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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    UN backs historic climate crisis ruling, despite US attempts to stop resolution | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/21/un-vote-support-icj-world-court-climate-change-opinion

    Abstaining were a bloc of 28 countries spanning emerging emitters and traditional petrostates, including India, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Nigeria, the Czech Republic and Turkey,
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    R Hallam
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1Au28JyCiB/

    Four points on the "landmark" UK report on the elite's mass death project.

    1. If it is a "landmark" report which points to the destruction of the British economy, its way of life, and the very existence of the country at 4C, why does it get two small lines in the middle of the news section of the world's main "liberal" newspaper that sells the idea that facts are "sacred"? The point being the liberal elites exist to smooth the journey to mass death being prepared for us by the business elites.

    2. It's not the mean, stupid. What kills is the outlier. What we want to know is not that food production will go down by x% on average - we want to know that every 20 years an outlier probability is there will be destroyed crops two years running, leading to mass starvation of British people, from which they will not recover by the time the next outlier hits.

    3. The unit of analysis of the "UK" is also beyond stupid. What will happen in the UK does not depend upon what happens in the UK but in the whole world. When outliers happen in other areas - war, famine, social breakdown, the world economy will collapse and UK living standards will collapse. Meaning poor people will starve and revolutions will happen.

    4. The "climate" is not an event. So stopping pretending it is. It is not a matter of "if we get to 4C". It is a matter of if we get to 2C, feedbacks will send our kids to 3C and their kids to extinction at 4/5 and 6C. It's a ball rolling ever faster down the hill, not a bus stop.
    TADEAS
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    J Pecho
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1LNpw9aWiZ/

    Predstavte si 540 miliónov rokov klímy strednej Európy v jednej obrazovej sérii — od najstarších prvohôr až po to, ako môže naša krajina vyzerať o pár generácií.

    Začneme v plytkom tropickom mori s trilobitmi (pred 520 mil. rokov). Pokračujeme do hustého uhoľného pralesa pri rovníku s 35-metrovými šupinatými stromami a vážkami s rozpätím krídel 70 cm (pred 310 mil. rokov). Stáda "raných" dinosaurov v polopúšti superkontinentu Pangea (pred 220 mil. rokov). Pravták Archaeopteryx krúžiaci nad tropickou bavorskou lagúnou (pred 150 mil. rokov).

    V eocéne — pred 48 miliónmi rokov — bolo Nemecko ako Indonézia: palmy, krokodíly, prví primáti v korunách stromov. Bolo o 12 °C teplejšie ako dnes.

    Potom dlhé ochladzovanie. Posledná doba ľadová pred 21 000 rokmi: mamutia step naprieč strednou Európou, stáda sobov a vlnatých nosorožcov, na fronte alpského ľadovca naši priami predkovia v kožiach. Pred 125 000 rokmi naopak medziľadová doba — teplejšie ako dnes, v Temži sa kúpali hrochy.

    Po roztopení ľadovcov prví roľníci s drevenými dlhými domami ako ostrovy v mori hlbokých lesov. Stredoveké teplé obdobie okolo roku 1100 — anglické vinice, kvitnúce kláštory. Malá doba ľadová v 17. storočí — zamrznuté rieky, trhy priamo "na ľade".

    A potom budúcnosť: +2 °C, +4 °C, +10 °C.

    Najsilnejšia myšlienka? Posledný obraz série — Zem o 10 °C teplejšia okolo roku 2300 — stredná Európy vyzerá takmer identicky ako tá eocénna džungľa pred 48 miliónmi rokov. Palmy, tie isté krokodíly v rieke. More o 60 metrov vyššie. Panónska kotlina pod morom. A civilizácia? It´s gone (I suppose).

    Paleoklimatológia nie je len o minulosti. Je to atlas našej budúcnosti — mapa, ktorú už raz Zem nakreslila. Stačí ju vedieť čítať.
    ---------------------------------------
    Obr. generované AI (Claude, gpt, ...)

    Zdroje, z ktorých vychádza vizualizačná séria klímy strednej Európy:

    Prvohory–druhohory
    • Inglis G.N. et al. (2020). Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the early Eocene Climatic Optimum, PETM, and latest Paleocene. Climate of the Past 16, 1953. (doi:10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020)
    • Burke K.D. et al. (2018). Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates. PNAS 115, 13288. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1809600115)
    • Scotese C.R. (PALEOMAP Project) — paleogeografické rekonštrukcie kontinentov pre celé fanerozoikum

    Pleistocén a doba ľadová
    • Petit J.R. et al. (1999). Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core. Nature 399, 429.
    • Lüthi D. et al. (2008). High-resolution carbon dioxide concentration record 650,000–800,000 years before present. Nature 453, 379.
    • Annan J.D., Hargreaves J.C. (2013). A new global reconstruction of temperature changes at the Last Glacial Maximum. Climate of the Past 9, 367. (doi:10.5194/cp-9-367-2013)
    • Kindler P. et al. (2014). Temperature reconstruction from 10 to 120 kyr b2k from the NGRIP ice core. Climate of the Past 10, 887. (doi:10.5194/cp-10-887-2014)
    • Clark P.U. et al. (2012). Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. PNAS 109, E1134.
    • Lambert F. et al. (2008). Dust-climate couplings over the past 800,000 years from the EPICA Dome C ice core. Nature 452, 616.
    • Batchelor C.L. et al. (2019). The configuration of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets through the Quaternary. Nature Communications 10, 3713.
    • Leger T.P.M. et al. (2026). First Alps-wide reconstruction of LGM glacial sediment transport. Earth Surface Dynamics 14, 361. (doi:10.5194/esurf-14-361-2026) — GPU-modelovanie alpského ľadu pre vizualizáciu LGM.

    Súčasná klíma a budúce scenáre
    • IPCC AR6 WG1 (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press. (ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1)
    • Zemp M. et al. (2015). Historically unprecedented global glacier decline in the early 21st century. Journal of Glaciology 61, 745.
    • EURO-CORDEX projekt — regionálne klimatické projekcie pre Európu (euro-cordex.net)
    • CH2018 — Swiss Climate Change Scenarios — adaptačné scenáre pre Alpy

    Referenčné monografie
    • Gornitz V. (ed.) (2009). Encyclopedia of Paleoclimatology and Ancient Environments. Springer.
    • Ruddiman W.F. (2014). Earth's Climate: Past and Future (3rd ed.). W.H. Freeman.
    • Anderson D.E., Goudie A.S., Parker A.G. (2013). Global Environments through the Quaternary. Oxford University Press.
    • Burroughs W.J. (2005). Climate Change in Prehistory: The End of the Reign of Chaos. Cambridge UP.

    Globálna teplota a CO₂
    • Westerhold T. et al. (2020). An astronomically dated record of Earth's climate and its predictability over the last 66 million years. Science 369, 1383. (doi:10.1126/science.aba6853)
    • Foster G.L., Royer D.L., Lunt D.J. (2017). Future climate forcing potentially without precedent in the last 420 million years. Nature Communications 8, 14845. (doi:10.1038/ncomms14845)
    • Hansen J. et al. (2013). Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20120294. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0294)
    TADEAS
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    New breed of political prisoner arises in Britain as anti-protest sentences rise | UK criminal justice | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/law/2026/may/23/anti-protest-sentences-rise-england-wales-political-prisoners

    Britain has created a new breed of political prisoners through the systematic incarceration of people acting to prevent climate breakdown and the annihilation of Gaza, a report claims.

    The research by Queen Mary University of London (QMUL) and the protest group Defend Our Juries says that custodial sentences for acts of direct action or civil disobedience were once rare but are now being imposed with increasing length and frequency.
    TADEAS
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    The UN has voted 141-8 to adopt a resolution backing a world court opinion that countries have a legal obligation to address climate change, with the US – which is the world’s biggest historical emitter – among the small group opposing it.

    UN backs historic climate crisis ruling, despite US attempts to stop resolution | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/21/un-vote-support-icj-world-court-climate-change-opinion
    TADEAS
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    Eva v Goliath: the 20-year-old climate activist taking on Trump and the fossil fuel industry | US news | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2026/may/20/eva-lighthiser-trump-climate
    TADEAS
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    klimatizační krize

    UK ‘built for climate that no longer exists’ and needs urgent changes to survive global heating, report warns | Environment | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/20/uk-built-for-climate-that-no-longer-exists-and-needs-urgent-changes-to-survive-global-heating-report-warns

    British homes will need air conditioning to survive predicted levels of global heating, the government’s climate advisers have warned in a report, as measures such as drawing curtains, opening windows and growing trees for shade are not likely to be enough.

