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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +1
    Trump plans to use emergency powers to fast-track generation co-located with AI | Utility Dive
    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/trump-emergency-co-located-power-plants-ai-data-center-davos/738209/

    President Donald Trump plans to speed power plant development for co-located artificial intelligence data centers using his energy emergency declaration, he said Thursday.

    “I can get the approvals done myself without having to go through years of waiting,” Trump told the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “I’m going to give emergency declarations so that they can start building them almost immediately.”

    ...

    “We need to double the energy we currently have in the United States … for AI to really be as big as we want to have it” to compete with China and other countries, Trump said

    ...

    Co-locating generation and data centers “was largely my idea,” Trump said. “Nobody thought this was possible … I told them that what I want you to do is build your electric generating plant right next to your plant as a separate building connected.”

    Coal-fired generation could be used as a backup for the data centers, according to Trump. “Nothing can destroy coal, not the weather, not a bomb, nothing,” Trump said. “It might make it a little smaller, might make it a little different shape, but coal is very strong as a backup.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď+1
    meanwhile, EU goes skanzen

    China's solar, wind power installations soared to record in 2024
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-solar-wind-power-installed-capacity-soars-2024-2025-01-21/

    China broke its own records for new wind and solar power installations again last year, official data showed on Tuesday, accelerating from a breakneck pace set in 2023 as the country looks to peak its carbon emissions before 2030.

    Installed solar and wind power capacity climbed 45.2% and 18%, respectively, in 2024, the National Energy Administration said on Tuesday.

    There is now 886.67 GW of installed solar power, up from 609.49 GW in 2023, it said. The United States had 139 GW in 2023, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency

    The installations mean China in July hit its 2030 target six years ahead of schedule, underscoring the speed of its clean energy rollout at a time when President Donald Trump has pulled the United States out of the Paris climate deal for a second time and pledged to make it easier to drill for oil and gas.

    By 2030, solar power capacity should meaningfully outstrip coal, which still dominates China's grid, at 1,780 GW to 1,440 GW, state-owned oil major China National Petroleum Company said at a separate briefing.

    Last in August, China's state planner unveiled a three-year plan to upgrade the power system, increasing its use of renewable energy and easing the strain of rising power demand on the national grid.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    1 odpověď+5
    TUHO: TUHO: Jo a jeste teda koukam, ze vyrazne posilujou i energy storage, kde jsou take vyrazne vepredu oproti EU. Vypustte Zlamalovou, at dela hystericky vlny, ze "To Evropa nemuze prezit"

    https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/06/next-step-for-china-s-clean-energy-transition-is-storage-deployment-in-its-world-class-industries/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    2 odpovědi+7
    Mezitim Cina


    Lauri Myllyvirta
    @laurimyllyvirta
    Just out: Solar power additions in China in 2024 exceeded expectations, again, with a whopping 277 GW installed in just one year! This was up 28% on the already towering 217 GW added in 2023.

    Wind power made a new record as well, with 79 GW added to the grid, up 5% on year.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +3
    On the morning of November 28, China's newest nuclear power plant, a Hualong One reactor at Zhangzhou in Fujian, connected to the grid just just 61 months after construction.

    How does China build these so fast? Let's review the timeline.

    x.com
    https://x.com/pretentiouswhat/status/1863886994029314134?s=19
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +4
    Fury as US argues against climate obligations at top UN court | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/04/us-climate-crisis-legal-court

    Australia, China and Saudi Arabia – major fossil fuel economies and among the world’s worst greenhouse gas emitters – also argued against legal accountability that developing nations are pushing for.

    After years of campaigning by vulnerable nations and the global climate justice movement, the UN asked the ICJ to provide an advisory opinion on what obligations states have to tackle climate change and what the legal consequences could be if they fail to do so. More than 100 countries and organisations are testifying over the course of two weeks, and many hope the hearings will elevate science to the forefront, ensuring international law reflects the realities of climate breakdown and the urgent need for transformative action
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď+3
    Handful of countries responsible for climate crisis, top court told | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/02/handful-of-countries-responsible-for-climate-crisis-icj-court-told

    Over the next two weeks, the court will hear statements from 98 nations, including wealthy developed nations with the greatest historical responsibility for the climate emergency, such as the UK and Russia, and states that have contributed very little to global greenhouse gas emissions but stand to bear the brunt of their impact, including Bangladesh and Sudan as well as Pacific island nations.

    The US and China, the world’s biggest emitters, will make statements too, even though neither fully recognises the court’s authority.

