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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
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    2026 Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly - G. Foster, S. Rahmstorf
    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL118804

    The rise in global temperature has been widely considered to be quite steady for several decades since the 1970s. Recently, however, scientists have started to debate whether global warming has accelerated since then. It is difficult to be sure of that because of natural fluctuations in the warming rate, and so far no statistical significance (meaning 95% certainty) of an acceleration (increase in warming rate) has been demonstrated. In this study we subtract the estimated influence of El Niño events, volcanic eruptions and solar variations from the data, which makes the global temperature curve less variable, and it then shows a statistically significant acceleration of global warming since about the year 2015. Warming proceeding faster is not unexpected by climate models, but it is a cause of concern and shows how insufficient the efforts to slow and eventually stop global warming under the Paris Climate Accord have so far been.
    TADEAS
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    Halving The Earth's Population To 4 Billion Is The Best Way To Secure A "Pro-Human" Future
    https://www.iflscience.com/halving-the-earths-population-to-4-billion-is-the-best-way-to-secure-a-pro-human-future-a-new-study-argues-84219



    Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billionby 2200
    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/sd.71358

    Abstract
    The past century of massive increases in human population and resource use has seen many undesirable environmental effects, ranging from biodiversity loss to climate change. But a research gap exists, as the ultimate causes are often not described with precision or mentioned at all. In this study, metrics of biodiversity, consumption, and pollution show extremely strong correlations when charted against human population size and its per capita impacts. We describe causal mechanisms for these correlations. Then, using available data, we show that slowing and gradually reversing population growth to ∼4 billion or less by 2200, while moderating per capita impacts, is the path toward sustainability. Among the benefits are habitat recovery and conservation of wild species, reduced greenhouse gas emissions and other pollutants, reduced conflict over resources, and the reduction of global poverty.


    Halving Our Global Population to 4 Billion is a Pro-Human and Pro-Nature Choice: Peer-Review Science
    https://youtu.be/yD4ARdVr7d8?si=heClqQAAqH5RvYbl
    TADEAS
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    “2026 is just the beginning,” Professor @jrockstrom added. “It will inevitably get worse. It will get worse and worse and worse to the point where, I’m afraid, we’ll be passing the limits of adaptation.

    https://archive.is/20260801123806/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/29/world/europe/summer-heat-wave-fires-climate-change.html
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Jeden z příčetnějších nápadů na geoinženýring... kdyby se udělal prý promyšleně a zodpovědně (ale simulacím bych nevěřil... spíš začít v malým a hrozně pečlivě monitorovat...? stejně to nakonec určitě nějaký nepředvídaný následky mít bude, jako všechno...)
    Ocean iron fertilization removes carbon but may harm marine life - Earth.com
    https://www.earth.com/news/ocean-iron-could-help-fight-climate-change-but-only-in-the-right-waters/
    TADEAS
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    rejected

    ‘Climate change kills’: Pedro Sánchez speaks plain truth to Spain’s deniers | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/02/climate-change-kills-pedro-sanchez-speaks-plain-truth-to-spains-deniers

    84% of Spaniards see the climate emergency as “a real threat to human wellbeing and to the health of the planet”.

    Despite the floods and the fires, however, there is little political common ground, and opposition parties have rejected Sánchez’s plans for a “state pact” to prepare Spain for the climate emergency.
    TADEAS
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    z archívů - 20 yeara ago

    The Earth is about to catch a morbid fever that may last as long as 100,000 years – James Lovelock
    https://www.jameslovelock.org/the-earth-is-about-to-catch-a-morbid-fever-that-may-last-as-long-as-100000-years/

    "We are in a fool’s climate, accidentally kept cool by smoke, and before this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable."
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    Tak nam shořelo Spokane, WA. Cca 220k obyvatel. Uvidíme co tam ráno zbylo.

    “Climate change will manifest as a series of disasters viewed through phones with footage that gets closer and closer to where you live until you're the one filming it.”
    TADEAS
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    "could expose the financial system to risk" - tak to uz zni vazne, to zavani dlouholetym vyzkumem a podrobnou hodnotici zpravou


    ECB official warns climate crisis poses growing threat to ‘core financial stability’ | Economics | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/aug/01/ecb-climate-wildfires-global-economy-stability

    “I did interviews [previously] saying, you know, if you destroy nature, you destroy the core on which our economies depend. And that got people’s attention. This is not some kind of a flower-power, tree-hugging exercise. This is core economics. This is core financial stability, core price stability.”

