Lockdowns and shutdowns really should just be part of an overall comprehensive strategy…..Most of the transmission that’s actually happening in many countries now is happening in the household at family level….
Now we need to go and look in families to find those people who may be sick and remove them and isolate them in a safe and dignified manner.”
Dr. Michael Ryan, Executive Director of the WHO Health Emergencies Programme
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RAHyr35fbf4
Dale se pripravila legislativa, ktera umoznuje i treba sousedovi (kdyz bude deklarovany jako dobrovolna zdravotni pomoc) vstoupit nekomu do domu a izolovat lidi potencialne nakazeny Covid-19
https://www.technologyreview.com/...0/03/17/905264/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months/
Social distancing is here to stay for much more than a few weeks. It will upend our way of life, in some ways forever.
https://www.sciencealert.com/...uggests-repeated-bouts-of-social-distancing-may-be-needed-until-2022
A one-off lockdown won't halt the novel coronavirus and repeated periods of social distancing may be required into 2022 to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed, Harvard scientists who modelled the pandemic's trajectory said Tuesday.
https://www.france24.com/...29-covid-19-france-considers-introducing-series-of-stop-and-go-lockdowns
Faced with the reopening of schools and businesses and the return of some employees to their workplaces after May 11, health professionals have warned of the possibility of a new wave of coronavirus contagion in France. To prevent this, the authorities are exploring a “stop and go” strategy, consisting of alternating periods of lockdown and eased restrictions.
...
As the number of new cases rises concurrently with eased restrictions, another lockdown is highly probable to avoid saturating hospital services.
"There is a study from the Harvard School of Public Health which foresees
'stop-and-go' situations for several more years, until we have a vaccine," explained Cohen.
British epidemiologist Neil Ferguson shares this theory. In an article published on the Imperial College London website in March, he explained that to achieve a complete flattening of the transmission curve, lockdowns and easements would have to be alternated a number of times, "until large stocks of vaccine are available to immunise the population, which could potentially be for 18 months or more".
Repeated lockdowns require discipline
Repeated lockdowns would extend the expected recessions by months or even years. "For the economy, this is obviously bad news, as it is for the people. This means that any expected rebound will not actually take place," said Cohen.
And even if the stop-and-go strategy works on paper, it will be difficult to apply it in practice. Astrid Vabret, head of the virology department at Caen University Hospital, has envisioned a new round of "stop and go" every fortnight in comments to France 3 Normandie. But she points out that there would be difficulties: "It remains to be seen if this is possible to apply it because
it requires the population to be very disciplined."
Chloé Hecketsweiler, a health specialist at Le Monde, is also sceptical. "It doesn't necessarily work in real life. People will get bored, lockdown is complicated to maintain," she said in a podcast earlier this month. “Politically, this scenario is difficult to defend and it will be very difficult to get economic life back on track."