    Regenvanu told the court that states continued to emit vast amounts of greenhouse gases in spite of “increasingly dire warnings” from scientists, noting that emissions had increased by more than 50% since 1990.

    ...

    Wewerinke-Singh said responsible states were required to make full reparation for the injury they had caused and this must be “proportionate to historic contributions to the harm”. She said this could include monetary compensation in addition to cash committed under the UNFCCC.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    -1
    TUHO: AMOC collapse chápu jako konec Evropy, ale ne nutně že US a China přestanou pálit fosil. Naopak když se jim trochu ochladí ..

    Takže ta PPM hodnota je vlastně zajímavý hard limit nezávislý na globální teplote. Tak jsem to myslela
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    +1
    PER2: Na toto téma
    The End of China's Rise and the Future of World Order│Michael Beckley (Tufts University, Professor)
    https://youtu.be/IEJcDJq1Mgw?si=MxiCmA3GMg2Q9Bsc
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    +1
    PER2:

    Trump's Anti-Climate Agenda Could Help China Dominate Global Markets | Scientific American
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/trumps-anti-climate-agenda-could-help-china-dominate-global-markets/
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    2 odpovědi+9
    china goes brrrrrrrrt

    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    +4
    https://phys.org/news/2024-11-china-energy-law-carbon-neutrality.html#google_vignette
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    2 odpovědi+1
    jeste z technoakceleracionisticke bubliny

    "i kind of admire the climate commitments, but... national security is more important"

    Leopold Aschenbrenner - 2027 AGI, China/US Super-Intelligence Race, & The Return of History
    https://youtu.be/zdbVtZIn9IM?si=zds82ewc_KwGn9My


    TADEAS
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +4
    Cop16 ends in disarry and indecision despite biodiversity breakthroughs | Cop16 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/03/cop16-ends-in-disarry-and-indecision-despite-biodiversity-breakthroughs

    Governments failed to reach a consensus on key issues such as nature funding and how this decade’s targets would be monitored. Many were forced to leave the talks early to catch flights, and negotiations were suspended at 8.30am when fewer than half of the countries were present, and the meeting lost quorum. Countries will need to continue the talks next year at an interim meeting in Bangkok.

    A number of countries expressed fury at the way the talks had been dragged out and the order of discussions, which left crucial issues undecided at the final hour.

    ...

    Governments were able to make some significant breakthroughs: they agreed on a global levy on products made using genetic data from nature, potentially creating one of the world’s largest biodiversity conservation funds; and formally incorporated Indigenous communities in the official decision-making of the UN biodiversity process, in what negotiators described as a “watershed moment” for indigenous representation.

    ...

    During the summit, it became clear that many countries were making weak or no progress on crucial aims such as reforming environmentally harmful subsidies, protected areas and even submitting national plans for meeting the targets.

    “We saw insufficient leadership from the wealthier countries, the European Union and France in particular, Canada, Switzerland, Japan, the UK, but also China. The executive secretary of the UN convention on biodiversity was also quite phantomatic,” said Oscar Soria, director of thinktank the Common Initiative.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    +4
    YMLADRIS: Ano, trochu už to pár týdnů sleduji, ne že by od toho mohl člověk moc očekávat. :shrug:
    “China and US push each other on priorities for UN COP29 climate talks…

    “Washington’s top climate diplomat John Podesta has pressed Chinese leaders to come up with ambitious plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 in one of the final meetings between the world’s two largest polluters ahead of the UN COP29 climate summit in November.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/784bb728-a0d7-485a-9ab9-89da0d516f61
    https://archive.fo/ecZe9
    ___
    “Good Cop, Bad COP29: Azerbaijan’s greenwashing ahead of crucial climate summit…

    “Since it was announced as this year’s host in November last year, Azerbaijan has intensified crackdowns on independent media and academics, arresting dozens on falsified charges this year alone. And concerns are intensifying around Azerbaijan’s commitments to expanding its fossil fuel industry.”
    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/podcast-episode/good-cop-bad-cop29-azerbaijans-greenwashing-ahead-of-crucial-climate-summit/j5qm1xxq5
    ___
    "Satellite data shows an increase in gas flaring since Azerbaijan last reported its emissions six years ago, calling into question BP and state oil company’s pledge to eliminate methane flaring by 2030."

