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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    NYRLEM: kdyz uz sme u tohodle dlouhodobyho mereni teplot na urcitych mistech, pocita se nejak i s tim, ze se v tech mistech meni okoli a prostredi? (heat islands say hello) predpokladam, ze pred dveste lety nebyla u klementina asfaltka a praha asi vypadala trosku jinak atp, takze bych automaticky, cekal, ze tam ted budou merit vyssi teploty nez driv...

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    NYRLEM: instrumentalni mereni jsou cca do roku 1750 max. ale pote mas hromady proxy dat statisice i miliony let nazpet
    NYRLEM
    NYRLEM --- ---
    TADEAS: to je preci uplna kravina, za jakou domu ma okamzita mereni? Tady Klementinum ..

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Trochu obecneji o jadru

    After a tsunami destroyed the cooling system at Japan's Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, triggering a meltdown, protesters around the world challenged the use of nuclear power. Germany announced it would close its plants by 2022. Although the ills of fossil fuels are better understood than ever, the threat of climate change has never aroused the same visceral dread or swift action. Spencer Weart dissects this paradox, demonstrating that a powerful web of images surrounding nuclear energy holds us captive, allowing fear, rather than facts, to drive our thinking and public policy.Building on his classic, Nuclear Fear, Weart follows nuclear imagery from its origins in the symbolism of medieval alchemy to its appearance in film and fiction. Long before nuclear fission was discovered, fantasies of the destroyed planet, the transforming ray, and the white city of the future took root in the popular imagination. At the turn of the twentieth century when limited facts about radioactivity became known, they produced a blurred picture upon which scientists and the public projected their hopes and fears. These fears were magnified during the Cold War, when mushroom clouds no longer needed to be imagined; they appeared on the evening news. Weart examines nuclear anxiety in sources as diverse as Alain Resnais's film Hiroshima Mon Amour, Cormac McCarthy's novel The Road, and the television show The Simpsons.Recognizing how much we remain in thrall to these setpieces of the imagination, Weart hopes, will help us resist manipulation from both sides of the nuclear debate.


    The Rise of Nuclear Fear - Spencer R. Weart - Google Knihy
    https://books.google.sk/books?id=9KBD-YrGOVkC&redir_esc=y
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    konecne poradny pocasicko

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    E Jacobson
    https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1678727804110905344?s=19

    The 7 hottest days on Earth in the last 100,000+ years all happened in the last week:

    July 6 ~ 17.23°C / 63.01°F
    July 7 ~ 17.20°C / 62.96°F
    July 4 ~ 17.18°C / 62.93°F
    July 5 ~ 17.18°C / 62.92°F
    July 8 ~ 17.17°C / 62.90°F
    July 10 ~ 17.12°C / 62.81°F
    July 9 ~ 17.11°C / 62.79°F
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    This article contributes to the study of climate debates online by examining how the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (SR15) played out on YouTube following its release in October 2018. We examined features of 40 videos that ranked the highest in YouTube’s search engine over the course of four weeks after the publication of the report. Additionally, this study examines the shifting visibility of the videos, the nature of the channels that published them and the way in which they articulated the issue of climate change. We found that media activity around SR15 was animated by a mix of professional and user-led channels, with the former enjoying higher and more stable visibility in YouTube ranking. We identified four main recurrent themes: disaster and impacts, policy options and solutions, political and ideological struggles around climate change and contested science. The discussion of policy options and solutions was particularly prominent. Critiques of the SR15 report took different forms: as well as denialist videos which downplayed the severity of climate change, there were also several clips which criticized the report for underestimating the extent of warming or overestimating the feasibility of proposed policies.

    “We only have 12 years”: YouTube and the IPCC report on global warming of 1.5ºC | First Monday
    https://firstmonday.org/ojs/index.php/fm/article/view/10112
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    tak jaky ekosystem lidi jeste nezkurvili....
    Humans reach a new low. Literally!
    https://youtu.be/t_w1Mj0Hsr4
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Narcis jako řešení. Jeho extrakt v krmivu krav redukuje metan, zjistili vědci - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/narcisy-udrzitelny-chov-hospodarskych-zvirat.A230710_135509_eko-zahranicni_rie

    Narcisy by mohly být řešením udržitelnějšího chovu hospodářských zvířat, především pak skotu. Přidáním extraktu z květů těchto rostlin do krmiva se totiž podle vědců obsah metanu v umělých kravských žaludcích snížil o 96 procent. Tým odborníků ze skotské zemědělské univerzity nyní doufá, že u skutečných krav by se produkce metanu mohla snížit o nejméně 30 procent, informoval zpravodajský web Sky News.

    ...

    Odhaduje se, že polovina emisí metanu v Británii pochází od krav a celosvětově produkují hospodářská zvířata přibližně 14 procent světových emisí skleníkových plynů.
    RADIQAL
    RADIQAL --- ---
    A zitra hvezdna debata. Jen nevim jestli GMT nebo CET (5/7pm)

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    FlightRadar24
    https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=701365238697264&id=100064713814989

    Yesterday was the busiest day for commercial aviation that we’ve ever tracked. We tracked 134,386 commercial flights on 6 July and today is shaping up to be another busy day. More than 20,000 flights are in the air right now.

