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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    PETER_PAN
    PETER_PAN --- ---
    SHEFIK: Je na to termin "ochota pracovat". Tohle jde dohajzlu vzdy a vsude kde se rozdava. Vsechno tohle fantasirovani popsane nize vzdycky okrade nejvic stredni tridu a ty lidi co maji ochotu pracovat jako moralni background.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Kdyz uz degrowth, tak neprijemne vysoky dane a garantovanou minimalni mzdu. Zadny tisteni penez...

    Problem vsech tehle socialisticky rovnostarskejch konceptu je v tom, ze to sebere lidem motivaci vytvaret v praci pridanou hodnotu, nebo se jakkoliv snazit o zmenu, kdyz ten margin mezi zakladnim vydelkem a tim velkym je vyrazne limitovanej. Dojizdi na tom pravidelne komunismus i vetsina socialistickejch statu, vic prikladu z historie si ani nemuzeme prat.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TUHO: za me je fatalni, ze to ani neni jak vyzkouset v malym. jako ze "prejde na to Skandinavie a ostatni uvidi jak je to fajn a pridaji se". Stat, kterej zdani bohate, se pripravi o bohate (odejdou na Bahamy), natiskne penize, zvysi zdaneni vsech, rozkvete cerna ekonomika, tim prijde jeste o dalsi penize. Nebude prosperovat a nikdo ho nenapodobi

    jako, taky nejsem ekonom.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TUHO: takze nejdriv natisknes penize, cimz plosne zpusobis inflaci, tedy snizis plosne vsem uspory, na ktery vydelavali, cimz zpomalis plosne utraty a dostanes spoustu nizkoprijmovejch do existencni krize, a pak nejakej sektor, kterej docasne vydelal jeste zdanis a seberes mu tak jedinej prostredek distribuce toho plosnyho manka zpet do obehu?

    Plz doporucuju alespon trochu studia zakladni ekonomie.

    Abys tohle ukociroval, skoncis v nejakym pomeru statni sprava 80 : volny trh 20.

    Nasleduji uz jen dobrovolne sebevrazdy.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Me to dava dodcela smysl, kdyz se ty veci budou dit dohromady. Hlavni problem vidim v odporu politicko-ekonomicky silnejch hracu a taky prave nadvladu jistyho druhu ekonomicky imaginace, ktery vychazi z neoliberalni makroekonomie, ktera je dle myho nazoru dost pomatena.

    Kdyz natisknes novy penize, tak ano muze ti prijit inflace, protoze do obehu pridas vic obeziva. Nicmene to zase muzes redukovat tim, ze penize nekde jinde z obehu odeberes - tedy zvysis zdaneni. V situaci, kdy nam dost raketove roste bohatnuti bohatych, tak mi prijde celkem logicky zacist zdanovat ultrabohaty a tisknout penize na to, co je treba .) Samozrejme vsehcno to ma tunu ruznejch komplikaci, ale principialne v tom nevidim nic zasadne problematickyho, ani nic co by se uz v minulosti nedelo.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    YMLADRIS: *podmineny mel byt *nepodmineny :)
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TUHO: jsem laik, ale nejvic mi prijde ten bod na konci, tj. kdyz by se nejakej stat pokusil to zavest, odlije se mu kapital jinam (tj nevybere dane, nezaplati verejny rozpocet atd)

    tj muselo by se to provest soubezne ve vetsine sveta

    pak ty veci na zacatku. kdyz chces aby ti investori investovali do start upu, musis vytvorit duveryhodnou vizi, ze vydelas a oni budou mit podil na zisku. kdo bude investovat do firem, ktere maji jako prioritu enviro benefit. asi jen stat.

    jenomze stat potrebuje vybrat co nejvic tech dani (viz vyse). kdyz poklesne ekonomika, nebude mit na svoje zamestnance (od skolstvi pres armadu polici az u nas na duchody). muze masivne natisknout penize, tim ale zdevalvuje menu, inflace.