    "Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries are required to submit their emissions data every two years. Yet Azerbaijan, which will host the COP29 climate summit in November, has failed to do so since 2018. "
    wonderful

    "The Presidency of COP29 is headed by Mukhtar Babayev, who is currently serving as Ecology and Natural Resources of Azerbaijan, Babayev previously worked as the SOCAR’s Vice President for ecology."

    https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/fossil-gas/cop29-host-azerbaijan-failing-report-ever-growing-methane-emissions/
    ___
    Several major oil-producing countries, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, are pushing back against talks on an agreement at the upcoming COP29 climate summit to mitigate the use of fossil fuels.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Petrostates-Push-Back-Against-UN-Talks-on-Shift-from-Fossil-Fuels.html
    ___
    “COP29 host’s own climate plans are ‘critically insufficient’, says expert group…

    “Campaigners have expressed concerns about the selection of yet another country that is heavily reliant on the sale of oil and gas to oversee the world’s most important climate negotiations. Questions about human rights followed after several arrests of government critics.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/8ca61260-743a-4e4b-8699-e937a07d7cfc
    https://archive.fo/Nlg2O
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    2024 Securing the ‘great white shield’? Climate change, Arctic security and the geopolitics of solar geoengineering
    https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00108367241269629

    By systematically juxtaposing recently published schemes for Arctic geoengineering with Arctic security strategies published by the littoral Arctic states and China, we reveal and detail two conflicting security imaginaries. Geoengineering schemes scientifically securitise (and seek to maintain) the Arctic’s ‘great white shield’ to protect ‘global’ humanity against climate tipping points and invoke a past era of Arctic ‘exceptionality’ to suggest greater political feasibility for research interventions here. Meanwhile, state security imaginaries understand the contemporary Arctic as an increasingly contested region of considerable geopolitical peril and economic opportunity as temperatures rise. Alongside the entangled history of science with geopolitics in the region, this suggests that geoengineering schemes in the Arctic are unlikely to follow scientific visions, and unless co-opted into competitive, extractivist state security imaginaries, may prove entirely infeasible. Moreover, if the Arctic is the ‘best-case’ for geoengineering politics, this places a huge question mark over the feasibility of other, more global prospects
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +1
    Focus on the ‘Forgotten Greenhouse Gas’ Intensifies as All Eyes Are on the U.S. and China to Curb Pollution - Inside Climate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/26092024/us-and-china-greenhouse-gas-nitrous-oxide-emissions/

    the United States and China, which together are responsible for approximately 80 percent of the world’s nitrous oxide emissions from the industrial sector. The emissions come primarily from the production of adipic acid, a precursor to high-strength nylon, and nitric acid, used in fertilizer production.

    The nitrous oxide emissions from chemical plants in China and the U.S. were the focus of a 2020 investigation by Inside Climate News.

    “It’s really up to the U.S. and China right now to get their act together and abate those industrial emissions,” Davidson said.

    Producers of adipic acid and nitric acid in Europe and elsewhere have reduced nitrous oxide emissions by 99 percent or more through incineration or chemical breakdown. Installing similar pollution controls at a limited number of chemical plants in China alone could reduce greenhouse gas emissions by up to 200 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year, according to the U.S. deputy special envoy for climate, Rick Duke. The climate impact would be similar to shutting down 50 coal-fired power plants or taking nearly 50 million cars off the road.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    +2
    China has more than 1 billion tons/year of new coal mines in pipeline, report says
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/china-has-more-than-1-bln-tonsyear-new-coal-mines-pipeline-report-says-2024-09-10/
    China developing 1.28 bln tons of coal mining capacity
    Chinese mines in progress more than half global pipeline
    35% of projects in pipeline under construction
    Current large-scale capacity is 3.88 mln metric tons/year
    China responsible for 70% of coal mine methane emissions
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    +6
    @carbonbrief
    🚘 More than half of all cars sold in China last month were electric.

    📈 For the first time ever, electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrids reached a record-high of 51.1% of retail sales in July, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association.

    🛢️Meanwhile, EVs are already noticeably reducing China’s oil demand. Compared with a year earlier, the increase in the number of EVs on China’s roads cut demand for transport fuels by approximately 4%.

    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    1 odpověď
    XCHAOS: ja ti nevim.

    ​China was the #1 car sales country in 2023. China auto sales increased 28% year-over-year to over 30 million vehicles, and outpaced 2nd place USA by nearly 15 million units.
    ...
    China Number of Registered Vehicles was reported at 329,116,000 Unit in Dec 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 311,844,370 Unit for Dec 2022.
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