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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    DZODZO: ono to vypadá že vortex vyteče na druhou polokouli

    christmas-weather-forecast-snowfall-united-states-canada-polar-vortex-extended-ensemble-snow-cover-e

    Early Christmas Weather Trends Show a Colder Pattern for the U.S. and Canada, with Growing Snow Potential » Severe Weather Europe
    https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/early-christmas-weather-forecast-polar-vortex-brings-cold-snow-for-holidays-united-states-canada-europe-fa/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Human-induced climate change compounded by socio-economic water stressors increased severity of 5-year drought in Iran and Euphrates and Tigris basin – World Weather Attribution
    https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/human-induced-climate-change-compounded-by-socio-economic-water-stressors-increased-severity-of-5-year-drought-in-iran-and-euphrates-and-tigris-basin/

    Sucho, které v posledních pěti letech drtí Írán a povodí Eufratu a Tigridu, by podle analýzy týmu World Weather Attribution bylo v předindustriálním klimatu extrémně nepravděpodobné, prakticky nemožné. Změna klimatu — spolu s rostoucí poptávkou po vodě a dlouhodobým tlakem na vodní zdroje — významně zvýšila pravděpodobnost i intenzitu sucha.

    Region zažil několik let podprůměrných srážek a výrazně vyšších teplot. Výsledek je patrný na první pohled: hladiny vody v hlavních tocích poklesly až o čtvrtinu, zásobní nádrže se rychle vyprazdňují a dopady dopadají na zemědělství, zásobování pitnou vodou i život obyvatel ve městech. Pro některé oblasti byl rok 2025 nejsušším od roku 1933.

    Proč je to důležité i pro nás v ČR?
    Protože tato analýza ukazuje, jak se kombinace klimatických změn a socio-ekonomického tlaku může proměnit ve víc než jen „nepříznivé počasí“. Je to připomínka, že vodní bezpečnost a klimatická stabilita jsou úzce propojené. A že dlouhé suché epizody se mohou objevovat i v regionech, které se na ně historicky nejsou připraveny. Vzpomeňme na smrkovou kalamitu v nedávných letech.

    Analýza dobře ukazuje, že klimatická změna není vzdálený problém, ale proces, který již dnes mění podmínky pro život milionů lidí.

    Dobré rozhodování stojí na datech a na pochopení souvislostí. Pokud víme, jak se mění klima i jaké faktory zvyšují zranitelnost společnosti, můžeme snáze hledat řešení, která budou dlouhodobě funkční. I proto jsme například zpracovali #AtlasDekarbonizace.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Details: How Severe Slowdown of AMOC 4,200 Years Ago (4.2ka Event) Caused Massive Societal Collapses
    https://youtu.be/52iGymEXDqQ?si=1yAuvKerGKma911t


    Many times, I have said that severe slowdown or halting of the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) ocean circulation system is the "Mother of all Tipping Points" since it connects to so many different parts of our climate and weather systems.

    Last time it failed, was 4,200 years ago, and it wreaked havoc on many powerful civilizations at the time. Some major regions lost 80% of their populations, and some vanished off the face of the Earth. Here, in this video chat, is some of that story...
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    With the Atlantic hurricane season nearly over, a new champion has emerged in predicting both track and intensity of hurricanes: Google DeepMind.

    "DeepMind outpaced even the gold-standard corrected consensus models as well as the National Hurricane Center’s official track forecasts this year.

    The hurricane-specific model was introduced back in June and is trained on historical global weather data as well as information from global tropical cyclone records over the past 45 years.

    The beauty of DeepMind and other similar data-driven, AI-based weather models is how much more quickly they produce a forecast compared to their traditional physics-based counterparts that require some of the most expensive and advanced supercomputers in the world. Beyond that, these “smart” models with their neural network architectures have the ability to learn from their mistakes and correct on-the-fly."

    This Hurricane Season, Two Forecast Models Stand Out, but for Very Different Reasons
    https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/this-hurricane-season-two-forecast
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    England sees second worst harvest on record, analysis shows | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/england-government-defra-kent-greenpeace-uk-b2842589.html

    "We have now seen three of the five worst harvests on record this decade... This is what farming with climate change looks like, as extreme weather wrecks harvests..."
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Weather Whiplashing: Accelerating Shifts from Heatwaves to Heavy Rainfall in Our Climate Casino
    https://youtu.be/O9iUQLkSSSM?si=QH7UyrI7WfVi-Ccv
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    The high temperature at one of Finland’s northernmost weather stations, in the municipality of Sodankylä (Lapland region) within the Arctic Circle at latitude 67.3°N, reached at least 25°C for 26 days in a row.

    Records date back to 1908.

    https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1953135300525392327?t=tUO6nHWhrwap1gX4dYzpFg&s=19
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    New Yorkers and millions of others in the Northeast have faced flash floods for the second time in two weeks as severe thunderstorms and torrential downpours slammed the East Coast.

    Some workers in NY and New Jersey were sent home early Thursday afternoon ahead of the evening commute. The city’s emergency management agency urged people to avoid unnecessary travel, warning that street, basement, and transit flooding were possible. States of emergency were declared in New York and New Jersey as the storms arrived.

    NYC and NJ weather: States of emergency declared as millions in Northeast drenched by heavy rain | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/new-york-nyc-new-jersey-flash-flooding-state-of-emergency-b2800123.html
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    IOM_NUKSO: tak hlavně si stačí otevřít windy a tam krásně vidíš kudy ti proudí vzduch momentálně do střední evropy.

    Windy: Wind map & weather forecast
    https://www.windy.com/?53.436,14.150,4,p:cities
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    IOM_NUKSO: jinak k aktualnimu pocasi, tv nova prevzala vysvetlujici clanek:

    Zatímco téměř celé Evropě vládne tropické vedro, střední část kontinentu zůstává výjimkou. V Česku, ale třeba i v Německu je výrazně chladněji než v Norsku nebo dokonce v ledovém Grónsku. Za tímto nezvyklým jevem údajně stojí kombinace arktického vysokého tlaku a jednoho málo známého tropického fenoménu. Podle meteorologů by se ale letní počasí mohlo během několika týdnů vrátit.
    ...
    Letní počasí, jaké jsme zvyklí v červenci zažívat, se letos ve střední Evropě poněkud zadrhlo. Teploty se pohybují pod dlouhodobým průměrem a občasný déšť i vítr dělají dojem spíše dubnového než prázdninového klimatu. Přitom okolní Evropa hlásí rekordní vedra – v Norsku naměřili až 34 °C, v Grónsku je místy přes 20 °C. Všimla si toho německá mutace stanice The Weather Channel.

    V Česku, Německu či Polsku přitom panuje nezvyklé chladno. Důvod? Neobvyklá poloha tlakových útvarů a vliv takzvané Madden-Julianovy oscilace (MJO). "Za současné ochlazení může zejména tlaková výše Dorle, která se usadila nad severní Skandinávií. Ta způsobila, že se nad Německem a okolními zeměmi vytvořila oblast nižšího tlaku," vysvětlují němečtí meteorologové.
    ...
    To ale není jediný důvod, proč je počasí tak rozhozené. Svoji roli totiž hraje právě i méně známý MJO, což je důležitý jev z oblasti tropů. Jde o vlnu bouřek, které se pohybují kolem rovníku, hlavně v oblasti mezi Indickým oceánem a Tichomořím. Tyto silné bouře ovlivňují pohyb vzduchu po celé planetě. Doslova rozkmitají atmosféru a vysílají vlny, které mohou zasáhnout i Evropu – a tím nepřímo ovlivnit, kde bude u nás vysoký nebo nízký tlak.
    ...
    ​S MJO souvisí i tropická porucha v oblasti severního Mexického zálivu, označovaná jako Invest 93L. Jde o další projev globálního vlivu tohoto jevu – zatímco jedna jeho fáze ovlivňuje tlakové poměry nad Evropou, jiná podporuje bouřkovou činnost nad Amerikou. Informuje o tom odborná meteorologická platforma WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch.

    Kam zmizelo léto: Meteorologové vysvětlili, proč je ve střední Evropě tak chladno | TN.cz
    https://tn.nova.cz/zpravodajstvi/clanek/622773-kam-zmizelo-leto-meteorologove-vysvetlili-proc-je-ve-stredni-evrope-tak-chladno
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    SHEFIK: ze vcera

    Around 11 million Americans are under flood alerts Saturday evening as a "ring of fire" weather pattern continues to impact the eastern two-thirds of the country through the weekend.

