees.org/

    the Paris Accord’s critical red line of 2°C is likely to be breached by 2037—just 12 years from now.

    We are nearly out of time to avert 2°C. But, there are tools in the toolbox that can buy more time to successfully stop global heating in the short term, while we strive to bring down emissions in the medium to long term.

    Over two days, we will host five hours of discussion that will address:

    Why is global heating now accelerating so much faster than before?

    What are the consequences to people and the planet if we fail to act immediately?

    How can we stop temperatures from rising and avert catastrophic heating: What’s the plan?

    What immediate, practical steps can we take to develop and implement a new, integrated climate plan for humanity?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them | Sustainability Science
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-025-01704-9

    Meeting the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to “well below 2 °C” requires a radical acceleration of action, as the global economy is decarbonising at least five times too slowly. Tipping points, where low-carbon transitions become self-propelling, could be key to achieving the necessary acceleration. We deem these normatively ‘positive’, because they can limit considerable, inequitable harms from global warming and help achieve sustainability. Some positive tipping points, such as the UK’s elimination of coal power, have already been reached at national and sectoral scales. The challenge now is to credibly identify further potential positive tipping points, and the actions that can bring them forward, whilst avoiding wishful thinking about their existence, or oversimplification of their nature, drivers, and impacts. Hence, we propose a methodology for identifying potential positive tipping points, assessing their proximity, identifying the factors that can influence them, and the actions that can trigger them. Building on relevant research, this ‘identifying positive tipping points’ (IPTiP) methodology aims to establish a common framework that we invite fellow researchers to help refine, and practitioners to apply. To that end, we offer suggestions for further work to improve it and make it more applicable.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Brzyy vychazi masivni systematicky globalni prehled klima-obsturkcnich siti. Vysledek vyzkumu stovek autoru z celeho sveta.

    Climate Obstruction A Global Assessment

    Edited by J. Timmons Roberts, Carlos R. S. Milani, Jennifer Jacquet, and Christian Downie

    Brings together nearly one hundred scholars and experts to advance our understanding of efforts by organized interests to slow or block policies on climate change

    Includes sector-by-sector documentation of obstruction efforts, including by the fossil fuel industries, utilities, agribusiness, transportation, public relations, and organizations on the political far right

    Analyzes the surge in regulatory and litigation efforts and civil society movements around the world to curb climate obstruction, which can guide more effective action in the future


    https://global.oup.com/academic/product/climate-obstruction-9780197787151
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Why Climate Action Is Unstoppable — and “Climate Realism” Is a Myth | Al Gore | TED
    https://youtu.be/Ztx0Bch3h9s?si=wjXp0JaC08LhxLXP
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx0298

    An Unprecedented Drying of the Continents: A Decline in Freshwater Availability

    This study analyzes changes in terrestrial water storage—which includes all forms of water stored on land, such as ice, snow, surface water, vegetation water, soil moisture, and groundwater.

    It reveals that since 2002, the continents have experienced an unprecedented loss of terrestrial water storage—a critical indicator of freshwater availability.

    Each year, areas undergoing drying have expanded by an amount equivalent to twice the size of California, creating “mega-dry” regions across the Northern Hemisphere. While most of the world’s dry areas are getting drier and wet areas wetter, the rate of drying is now outpacing the rate of wetting. This shift is driven by water losses in high latitudes, severe droughts in Central America and Europe, and widespread groundwater depletion—which alone accounts for 68% of the non-glacial continental water loss.

    “The drying of the continents has profound global consequences. Since 2002, 75% of the world’s population has lived in 101 countries that have lost freshwater. Furthermore, continents now contribute more to sea level rise than ice sheets do, with drying regions contributing more than glaciers and ice sheets combined. Urgent action is needed to prepare for the major impacts highlighted by these findings.”

    The Rise of Mega-Dry Regions on Land

    Previous studies identified key features of changing terrestrial water storage across continents, consistent with climate model projections, glacier and ice sheet melt, global groundwater depletion, and shifts in flood and drought extremes. This study demonstrates how recent regional and continental trends in water storage are accelerating continental drying.

    Implications for Freshwater Availability

    Today, excessive groundwater pumping is the main driver behind the decline in terrestrial water storage in drying regions. It significantly worsens the effects of rising temperatures, increased aridity, and extreme drought. Continued overexploitation of groundwater—such as what's happening in California at an accelerating pace—threatens both regional and global water and food security in ways that remain largely underrecognized worldwide.

