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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Cop16 ends in disarry and indecision despite biodiversity breakthroughs | Cop16 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/03/cop16-ends-in-disarry-and-indecision-despite-biodiversity-breakthroughs

    Governments failed to reach a consensus on key issues such as nature funding and how this decade’s targets would be monitored. Many were forced to leave the talks early to catch flights, and negotiations were suspended at 8.30am when fewer than half of the countries were present, and the meeting lost quorum. Countries will need to continue the talks next year at an interim meeting in Bangkok.

    A number of countries expressed fury at the way the talks had been dragged out and the order of discussions, which left crucial issues undecided at the final hour.

    ...

    Governments were able to make some significant breakthroughs: they agreed on a global levy on products made using genetic data from nature, potentially creating one of the world’s largest biodiversity conservation funds; and formally incorporated Indigenous communities in the official decision-making of the UN biodiversity process, in what negotiators described as a “watershed moment” for indigenous representation.

    ...

    During the summit, it became clear that many countries were making weak or no progress on crucial aims such as reforming environmentally harmful subsidies, protected areas and even submitting national plans for meeting the targets.

    “We saw insufficient leadership from the wealthier countries, the European Union and France in particular, Canada, Switzerland, Japan, the UK, but also China. The executive secretary of the UN convention on biodiversity was also quite phantomatic,” said Oscar Soria, director of thinktank the Common Initiative.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Ano, trochu už to pár týdnů sleduji, ne že by od toho mohl člověk moc očekávat. :shrug:
    “China and US push each other on priorities for UN COP29 climate talks…

    “Washington’s top climate diplomat John Podesta has pressed Chinese leaders to come up with ambitious plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 in one of the final meetings between the world’s two largest polluters ahead of the UN COP29 climate summit in November.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/784bb728-a0d7-485a-9ab9-89da0d516f61
    https://archive.fo/ecZe9
    ___
    “Good Cop, Bad COP29: Azerbaijan’s greenwashing ahead of crucial climate summit…

    “Since it was announced as this year’s host in November last year, Azerbaijan has intensified crackdowns on independent media and academics, arresting dozens on falsified charges this year alone. And concerns are intensifying around Azerbaijan’s commitments to expanding its fossil fuel industry.”
    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/podcast-episode/good-cop-bad-cop29-azerbaijans-greenwashing-ahead-of-crucial-climate-summit/j5qm1xxq5
    ___
    "Satellite data shows an increase in gas flaring since Azerbaijan last reported its emissions six years ago, calling into question BP and state oil company’s pledge to eliminate methane flaring by 2030."

    "Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries are required to submit their emissions data every two years. Yet Azerbaijan, which will host the COP29 climate summit in November, has failed to do so since 2018. "
    wonderful

    "The Presidency of COP29 is headed by Mukhtar Babayev, who is currently serving as Ecology and Natural Resources of Azerbaijan, Babayev previously worked as the SOCAR’s Vice President for ecology."

    https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/fossil-gas/cop29-host-azerbaijan-failing-report-ever-growing-methane-emissions/
    ___
    Several major oil-producing countries, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, are pushing back against talks on an agreement at the upcoming COP29 climate summit to mitigate the use of fossil fuels.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Petrostates-Push-Back-Against-UN-Talks-on-Shift-from-Fossil-Fuels.html
    ___
    “COP29 host’s own climate plans are ‘critically insufficient’, says expert group…

    “Campaigners have expressed concerns about the selection of yet another country that is heavily reliant on the sale of oil and gas to oversee the world’s most important climate negotiations. Questions about human rights followed after several arrests of government critics.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/8ca61260-743a-4e4b-8699-e937a07d7cfc
    https://archive.fo/Nlg2O
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    2024 Securing the ‘great white shield’? Climate change, Arctic security and the geopolitics of solar geoengineering
    https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00108367241269629

    By systematically juxtaposing recently published schemes for Arctic geoengineering with Arctic security strategies published by the littoral Arctic states and China, we reveal and detail two conflicting security imaginaries. Geoengineering schemes scientifically securitise (and seek to maintain) the Arctic’s ‘great white shield’ to protect ‘global’ humanity against climate tipping points and invoke a past era of Arctic ‘exceptionality’ to suggest greater political feasibility for research interventions here. Meanwhile, state security imaginaries understand the contemporary Arctic as an increasingly contested region of considerable geopolitical peril and economic opportunity as temperatures rise. Alongside the entangled history of science with geopolitics in the region, this suggests that geoengineering schemes in the Arctic are unlikely to follow scientific visions, and unless co-opted into competitive, extractivist state security imaginaries, may prove entirely infeasible. Moreover, if the Arctic is the ‘best-case’ for geoengineering politics, this places a huge question mark over the feasibility of other, more global prospects
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Focus on the ‘Forgotten Greenhouse Gas’ Intensifies as All Eyes Are on the U.S. and China to Curb Pollution - Inside Climate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/26092024/us-and-china-greenhouse-gas-nitrous-oxide-emissions/

