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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO:

    Climate change: More studies needed on possibility of human extinction - BBC News
    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62378157
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Is it slowing down, and how close is its tipping point?
    Stefan Rahmstorf, Professor of Physics of the Oceans at Potsdam University in Germany, explains the latest scientific insights about the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

    Is the Atlantic Overturning Circulation approaching a tipping point?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4iJEcInbyn0&feature=youtu.be
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Explainer: What climate models tell us about future rainfall - Carbon Brief
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-what-climate-models-tell-us-about-future-rainfall/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO:

    Climate endgame: risk of human extinction ‘dangerously underexplored’ | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/01/climate-endgame-risk-human-extinction-scientists-global-heating-catastrophe
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: sorry, 0.004 z celku, tj. 0.4 procenta.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    RADIQAL: v celkovejch proporcich private jety delaj asi 0.004 procenta dle rychlyho orientacniho propoctu, ale zase proporcne jde o podobne uzkou skupinu lidi (max stovky tisic lidi) ... takze ten graf tohle v tom extremu akorat ukazuje

    During the past year, private jet travel has emitted over 26 megatons of CO2, 1 megaton of CH4, and 0.22 megatons of N2O. This equates to a total of approximately 184 megatons of CO2-equivalents. This figure is roughly equivalent to the reduction in energy-related emissions in 2019 that the U.S. strived to achieve (EIA, 2020). The level of increase in emissions from pre-pandemic levels to 2021 were also significant. In 2019, private jet travel accounted for only 6.3% of total aviation related emissions in the U.S. This share was relatively stable from 2014 to 2019; however, the pandemic induced boom coupled with the decline in commercial travel has resulted in private jet travel growing its share of emissions from 6.3 to 7.9% of total commercial plus private aviation emissions - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888033/#s0045

    The global aviation industry produces around 2.1% of all human-induced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888033/#s0045

    Total greenhouse gas emissions reached 40.8 Gt of CO2 equivalent (CO2eq) in 2021 - https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-co2-emissions-in-2021-2
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    Climate change is intensifying the water cycle, bringing more powerful storms and flooding

    Climate change is intensifying the water cycle, bringing more powerful storms and flooding
    https://phys.org/news/2022-08-climate-powerful-storms.html

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or even eventual human extinction? At present, this is a dangerously underexplored topic. Yet there are ample reasons to suspect that climate change could result in a global catastrophe. Analyzing the mechanisms for these extreme consequences could help galvanize action, improve resilience, and inform policy, including emergency responses. We outline current knowledge about the likelihood of extreme climate change, discuss why understanding bad-to-worst cases is vital, articulate reasons for concern about catastrophic outcomes, define key terms, and put forward a research agenda. The proposed agenda covers four main questions: 1) What is the potential for climate change to drive mass extinction events? 2) What are the mechanisms that could result in human mass mortality and morbidity? 3) What are human societies' vulnerabilities to climate-triggered risk cascades, such as from conflict, political instability, and systemic financial risk? 4) How can these multiple strands of evidence—together with other global dangers—be usefully synthesized into an “integrated catastrophe assessment”? It is time for the scientific community to grapple with the challenge of better understanding catastrophic climate change.

    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2108146119
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    RADIQAL: offsetovanie vo forme vysadby stromov zas tolko energie nespotrebuje, jako jo bolia ta potom vecer ruky a mozno si nalozis na obed vepro-knedlo-zelo miesto lahkeho letneho salatu z lokalnych surovin, ale co do nejakej skonzumovanej fosilnej energie to je zanedbatelne, takisto ked si bohaty cech miesto letenky na maledivy necha nainstalovat solary na strechu, tak zacal offsetovat, tam uz ta vstupna energia nejaka je, ale uz 5 rokov dozadu sme videli studie, ktore ukazovali ze panel sa energeticky zaplati za 4-5 rokov, pri dnesnych ucinnostiach to bude aj polovica
    RADIQAL
    RADIQAL --- ---
    DZODZO: Milion doláčů je směšný. Miliarda taky. Offsetovanie je dead end, protože samo o sobě spotřebovává velké množství energie.

    @TADEAS: tezko rict, kde je hranice “okázalé spotřeby” a kde se do těch multimiliard počítaj “běžný” businessy. (AB na jednu stranu drtí českó krajinu subvencovanejma monokultura, na druhé straně peče (kolik?) 50% našeho chleba).
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    DZODZO: nedival jsem se, ale ciste z pohledu toho rozlozeni to stoupa masivne az u nejake ultra high net worth osob, nevim ted presne, ale rekneme na koruny miliardari a vejs, podle me to pak dela ta infrastruktura kterou vyuzivaj, tzn private jety, nevim co vic. otazka je, jestli infrastruktura typu private jet musi existovat, jestli lze delat vysokou civilizacni synchronizaci i bez ni, kolik tech letu je lifestylovejch vs pracovnich (dulezitejch pro organizaci civilizace)
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #moreCry

    Bilance četnosti hurikánů přinesla velké překvapení. Z historického hlediska je současnost extrémně klidným obdobím. Od roku 1860, tedy krátce po začátku systematického sledování hurikánů, těchto silných bouří v Atlantiku ubývá a nyní jsou na svém dlouhodobém minimu. V nejrušnějších obdobích bývaly hurikány kolem Baham až osmkrát četnější.

    Opravdu žijeme v době extrémně četných hurikánů? Modré díry vypovídají o opaku – VTM.cz
    https://vtm.zive.cz/clanky/opravdu-zijeme-v-dobe-extremne-cetnych-hurikanu-modre-diry-vypovidaji-o-opaku/sc-870-a-217568/default.aspx
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    TADEAS: hm otazne ci do tych individual emissions zapocitavaju vylozene iba emisie alebo aj nejake offsetovanie, napr. ked bilionar zaplati vyskum carbon-capture technologie, ktora odsaje polovicu jeho emisii alebo posle milion dolarov na sadenie stromov
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    THE_DARKNESS: takový obecnosti, co už víš dávno

    Jak v době globálních klimatických změn zůstat příčetný
    https://denikn.cz/930667/jak-v-dobe-globalnich-klimatickych-zmen-zustat-pricetny/?cst=ff9277b32a7c613204a5254eafb0d6ee4399e370
    THE_DARKNESS
    THE_DARKNESS --- ---
    TADEAS: Generation Dread? V té otevřené části článku není zmíněn název. Nešel by článek odemnkout? resp., jsou v něm nějaká konkrétní doporučení? díky
    L4MA
    L4MA --- ---
    TADEAS: pekne se ta retorika posunula. myslim ze pred trema rokama by "accepting the end of humanity" nebylo vnimano jako konstruktivni element reseni... :)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    As my son choked on bushfire smoke it was clear our most vulnerable are feeling our climate negligence | Nic Seton | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jul/31/as-my-son-choked-on-bushfire-smoke-it-was-clear-our-most-vulnerable-are-feeling-our-climate-negligence
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Jak v době globálních klimatických změn zůstat příčetný
    https://denikn.cz/930667/jak-v-dobe-globalnich-klimatickych-zmen-zustat-pricetny/?ref=inc
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Heatwaves put classic Alpine hiking routes off-limits | Mountaineering | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/31/heatwaves-put-classic-alpine-hiking-routes-off-limits
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