    Groundwater depletion is directly influenced by water management decisions—and can also be stopped by them.

    In many areas, once groundwater is depleted, it will not naturally replenish on a human timescale. The disappearance of groundwater from the Earth’s aquifers represents a new and serious threat to humanity, creating cascading risks that are rarely considered in environmental policy, water management, or governance. This is an intergenerational resource that is being poorly managed—or not managed at all—by today’s societies, at a tremendous and deeply underestimated cost to future generations.

    Protecting the world’s groundwater reserves is essential in a warming world and on continents we now know are drying out.

    A Call to Action

    Just as efforts to slow climate change are faltering, so too are efforts to curb the drying of the continents.

    Key policy decisions and new management strategies—particularly those promoting groundwater sustainability at both national and regional levels—alongside international initiatives for global groundwater sustainability, can help safeguard this vital resource for generations to come.

    Major, coordinated efforts—national, international, global, and transdisciplinary—are urgently needed to raise awareness and spur action on the drying of the continents and the decline in freshwater availability.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘We’re the canary in the coalmine’: when will Russia take action on the climate? | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/18/when-will-russia-take-action-on-the-climate

    the country remains the world’s fourth-largest emitter of greenhouse gases and is often described as a laggard – or even an obstructionist – on climate policy. (Russia is the second largest emitter of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, but is not signed up to the global methane pledge.)

    Angelina Davydova, a leading Russian environmental expert, said: “Russia keeps saying that the climate is important, that international cooperation on climate change is important. But then Russia is not doing anything to combat it. I don’t think it’s a pressing issue; they are happy with the status quo.”

    This may be because, in no small part, Russia’s economic stability depends on the fossil fuels that are one of the root causes of the crisis.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Tax on AI and crypto could fund climate action, says former Paris accords envoy | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/17/tax-ai-crypto-climate-action-paris-accords-envoy-energy-technology
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    V usa s temi zmenami klimatu ale zatoci zakonem

    MTG Wants to Make ‘Deadly’ Weather Manipulation a Felony
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/mtg-wants-deadly-weather-manipulation-151205076.html

    Greene announced in a Saturday tweet that she intends to wage war on the “deadly” practice of “climate modification” and “geoengineering” with a bill that would make any such efforts a felony offense.

    According to Greene, she’s been “researching weather modification” and now she is ready to take action after spending months “writing this bill” with her legislative counsel.

    She added, “It will be similar to Florida’s Senate Bill 56. We must end the dangerous and deadly practice of weather modification and geoengineering.”
    ...
    In a since-deleted 2018 Facebook post, multiple news outlets reported that Greene suggested that “lasers or blue beams of light” from “space solar generators” in the sky, controlled by Jewish people, may have caused a spate of wildfires—including the 150,000-acre Camp Fire in California that killed 85 people. She has denied she made such a claim in a later interview.
    ...
    On the heels of the devastating 2024 Hurricane Helene, Greene, seemingly provoked, took to X with a message.

    “Yes they can control the weather,” she wrote, “it’s ridiculous for anyone to lie and say it can’t be done.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘A war of the truth’: Europe’s heatwaves are failing to spur support for climate action | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/04/europe-heatwaves-failing-support-climate-action

    As heatwaves engulfed large swathes of Europe and North America last week – the latest in a stream of deadly extremes made worse by fossil fuel pollution – green groups are frustrated that increasingly violent weather has not spurred the urgent support for climate action they had expected.

    Governments across the rich world continue to roll back policies to stop the planet from heating, while far-right parties that deny climate science lash out at environment rules even as disasters unfold. Their voters, while rarely climate deniers themselves, seem to tolerate their energetic attacks on environmental policy, if not support them.
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    Experiencing extreme weather and disasters is not enough to change views on climate action, study shows
    https://theconversation.com/experiencing-extreme-weather-and-disasters-is-not-enough-to-change-views-on-climate-action-study-shows-260308
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    World faces new danger of ‘economic denial’ in climate fight, Cop30 head says | Cop30 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/28/andre-correa-do-lago-cop30-interview-climate-crisis

    The world is facing a new form of climate denial – not the dismissal of climate science, but a concerted attack on the idea that the economy can be reorganised to fight the crisis, the president of global climate talks has warned.