    veskere sporeni - napr. penzijni fondy v US - je zalozene na tom, ze tebou ulozene penize budou vydelavat. fond, ktery investuje trochu vic zelene, nema takove vynosy a zkrachuje.

    ta sekce "reseni" jsou spis "jake maji staty nastroje: 1) dane 2) tisk penez 3) snizit spotrebu 4) zmenit pravidla ve sluzbach

    ale vsechno ma problemy, je to zacarovany kruh, snizis pracovni dobu, vyberes min dani, nemas z ceho lidem davat ten podmineny prijem a tak dale

    mi to teda pripada jako dost nerealny. Jednoho dne to urcite bude, ale nevidim co by se muselo stat aby se to nejak implementovalo ted v řádu dekád
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    YMLADRIS: sektor sluzeb se zmeni tak, ze sluzby budou distribuovane tak jak se koncentruji lide.
    Neco jako "obvodni lekar" .. mas tolik lekaru, kolik tam bydli lidi.
    Nekdy je svoboda volby lekare chtena, jiny muze mit vice zkusenosti s tvymi problemy, jindy je jenom zatezujici, napriklad kdyz ma nic netusici pacient jiny za to velmi pevny nazor na terapii.
    Maji se kvuli nespokojenym pacientum schazet komise (na zoomu) nebo se maji nespochokojeni pacienti nechat drandit autem po kraji?
    Pobne dostupnost supermarketu vseho druhu a jinych sluzeb.

    Nejde jenom o cestu ven z mesta, ale i o cestu mezi mestskymi ctvrtemi. Kazda ctvrt ma mit svuj park, svoje lekare i svoje supermarkety.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    HSBC to stop funding new oil and gas fields as part of policy overhaul | Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/hsbc-cut-funding-new-oil-gas-fields-2022-12-14/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Peknej vytah. Ja nejak nechapu, co ti prijde nerealizovatelny.
    Zdanit bohaty? Natisknout penize? Zdanit fosil? Zkratit pracovni dobu? Podpora pro low-income domacnosti? Zmenit sektor sluzeb?
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    also make laurentide ice sheet great again

    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TADEAS: taky jsem si to myslela, alarmista brozkeff psal instantly, asi blbost, ale nevim

    jinak twitter citizen journalism FTW
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global Warming in the Pipeline
    https://mailchi.mp/caa/global-warming-in-the-pipeline

    https://twitter.com/DrJamesEHansen/status/1602682163383914496?s=19
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS:

    There is satellite imagery that the front is in serious trouble. No one has reported it yet, as it happened in early December 2022. Still, the images are posted on Twitter by folks alarmed by the inevitability of collapse who dissect images on NASA’s worldview and post them to Twitter. -
    https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2022/12/9/2140899/-The-fingernails-clinging-onto-Twaites-Glacier-appear-to-be-peeling-off


    ...

    jinak nevim, podle me to zvedne hladinu v radu stovek let, spis ze je to nevratnej proces
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    https://twitter.com/PGDynes/status/1601243136189005824?s=19
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    make the ice age great again
    Abrupt global ocean circulation collapse. Time to start prepping?
    https://youtu.be/j2ETr6X1lOk
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    ten thwaites (upadl mu kus). pochopili jste z toho, nakolik to zrychli roztati, tj kdy maji ty dve stopy zvyseni mori nastat?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    https://twitter.com/PGDynes/status/1601463574739578880?s=19
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #Regenerative #trending

    Věděl bych, jak krajinu víc vytěžit, ale nedělám to, říká zemědělec - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/vedel-bych-jak-krajinu-vic-vytezit-ale-nedelam-to-rika-zemedelec
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    EU becomes first leading economy to legislate for ‘green tariff’ on imports | International trade | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/dec/13/eu-becomes-first-leading-economy-to-legislate-for-green-tariff-on-imports

    In the early hours of Tuesday morning the EU became the first big economy to legislate for a “green tariff” on imports, to be levied on goods that are produced with high carbon dioxide emissions.

