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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď
    citadely, regionalni off-grid


    Island refuges – Adapt Research Ltd
    https://adaptresearchwriting.com/island-refuges/

    Our work to date has been largely conceptual and theoretical, although we are currently undertaking an analysis of food exports in the New Zealand setting and the logistics of redirecting these locally, under circumstances of reduced yield, in a refuge situation.

    Next we want to identify a range of concrete steps that specific islands can take to improve their resilience to global catastrophe, and examine the cost-effectiveness and ethical dimensions of these approaches.

    - Undertake case studies of selected islands to determine what investments and developments are yet needed to ensure enduring self-sufficiency

    - Undertake case studies of promising island refuges to determine which key agricultural, industrial or fabrication technologies might be developed to maximise potential to reboot civilisation

    - Investigate the ethical aspects of island refuges, in particular stranded citizens, equity, representation of humanity, lifeboat ethics, and business harm from ‘false alarms’.

    - Determine the day-to-day benefits that might accrue to islands that address some of the above issues, eg improved public health, economic growth, and resilience to common natural disasters.

    - Undertake cost-effectiveness analysis of the most promising interventions

    We aim to spread the idea that islands are well placed to survive some of the most devastating catastrophes. But more than that, we want to help ensure that some islands are prepared enough that their populations will flourish even under these seriously adverse circumstances.

    Ultimately we envision a think tank directly addressing the issue of islands as refuge, an accessible maturity model (a play book!) of actions island societies could take to optimise resilience to pandemics and nuclear winter, and a global network of island policymakers sharing ideas.

    Ensuring flourishing hubs of complex thriving society can protect the long-term flourishing of humanity.


    TADEAS:
    TADEAS:
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď
    TADEAS:

    The Prioritization of Island Nations as Refuges from Extreme Pandemics
    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.13398

    we suggest that it is useful to rank island nations as potential refuges for ensuring long-term human survival in the face of catastrophic pandemics (or other relevant existential threats). Prioritization could identify the several island nations that are most suitable for targeting social and political preparations and further investment in resiliency. We outline a prioritization methodology and as an initial demonstration, we then provide example rankings by considering 20 sovereign island states (all with populations greater than 250,000 and no land borders). Results describe each nation in nine resilience-relevant domains covering location, population, resources, and society according to published data. The results indicate that the most suitable island nations for refuge status are Australia, followed closely by New Zealand, and then Iceland, with other nations all well behind (including the relatively high-income ones of Malta and Japan). Nevertheless, some key contextual factors remain relatively unexplored. These include the capacity of the jurisdiction to rapidly close its borders when the emerging threat was first detected elsewhere, and whether or not large subnational islands should be the preferred focus for refuge design (e.g., the Australian state of Tasmania, the island of Hokkaido in Japan, or the South Island of New Zealand). Overall, this work provides conceptual thinking with some initial example analysis.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď+1
    TADEAS:

    The central underpinning concept of this study therefore differs from the conjecture in other studies that certain locations may be ‘preserved’ as lifeboats through deliberate action (i.e., by governments or other groups). Instead, the formation of any ‘node of persisting complexity’ would be through system behaviour arising from certain starting conditions, i.e., is an analysis of an evolutionary process that would occur largely outside of direct human control. This description has some similarities with the ‘Regenerative Bioregions’ concept [65] in which future localised populations may persist through their overall biophysical demands matching regional ecological conditions and carrying capacities.

    ...

    The methodology for assessing which nations have the potential to form ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ utilises the outputs of the ‘University of Notre Dame—Global Adaptation Index’ (ND-GAIN) study, which assessed and ranked all nations in terms of vulnerability and readiness to future environmental change. The ND-GAIN ranking was screened against additional semi-quantitative measures specifically related to the ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ concept to generate a ‘shortlist’ of five nations (New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland). Each of these was then further qualitatively assessed for their individual, local-scale (primarily energy and agricultural) characteristics. This identified New Zealand as having the greatest potential to form a ‘node of persisting complexity’, with Iceland, Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland also having favourable characteristics. The United Kingdom presents a more complex picture and potentially has less favourable characteristics overall.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    3 odpovědi+2
    neco pro ymladris k citadelam :)

    Sustainability | Free Full-Text | An Analysis of the Potential for the Formation of ‘Nodes of Persisting Complexity’
    https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/15/8161

    Human civilisation has undergone a continuous trajectory of rising sociopolitical complexity since its inception; a trend which has undergone a dramatic recent acceleration. This phenomenon has resulted in increasingly severe perturbation of the Earth System, manifesting recently as global-scale effects such as climate change. These effects create an increased risk of a global ‘de-complexification’ (collapse) event in which complexity could undergo widespread reversal. ‘Nodes of persisting complexity’ are geographical locations which may experience lesser effects from ‘de-complexification’ due to having ‘favourable starting conditions’ that may allow the retention of a degree of complexity. A shortlist of nations (New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia and Ireland) were identified and qualitatively analysed in detail to ascertain their potential to form ‘nodes of persisting complexity’ (New Zealand is identified as having the greatest potential). The analysis outputs are applied to identify insights for enhancing resilience to ‘de-complexification’.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition - ScienceDirect
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300999

    2019

    This article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, governance, and conflict. Some of these represent potential gains; some represent losses; and some the capacity of countries to handle changes in geopolitical strength. Five alternative versions of the index are developed to work out the optimal design. First, the energy resource indicators are combined with equal weights to create two simple versions of the index. Next, governance and conflict indicators are included to create three more complex versions of the index. The index provides useful pointers for strategic energy and foreign policy choices: geopolitical power will be more evenly distributed after an energy transition; Iceland will gain most; Russia may be one of the main holders of stranded geopolitical assets; China and the USA will lose more geopolitically than foreseen by other analyses. The index also indicates a lack of emphasis in parts of the literature on space for renewable energy infrastructure and on domestically sourced coal for the current strength of countries such as China and the United States.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    XCHAOS: v ccus tematu byl vzdycky vetsi problem dosahnout urcite specificke koncentrace co2, kdy uz se s nim daji delat dalsi veci

    Pro ccu/utilization je to odhadovany 1 trilion $ market, mozny produkty na obrazku

    Climate change: pulling CO2 out of the air could be a trillion-dollar business - Vox
    https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/energy-and-environment/2019/9/4/20829431/climate-change-carbon-capture-utilization-sequestration-ccu-ccs

    Pro ccs/storage je pak spousta dalsich moznosti, i kdyz skladovani bez dalsiho vyuziti bude vzdycky neco stat. Rentabilnich ccs bude nejspis vzdycky malo, ale budou, viz napr. umely diamanty
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    +2
    XCHAOS: Hlavní problém s CCS je "scale" a čas. Žádná technologie nedokáže během 50 let odstranit tolik CO2, kolik potřebujeme, museli bychom postavit průmysl podobného rozsahu jako je fosilní infrastruktura a celý by musel být dotovaný (z čeho?), sám nevydělá nic (pokud nepočítáš CO2 do limonád, ale to není CCS).
    Kdyby CCS někdo myslel vážně, tak výsledkem COP26 bude zákaz spalování uhlí bez CCS, takhle je to jen greenwashing.
    Dobře je to popsané v tomhle videu:
    Challenging Common Sense to Flatten the Climate Monster – Dr. Ye Tao
    https://youtu.be/GRHREvsIVBE?t=2555
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TADEAS: no ano... já jsem navrhoval dlouhodobé úložiště (kalamitního) dříví ve štolách a lomech po vytěženém uhlí... tak by se koneckonců ten uhlík vrátil přímo do míst, odkud jsme ho vzali, že jo :-)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď
    XCHAOS: v principu (v realite se to treba muze podarit jinak) je tu odlisnost tech ekosystemovych cyklu (jejichz soucasti je puda, drevo, sklenikovy plyny produkovany zviratama) a procesu lidsky civilizace, ktera do systemu dodava ten fosilni uhlik a dalsi prvky a slouceniny a tim ho destabilizuje. carbon capture ekosystemem je podle me v principu zmateni, protoze ano, chceme, aby toto ekosystem delal, ale vzdy jsou to jen nejakej vice nebo mene dlouhe cykly, ktere chceme podporovat a tim ekosystem re/generovat... nikdy tim ale nemuzeme vyvazit to dodavani fosilniho uhliku a dalsich prvku nebo sloucenin do systemu, tzn. carbon-capture se sice potkava s ekosystemovou regeneraci v jednom aspektu, ale principialne je CC spis fosilizace, ktera ma ten prvek z toho kolobehu vyjmout [na hodne dlouho].
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    3 odpovědi+2
    Proč jsem sem ty videa dal, když můj názor na carbon capture je víceméně dlouuhodobě jasný: tedy, např. jsem si pořád plně neuvědomil význam toho, že koncentrace CO2 v mořské vodě je zhruba 150x větší, než ve vzduchu. Získávání CO2 z mořské vody ohřátím na 70 stupňů pomocí solární energie v subtropických oblastech mi nepřijde až tak dramatické, takže tohle by mohla být určitá stopa. Závažnějším problémem zůstává "kam s ním?"... pyrolýza zemního plynu za vzniku vodíku a grafitu mi najednou jako až tak úplný nesmysl nepřijde. Nejlepší by ale bylo dokázat CO2 uložit přímo do podoby uhlíkatých vláken, které budou zabudované v předmětech dlouhodobé spotřeby... tedy tak trochu napodobit to, co dělají stromy s celulózou, ale jinak.

    Jinak u toho požadavku carbon capture na 100 let mi přijde, že vyhrát musejí nutně dřevěné konstrukce přímo dimenzované tak, aby stavba měla prokazatelně životnost 100 let, tzn. byla navržená tak, aby neshnila, neshořela, apod. Pokud něco dotovat, tak bych fakt dotoval dřevostavby všeho druhu: zkrátka přímo zdanit beton a přímo z toho odměňovat cokoliv zkolaudované, co je postavené ze dřeva - a ideálně to odměňovat kontinuálně, tedy dotace bude vyplácena v průběhu sto let za každý další rok trvání existence té dřevěné konstrukce (ne, že se to někomu prodá a ten to zbourá). Ideální forma emisních povolenek mi po bližším přezkoumání přijde taková, že odměňováni mají být kontinuálně (ne nárazově) ti, kdo prokazatelně skladují dřevo a výrobky z něj - ale zase, záleží pak na původu toho dřeva, takže jsme v bludném kruhu, kdy systém dotací bude vždy nějakým trikem zneužitelný...

    Možná systém vyplácení dotací "na dřevo" (tedy, myšleno "za dřevo"), ale po nějakém počtu let trvání dřevěné konstrukce? Tedy odměňovat ne předem, ale až za uhlík, který prokazatelně nějaký počet let byl mimo atmosférický oběh? Ovšem zase: společenské náklady na vynucení takového systému odměňování ekologických investic budou enormní... (ve smyslu neochoty populace na tom participovat....)
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    All you need to know about Elon Musk’s Carbon Capture Prize
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmWpFCjh0Fk
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Carbon Capture - Humanity's Last Hope?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecxCL84n26g
    RADIQAL
    RADIQAL --- ---
    “The global infrastructure of fossil fuel extraction, processing and sales is worth somewhere between $25tn (£19tn) and $0.”

    Domino Theory – George Monbiot
    https://www.monbiot.com/2021/11/19/domino-theory/
    Dominovy efekt podle GM. Na neděli nezykle optimistické čtení :)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    myšlení půdního, myšlení suchozemského

    :)

    Open Call: Soils as Sites of Emergency and Transformation, NESS Conference, Gothenburg, Sweden. Abstract deadline 15 Dec! – The Posthumanities Hub
    https://posthumanitieshub.net/2021/11/18/open-call-soils-as-sites-of-emergency-and-transformation-ness-conference-gothenburg-sweden-abstract-deadline-15-dec/

    The Covid-19 pandemic is seen by some as the latest warning against the intensity of intervention of human worlds into non-human processes and spaces. This latest emergency unfolds, however, against the background of the long and accelerating process of human-induced, global planetary and ecosystem change variously debated as the Anthropocene, the Capitalocene, or the Plantationcene.

    The most lasting, the most fundamental, and the least address aspect of this ‘slow emergency’ and ongoing transformation relates to soils. When (rarely) discussed in the public sphere, soils are framed as an object of concern, and their degrading state is seen as a cause for alarm (as exemplified e.g. by the creation of the EU Mission for Soil Health and Food). In the Nordic context, soil emergencies are particularly noticeable as global heating-related changes in soil functions and states are having sudden and profound effects on lives, livelihoods, and land-use and inhabitation futures.

    Such emergency framings which underpin policy and expert concern around soil change can, however, lack historical and ontological reflexivity around the desired human-soil relations. Beyond this emergency framing, soils are also a site of and a source of transformation. Both historically and today, soils are active participants in the making of human societies and of ecologies. Whereas loss of soils has been linked with societal collapse, reciprocal relations of care can transform societies and ecosystems. Moreover, in contemporary thinking in political and social theory (e.g. Bruno Latour’s Down to Earth, Donna Haraway’s thinking on composting), arts (e.g. the Humus economicus project), and in debates about sustainable farming (e.g. regenerative agriculture), relations with soils are a source of inspiration for new models of human-environmental interaction and for conceptualising more-than-human health. This new wave of ‘thinking with soils’ works across disciplinary boundaries to reconceptualise people, environments, and their interactions by acknowledging and interrogating human entanglement with soils.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Anketa DR: Jaký byl klimasummit v Glasgow dle Čechů, kteří se jej účastnili?
    https://denikreferendum.cz/clanek/33361-anketa-dr-jaky-byl-klimasummit-v-glasgow-dle-cechu-kteri-se-jej-ucastnili
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    [XCHAOS @ ENERGIE - ALTERNATIVNÍ ZDROJE - BUDOUCÍ ZDROJE ENERGIE]
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    COPOUT at COP26 | Nepali Times
    https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/copout-at-cop26/
    Hmm, Nepál patří mezi oběti klimatické změny (a co se přesně stane s populací nejen Nepálu, ale hlavně Indie, až roztaje podstatná část himalájských ledovců, to si tedy nechci domýšlet...). Ale stejně... vozit propanbutanové lahve vrtulníkem, z toho vychází EROEI jak řemen :-)
    JINDRICH
    JINDRICH --- ---
    The Build Back Better Act passed through the House today has historic investments that will create millions of jobs in the clean energy economy & begin to make the GHG reductions needed to meet @POTUS ’ climate targets.
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TADEAS: Tak Venclovský byl průkopník.. budoucnost patří migrantům, kteří Kanál prostě přeplavou :-) Jinak obdobnně čekám, kdy Kurdové na hranici s Polskem objevěj kouzlo paraglidingu..
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    31:15 xi: climate change can become a new highlight of sino-american relations

    Analyzing the Biden-Xi Summit: What’s Next for U.S.-China Relations?
    https://youtu.be/EoJ2qKrtXgg
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    1 odpověď+1
    prepare

    French Canoe Retailer Halts Sales Due To Soaring Migrant Channel Crossings | ZeroHedge
    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/french-canoe-retailer-halts-sales-due-soaring-migrant-channel-crossings
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    +15
    FB-IMG-1637336634158
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    THE_DARKNESS: [SHEFIK @ Klimaticka zmena // Čechům vstup zakázán]
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