    André Corrêa do Lago, the veteran Brazilian diplomat who will direct this year’s UN summit, Cop30, believes his biggest job will be to counter the attempt from some vested interests to prevent climate policies aimed at shifting the global economy to a low-carbon footing.

    “There is a new kind of opposition to climate action. We are facing a discredit of climate policies. I don’t think we are facing climate denial,” he said, referring to the increasingly desperate attempts to pretend there is no consensus on climate science that have plagued climate action for the past 30 years. “It’s not a scientific denial, it’s an economic denial.”

    This economic denial could be just as dangerous and cause as much delay as repeated attempts to deny climate science in previous years, he warned in an exclusive interview with the Guardian.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Just Stop Oil has ended its campaign of direct action, yet many activists still face years in prison. In the final episode, Rivkah and Clare find out whether their commitment to their cause has wavered. They also speak to veteran climate campaigner Roger Hallam, currently serving a four-year sentence, about his role in sending young activists to prison.

    Was Prison Worth It? | Committed Episode 4
    https://youtu.be/8DBEKH83otE?si=jrAQK_zbYSkp1PdI
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    In March (2025?), 440 winter and summer Olympians representing more than 90 countries and 50 sports wroteExternal link an open letter to candidates for the presidency of the International Olympic Committee. They expressed concern about the risks that climate change poses to many sports and called for the organisation to take more action to fight climate change. This included setting standards for sponsorships, upholding sustainable practices, and strengthening commitments to cut carbon emissions.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    David King

    We passed the 1.5C climate threshold. We must now explore extreme options | David King | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/apr/07/climate-solutions-extreme-options


    R Hallam
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1AP5yJSuWn/


    The former UK government’s chief scientific adviser, the foreign secretary’s special representative for climate change and the head of the University of Cambridge’s chemistry department, Sir David King states that as we have passed 1.5C "we must now explore extreme options". I could not agree more. I trust and respect science experts when they say we cannot save ourselves without geo-engineering. This goes against my culture as a former organic farmer but facts are facts and I am not an expert.

    The question then is whether natural scientists like Sir David King will trust social scientists/experts like myself who have been saying for the last decade that only through mass civil disobedience and resistance will the policies insisted upon by him and others be implemented. This is not because I like creating disruption any more than scientists like the risks of geo-engineering. It is simply a matter of rationally looking at reality.

    We are in an existential emergency; without drastic action the deaths of billions of people will be locked in in the next decade, not to mention the prospect of human extinction. It is time to do what is necessary - what is most likely to work.

    As I wrote recently on the news that JSO has been prevented from continuing its actions due to the mass imprisonment of its organisers, the reason for our failure is the refusal of key members of the elites to "defect," as is the word in the literature. This means they lead the marches, get arrested, and receive prison sentences.

    I would bet my life that if 50 individuals of Sir David's social standing decided to act to save our country to the point of being imprisoned then policy change would happen in the UK. And the same would happen in other Western states. The reason nothing is happening is that civil society leaders refuse to act on their sacred duty and honour to protect the people of our country. They are violating their values through their cowardice, and they know it.

    As Sir David says, we don't want to leave it too late. "The longer we delay, the fewer options remain on the table and the more likely that deployment will happen without the proper due diligence at a point of desperation." In social scientific terms what he means is that if we don't act now because it is only poor black people (over there) that will die, by the time we are forced to engage in civil resistance because "nice" white people in the home counties are dying, it will be way too late for us too. Won't it.

    ⚰️ Why The Human Race is Going Extinct this Century
    https://rogerhallam.com/blog-extinct/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    related

    Car tyres shed a quarter of all microplastics in the environment – urgent action is needed | University of Portsmouth
    https://www.port.ac.uk/news-events-and-blogs/blogs/protecting-our-environment/car-tyres-shed-a-quarter-of-all-microplastics-in-the-environment-urgent-action-is-needed

    Every year, billions of vehicles worldwide shed an estimated 6 million tonnes of tyre fragments. These tiny flakes of plastic, generated by the wear and tear of normal driving, eventually accumulate in the soil, in rivers and lakes, and even in our food. Researchers in South China recently found tyre-derived chemicals in most human urine samples.

    These tyre particles are a significant but often-overlooked contributor to microplastic pollution. They account for 28% of microplastics entering the environment globally.

    Despite the scale of the issue, tyre particles have flown under the radar. Often lumped in with other microplastics, they are rarely treated as a distinct pollution category, yet their unique characteristics demand a different approach.
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