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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Tipping points induced by parameter drift in an excitable ocean model | Scientific Reports
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-90138-1
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Studies add to concern about climate tipping
    https://phys.org/news/2021-07-climate.amp

    In the first study, the authors show in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model how the mid-latitude wind systems over Europe and North America has a probability to tip between different types of behavior (or different regimes, as climate scientists say) depending on the strength of an El Niño. In other words, the climate phenomenon El Niño—during which heat builds up in the surface layers of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean—determines whether the mid-latitude wind system in the U.S.A. will be more or less likely to shift abruptly between one regime and another.

    Such probabilistic climate tipping complicates prediction, which is generally based on the assumption that climate systems change gradually in a more predictable manner. The findings, - co-authored with Stéphane Vannitsem and Jonathan Demaeyer from the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium and published in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, thus explain why the patterns of precipitation and temperature during and after an El Niño have been difficult to predict with accuracy up till now.

    ...

    The other result concerns rate-induced tipping. This kind of climate tipping takes place not because a certain threshold level is reached, like a CO2 level in the atmosphere, but rather because the rate of change is too fast for the system to evolve gradually.

    The study—co-authored with Stefano Pierini from the Parthenope University of Naples and published in Scientific Reports, finds rate-induced tipping in a simplified model of the wind-driven ocean circulation for the first time. In this model study, the Gulf Stream—which distributes heat to the North Atlantic and plays an important role in keeping the temperatures in Western Europe relatively mild—tips between regimes when CO2 is introduced at a rapid rate into the model

    Such a result is highly relevant as levels of CO2 in the atmosphere currently go up at an unprecedented rate. If the Gulf Stream eventually tips in this rate-induced manner, Western Europe could experience rather abrupt changes to its climate.

    "These results indicate that climate tipping is an imminent risk in the Earth System. Even the safe operating space of 1.5 or 2.0 degrees above present generally assumed by the IPCC might not be all that safe. According to the precautionary principle, we must consider abrupt and irreversible changes to the climate system as a real risk
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    zív

    The climate crisis will create two classes: those who can flee, and those who cannot | Peter Gleick | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jul/07/global-heating-climate-crisis-heat-two-classes

    the climate crisis is going to produce two classes of refugees: those with the freedom and financial resources to try, for a while at least, to flee from growing threats in advance, and those who will be left behind to suffer the consequences in the form of illness, death and destruction.

    ...

    humans that can move will move. Just as millions migrated over the past half-century from the colder north to sunny, warm communities in Florida, Arizona, New Mexico and southern California, we will certainly see a massive reverse migration in the coming half century away from the coasts, extreme heat and water shortages to places thought to be more favorable. We’re already seeing refugees on the southern border of the US fleeing countries suffering from drought and disasters. If greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated, some models suggest that more than a million climate refugees may move from Central America and Mexico to the United States. In April, the UN high commissioner for refugees released a report showing that climate- and weather-related disasters already displace more than 20 million people a year, and a report from the Australian Institute for Economics and Peace suggests that more than a billion people could be displaced by climate and weather disasters by 2050.
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    MASTODONT: Babis je podle tebe zeleny damagog?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MASTODONT: obavam se ze tu mlatis prazdnou slamu
    MASTODONT
    MASTODONT --- ---
    SEJDA: Kdy se zelení nemýlili?
    MASTODONT
    MASTODONT --- ---
    TADEAS: Nová kritéria, nový směr myšlení, nové vlaječky na demoškách!! Ale pozor, nejen u biopaliv se tvrdili hovadiny ...

    Ačkoliv spalování biomasy, tedy například dřevěných pelet bylo v posledních letech považováno za ekologický způsob výroby energie nejen v rodinných domech – vědci mají nyní na toto využívání dřeva jiný názor. Některé důkazy totiž nasvědčují, že využívání dřeva a dřevěných pelet může být pro globální klima horší než spalování uhlí a plynu. Evropská unie tak už chystá změnu pravidel.

    Spalování dřeva je podle vědců horší než uhlí a plyn, Evropská unie ho chce omezit | EnergoZrouti.cz
    https://energozrouti.cz/z/spalovani-dreva-horsi-nez-uhli-a-plyn-evropska-unie-ho-chce-omezit

    A tak dále a dále, na vědu a pořádné dokazování není čas, hlavní jsou demošky a rychlá gesta.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MASTODONT: v roce 2011 tomu nebylo jinak, jen citujes z toho clanku jednu vetu. taky je tam: "Je pravdou, že v minulosti existovaly případy, kdy i kvůli biopalivům byly vykáceny deštné pralesy a je pravdou, že v takovém případě nemůže být o nějaké úspoře skleníkových plynů ani řeč. K zamezení těchto extrémních jevů mají však sloužit nově zavedená kriteria udržitelnosti výroby biopaliv"
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    MASTODONT: zeleny demagog? Kazdy kdo se mylil je demagog? Ty budes radny kus ..
    MASTODONT
    MASTODONT --- ---
    TADEAS: Není nutné používat caps lock, to je přece u zelených demagogů normální a málokoho to překvapí :)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    MASTODONT: LHALI NAM
    MASTODONT
    MASTODONT --- ---
    Biopaliva produkují až třikrát více emisí CO2 než diesel vyrobený jen z ropy??? Zajímavé, v roce 2011 to přece bylo jinak:

    JAKÁ JE SKUTEČNOST: Biopaliva vedou k úspoře skleníkových plynů - některá méně, některá více, ale k úspoře CO2 dochází vždy.

    BIOPALIVA: CO SE ŘÍKÁ A JAKÁ JE SKUTEČNOST - EnviWeb.cz
    http://www.enviweb.cz/89336
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Studie: Kvůli biopalivům zmizely pralesy o rozloze Nizozemska, je z nich více emisí než z ropy - Zdopravy.cz
    https://zdopravy.cz/studie-kvuli-biopalivum-zmizely-pralesy-o-rozloze-nizozemska-je-z-nich-vice-emisi-nez-z-ropy-85976/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TADEAS: prekvapive aplikovana teorie chaosu :) lidi si neuvodumujou, jak je aktualni rovnovaha krehka a ze kazdym dalsim managementem zemekoule vlastne tyhle balancni mechanismy, jez se vytvarely miliony+ let vic a vic nabouravame
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    World ‘must step up preparations for extreme heat’ | Climate change | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/jul/07/world-must-step-up-preparations-for-extreme-heat

    Geert Jan van Oldenborgh of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, said that up until last year standard climate models had assumed that there was an upper boundary to heatwaves that moved roughly twice as fast as broader global heating trends.

    “We thought we knew what was going on … Then this heatwave came which was way above the upper bound. With the knowledge of last year this was impossible. This was surprising and shaking,” he said. “We are now much less certain about heatwaves than we were two weeks ago. We are very worried about the possibility of this happening everywhere but we just don’t know yet.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Dominic Lawson will be Hanged for Climate Crimes | Hampstead Heath | London 2021 | Roger Hallam
    https://youtu.be/ZHq9ngSnwFg
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    DZODZO: spis se rekalkuluje riziko a dopad bude na spotrebitele. Vzhledem k tomu ze navyseni ceny nebude pro kazdeho, bude potreba dorovnat i tenhle propad, takze pujde o nelinearni navyseni. Vlastnictvi majetku se tak vyrazne prodrazi, vcetne neprimych dopadu na pronajmy a nasledne i na vyrobky s vlastnictvim/pronajmem souvisejici

    Pojistovnam to v dlouhodobem horizontu bude fuk, ale samozrejme je i v jejich zajmu mit rizikovost nizsi a resit co nejmene likvidaci. Navic to muzou marketingove zaobalit jako konkurencni vyhodu 'savior of the planet'
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    poistovne budu mat asi eminentny zaujem nepoistovat fosilne projekty, ked vidia, ze im z toho akurat rastu vydaje

    Pojišťovny mají nahlášeny z červnových bouřek škody za 3,8 miliardy - Novinky.cz
    https://www.novinky.cz/ekonomika/clanek/pojistovny-maji-nahlaseny-z-cervnovych-bourek-skody-za-38-miliardy-40365565
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    (PDF) Andreucci et al 2021 Book Rethinking Sustainability
    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/352858426_Andreucci_et_al_2021_Book_Rethinking_Sustainability

    RESTORE - REthinking Sustainability TOwards a Regenerative Economy'', and highlights how sustainability in buildings, facilities and urban governance is crucial for a future that is socially just, ecologically restorative, and economically viable, for Europe and the whole planet. In light of the search for fair solutions to the climate crisis, the authors outline the urgency for the built environment sector to implement adaptation and mitigation strategies, as well as a just transition. As shown in the chapters, this can be done by applying a broader framework that enriches places, people, ecology, culture, and climate, at the core of the design task - with a particular emphasis on the benefits towards health and resilient business practices.

    This book is one step on the way to a paradigm shift towards restorative sustainability for new and existing buildings. The authors want to promote forward thinking and multidisciplinary knowledge, leading to solutions that celebrate the richness of design creativity. In this vision, cities of the future will enhance users’ experience, health and wellbeing inside and outside of buildings, while reconciling anthropic ecosystems and nature.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    aneb pocasi neni podnebi, a vykyv globalni teploty znamena brutalnejsi vykyvy teploty


    Historic heat wave in Lapland:In #Norway impressive 34.3C at Banak,it's the highest temp. ever above 70N in Europe and new record for Troms and Finnmark county. In #Finland 33.6C at Kevo,new record and highest temp. in Finnish Lapland since 1914,also record with 32.5C at Nuorgam.

    https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1412104527470383104?s=19

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Ben See
    https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1373558190894366723?s=19

    CO₂

    1. We're at 417ppm
    J. Hansen: that's 3.5°C eventually

    2. We face 427ppm by 2025
    That's like climates +3M yrs ago

    3. Corporate plans: +450ppm by 2036
    Many scientists: worst impacts likely

    4. Trajectory: 550ppm by 2047
    Unsurvivable 5°C sooner or later?

    5. We can still act
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