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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    hmyz? zrušeno

    ‘Half the tree of life’: ecologists’ horror as nature reserves are emptied of insects | Insects | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jun/03/climate-species-collapse-ecology-insects-nature-reserves-aoe

    The declines witnessed by Janzen – and described by others around the world – are part of what some ecologists call a “new era” of ecological collapse, where rapid extinctions occur in regions that have little direct contact with people.

    Reports of falling insect numbers around the world are not new. International reviews have estimated annual losses globally of between 1% and 2.5% of total biomass every year.

    “But what we see here in the preserved areas – that as far as we can tell, are free of even these destructive insecticides and pesticides – even here, the insect numbers are going down horrifyingly dramatically,” she says.

    Long-term data for insect populations – particularly less charismatic species – is still patchy, but Janzen and Hallwachs join a number of scientists that have recorded huge die-offs of insects in nature reserves around the world.

    They include in Germany, where flying insects across 63 insect reserves dropped 75% in less than 30 years; the US, where beetle numbers dropped 83% in 45 years; and Puerto Rico, where insect biomass dropped up to 60-fold since the 1970s. These declines are occurring in ecosystems that are otherwise protected from direct human influence.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    The Trump administration has shut down more than 100 climate studies | MIT Technology Review
    https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/06/02/1117653/the-trump-administration-has-shut-down-more-than-100-climate-studies
    (paywall hint: pokud na tomhle webu překročíte počet článků zdarma, zkuste anonymní okno)
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide | Nature Climate Change
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02325-x

    Two-thirds of global heating caused by richest 10%, study suggests | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/07/two-thirds-of-global-heating-caused-by-richest-study-suggests

    Výzkumníci z Mezinárodního institutu pro aplikovanou systémovou analýzu (IIASA) se v nové studii pokusili zmapovat, jak se příjmové nerovnosti a s nimi spojená vyšší či nižší spotřeba podílejí na klimatické změně.

    Zjistili, že desetina nejbohatších lidí na světě je odpovědná za dvě třetiny globálního oteplení zaznamenaného od roku 1990.

    Desetina nejbohatších přispěla sedmkrát více než průměr k celosvětovému nárůstu měsíčních extrémních teplot, jedno procento nejbohatších dokonce 26krát.

    Zato 50 procent nejchudších obyvatel se na globálních emisích podílelo pouze z jedné desetiny.

    Jak napsal server The Guardian, předchozí studie již dříve prokázaly, že skupiny s vyššími příjmy do atmosféry vypouštějí neúměrně velké množství skleníkových plynů. Nová studie se ale poprvé snaží určit, zda se tato příjmová nerovnost nějakým způsobem promítá do odpovědnosti za klimatickou krizi.

    „Naše studie ukazuje, že extrémní klimatické dopady nejsou jen důsledkem abstraktních globálních emisí, ale můžeme je přímo spojit s naším životním stylem a investičními rozhodnutími, která zase souvisejí s bohatstvím,“ uvedla pro The Guardian Sarah Schöngartová, analytička klimatického modelování a hlavní autorka studie.

    Desetina nejbohatších lidí je zodpovědná za dvě třetiny globálního oteplení, zjistila studie - Novinky
    https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/veda-skoly-desetina-nejbohatsich-lidi-je-zodpovedna-za-dve-tretiny-globalniho-otepleni-zjistila-studie-40522990

    Extreme Weather - NASA Science
    https://science.nasa.gov/climate-change/extreme-weather/
    TADEAS
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    The Earth is tracking towards somewhere between RCP 2.6 and 4.5, which would translate to about 2.7°C of warming by 2100.