    the United States and China, which together are responsible for approximately 80 percent of the world’s nitrous oxide emissions from the industrial sector. The emissions come primarily from the production of adipic acid, a precursor to high-strength nylon, and nitric acid, used in fertilizer production.

    The nitrous oxide emissions from chemical plants in China and the U.S. were the focus of a 2020 investigation by Inside Climate News.

    “It’s really up to the U.S. and China right now to get their act together and abate those industrial emissions,” Davidson said.

    Producers of adipic acid and nitric acid in Europe and elsewhere have reduced nitrous oxide emissions by 99 percent or more through incineration or chemical breakdown. Installing similar pollution controls at a limited number of chemical plants in China alone could reduce greenhouse gas emissions by up to 200 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year, according to the U.S. deputy special envoy for climate, Rick Duke. The climate impact would be similar to shutting down 50 coal-fired power plants or taking nearly 50 million cars off the road.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    China has more than 1 billion tons/year of new coal mines in pipeline, report says
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/china-has-more-than-1-bln-tonsyear-new-coal-mines-pipeline-report-says-2024-09-10/
    China developing 1.28 bln tons of coal mining capacity
    Chinese mines in progress more than half global pipeline
    35% of projects in pipeline under construction
    Current large-scale capacity is 3.88 mln metric tons/year
    China responsible for 70% of coal mine methane emissions
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    @carbonbrief
    🚘 More than half of all cars sold in China last month were electric.

    📈 For the first time ever, electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrids reached a record-high of 51.1% of retail sales in July, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association.

    🛢️Meanwhile, EVs are already noticeably reducing China’s oil demand. Compared with a year earlier, the increase in the number of EVs on China’s roads cut demand for transport fuels by approximately 4%.

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    XCHAOS: ja ti nevim.

    ​China was the #1 car sales country in 2023. China auto sales increased 28% year-over-year to over 30 million vehicles, and outpaced 2nd place USA by nearly 15 million units.
    ...
    China Number of Registered Vehicles was reported at 329,116,000 Unit in Dec 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 311,844,370 Unit for Dec 2022.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    petrologistika

    Wealthy countries lead in new oil and gas expansion, threatening 12bn tonnes of emissions | Oil and gas companies | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/24/new-oil-gas-emission-data-us-uk

    The new oil and gas field licences forecast to be awarded across the world this year are on track to generate the highest level of emissions since those issued in 2018, as heatwaves, wildfires, drought and floods cause death and destruction globally, according to analysis of industry data by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD).

    The 11.9bn tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions – which is roughly the same as China’s annual carbon pollution – resulting over their lifetime from all current and upcoming oil and gas fields forecast to be licensed by the end of 2024 would be greater than the past four years combined. The projection includes licences awarded as of June 2024, as well as the oil and gas blocks open for bidding, under evaluation or planned.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    China will “meet its end-of-2030 target by the end of this month — or 6.5 years early.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    China’s emissions of two potent greenhouse gases rise 78% in decade | China | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/15/chinas-emissions-of-two-potent-greenhouse-gases-rise-78-in-decade
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    anyway, lets go!

    Coal reached a RECORD high share of electricity generation in Indonesia and the Philippines in 2023, surpassing Poland and China.
    (pro nejakou predstavu: indonesie ma kolem 280M lidi a filipiny kolem 115M, EU ma dohoromady asi 450M lidi )

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Fostering Effective Energy Transition 2024
    https://www.weforum.org/publications/fostering-effective-energy-transition-2024/

    In the 14th edition of the Fostering Effective Energy Transition report, the WEF noted that its benchmarks for 107 of the 120 countries surveyed indicated they had made advances in their transitions towards clean and sustainable energy systems over the last decade.

    But it said that the slowdown in the pace of the global energy transition, first identified in its 2022 data, had intensified in the past year. The survey found that more than 80% of countries had moved backwards compared to the previous report in at least one of the three main energy system performance dimensions it benchmarks, namely security, equity (meaning equitable energy distribution, access and cost) and sustainability.

