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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
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    Global sea levels have been underestimated due to poor modelling, research suggests | Oceans | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/mar/04/global-sea-levels-underestimated-poor-modelling-research

    The new calculations reveal that following a relative sea level rise of 1 metre, it is estimated that 37% more coastal areas will fall below sea level, affecting up to 132 million individuals.

    “If sea level is higher for your particular island or coastal city than was previously assumed, the impacts from sea level rise will happen sooner than projected before,” said Minderhoud.

    Describing the discrepancy as an “interdisciplinary blind spot”, the scientists are concerned that a large proportion of the studies analysed in their research, which they believe are inaccurate, are referenced in the most recent climate change reports published by the IPCC.
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    Smorgasbord of Recent Climate Change Scientific Research: My High-Level Overview…
    https://youtu.be/G_ezX7x6Ukk?si=4R3u6GCr7d6ANhaL
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    Suicide (Paperback) – JUST RELEASED – Revolution in the 21st Century
    https://rev21.earth/product/suicide/

    From a cell in Wayland Prison, Roger Hallam—farmer, researcher, and co-founder of Just Stop Oil—delivers a searing indictment of a legal system that punishes those who resist, while protecting those who destroy. In July 2024, Hallam was dragged from a British courtroom for refusing to stay silent about the climate crisis. For “conspiracy to cause a public nuisance,” he was sentenced to five years in prison, the harshest punishment for civil disobedience in the UK in modern British history. The case made front-page news and drew global outcry.

    Suicide is part memoir, part political reckoning. Drawing on Hallam’s award-winning research and experience representing himself in four Crown Court trials, it lays bare the moral and legal failures of a society sleepwalking into catastrophe. From climate science and the right of necessity, to the collapse of democratic norms and the illusions of secular reason, this is a radical call to rethink justice, truth, and duty in the face of extinction.
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    Germany accused of ditching climate targets as it scraps renewables mandate | Germany | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/25/germany-accused-ditching-climate-targets-scraps-renewables-mandate

    Germany’s coalition government has been accused of abandoning its climate targets after agreeing to scrap parts of a contentious heating law mandating the use of renewables in favour of a draft law allowing homeowners to rely on fossil fuels.

    While the previous law required most newly installed heating systems to use at least 65% renewable energy, often with a heat pump, the amended legislation will allow households to keep using oil and gas.

    It also removes a mandate for expert consultation when installing a new heating system.
    SHEFIK
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    Researchers from ETH Zurich have found that two large lakes in the Democratic Republic of Congo — Lakes Mai Ndombe and Tumba — are releasing carbon that’s been locked away in surrounding tropical peatlands for thousands of years.

    By analysing dissolved carbon in the lakes, they discovered that roughly 40% of the CO₂ emissions come from peat deposits 2,000–3,500 years old, not just from recent plant material. This shows that tropical peatlands, long considered stable carbon stores, can leak ancient carbon back into the atmosphere.

    The study highlights a hidden climate risk: these peatlands could contribute to atmospheric CO₂, especially if disturbed by climate change or land‑use changes, challenging assumptions about how securely carbon is stored in tropical ecosystems.

    Published in: Nature Geoscience, February 2026

    Millennial-aged peat carbon outgassed by large humic lakes in the Congo Basin | Nature Geoscience
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-026-01924-3
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    An Unsettling Climate Warning for Homeownership - CounterPunch.org
    https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/02/20/an-unsettling-climate-warning-for-homeownership/
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    The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear a major case that could reshape how climate accountability lawsuits move forward across the country.

    At issue is a lawsuit filed in Colorado that seeks to hold energy companies financially responsible for the local costs of climate change things like wildfire mitigation, infrastructure damage, extreme weather response, and public health impacts. The companies are asking the Court to throw the case out entirely.

    The justices’ decision to take up the case is significant. While the Colorado lawsuit is the one directly before them, the ruling will likely determine whether similar cases brought by cities and states nationwide can proceed. Across the country, municipalities have filed lawsuits seeking billions of dollars in damages, arguing that fossil fuel companies misled the public about climate risks while continuing business practices that worsened those risks.

    If the Court sides with the energy companies, many of these cases could be dismissed before they ever reach trial. If the Court allows the Colorado case to move forward, it could open the door for more local governments to pursue compensation through the courts.

