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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    gaspard koenig


    Gaspard Koenig, philosopher: "The ecological transformation of our imagination is underway, and it is irreversible."
    https://archive.is/fapp1

    Today, the concepts of habitability, rewilding, and coexistence with non-human living beings are gaining ground. As anthropologist Philippe Descola puts it, "We have won." All avant-garde movements, whether scientific, literary, or activist, are moving in this direction. The 20th century is taking its time to die. Its agony is unbearable and convulsive, but it is doomed.

    The agroecological transition is key. Agricultural land currently covers half of France's surface area and a third of the Earth's land surface. While we can always add greenery to cities, the majority of the decline in biodiversity, and conversely, the potential for regeneration, stems from our fields and countryside.

    We must therefore rethink our relationship with humus. We must lower our gaze from the sky to the earth. Living soil is a reservoir of biodiversity, a sponge for water, a carbon sink, a diverse landscape, and even a healthy microbiota. Visually, it also means moving away from a monochrome and orthonormal aesthetic (yellow wheat, blue sky, straight lines) to appreciate a more anarchic beauty, that of spontaneous order. Finally, philosophically, it is a way to allow different species, including our own, to coexist. This is why our century must be physiocratic: the true source of wealth is the earth. By reinventing agriculture, we will simultaneously rethink society.

    It's too simplistic to think that abolishing capitalism would solve all our problems. Extractive industries predate and far surpass our current neoliberal madness. The Romans polluted their environment with lead, medieval peasants cleared land in unsustainable ways, and Soviet regimes were among the least respectful of nature. Our tendency to overexploit our environment is inherent in our humanity, even in our animal nature. As biologist Marc-André Selosse explains, deer grazing on young shoots or macaques gorging themselves on shellfish are simply responding to the dictates of natural evolution: short-term self-interest.
    We must therefore decouple the ecological question from that of the economic system. We are seeing the emergence of a kind of ecological socialism in China. We, for our part, can invent a liberalism constrained by planetary limits, as John Stuart Mill [1806-1873] already envisioned in the mid-19th century .

    Rather than relying on the goodwill of large corporations through corporate social responsibility, policymakers must establish rules or fiscal mechanisms that force the market to remain static. The circular economy and regenerative agriculture are good examples. It is perfectly possible to conceive of market exchanges without growth, by respecting a golden rule: only do what you know how to undo. Rather than vainly dreaming of transforming human nature, it is better to establish a system of incentives that harness its worst vices for the common good.

    I remain committed to defending the ideal of a society that is free, open, and ecological. First and foremost, there is one heartening certainty: life will emerge victorious from all climate and ecological crises. In a few million years—a mere trifle on the scale of natural evolution—ecosystems will have regenerated, and our mistakes will be forgiven.
    In the shorter term, we can clearly see the titanic struggle unfolding between two visions: that of artificial intelligence and that of living organisms. It is up to us to prove that the ecological project is not only more sustainable, but also more desirable. However, let's not fight the wrong battle. It is only when public opinion has shifted that political parties will finally take the environment seriously. The various doctrines can then be rebuilt on this foundation.


    RENCONTRE AVEC #40 GASPARD KOENIG - Réconcilier nature et liberté
    https://youtu.be/rELlFaCPsgU?si=ueNWHODEALPvzoih



    Gaspard Kœnig : Comment j’ai arrêté de croire au progrès technique - En Société du 21 juin 2026
    https://youtu.be/0C9ebqolvmc?si=7rtOgM0svgBXTfmj
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---


    A ‘super’ El Niño could transform the Amazon. Is the world’s biggest rainforest doomed? | Nature
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-02449-w
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed . Budu se opakovat, ale ten vyvoj me presvedcuje, ze si ty nasledky jako lidstvo proste zaslouzime. Nouze naucila Dalibira housti

    Jedeme dal. Sice dochazi leckde pitna voda, reky vysychaji, jaderny elektrarny jsou odstavovany, teplota stredozemniho more ma 31*C, heatwave pokracuje v Evrope i USA, hori Letna, monzunovy deste kolem rovniku slabnou, permafrost plnej metanu v Gronsku a na Sibiri roztava, povrchova teplota oceanu je na rekordu, co2 prysti z novejch plynovek u datacenter, ale trhy nezastavis, poroste to donekonecna, protoze AI je reseni na vsechny soucasny problemy.

    ...