    A flash flood emergency was issued near the Washington, D.C., area, including suburban Maryland, such as Chevy Chase and Silver Spring until 9 p.m. ET.

    Severe weather, flash flood threat impact eastern half of US - ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/US/severe-weather-flash-flood-threat-threaten-eastern-half/story?id=123895314
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    More than 400mm of rain poured down in just half a day in Seosan, the worst-affected city, along the country's west coast - the weather agency described it as a once-in-a-century event.

    South Korea: Four dead, 1,300 evacuated as heavy rain drenches country
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn41n1lj2jzo
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    This is fine

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/07/14/western-fires-canada-smoke/

    Hundreds of wildfires are burning across the Western states, Alaska and Canada as fire season perks up amid a sprawling heat wave and widespread dry conditions.

    More than 100 of the blazes are in the United States, including three dozen uncontained large fires, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. At least 14 major fires began over the weekend. The Canadian fire season continues to climb the list of worst on record, recently surpassing last year in the top five for most acreage burned.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Climate Extremes: Extreme Weather (Full Documentary)
    https://youtu.be/X6VCTfzl1DU
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    SMOC Reversal Impacts on our Climate System: AMOC, Jet Streams, Polar Vortex, Extreme Weather Events
    https://youtu.be/0iCLdRhRHSs?si=eV5nTTIA2qGpDDB8
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    V usa s temi zmenami klimatu ale zatoci zakonem

    MTG Wants to Make ‘Deadly’ Weather Manipulation a Felony
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/mtg-wants-deadly-weather-manipulation-151205076.html

    Greene announced in a Saturday tweet that she intends to wage war on the “deadly” practice of “climate modification” and “geoengineering” with a bill that would make any such efforts a felony offense.

    According to Greene, she’s been “researching weather modification” and now she is ready to take action after spending months “writing this bill” with her legislative counsel.

    She added, “It will be similar to Florida’s Senate Bill 56. We must end the dangerous and deadly practice of weather modification and geoengineering.”
    ...
    In a since-deleted 2018 Facebook post, multiple news outlets reported that Greene suggested that “lasers or blue beams of light” from “space solar generators” in the sky, controlled by Jewish people, may have caused a spate of wildfires—including the 150,000-acre Camp Fire in California that killed 85 people. She has denied she made such a claim in a later interview.
    ...
    On the heels of the devastating 2024 Hurricane Helene, Greene, seemingly provoked, took to X with a message.

    “Yes they can control the weather,” she wrote, “it’s ridiculous for anyone to lie and say it can’t be done.”
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    XCHAOS: As Texas officials point to the National Weather Service failing to predict the amount of rain that caused this tragedy, it’s fair to wonder if the cuts made to the dept that many warned about played a role here.

    https://x.com/TheTNHoller/status/1941482944591528292?t=mkJwRn-7Z7x3UNc7gMLiqg&s=19

    The ideological dismantling of NOAA and NWS begins on page 674 of Project 2025 and is well underway.

    https://x.com/RibelleInPA/status/1941491274126897326?t=B9C48TP6ONfEiCZkR8zgfQ&s=19
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘A war of the truth’: Europe’s heatwaves are failing to spur support for climate action | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/04/europe-heatwaves-failing-support-climate-action

    As heatwaves engulfed large swathes of Europe and North America last week – the latest in a stream of deadly extremes made worse by fossil fuel pollution – green groups are frustrated that increasingly violent weather has not spurred the urgent support for climate action they had expected.

    Governments across the rich world continue to roll back policies to stop the planet from heating, while far-right parties that deny climate science lash out at environment rules even as disasters unfold. Their voters, while rarely climate deniers themselves, seem to tolerate their energetic attacks on environmental policy, if not support them.
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    Experiencing extreme weather and disasters is not enough to change views on climate action, study shows
    https://theconversation.com/experiencing-extreme-weather-and-disasters-is-not-enough-to-change-views-on-climate-action-study-shows-260308
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