    ...

    the WEF reports that the gap in overall scores has narrowed between advanced and developing economies and says that the “centre of gravity” of the transition is shifting towards developing countries. Nevertheless, developed countries and China have attracted almost 90% of the growth in clean energy investment since 2021.
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Výkon jak 2,5 Temelínu - tenhle "solární park" by plně zásobil energii 10 milionů Papuánců (mají menší spotřebu něž stejný počet čechů)

    Čína připojila k síti největší solární elektrárnu na světě. Park o rozloze 200 tisíc hektarů (2 000 kilometrů čtverečních) se nachází v severozápadní části země v autonomní oblasti Sin-ťiang a bude vyrábět tolik elektřiny, který spotřebuje ostrovní stát Papua Nová Guinea s deseti miliony obyvatel za rok. Celkový instalovaný výkon – maximální výkon, kterého je daná fotovoltaická elektrárna schopna technicky dosáhnout – má úctyhodných pět gigawattů.

    Dva dosavadní největší fotovoltaické areály na světě se nacházejí také v Číně. Jedním z nich je solární projekt Ningxia Tenggeli společnosti Longyuan Power Group, který má instalovaný výkon tři gigawatty a nachází se v poušti Tenggeli v autonomním regionu Vnitřní Mongolsko. Druhým je srovnatelně velký solární komplex Golmud Wutumeiren v provincii Čching-chaj.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/worlds-biggest-solar-farm-comes-online-chinas-xinjiang-2024-06-03/

    Čína spustila největší solární elektrárnu světa. Výkon má dvaapůlkrát větší než Temelín | Hrot
    https://www.hrot24.cz/clanek/cina-spustila-nejvetsi-solarni-elektrarnu-sveta-na-papire-ma-vykon-dvaapulkrat-vetsi-nez-temelin

    China's largest solar power tower project achieves milestone | World DNA | WION
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDk8iuL810I
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Everything You’re Told About Green Capitalism is Wrong | Brett Christophers talks to Aaron Bastani
    https://youtu.be/fMzFCcv1d3Q?si=cBTbgmxjLk5xWkgq


    The costs of green electricity are plummeting and renewable technology is only getting cheaper. For optimists, this means that a world of abundant, clean energy is just around the corner.

    And yet the share of global energy coming from non-carbon sources is broadly the same as it was two decades ago. If falling prices were all that mattered, surely that wouldn’t be the case? For the optimists to be right, things would have to look different.

    According to this week’s guest, Brett Christophers, there is a straightforward explanation for this seeming paradox - of cheaper green energy but incredibly slow adoption. For Christophers it isn’t just prices that matter, but profits too. And profitability for green energy projects remains well below those of oil and gas. The incentives are simply not there for market actors to take us rapidly beyond oil, gas and coal.

    So if capitalism can address the climate crisis, what would that look like? Or does the state need to play a decisive role? How is it possible that China is both a global leader and a laggard in greenhouse gas emissions? And is Europe over?


    The Price is Wrong: Why Capitalism Won't Save the Planet | Verso Books
    https://www.versobooks.com/products/3069-the-price-is-wrong
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    China Launches World's Largest Electric Container Ship - Slashdot
    https://slashdot.org/story/427870
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Is China on track to reduce its carbon emissions? If so, why is it building so much coal power? In this episode, researcher Lauri Myllyvirta brings data to bear on China’s recent decarbonization efforts and helps demystify the country’s larger intentions.

    What's going on with China these days? - by David Roberts
    https://www.volts.wtf/p/whats-going-on-with-china-these-days
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Germany is a case study — perhaps the case study — of a Western middle power which made a strategic bet on a full embrace of interdependence and globalization in the late 20th century: it outsourced its security to the U.S., its export-led growth to China, and its energy needs to Russia. It is now finding itself excruciatingly vulnerable in an early 21st century characterized by great power competition and an increasing weaponization of interdependence by allies and adversaries alike. The war in Ukraine, which touches on almost every one of Germany’s bilateral, regional, and global interests, only accentuates its exposure. That this horrific conflict is taking place in the region that was part of the “Bloodlands” (the term coined by Yale historian Timothy Snyder), where Hitler and (to a lesser degree) Stalin murdered tens of millions of people is lost on few of my fellow citizens.