    A consortium of Private Equity firms are putting together a deal to lend Nvidia $500B

    Apollo, Blackstone, Blackrock, Brookfield, Goldman and KKR are involved, in what is arguably is the largest financing deal ever on Wall Street.

    ...

    The Financial Times first reported it, citing people briefed on the talks. Reuters, WSJ, and Bloomberg have independently confirmed via sources familiar with the matter.

    It's a consortium (Apollo, Blackstone, BlackRock GIP, Brookfield, Goldman, KKR) working with Nvidia to assemble a ~$500B funding package for AI infrastructure build-out (chips, power, data centers). Not a simple direct $500B loan to Nvidia. No official company statements yet; deal could be announced soon.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    Zachránili jsme ozonovou vrstvu. Náhradní chladiva ale přinesla problém věčné kyseliny – National Geographic
    https://www.nationalgeographic.cz/veda/nahradni-chladiva-freony-kyselina-tfa-znecisteni/

    Látky poškozující ozonovou vrstvu, zejména freony, začal svět po Montrealském protokolu postupně vyřazovat. Jejich náhrady – hlavně některá fluorovaná chladiva a také vybrané anestetické plyny – se v atmosféře mění na látku, která se v prostředí prakticky nerozkládá. Nová studie odhaduje, že mezi lety 2000 a 2022 se jí z těchto zdrojů na zemský povrch uložilo přes 335 000 tun.

    Od arktických ledovců po lidskou krev: kyselina trifluoroctová je přítomna všude na Zemi. Vědci z Lancasteru nyní ukazují, že významnou část globální depozice TFA – a patrně hlavní část jejího nárůstu v Arktidě – lze vysvětlit rozkladem náhrad freonů (CFC) a některých anestetik.

    Každý rok dopadá na povrch Země déšť, který nezanechává viditelné stopy. Přichází s obyčejnou srážkovou vodou, usazuje se v oceánech, prosakuje do půdy, mizí v arktickém ledu. Vědci tomuto procesu říkají depozice – látka „vypadne“ z atmosféry a usadí se v prostředí. Jednou uložená v prostředí se v běžných přírodních podmínkách prakticky nerozkládá a může se dlouhodobě hromadit zejména ve vodním prostředí. Kyselina trifluoroctová (TFA) patří mezi tzv. věčné chemikálie: látky tak chemicky stabilní, že v přírodě prakticky neexistuje mechanismus schopný jejich molekuly rozložit. Hromadí se rok od roku, bez úniku. A podle nové studie publikované v časopise Geophysical Research Letters je za její globální šíření z velké části odpovědné něco nečekaného – chladiva, která měla zachránit ozonovou vrstvu.

    ...

    Evropská agentura pro chemické látky TFA označuje za škodlivou pro vodní organismy – podobně jako jiné PFAS může narušovat ekosystémy jezer a řek. Německé úřady v roce 2025 navrhly harmonizovanou klasifikaci TFA jako látky toxické pro reprodukci, kategorie 1B. Německé úřady zároveň upozorňují, že klasifikace popisuje nebezpečnou vlastnost látky, nikoli sama o sobě skutečné riziko při konkrétní úrovni expozice. Právě proto je klíčové dlouhodobé sledování koncentrací TFA ve vodě, potravinách a biologických vzorcích. TFA byla detekována v lidské krvi i moči. Co to znamená pro zdraví? Vědci varují: TFA se hromadí rok od roku, a naměřené množství v prostředí nemusí být bezpečné navždy.

    Dr. Stefan Reimann, jehož výzkumný tým ve Švýcarsku soustavně sleduje atmosférické koncentrace F-plynů produkujících TFA, potvrdil, že jde o globálně konzistentní obraz: „Ve všech regionech, kde jsou k dispozici měření TFA, se rýsuje shodný obraz rostoucích atmosférických koncentrací a depozice na zemský povrch. Tato studie je výjimečná tím, že poprvé kombinuje všechny důležité zdroje atmosférické TFA v globálním měřítku. S rostoucím využíváním HFO bude akumulace TFA ve vodních útvarech potenciálně narůstat, a bez dlouhodobého sledování prostě nevíme, kam míříme."
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    As of the Feb. 2026 CERES data release, the 36-month running mean for Earth albedo hit yet another new record low, now down to 28.669%.

    February's record marks the 9th consecutive new record monthly low.

    https://x.com/i/status/2049509847025242304
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    “We find that, since 2003, the decrease of cloudiness has been responsible for half of the increase of Earth’s energy imbalance. Analysing the drivers of global changes to cloud cover, we find that the decrease in cloudiness over the past two decades has been primarily driven by humans, rather than being caused by natural variations in Earth’s climate…

    Our research finds that about 40% of the low-level cloud decrease since 2003 was driven by warming of the ocean surface – in other words, the cloud feedback process. This is followed by the effects of greenhouse gases (21%) and aerosols (14%).”

    Guest post: How declining cloudiness is accelerating global warming - Carbon Brief
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-declining-cloudiness-is-accelerating-global-warming/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    The ocean is depleting of marine life declined by 81% between 1970 & 2020, including 91% in Latin America & 75% in Europe.

    This major of a decline in migratory fish should a defining wake-up call that action to protect ocean life is paramount.

    New report warns of massive decline in freshwater fish populations and threat to livelihoods - Swansea University
    https://www.swansea.ac.uk/press-office/news-events/news/2020/09/new-report-warns-of-massive-decline-in-freshwater-fish-populations-and-threat-to-livelihoods-.php
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    Rakety znečišťují horní vrstvy atmosféry. Hromadí se tam lithium a hliník a poškozují ozonovou vrstvu – VTM.cz
    https://vtm.zive.cz/clanky/rakety-znecistuji-horni-vrstvy-atmosfery-hromadi-se-tam-lithium-a-hlinik-a-poskozuji-ozonovou-vrstvu/sc-870-a-239817/default.aspx

    - Odborníci detekovali v atmosféře obrovské množství lithia z vyhořelé rakety
    - Odpařený hliník navíc poškozuje ozonovou vrstvu a zhoršuje oteplování
    - Raketový boom a budování obřích satelitních sítí celou situaci zhoršují
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    ATMOSPHERIC METHANE INCREASED BY FACTOR 2.7
    Atmospheric methane continues to increase rapidly.
    NASA, May 2025: 1934 ppb. A huge 2.7 fold increase
    climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/me…

    https://x.com/PCarterClimate/status/1971464888024432878?t=WcY79LjHleR1DxjHjr2JKQ&s=19
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu seriozne #doomed

    Major reversal in ocean circulation detected in the Southern Ocean, with key climate implications | Institut de Ciències del Mar
    https://www.icm.csic.es/en/news/major-reversal-ocean-circulation-detected-southern-ocean-key-climate-implications?

    “We are witnessing a true reversal of ocean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere—something we’ve never seen before,” explains Antonio Turiel, ICM-CSIC researcher and co-author of the study. “While the world is debating the potential collapse of the AMOC in the North Atlantic, we’re seeing that the SMOC is not just weakening, but has reversed. This could have unprecedented global climate impacts.”

    According to the research team, the consequences of this reversal are already becoming visible. The upwelling of deep, warm, CO₂-rich waters is believed to be driving the accelerated melting of sea ice in the Southern Ocean. In the long term, this process could double current atmospheric CO₂ concentrations by releasing carbon that has been stored in the deep ocean for centuries—potentially with catastrophic consequences for the global climate.
    ...
    “The new processor has allowed us to obtain surface salinity data of unprecedented quality in this region,” explains Verónica González. “Thanks to this improvement, we can now provide a coherent explanation for the rapid Antarctic sea ice loss that had puzzled the scientific community.”
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    Massive methane leaks detected in Antarctica, posing potential risks for global warming | Climate | EL PAÍS English
    https://english.elpais.com/climate/2025-02-12/massive-methane-leaks-detected-in-antarctica-posing-potential-risks-for-global-warming.html

    Scientists have found enormous columns of methane gas leaking into the atmosphere from Antarctica, with the potential for further leaks amounting to the sum total of what humanity emits over two years.

    ...

    A team of Spanish scientists exploring the Antarctic seabed has detected “massive emissions” of methane, a gas with a capacity to warm the planet around 30 times greater than carbon dioxide (CO₂). The researchers, on board the ship Sarmiento de Gamboa, have observed columns of methane in the ocean up to 700 meters long and 70 meters wide, according to the geologists Ricardo León and Roger Urgeles, leaders of the expedition, in statements to EL PAÍS. These previously unknown emissions could potentially represent an environmental bomb for the planet’s climate.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Novy data k AMOC collapse, vcetne pre-printu. Z cyklu #doomed

    "We conclude that a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation cannot be considered a low-probability event anymore." - Prof. Sybren Drijfhout et al.