    Earth is heading for 2.7°C warming this century. We may avoid the worst climate scenarios – but the outlook is still dire
    https://www.uts.edu.au/news/2025/05/earth-is-heading-for-2.7c-warming-this-century-we-may-avoid-the-worst-climate-scenarios-but-the-outlook-is-still-dire
    TADEAS
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    World faces new danger of ‘economic denial’ in climate fight, Cop30 head says | Cop30 | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/28/andre-correa-do-lago-cop30-interview-climate-crisis

    The world is facing a new form of climate denial – not the dismissal of climate science, but a concerted attack on the idea that the economy can be reorganised to fight the crisis, the president of global climate talks has warned.

    André Corrêa do Lago, the veteran Brazilian diplomat who will direct this year’s UN summit, Cop30, believes his biggest job will be to counter the attempt from some vested interests to prevent climate policies aimed at shifting the global economy to a low-carbon footing.

    “There is a new kind of opposition to climate action. We are facing a discredit of climate policies. I don’t think we are facing climate denial,” he said, referring to the increasingly desperate attempts to pretend there is no consensus on climate science that have plagued climate action for the past 30 years. “It’s not a scientific denial, it’s an economic denial.”

    This economic denial could be just as dangerous and cause as much delay as repeated attempts to deny climate science in previous years, he warned in an exclusive interview with the Guardian.
    PULNOC
    PULNOC --- ---
    ale jasne, jak se pojede na dovolenou do Chorvatska?

    to je fact Climate Warrior level plysovy polstar.
    PULNOC
    PULNOC --- ---
    co je tohle za klima krize kdyz na konci kvetna mrznu a to jsem dobre oblecena?

    jako sorry ze vam tady kazim scientist LARP, ale fakt. kdybych se o tom nedocetla, ani by mne nenapadlo ze je nejaka klima kriza.

    za druhe, uvazujete nekdy nad tim, ze veda neni nabozenestvi a nema bibli? a ze je porad ve vyvoji. dnesni metody budou za dvacet let pusobit jako tmarstvi a zpatecnictvi. proc si hrajeme na to, ze ted uz ale jako opravdu veda vi veci spolehlive, protoze...co? protoze je rok 2025?

    ja nevim jak to je a bude. co ale vim je ze na tom jak ted vsichni serou na climate a Green New Deal ma hlavni zasluhu prave vedecka obec, protoze nasadili od jisteho momentu uplne alarmismus x1000. we're all gonna die, in a frying pan. jeden stupen sem, druhy tam. netrapte se tim ze realne nevnimate zmeni, "weather is not climate", helpfully na vas talk-downuje nejaky tenured professor.

    prave ta vyhrocenost vytvorila urodne pole pro MAGU aby si zahrala polevcicku na tom jak pujde proti vedcum. coz teda si myslim ze vedci meli dobry kredit ale po COVIDu a tomto to snad muzeme zrusit a zacit from scratch, protoze tomuhle veri uz jen nekdo kdo tim disociuje od neceho.

    a opakuji, merikam ze climate crisis neni, nebo ze je, ale zpackany to je zarucene.
    BRETA
    BRETA --- ---
    XCHAOS: jako jo, carbon capture byznys má rozhodně slušnou budoucnost.

    ...

    Solving industrial carbon emissions is not just a climate necessity—it's also a business opportunity. According to the International Energy Agency, carbon capture will need to reach 1.6 billion tonnes per year by 2030 to stay on track for net zero goals.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Damages: New Evidence and an Update on U.S. Climate Cases Litigation

    A new report from the Union of Concerned Scientists compiles in one place all the documentary evidence on the role of fossil fuel companies in obstructing climate policy. We walk through the latest, and get an update on climate cases in the U.S.

    Podcasts - Drilled - Damages: New Evidence and an Update on U.S. Climate Cases | Drilled
    https://drilled.media/podcasts/drilled/11/decades-delay?content=transcription
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Nakonec bude Cina svetovym leadrem v dekarbonizaci. Kdo by to pred par lety rekl...

    China's CO2 emissions have started falling – is this finally the peak? | New Scientist
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2480289-chinas-co2-emissions-have-started-falling-is-this-finally-the-peak/

    China, the world’s largest emitter of carbon dioxide, has seen a slight decline in those emissions over the past twelve months, even as demand for power has gone up. This is an encouraging sign the country’s massive buildout of clean energy has begun to displace fossil fuels – but emissions could still surge again.

    That is according to an analysis of China’s economic and energy data by Lauri Myllivirta at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a research organisation in Finland. According to the report, published in Carbon Brief, China’s CO2 emissions have declined by 1 per cent over the past 12 months; in the first quarter of 2025 alone emissions declined by 1.6 per cent relative to last year.
    ...
    This isn’t the first time China’s CO2 emissions have dipped. For instance, they dropped in 2022 as the economy came to a standstill during covid-19 lockdowns. But this is the first time emissions have fallen even as the country has used more power. “That, of course, means the current fall in emissions has a much better chance of being sustained,” says Myllivirta.

    This is mainly a consequence of China’s record build-out of solar, wind and nuclear power, which is beginning to eat into the total electricity generated by burning fossil fuels. Wider economic shifts away from cement and steel production, which are carbon-intensive industries, have also contributed to the decline. Another factor is the jump in the share of people driving electric vehicles, which has cut into the demand for oil.

    If China maintains these trends, its carbon emissions could continue to fall. A sustained drop would indicate the country has passed peak emissions, putting it several years ahead of its 2030 target. The achievement would represent a substantial physical and psychological milestone for efforts to tackle climate change, says Myllivirta.
    TADEAS
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    Large Cloud Feedback Confirms High Climate Sensitivity
    https://mailchi.mp/caa/large-cloud-feedback-confirms-high-climate-sensitivity

    Earth is getting darker, reflecting back to space a decreasing portion of the sunlight incident on Earth. This provides crucial information on cloud changes and climate sensitivity. See - 14 May Large Cloud Feedback Confirms High Climate Sensitivity -

    “Earth’s albedo (reflectivity) declined over the 25 years of precise satellite data, with the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds. Part of the cloud change is caused by reduction of human-made atmospheric aerosols, which act as condensation nuclei for cloud formation, but most of the cloud change is cloud feedback that occurs with global warming. The observed albedo change proves that clouds provide a large, amplifying, climate feedback. This large cloud feedback confirms high climate sensitivity, consistent with paleoclimate data and with the rate of global warming in the past century.”

    TADEAS
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    Just Stop Oil has ended its campaign of direct action, yet many activists still face years in prison. In the final episode, Rivkah and Clare find out whether their commitment to their cause has wavered. They also speak to veteran climate campaigner Roger Hallam, currently serving a four-year sentence, about his role in sending young activists to prison.

    Was Prison Worth It? | Committed Episode 4
    https://youtu.be/8DBEKH83otE?si=jrAQK_zbYSkp1PdI
    TADEAS
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    Tory shadow energy minister claims 2050 net zero goal ‘not based on science’ | Conservatives | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/may/13/tory-shadow-energy-minister-claims-2050-net-zero-goal-not-based-on-science


    The Conservative party’s energy spokesperson has attacked leading climate scientists as biased and claimed Kemi Badenoch could take the UK out of the Paris climate agreement.

    Andrew Bowie, the acting shadow secretary for energy, told the Guardian that the target of reaching net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 – passed into law by Theresa May – was “arbitrary” and “not based on science”.

    He also indicated that the UK’s participation in the 2015 Paris climate agreement was up for reconsideration in the party’s ongoing review of key policies. The only other country to have withdrawn from the agreement is the US, twice, under Donald Trump.