    FB-IMG-1688909701996
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Heatwave last summer killed 61,000 people in Europe, research finds | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/10/heatwave-last-summer-killed-61000-people-in-europe-research-finds
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    King Charles meets Joe Biden in Windsor to discuss climate crisis | Joe Biden | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/10/king-charles-joe-biden-discuss-climate-crisis

    The visit to Windsor Castle for tea was said to be a reflection of the US president’s appreciation of the seriousness with which King Charles took the climate crisis.

    Along with his climate envoy, John Kerry, and the UK energy secretary, Grant Shapps, Biden met executives and philanthropists for a private discussion on climate finance for the world’s poorest countries.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Abstract—In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading 43 years of hourly global weather data from the 5th generation of ECMWF reanalysis (ERA5) data and train a few deep neural networks with about 256 million parameters in total. The spatial resolution of forecast is 0.25◦ × 0.25◦, comparable to the ECMWF Integrated Forecast Systems (IFS). More importantly, for the first time, an AI-based method outperforms state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods in terms of accuracy (latitude-weighted RMSE and ACC) of all factors (e.g., geopotential, specific humidity, wind speed, temperature, etc.) and in all time ranges (from one hour to one week). There are two key strategies to improve the prediction accuracy: (i) designing a 3D Earth Specific Transformer (3DEST) architecture that formulates the height (pressure level) information into cubic data, and (ii) applying a hierarchical temporal aggregation algorithm to alleviate cumulative forecast errors. In deterministic forecast, Pangu-Weather shows great advantages for short to medium-range forecast (i.e., forecast time ranges from one hour to one week). Pangu-Weather supports a wide range of downstream forecast scenarios, including extreme weather forecast (e.g., tropical cyclone tracking) and large-member ensemble forecast in real-time. Pangu-Weather not only ends the debate on whether AI-based methods can surpass conventional NWP methods, but also reveals novel directions for improving deep learning weather forecast systems.e
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    hm, tak to sem zvedavej…

    Pangu-Weather je prvním AI predikčním modelem, který prokázal vyšší přesnost než tradiční numerické metody předpovědi počasí. Umožňuje zvýšit rychlost předpovědi 10.000krát a zkrátit tak dobu předpovědi globálního počasí na pouhé sekundy. Článek s názvem „Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks" (Přesná globální střednědobá předpověď počasí pomocí 3D neuronových sítí)" předkládá nezávislé ověření těchto jeho vlastností.

    Prestižní vědecký časopis Nature publikoval článek o AI modelu Pangu Weather, který vytvořili odborníci ze společnosti HUAWEI CLOUD | ČeskéNoviny.cz
    https://www.ceskenoviny.cz/pr/zpravy/prestizni-vedecky-casopis-nature-publikoval-clanek-o-ai-modelu-pangu-weather-ktery-vytvorili-odbornici-ze-spolecnosti-huawei-cloud/2387641
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    Neznal jsem .. a to jsem tento vikend kosil travu na 5 cm ..

    Intersucho
    https://www.intersucho.cz/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #doomed

    Catastrophic climate 'doom loops' could start in just 15 years, new study warns | Live Science
    https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/catastrophic-climate-doom-loops-could-start-in-just-15-years-new-study-warns

    According to the researchers, most tipping-point studies build the math in their models to focus on one predominant driver of collapse, for example deforestation in the Amazon rainforest. However, ecosystems aren't contending with just one problem but rather a swarm of destabilizing factors that compound one another. For example, the Amazon also faces rising temperatures, soil degradation, water pollution and water stress.

    To investigate how these elements interact and whether these interactions can, in fact, hasten a system's demise, the scientists behind the new study built computer models of two lake and two forest ecosystems (including one which modeled the collapse of civilization on Easter Island) and ran them more than 70,000 times while adjusting the variables throughout.

    Our main finding from four ecological models was that ecosystems could collapse 30-80% earlier depending on the nature of additional stress," co-author John Dearing, a professor of physical geography at Southampton University in the U.K. told Live Science in an email. "So if previous tipping points were forecast for 2100 (i.e. 77 years from now) we are suggesting these could happen 23 to 62 years earlier depending on the nature of the stresses."
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    4000 Scenarios For A Climate Turnaround - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2023/07/06/4000-scenarios-for-a-climate-turnaround/

    Additionally, the IPCC calculations focused solely on the impact of technology choices on the climate, disregarding uncertainties in climate models, the relationship between climate and economic growth, population trends, and policy measures. “The significant contribution of our research is enabling policymakers to make informed decisions on climate action while fully understanding the existing uncertainties,” explains co-author Brian Ó Gallachóir from University College Cork.

    Incorporating 18 Uncertainty Factors & Analyzing 72,000 Variables
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Shell boss under fire for saying cutting fossil fuel production is ‘dangerous’ | Shell | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/06/shell-boss-under-fire-for-saying-cutting-fossil-fuel-production-is-dangerous-wael-sawan-climate
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