    Air conditioning should be installed in all care homes and hospitals within the next 10 years, and in all schools within 25 years, according to the Climate Change Committee (CCC), which published a major report on adapting to the impacts of global heating on Wednesday.
    TADEAS
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    PAN_SPRCHA:

    Trump posted that the UN just admitted climate change projections were “WRONG! WRONG! WRONG!” and declared victory over what he called 15 years of Democratic fearmongering. He has no idea what he’s talking about. Scientists who build climate models recently retired their most extreme worst-case scenario (called RCP8.5) because it assumed coal use would explode and no clean energy policies would ever be enacted. Turns out renewable energy got cheap fast and some countries actually did act. So the absolute doomsday end of the projection range got updated. The new projections still show roughly 3 degrees Celsius of warming by 2100.

    Trump posted that the UN just... - Alt National Park Service
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1DWvf2WbKx/
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    "For far too long Climate Activism has been used by Dumocrats to scare Americans, push horrible Energy Polices, and fund BILLIONS into their bogus research programs," he continued. "Unlike the Dumocrats, who use Climate Alarmism nonsense to push their GREEN NEW SCAM, my Administration will always be based on TRUTH, SCIENCE, and FACT!"

    Trump rips Democrats after UN climate committee drops extreme projections | Fox News
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-celebrates-un-climate-committee-moves-away-extreme-global-warming-scenario
    TADEAS
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    Declare climate crisis a global public health emergency, experts tell WHO | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/16/who-should-declare-climate-crisis-global-public-health-emergency-experts-say
    TUHO
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    Fossil fascism: the supreme form of climate obstruction?

    The last decade witnessed a proliferation of literature on far-right nationalism and climate obstruction. Scholars referred to “fossil fascism” to discuss these trends. This article emphasises fossil fascism’s weaponisation of intermediary institutions to advance a gendered and racialised vision of society that feeds off fossil fuels. This aspect, we argue, distinguishes fossil fascism from other conceptualisations of the so-called “backlash” against climate policies. We explore the concept to trace its continuities with historical fascism and situate its emphasis on intermediate institutions. We highlight fossil fascism’s racialised and gendered vision and explain its implications for climate obstruction. Our goal is to introduce a working definition of fossil fascism that takes into account its historical lineage and internal complexities. This conceptual endeavour provides a platform for studies on far-right nationalism and climate obstruction to develop in line with the practice and background, rather than the narratives, of institutional far-right politics.

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01419870.2026.2665720
    TADEAS
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    Europe, epicenter of global warming, faces its own contradictions
    https://www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/article/2026/05/12/europe-epicenter-of-global-warming-faces-its-own-contradictions_6753360_23.html


    The war in the Middle East has highlighted Europe's double handicap. The EU is highly exposed not only to climate shocks but also to soaring energy prices; it imports 95% of its oil and nearly 90% of its gas. Renewable energy is making headway – providing 46% of electricity in 2024, compared to 28% from fossil fuels – but the real challenge now lies in the electrification of transportation, buildings and industry. This plan for the economy, which the Commission is set to unveil in June, could mark the start of this acceleration. Decarbonizing is no longer just a climate imperative: It is more than ever a matter of independence.

    Read more Subscribers only Will the war in Iran advance or hinder Europe's energy transition?
    Reducing emissions will not be enough; warming is already causing irreversible damage that will worsen. The EU must therefore take steps to better withstand shocks, but current climate adaptation policies are inadequate, according to the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change. These measures are reactive and fragmented, rather than preventive and systematic.
    IOM_NUKSO
    IOM_NUKSO --- ---
    Why climate action stalls, despite widespread popular support
    https://phys.org/news/2026-05-climate-action-stalls-widespread-popular.html
    TADEAS
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    Trump’s Iran war may stymie climate gains with boost to big oil, experts say | Oil | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/07/iran-war-big-oil-climate

    The billions in profits big oil is reaping due to the Iran war may stymie the energy transition, experts and advocates fear, incentivizing oil and gas expansion and boosting the sector’s funds for political lobbying.

    “Windfall profits from Trump’s war will allow big oil to build a wall of money around its Trump-era political victories,” said Lukas Shankar-Ross, a deputy director at the green group Friends of the Earth.

    The deadly conflict in Iran has created a historic energy shock due to attacks on fossil fuel facilities and the blockage of the crucial strait of Hormuz trade route. Amid the chaos, energy prices – and oil companies’ earnings – have soared.
    TADEAS
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    Power, Overshoot, and Climate with Tad Patzek | TGS 219
    https://youtu.be/BXR94APZ31Q?si=WHCyi-LBxioPMJBD


    Many of us were taught that humans have been the dominant force shaping the modern world through sheer grit, ingenuity, and innovation. While true to an extent, there are also deep, embedded laws of energy that have both constrained and enabled human cleverness and our influence over our surroundings. What exactly are these laws, and what happened in the past few centuries that allowed for an explosion of technology and consumption? Perhaps more importantly, how can that knowledge help us understand how the decades and centuries ahead might be different?

    In this episode, Nate is joined by earth scientist and thermodynamicist Tad Patzek for a deep dive into the mathematics and physics driving humanity's energetic and material predicament. Tad walks us through the six great flows of power and materials that keep civilization running, and explains why our public conversation about all of them is dangerously detached from physical reality. He argues that planetary breakdown is not merely a side effect of an economic system built on growing these flows – it is a direct mathematical consequence of overshoot. He rounds out this picture by pointing out that every energy transition in history has been additive, not subtractive – increasing total power in the system – and the current push toward renewables is no exception.

    What if we were to truly see ourselves through the lens of all the energy we consume – for Americans, the equivalent of a 40-ton whale – would that change how we live? How do technology, population, and per capita energy consumption amplify each other, creating an exponential demand for power? And if we were to acknowledge the inseparability of our ecological crises and our energy blindness, would it help us change our behavior in accordance with the kind of world we'd want our grandchildren to inherit?
    MATT
    MATT --- ---
    'Food insecurity is no longer just about low-income countries': Environmental economist explains how climate change is pushing agricultural systems to the brink | Live Science https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/food-insecurity-is-no-longer-just-about-low-income-countries-environmental-economist-explains-how-climate-change-is-pushing-agricultural-systems-to-the-brink
    TADEAS
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    ‘Point of no return’: New Orleans relocation must start now due to sea level, study finds | New Orleans | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/04/new-orleans-sea-levels-relocation-climate-crisis

    The process of relocating people from New Orleans should start immediately as the city has reached a “point of no return” that will see it surrounded by the ocean within decades due to the climate crisis, a stark new study has concluded.

    Ongoing sea level rise and the rampant erosion of wetlands in southern Louisiana will swallow up the New Orleans area within a few generations, with the new paper estimating the city “may well be surrounded by the Gulf of Mexico before the end of this century”.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    A Post analysis reveals that rising carbon dioxide levels are reducing the nutritional value of crops like chickpeas and rice, potentially leading to widespread nutrient deficiencies.

    Experts warn that this trend could exacerbate health issues, particularly in poorer regions.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2026/carbon-pollution-diluting-key-nutrients-food/
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    ‘Keeping us hooked on fossil fuels’: how can we negotiate with autocracies on the climate crisis? | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/18/climate-crisis-fossil-fuels-autocracies-authoritorian-countries
    TADEAS
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    pivotal as ever

    Could Santa Marta climate talks mark ground zero in push to ditch fossil fuels? | Global climate talks | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/01/could-key-climate-talks-mark-ground-zero-in-global-push-to-ditch-fossil-fuels

    the Colombian government took a bold step to shift its economy – and that of the rest of the world – away from dependence on coal, gas and oil and into a new era of clean energy. With the first ever conference on “transitioning away from fossil fuels”, the host joined nearly 60 countries determined to loosen of the grip of petrostates on the world’s future.

    “This is the beginning of a new global climate democracy,” Irene Vélez Torres, Colombia’s environment minister and chair of the talks, said in closing remarks that celebrated a “new method” of bringing together high-ambition governments, parliamentarians and civil society groups to accelerate the decarbonisation of their economies.

    At this moment in history, the conference may also mark a new global divide between “electro-democracies” and petro-dictatorships.

    The initiative has come at a pivotal moment in the climate fight. Oil and gas prices have soared since the US-Israeli attacks on Iran, the second such crisis within five years, after the price rises that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Households around the world are spiralling into debt, farmers cannot afford fertiliser and governments are remembering that a dependency on volatile fossil fuels is holding them hostage to geopolitical forces they cannot control.
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