    As the supervisor responsible for Europe’s largest banks, the ECB has launched a programme of work to assess how the escalating damage to ecosystem services could expose the financial system to risk.
    TADEAS
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    no

    Will brutal wildfires force French leaders to take climate crisis seriously? | France | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/31/wildfires-french-leaders-climate-crisis-elections
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    How China’s Position Has Evolved in the COPs and on the Global Climate Geopolitical Stage - Groupe d'études géopolitiques
    https://geopolitique.eu/en/articles/how-chinas-position-has-evolved-in-the-cops-and-on-the-global-climate-geopolitical-stage/
    TADEAS
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    EURAF
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1DCKM5KT1e/

    Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated around Bordeaux and Madrid in recent days, and the damage to homes, land and communities is tragic.

    Our thoughts are with everyone affected, and with the firefighters and emergency crews working to bring these fires under control.

    Once the immediate crisis passes, there will rightly be a lot of discussion about prevention. There's no single fix - prevention depends on funding, land-use policy, climate action, and long-term investment in rural areas.

    🌳 🐐 But one approach that has shown promising results, among several worth discussing, is agroforestry and silvopastoral land management: reintroducing grazing, mixed land use, and active forest thinning into landscapes that have become dense and fuel-heavy after decades of rural depopulation. This is an area EURAF has long followed with interest.

    One example worth highlighting is 👉 the Life-Montserrat project (Catalonia, 2014–2018), a case we featured in our report, "Agroforestry as a Wildfire Prevention and Mitigation Tool in Europe: Recommendations for Member States."

    After major fires in the area in 1986, the pine forest that regenerated became very densely packed (over 50,000 trees/hectare in places) as traditional farming and grazing declined and active land management largely stopped.

    By strategically thinning pine density to around 1,000 trees per hectare and using controlled burns with mechanical clearing to reopen pasture, the project restored a diversified agrosilvopastoral landscape. These actions successfully supported new, economically viable livestock operations, including goats, cattle, and donkeys, to graze and maintain the land.

    Some results after four years:

    ✅ Over 1,300 hectares of woodland restored
    ✅ Grazing agreements across 1,400 hectares of private land
    ✅ Early positive signs for butterfly and plant biodiversity
    ✅ A new Montserrat Livestock Farmers' Association, giving local people an ongoing stake in maintaining the landscape

    The project itself is careful to note this isn't about preventing all fires, that's neither realistic nor, ecologically, entirely desirable. It's about reducing the risk of the kind of large, uncontrolled fires we're seeing this week, by keeping land actively managed rather than left to accumulate fuel.

    We're sharing this not as a silver bullet, but as one example of land-management thinking that deserves more attention and investment as these fire seasons become more frequent.

    🔗 Full report: https://zenodo.org/records/21275959

    📸 From Life Montserrat picture gallery: https://www.facebook.com/LifeMontserrat
    TADEAS
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    Kevin Ovenden - Even if the city of Bordeaux is not...
    https://www.facebook.com/share/19JtgAnfgL/

    Even if the city of Bordeaux is not evacuated, as contingencies are now being made for, the fact that a *European* city of over a million people is in this position ought to mark a turning point.

    Of course there are two points taken for granted: 1) we have had so many turning points not taken, and 2) devastation due to climate breakdown and other environmental crises has ripped through the rest of the world at frightening levels, especially in the poorest countries.

    All that said, such a peacetime emergency evacuation is, I think, unprecedented.

    If I were trying to construct artful conjectures about relativising climate breakdown and downplaying action - revolutionising action - today both to adapt and to tackle the sources of the environmental crises, then I wouldn't choose this month or the next to do so.

    A city of one million people faces emergency evacuation in days. Not in years due to rising sea levels or loss of natural fresh water supply.

    Days.
    TADEAS
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    Interesting interview with Earth scientist Bill McGuire.