    Bowie said: “We are not climate deniers and while we believe in getting to net zero, what we shouldn’t do is be hamstrung by arbitrary targets such as a date of 2050, which was concocted simply because it was a good end point as a date. There’s no scientific rationale for choosing 2050 as the point to which we should reach net zero.”
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Two-thirds of global heating caused by richest 10%, study suggests | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/07/two-thirds-of-global-heating-caused-by-richest-study-suggests

    Vzhledem k tomu, že 10% je 800 000 nejbohatších, tedy v podstatě s velkou pravděpodobností i my všichni (třeba každý druhý na Západě?) se obávám, že to může být i pravda.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Faced with major security challenges, Europe is preparing to boost its defence capacity. To defend itself against Russia without the United States, Europe needs to rapidly increase spending from the current level of about 2 percent of GDP to an estimated 3.5 percent of GDP – an increase of about €250 billion annually (Burilkov and Wolff, 2025). In March, the European Commission proposed the ReArm Europe Plan/Readiness 2030 1 , which seeks to mobilise €800 billion in defence spending.

    Some see increased defence spending as being in conflict with the climate agenda 2 , arguing that boosting defence spending by 1.5 percent of GDP while increasing climate spending by 2 percent of GDP, as required to meet EU climate objectives (Pisani-Ferry and Tagliapietra, 2024), would be unsustainable.

    While there will be a trade-off when it comes to public spending – especially in the budgets of countries with more limited fiscal space than Germany, but also in the EU budget itself – the defence and climate agendas are not entirely in conflict. Here, we outline seven major converging interests. These areas should form the basis for a common defence and climate agenda which would allow the EU to develop more coherent policy for the future.

    Defence and climate: seven points for a common agenda
    https://www.bruegel.org/analysis/defence-and-climate-seven-points-common-agenda
    TADEAS
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    Aviation industry is ‘failing dramatically’ on climate, insiders say | Airline emissions | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/06/aviation-industry-failing-dramatically-on-climate-insiders-say

    The aviation industry is “failing dramatically” in its efforts to tackle its role in the climate crisis, according to a newly formed group of aviation professionals.

    They say they are torn between their passion for flying and their concern for the planet and are calling for a fundamental transition of the industry, including controlling flight numbers.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    In March (2025?), 440 winter and summer Olympians representing more than 90 countries and 50 sports wroteExternal link an open letter to candidates for the presidency of the International Olympic Committee. They expressed concern about the risks that climate change poses to many sports and called for the organisation to take more action to fight climate change. This included setting standards for sponsorships, upholding sustainable practices, and strengthening commitments to cut carbon emissions.
    TADEAS
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    Jeff Bezos’ Earth Fund Cuts Off a Key Nonprofit Monitoring Corporate Climate Efforts – Mother Jones
    https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/02/jeff-bezo-earth-fund-ends-support-nonprofit-science-based-targets-initiative-sbti-corporate-climate-efforts-paris/

    The Bezos Earth Fund has stopped its support for the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), an international body that assesses if companies are decarbonizing in line with the Paris agreement. Earth Fund had been one of two core funders of the SBTi, with the Ikea Foundation: The two accounted for 61 percent of its total funding last year. Earth Fund’s decision was first reported by the Financial Times.

    Spokespeople for Earth Fund and SBTi said the $18 million grant had been a three-year commitment that expired as previously agreed, and Earth Fund had not made a final decision on future support. But researchers familiar with the SBTi, as well as advisers at the organization, raised concerns that the vanishing support was part of a broader trend of wealthy individuals moving away from funding causes that the US president—who has previously called climate change a hoax—did not agree with
    TADEAS
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    James Hansen and Pushker Kharecha:- .

    2025 Global Temperature
    https://mailchi.mp/caa/2025-global-temperature

    Global temperature for 2025 should decline little, if at all, from the record 2024 level. Absence of a large temperature decline after the huge El Nino-spurred temperature increase in 2023-24 will provide further confirmation that IPCC’s best estimates for climate sensitivity and aerosol climate forcing were both underestimates. Specifically, 2025 global temperature should remain near or above +1.5C relative to 1880-1920, and, if the tropics remain ENSO-neutral, there is good chance that 2025 may even exceed the 2024 record high global temperature
    TADEAS
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    XCHAOS: climate change has been cancelled
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