    This isn’t just about one state it’s about whether communities across the United States can use state courts to seek accountability for climate-related costs, or whether those efforts will be shut down at the federal level.

    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1AhZn3nVui/

    US supreme court takes up fossil fuel firms’ climate accountability case | US supreme court | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/feb/23/supreme-court-suncor-exxonmobil-case
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    ‘They pushed so many lies about recycling’: the fight to stop big oil pumping billions more into plastics | Plastics | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/19/they-pushed-so-many-lies-about-recycling-the-fight-to-stop-big-oil-pumping-billions-more-into-plastics

    In the past 20 years, Gardiner writes, plastic production has doubled, and it will double again, perhaps triple, in the near future. Petrochemicals for plastic are, she says, “expected to be the largest single driver of oil demand in the decades to come. Obviously these oil companies can see what’s coming – they understand that that shift away from fossil fuels is a threat to their business model that has been so profitable for them.” Plastic, she says, “is a way for them to keep drilling and to keep making money. Putting their expertise and muscle into solar or wind power was not the way they wanted to go. It’s not as profitable as selling oil and gas, so they’re all in on the current model, and plastic is a way to perpetuate it. Which is why it is, I guess, even more catastrophic. Because if it’s enabling the industry to keep drilling, to keep selling oil and gas, that is a huge threat to the climate.”
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    J Pecho
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1ARRjYrRdu/

    Koncom októbra 2024 zasiahla oblasť Valencie jedna z najničivejších prívalových povodní v moderných dejinách Španielska. Na meteorologickej stanici v meste Turís spadlo za 16 hodín neuveriteľných 771,8 mm zrážok (takmer ročný úhrn), pričom za jedinú hodinu napršalo rekordných 184,6 mm – najvyššia hodinová hodnota zaznamenaná v histórii krajiny. Katastrofa si podľa dostupných zdrojov vyžiadala 230 obetí a spôsobila obrovské materiálne škody.

    Nová štúdia publikovaná včera (17.2.2026) v časopise Nature Communications sa pokúsila odpovedať na zásadnú otázku: o koľko bola táto extrémna udalosť zosilnená vplyvom antropogénnej klimatickej zmeny? Autori použili numerický model WRF (verzia 4.5) v kilometrovom rozlíšení a tzv. „storyline“ prístup. To znamená, že simulovali tú istú synoptickú situáciu dvakrát – raz v podmienkach dnešnej už ovplyvnenej klímy a následne v hypotetickej predindustriálnej klíme, približne o 1,08 °C chladnejšej. Nešlo teda o výpočet pravdepodobnosti, ale o porovnanie intenzity toho istého typu búrkového systému v teplejšom a chladnejšom podnebí.

    Výsledky sú mimoriadne zaujímavé. Hodinová intenzita zrážok vyšla v dnešných podmienkach približne o 20 % vyššia na každý stupeň oteplenia. To je takmer trojnásobok klasického fyzikálneho odhadu 7 % na °C, vyplývajúceho z Clausius–Clapeyronovho vzťahu. Pri šesťhodinových úhrnoch model ukázal nárast dokonca až o 21 %, plocha územia s extrémnym úhrnom nad 180 mm sa zväčšila o 50 až 55 % a celkový objem zrážok nad povodím rieky Júcar bol vyšší o približne 19 %.

    Dôležité je, že zosilnenie nebolo spôsobené iba vyšším obsahom vodnej pary v atmosfére. Model poukázal aj na dynamické a mikrofyziálne zmeny v samotnej búrke: množstvo zrážkovej vody v atmosférickom stĺpci (precipitable water) bolo vyššie o takmer 12 %, maximálna intenzita výstupných prúdov vzrástla o podobnú hodnotu, množstvo krúp (graupelu) v oblaku stúplo o viac než 30 % a efektivita premeny vlhkosti na dážď sa zvýšila o približne 12 %. Inými slovami, teplejšia klíma nielenže „dodala viac paliva“, ale zároveň umožnila silnejšiu a efektívnejšiu konvekciu.