    For much of the three decades after German reunification in 1990, Berlin saw Moscow (as well as Beijing) as a reliable strategic partner in a two-way bargain: Germany would import cheap energy, and export good governance in much the way that Eastern Europe had been transformed through entry into NATO and the EU. Ultimately, German policymakers hoped, this would transform not only these countries’ economies but also their political systems. And they believed — in an attempt to reconfigure West Germany’s Cold War Ostpolitik for a united Germany in the middle of Europe — that NATO and the European Union could and should be encompassed in a pan-European security architecture that included Russia.

    The Kremlin, for its part, saw Germany as a friend, a partner, and as a strategic bridgehead into Europe — not least because it was importing roughly a third of its oil and gas from Russia. What the Germans called their “modernization partnership” with Moscow made for excellent business for a while; but in every other way, it proved to be a failure. Economic integration turned out to be strictly downstream, while many German businesses got burned by corruption and organized crime; political reform remained elusive.

    Putin’s war and European energy security: A German perspective on decoupling from Russian fossil fuels | Brookings
    https://www.brookings.edu/articles/putins-war-and-european-energy-security-a-german-perspective-on-decoupling-from-russian-fossil-fuels/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Zajimavej report na geopoliticky implikace tajici Arktidy...

    Climate change is already affecting geopolitics, and countries are adapting their geopolitical strategies to take account of anticipated future climate change. Russia is leading in this regard, explicitly integrating climate change forecasts into its economic and national security strategies. Vladimir Putin has signaled that he sees the Arctic as an essential resource base and military stronghold for Russia in the decades ahead. Putin also seems to believe that unexploited hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic will be crucial for Russia’s economic future post-Ukraine. Scientists and industry participants are skeptical that this plan will succeed, but the exit of Western firms has removed pressure on Russian policymakers and firms to guard against Arctic environmental risks. Russian activity is increasing the probability of Arctic environmental disasters in the years ahead, including oil spills and radiological leakage.

    The United States and its Arctic allies and partners cannot ignore Russia’s actions. As the war in Ukraine still rages, a future military confrontation between Russia and NATO in the Arctic cannot be ruled out. NATO faces the challenge of how to strengthen its defense structures and increase the frequency and scope of Arctic exercises without risking misperceptions and accidents that lead to conflict with Russia. Moscow’s diplomatic isolation and economic weakness may also force it to grant China a greater role in the development of the Northern Sea Route.



    The Geopolitics of Climate Change: Scenarios and Pathways for Arctic 2050 | Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/geopolitics-climate-change-scenarios-and-pathways-arctic-2050
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Zajimavej kratkej paper o historii klimatickyho vyzkumu v Cine #China #Cina

    Another scientist who shared this view of China’s
    climate as being related to global long-term cycles and
    a recent warming trend was Tu Changwang (1906–1962).
    Tu, at the request of Zhu Kezhen, returned to China from
    studying in the UK in the 1930s and became a leading
    figure in Chinese meteorological research. In a particularly
    noteworthy article in the People’s Daily in January 1961
    entitled “On the issue of climate change in the twentieth
    century” (关于二十世纪气候变暖的问题), Tu underscored
    the fact that international meteorologists had calculated
    that the annual average temperature of the earth rose
    by 0.33 degrees between 1910 and 1940. He subsequently
    issued an early warning to the leadership about the risk
    of potential negative effects of continued climate change.7
    In many respects, Tu Changwang became one of the most
    influential scientists in the field through his mentoring of
    a group of meteorologists and atmospheric physicists that
    became a core of the climate science community in China
    in the late twentieth century.8

    https://www.mpiwg-berlin.mpg.de/sites/default/files/2023-03/OP09_ErikBaark.pdf
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    POLITICO:

    „EU UNLIKELY TO RESCUE DYING SOLAR INDUSTRY: European solar producers are hurtling toward extinction after the European Union hinted Tuesday that it wouldn’t bail out ailing manufacturers, POLITICO’s Victor Jack reports. That’s putting thousands of jobs at risk and deals a blow to Europe’s clean-tech ambitions. 
    In a private meeting between the solar industry and the European Commission, the bloc’s competition officials said they wouldn’t change subsidy rules to support the industry without a strong push from the EU governments, a person familiar with the talks told Victor. The person was granted anonymity to speak freely about confidential talks.
    EU solar manufacturers have warned for months that they face an existential crisis with respect to China’s near-total dominance over global supply lines, which has caused a supply glut of dirt-cheap solar panels inside the bloc and left them unable to compete. In the coming week, companies are set to begin laying off the roughly 4,000 skilled workers in the sector.„

    EU snubs dying solar manufacturers as China poised to swallow market – POLITICO
    https://www.politico.eu/article/solar-panels-manufacturing-china-europe-market/
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