    One of the most concerning points he discusses is a new (as yet unreviewed) paper suggesting that current satellite observations aren't matching our understanding of Earth's energy imbalance. In other words, the planet appears to be warming faster than existing models can fully explain. As this paper has not yet been peer reviewed, these findings should be treated as provisional until they have undergone independent scientific scrutiny. If they do hold up, they suggest we could exceed 2°C of warming by around 2040, approach 3°C by around 2050, and continue rising thereafter, pushing Earth's climate towards temperatures not experienced for millions of years.

    The video also explores the economic consequences of climate breakdown.

    The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, the professionals who assess financial risk for banks, insurers and pension funds argue that many economic models are fundamentally underestimating climate risk. Their concern is that most financial institutions treat climate impacts as isolated events, rather than recognising that droughts, crop failures, floods, migration, conflict and supply chain disruption can cascade into one another, creating far greater economic damage than the sum of the individual parts.

    Their warning is stark. Without immediate action to change course, severe climate impacts are not only plausible but could threaten future global prosperity.

    To illustrate the scale of the disagreement, many mainstream economic models still rely on assumptions originating from a model published in 2000, which estimated climate change would reduce global GDP by only around 3% by 2100. By contrast, actuarial risk assessments, produced by people whose job is to price and underwrite multi billion dollar financial risks, warn of around a 15% reduction in global GDP by 2050, rising to as much as 50% by 2100. Some actuarial scenarios even suggest the possibility of widespread societal breakdown beginning around the 2040s, with catastrophic human consequences later this century.

    It does make you wonder whether the old contrarian slogan, "We are the carbon they want to get rid of," has ended up applying in the opposite direction.

    The Insurance Industry Predicts Mass Death: How Do We Live A Good Life?
    https://youtu.be/9Q93ZE54yaE?is=q0M2JBIgKLEgw6ZZ&t=4m0
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    As the planet heats, public doubt grows: The social structure behind rising climate change scepticism in Germany

    In 2024, global heating exceeded 1.5 °C for the first time. Paradoxically, as the climate crisis becomes ever more evident, climate change scepticism (CCS) has recently grown (rather than declined) in Germany, a high-emissions country with enormous responsibility.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378026000919?via=ihub
    TADEAS
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    Military bosses say climate change is now a national security threat – ministers must not ignore them | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/climate-change-military-national-security-threat-b3020097.html

    “For the first time ever, the British military has warned the government that climate change and the damage we have done to nature seriously threaten our national security.”
    TADEAS
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    Arnošt Novák z Katedry sociologie FHS napsal článek s názvem “From environmental protest to social power building beyond the climate: transformations of environmental activism in the Czech Republic”, který vyšel v časopise Political Research Exchange. Článek se věnuje vývoji environmentálních hnutí v Česku a jeho specifickém politickém a kulturním kontextu, jehož oba nejsilnější politické tábory jsou skeptické vůči dalekosáhlým klimatickým reformám. Autor se soustředí zejména na platformu Re-set a na způsoby aktivismu, se kterými přichází v takto restriktivním kontextu.

    Článek je výstupem výzkumného projektu @resis_terra : konceptualizace více-než-lidské resistence antropocénu v rámci soutěže Primus UK.

    Více info na webu:

    Aktuality - Fakulta humanitních studií Univerzity Karlovy
    https://fhs.cuni.cz/FHS-1002.html?news=30060&locale=cz
    TADEAS
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    "how we solved the climate" reality show

    More than 20,000 evacuated after intense wildfire in France | Wildfires | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/23/people-evacuated-intense-wildfire-saumos-france
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    How to Solve the Climate Crisis | Johan Rockström on Planetary Boundaries & the Path Forward
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_IKP3MwwO0&t=2s
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Climate crisis-driven heat ‘sucking soils dry’ as extreme drought hits Europe | Drought | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/23/climate-crisis-heat-sucking-soils-dry-extreme-drought-europe-analysis
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Jeste k tomu chlazeni, nejaly kontext z afriky

    Power blackouts are spreading across parts of North Africa as temperatures soar above 40°C. This is why extreme heat is so dangerous. When the grid fails, millions can lose air conditioning, refrigeration and water pumping. Climate change is becoming an infrastructure crisis.

    Peter Dynes on X: "Power blackouts are spreading across parts of North Africa as temperatures soar above 40°C. This is why extreme heat is so dangerous. When the grid fails, millions can lose air cond...
    https://x.com/i/status/2079869548677718191

    Blackouty overovany pres Groka, pry 'it's true'
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam