MESK: BIDAK: díky za doplnění, nedal jsem to sem, jako zastánce této teorie, ale proto, že je to k tématu ,)

:: OSEL.CZ :: - Tichý pohřeb pohádky o ropném zlomu
http://www.osel.cz/index.php?clanek=6903

V Mexickom zálive postaví Shell najhlbší ropný vrt na svete | Firmy | ekonomika.sme.sk
http://ekonomika.sme.sk/c/6794308/v-mexickom-zalive-postavi-shell-najhlbsi-ropny-vrt-na-svete.html#ixzz2SsKJZe6W

E2E4: "It's absolutely true that we will never "run out" of oil--there will always be oil resources that are too expensive to produce that will stay in the ground--but since 2004 we have seen the undisputable evidence that affordable oil is slipping away from us, and that the rising price of oil has contributed to the stalling of the global economy. If the world could tolerate $300 a barrel, there might be no reason for concern about future oil supply. But it cannot. As the IEA's executive director recently noted, U.S. oil and gas prices need to go higher (through exports) to "avoid [the] shale boom turning to bust." But prices for refined products like gasoline and diesel are already near the upper limit for American consumers."

Mann also offers no data on tight oil production and price, but here are the key facts. In 2012, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the U.S. consumed about 18.5 million barrels a day (mb/d) of liquid fuels and produced about 11 mb/d. Only about 7 mb/d of that 11 was actual crude oil, and about 1 mb/d of that was from tight oil. The non-crude liquids the US produced have less energy content than crude, and some of it cannot be made into vehicular fuel.

One cannot easily make a case for incipient U.S. "energy independence" on the basis of 1 mb/d of new tight oil production. A host of dubious assumptions and data distortions underlie the recent energy independence forecasts which I will not delve into here, but I have examined and debunked most of the reports that Mann cites, including those from the IEA (here and here), Ed Morse at Citigroup (here and here), and Leonardo Maugeri.

Are Methane Hydrates Really Going to Change Geopolitics? - Technology - The Atlantic
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/print/2013/05/are-methane-hydrates-really-going-to-change-geopolitics/275275/

E2E4: spíš "kotransportace", nebo jak to říct :-) nevím, jak by skleněné izolátory nesly, kdyby ještě musely zvládat vibrace způsobené kladkama.. i když asi by se ten hliníkový drát odvíjel přeci jen relativně pomalu...

mimochodem... víš, že pokud čepuješ benzín či naftu do auta tempem 1l/s (realistický odhad), tak tou hadicí protéká výkon asi 165 MW? tedy, kdyby se měly elektromobily dobíjely stejným tempem, jako osobní auta, tak celý dnešní Temelín zvládne v jednu chvíli dobíjet tak max. 15 elektromobilů? (a to nebereme v úvahu ztráty v rozvodné síti...)

XCHAOS: No a dokonce bys mohl kombinovat oboji - kongenerace elektriny a hliniku. :)

E2E4: samozřejmě. vždyť o tom mluvím už několik let. jednoduše by si místo ropovodů měl hliníkovody, no (vlastně můžeš použít vedení vysokého napětí, akorát drát bude na kladkách jako u lanovky, a bude se po trase posouvat)

XCHAOS: To ale nejsou dobijeci baterie - vskutecnosti palis hlinik, stejne jako bys palil uhli - jen je to pomalejsi. V hlinikarne se zase z oxidu hliniku dela hlinik - elektrolyzou.. Nejak nevim cemu to pomuze, hlinikovy cyklus bude jiste jeste mene navratny nez napr vodikovy..

Europeans are buying two bikes for every car | Grist
http://grist.org/living/europeans-are-buying-two-bikes-for-every-car/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

o hliníkových bateriích jsem mluvil už před několika lety... aneb budoucnost patří aluminiu:
Will Future Tesla Cars Use Metal-Air Batteries? - Slashdot
http://tech.slashdot.org/story/13/04/23/199248/will-future-tesla-cars-use-metal-air-batteries

Ropný zlom sa odkladá? Nie tak rýchlo! Blog - Alexander Ač (blog.sme.sk)
http://ac.blog.sme.sk/c/326681/Ropny-zlom-sa-odklada-Nie-tak-rychlo.html

Resource Insights: Aging giant oil fields, not new discoveries are the key to future oil supply
http://resourceinsights.blogspot.sk/2013/04/aging-giant-oil-fields-not-new.html

Some vested interest group played a dirty hand in getting me, Mark Anthony, completely banned on Seeking Alpha. My previous articles are still there. But I bet they will ultimately remove all traces of them eventually...

My study shows that Bakken well declines MUCH FASTER than even Arthur Berman claimed. For example I summed up production from 3062 Bakken wells that has been continuously producing in all the months from May to Nov 2012, including 128 wells that only started in May 2012. That's the entirety of all wells I can find that has been producing continuously, but excluding a few that produced for a while and then shut down.

In May 2012, those existing wells produced at average of 506869 Barrels per day (BOE), with gas and oil production lumped together as Barrel of Oil Equivalence (BOE).

In Nov 2012, only six months later, these same 3062 wells produced at 353040 BOE/day. That's a drop of -30.35% in merely six months. That's averaging at -0.2% drop per day, or -5.9% drop per month, or -51.5% drop per year.

The Oil Drum | Drumbeat: April 10, 2013
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/9940#comment-956620

The Secret of the Seven Sisters - Special series - Al Jazeera English
http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/specialseries/2013/04/201344105231487582.html

Econbrowser: The death of peak oil
http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2013/04/the_death_of_pe.html

Resource Insights: Will the final blow for America’s shale gas ‘revolution’ be high prices?
http://www.resourceinsights.blogspot.sk/2013/03/will-final-blow-for-americas-shale-gas.html