    Štatistická významnosť rozdielov bola testovaná na 99 % hladine spoľahlivosti. Autori zároveň upozorňujú, že ide o analýzu jednej konkrétnej udalosti a o podmienené porovnanie – odpoveď na otázku „ako by sa táto búrka správala v chladnejšom svete“, nie „o koľko je dnes pravdepodobnejšia“. Napriek tomu výsledky naznačujú, že krátkodobé extrémne zrážky v Stredomorí môžu rásť rýchlejšie, než by sme očakávali na základe jednoduchých fyzikálnych vzťahov.

    Pre prax to má zásadné dôsledky. Ak hodinové lejaky zosilňujú tempom blízkym 20 % na každý stupeň oteplenia, potom návrhové parametre kanalizácií, protipovodňových opatrení či systémov včasného varovania môžu byť výrazne poddimenzované.

    Valencia 2024 tak nie je len tragédiou, ale aj jasným signálom, že v teplejšom svete môžu byť extrémne prejavy počasia nielen silnejšie, ale aj iné, než na aké sme boli doteraz zvyknutí.

    Zdroj:

    Human-induced climate change amplification on storm dynamics in Valencia’s 2024 catastrophic flash flood | Nature Communications
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-68929-9
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    French prosecutors intervene in defense of TotalEnergies in climate trial
    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2026/02/17/french-prosecutors-intervene-in-defense-of-totalenergies-in-climate-trial_6750572_114.html

    In France's first major climate trial against an oil and gas giant, opening Thursday, February 19 at the Paris Court of Justice, TotalEnergies will receive unexpected support from the prosecutor's office. Since 2020, a coalition of advocacy groups (Notre Affaire à Tous, Sherpa, France Nature Environnement) and the City of Paris have asked the courts to require TotalEnergies to drastically reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by cutting its hydrocarbon production, in order to comply with the Paris Agreement target of limiting global warming to 1.5°C.

    The case is based on France's law on due diligence, enacted in 2017. It requires companies with more than 5,000 employees in France (or over 10,000 worldwide) to implement a plan to identify risks and prevent serious violations of human rights, health and the environment linked to their activities and those of their subsidiaries, suppliers and subcontractors.

    In an unusual move, the prosecutor's office intervened on Tuesday, February 3, as a "joined party," aligning with TotalEnergies. Such intervention by the prosecutor's office in ongoing civil proceedings is extremely rare and justified only when issues of general interest are at stake.

    According to the brief, reviewed by Le Monde, the prosecutor's office, like the multinational, considers that "the scope of the due diligence law does not extend to climate change." It argues that global warming is a "worldwide phenomenon," that it "concerns everyone, but is essentially the responsibility of the international community and states." It calls for a restrictive interpretation of the law. According to its conclusions, "it cannot be up to large French companies alone to bear a global obligation to protect human rights and fundamental freedoms. The same applies to the environment."
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    ‘Daunting but doable’: Europe urged to prepare for 3C of global heating | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/16/europe-climate-advisory-board-3c-global-heating

    Maarten van Aalst, a member of the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change (ESABCC), said the continent was already “paying a price” for its lack of preparation but that adapting to a hotter future was in part “common sense and low-hanging fruit”.

    “It is a daunting task, but at the same time quite a doable task. It’s not rocket science,” said van Aalst, who used to lead the climate centre at the International Red Cross and Red Crescent and is now the director general of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI).

    The ESABCC describes current efforts to adapt to rising temperatures as “insufficient, largely incremental [and] often coming too late” in a new report that advises officials to prepare for a world 2.8-3.3C hotter than preindustrial levels by 2100.

    ...

    Weather extremes in Europe in recent years have at times surprised climate scientists with their strength and adaptation experts with their lethality as rising temperatures have warped the climate.

    Heavy rains supercharged by climate breakdown killed 134 people in Germany’s Ahr valley in 2021 and 229 people in the Valencia region of Spain in 2024. Across the continent, summer heat kills many tens of thousands of people each year, with studies attributing between half and two-thirds of the death toll to the rise in temperatures caused by fossil fuel pollution. Last year’s wildfires, meanwhile, torched more of Europe than scientists have ever recorded.