    The carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) means that countries which fail to green their industries will soon face a new threat: an effective carbon tax that will penalise those hoping to profit from high-carbon activities, and force them to clean up.

    The system will be applied at first to iron and steel, cement, fertilisers, aluminium, electricity, hydrogen and some chemicals.

    Jozef Síkela, minister of industry and trade of the Czech Republic, who led the negotiations in the EU parliament, said: “The carbon border adjustment mechanism is a key part of our climate action. This mechanism promotes the import of goods by non-EU businesses into the EU which fulfil the high climate standards applicable in the 27 EU member states. This will ensure a balanced treatment of such imports and is designed to encourage our partners in the world to join the EU’s climate efforts.”

    ...

    if all goes according to plan, CBAMs will come into force on a trial basis from next October.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    DEGROWTH NERUST

    mam update k tomu degrowth. jak jsem tu psavala, ze nechapu, jak by to melo fungovat, jak by se to mohlo zavest, jake by to melo parametry atd. tak zrejme to nevi nikdo. nove vysel clanek v nature, zkusim z toho vytipat, co vsechny autori rikaji, ze by se muselo nejak vyresit. jsou to ty namitky, o kterych jsme si tu psali. prijde mi to jako nastolit svetovy mir.

    Nature beru jako top journal, kde netisknou jen tak neco

    zopakovala bych otazku jak si nekdo muze realne myslet, ze by se to fakt nejak nasadilo. (TUHO?) to neni hate, vadi mi kdyz nechapu veci

    Degrowth can work — here’s how science can help
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-04412-x

    problemy (need to address)

    Welfare is often funded by tax revenues.
    Private pension providers rely on stock-market growth for financial returns.
    Firms cite projected growth to attract investors.

    For example, the ‘fiduciary duty’ of company directors needs to be changed. Instead of prioritizing the short-term financial interests of shareholders, companies should prioritize social and environmental benefits and take social and ecological costs into account.

    Sectors such as social care and pensions need secure funding mechanisms for public providers, and better regulation and dismantling of perverse financial incentives for private providers

    For example, if markets are spooked by low growth in one country, some companies might move their capital overseas, which could adversely affect the original country’s currency and increase borrowing costs. Conditions such as these posed severe financial problems for Argentina in 2001 and Greece in 2010.

    co se tyce navrhovanych reseni

    - zdanit foslni odvetvi
    - zdant bohate
    - natisknout penize, ale zaroven
    - nedopustit inflaci
    - a nedostat se do problemu se statnimi dluhy
    - zkratit pracovni dobu, ale
    - zaridit, aby low income lidi nemeli problemy
    - zmenit sektor sluzeb (nepochopila jsem = zni dost utopicky, napr. ze sektor bydleni by nesel na ruku developerum atd, ale zajistil dostupne bydleni pro vsechny aby nemuseli odjizdet ven z mesta)

    problem

    politika = zadny politik si to nedovoli, nema to podporu

    reseni

    - delat pruzkumy, jestli uz jsou na to lidi zrali
    - priklady z transition cities a z Kuby po padu SSSR
    - studovat politicka hnuti
    - Fourth, a better grasp is needed of the political and economic interests that might oppose or support degrowth. For example, how do groups such as the think tanks, corporations, lobbyists and political parties that work to support elite interests organize, nationally and internationally, to scupper progressive economic and social policy? The role of the media in shaping pro-growth attitudes remains underexplored. Given the links between economic growth and geopolitical power, individual nations might be disinclined to act alone, for fear of facing competitive disadvantage, capital flight or international isolation. This ‘first mover’ problem raises the question of whether, and under what conditions, high-income countries might cooperate towards a degrowth transition.

    .. za me, to spis drzim palce te jaderne fuzi. Nevim no.
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam