SEJDA: no a kdyz to vyjadrime v cislech (jestli si dobre pamatuju jak to pocitaj), tak pravdepodobnost ze pristi vyneseni nakladu bude neuspesne, je pro New Glenn 50 % (1 - (2 uspesne deleno 4 starty)), kdezto po Amos 6 to pro Falcon 9 bylo (1-28/30) = 6.6 %. To je sakra velky rozdil.
Dalsi dva starty New Glenn jsou vlastni naklady Blue Origin, pak maji jeden domluveny, to uz asi zakaznik nezrusi, a pak se teprve uvidi jestli zakaznici prijdou nebo ne.
A to bojuji proti Falconu 9 ktery ma momentalne 629 startu a pravdepodobnost neuspechu dalsiho startu 0.6 %. Ja byt zakaznik, tak si o Blue Origin neopru ani kolo pokud nedaji slevu ktera se neodmita :)
Jeste tu bude hrat roli dostupnost, ale SpaceX lita tak casto ze hadam to nebude takovy problem.

Fakt to novym firmam na poli kosmonautiky nezavidim.

XCHAOS: oh well
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/blue-origin-just-launched-the-giant-bluebird-7-mobile-phone-satellite-into-space-but-its-in-the-wrong-orbit

During the New Glenn 3 mission, BlueBird 7 was placed into a lower than planned orbit by the upper stage of the launch vehicle. While the satellite separated from the launch vehicle and powered on, the altitude is too low to sustain operations with its on-board thruster technology and will de-orbited.