    Last week, Portugal was urged to draw up climate adaptation plans as the country was hit by an unprecedented series of storms that killed at least 16 people and caused an estimated €775m (£675m) of damage.
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    flooded futures of today

    France issues red flood alerts after ‘exceptional’ rainfall | France | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/17/red-flood-alerts-storm-nils-exceptional-rainfall

    “People who follow climate issues have been warning us for a long time that events like this will happen more often,” she said on Tuesday, the day after visiting the flood-stricken Gironde region, in comments to TV news channel LCI. “In fact, tomorrow has arrived.”

    Lucie Chadourne-Facon, director of Vigicrues, France’s flood monitoring service, said the succession of rainy disturbances had been “exceptional” and that soils were so full of water that as little as 20-30mm of rainfall could trigger floods.

    “We are dealing with two parallel phenomena,” she told broadcaster BFMTV at the weekend.

    “The fact that it is territorially widespread means … all the little rivers that have reacted are flowing into big rivers and everything swells by propagation,” she said. “And at the same time, we’re still getting rain that is reactivating the flooding.”
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    TADEAS:

    The Retreat – Resist – Respond framework (sometimes adapted as Protect – Accommodate – Retreat or Resist – Accept – Direct) is a strategic approach to climate change adaptation and environmental risk management, particularly focusing on coastal management and ecosystem sustainability. This framework helps decision-makers choose between fighting natural forces, adapting to them, or moving away from high-risk areas.
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    Flooded Futures: Understanding the Rising Threats and How We Prepare | Stefan Rahmstorf
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtd8ZFWIFMA


    Flooding has shaped human settlement for millennia—but the scale, speed and complexity of flood risk in the 21st century are unprecedented. In this opening keynote at the Holcim Foundation Forum 2025, climate scientist Stefan Rahmstorf sets the scientific foundation for the Forum, outlining why flood risk is accelerating globally and why urgent, coordinated action is now unavoidable.

    Rahmstorf presents the full spectrum of flooding—from coastal, riverine and pluvial flooding to groundwater and compound flood events—showing how multiple hazards increasingly coincide to create extreme impacts. Drawing on the latest climate science, he explains how rising sea levels, intensifying storms and shifting precipitation patterns are being amplified by urbanisation, land-use change and ageing infrastructure designed for past conditions.

    A central focus of the talk is time. Rahmstorf challenges the audience to consider what we are planning for—and over what horizons—by examining projections for 2050 and 2100, the limits and strengths of flood models, and the growing role of real-time data, AI-driven analysis and historical records in improving preparedness.

    The keynote also addresses the wider societal consequences of flooding, including cascading infrastructure failures, economic exposure, climate migration and the question of who ultimately pays for precautionary measures. Closing the talk, Rahmstorf frames the critical questions that will guide the Forum discussions, positioning the Retreat – Resist – Respond framework as essential for navigating an era of accelerating climate risk.
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    The Guardian view on Donald Trump and the climate crisis: the US is in reverse while China ploughs ahead | Editorial | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/feb/15/the-guardian-view-on-donald-trump-and-the-climate-crisis-the-us-is-in-reverse-while-china-ploughs-ahead
    XCHAOS
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    Emails Show Epstein Scheming That Environmental Destruction Could Solve "Overpopulation"
    https://futurism.com/science-energy/epstein-climate-change-population
    “Maybe climate change is a good way of dealing with overpopulation,” Epstein wrote. “The earths forest fire. potentially a good thing for the species.”
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    What is the Courageous Response to Climate Chaos? Not eco-authoritarianism. – Prof Jem Bendell
    https://jembendell.com/2026/02/11/what-is-the-courageous-response-to-climate-chaos-not-eco-authoritarianism/
    TUHO
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    Oh no a ted jsem v pasti related lectures, ktery si nikdy nestihnu skutecne nakoukat

    Jon Lawhead: Multi­Scale Modeling and Pluralism in Climate Systems
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYYAzw56s9M
    TUHO
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    TUHO: Odkladam si jeste tuhle .))

    Steve Easterbrook: Constructive and External Validity for Climate Modeling
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xap10KqkA4Q
    TUHO
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    Na youtuve jsem narazil na lekci Steve Easterbrooka, autora jedny z nejlepsich knizek o historii klimatickyho modelovani "Computing the Climate"

    Decoding Climate Data: Steve Easterbrook on Modeling, Forecasting, and Solutions for a Changing W...
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrHSWbDpzwg
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