    x.com
    https://x.com/ThierryAaron/status/1849842823954346187?t=XNLPa8bTOQZtPjDlQiJ3Sg&s=19

    A cerstvy summary z guardianu

    ‘We don’t know where the tipping point is’: climate expert on potential collapse of Atlantic circulation | Oceans | The Guardian
    https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/23/we-dont-know-where-the-tipping-point-is-climate-expert-on-potential-collapse-of-atlantic-circulation
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tipping point reached. Z cyklu #doomed

    Surging Methane Emissions Could Be a Sign of a Major Climate Shift - Inside Climate News
    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/28082024/surging-methane-emissions-major-climate-shift/

    A 2021 pledge by more than 100 nations to cut methane emissions from anthropogenic sources 30 percent by 2030 might not slow global warming as much as projected, as new research shows that feedbacks in the climate system are boosting methane emissions from natural sources, especially tropical wetlands.

    A new trouble spot is in the Arctic, where scientists recently found unexpectedly large methane emissions in winter. And globally, the increase in water vapor caused by global warming is slowing the rate at which methane breaks down in the atmosphere. If those feedbacks intensify, scientists said, it could outpace efforts to cut methane from fossil fuel and other human sources.
    MINER
    MINER --- ---
    SHEFIK: Na to je právě potřeba porovnat ten dopad.

    Ty chaty zásobují komplet, nejen pivem, ale všim. Jinak by tam nikdo nenavečeřel a tedy ani nechodil. Jsou tam od konce devatenáctýho století.
    Jasně, můžeme všechno zavřít a všichni zůstat doma a nic nedělat.
    V případě Zermattu by to mimo jiné zrušilo celé město a ekonomiku a zaměstnanost regionu, protože ty lidi tam jezdí kvůli tomu.
    To taky můžem vypnout počítače, protože taky žerou energii.

    Cokoliv člověk dělá, produkuje emise. Ani jídlo neumíme zajistit bez emisí.

    Chápu tvojí výhradu, že si myslíš, že je to waste, ale je právě potřeba posoudit ten vliv.
    Je tohle fakt tak emisně náročné? Pokud je to vostrej emisní zářez, asi to stojí za to řešit a zrušit celý region. Pokud ne, asi je lepší zaměřit se jinam.
    Ty chaty se zásobujou fakt ± tak jednou týdně. I když má vrtulník velké emise na km, děje se to málo často.

    Doomed jsme, pokud nejsme schopni vyřešit ty velké problémy.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    MINER: tady nebyla vubec pointa co se vyplati vic z pohledu emisi, i kdyz si myslim ze vic sezere porad ta helikoptera. Pointou bylo, ze si lide proste musi dat to toceny pivo i ve spatne pristupnych mistech. Co dal? Vezmem soudek do vesmiru?

    Je to nesmyslna, primo idiotska alokace resources, v relaci k nejakym prinosum lidstva (vcetne ohledu na efektivitu). Tohle je presne to, co nas zene do chrtanu klimaticke zmeny plnou parou

    Dokud si tohle lidi nezacnou uvedomovat, tak jsme porad na ceste k #doomed

    ...

    Uz vubec nebudu komentovat zakaz zasobovani autem (klidne elektromobilem) a povoleni vrtulnikem na mistech pristupnych.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    BP imposes hiring freeze and halts new offshore wind projects | BP | The Guardian
    https://amp.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/27/bp-imposes-hiring-freeze-and-halts-new-offshore-wind-projects

    New boss Murray Auchincloss reverses move away from fossil fuels, which had weighed on company’s share price

    The head of BP has imposed a hiring freeze and halted new offshore wind projects, in an apparent attempt to placate investors who are unhappy with the oil company’s green targets.
    ...
    Looney, who had committed BP to some of the industry’s greenest climate goals, was ousted last September for failing to disclose relationships with colleagues.

    The decision to slow BP’s green ambitions has stoked concerns that Looney’s plan to move the company away from fossil fuels, with a pledge to “become a net zero company by 2050 or sooner”, may soon be derailed.

    BP has come under pressure from shareholders over its green targets because some renewable projects have proved more costly than expected, and profits from oil and gas have soared after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine more than two years ago.

    In response, the company set out plans earlier this year to cut oil and gas production by just 25% between 2019 and 2030 – well short of its previous target of a 40% reduction over the same timeframe.
    ...
    Earlier this month BP’s rival Shell set out its own plans to scale back its green growth ambitions, reducing the number of staff working on low-carbon solutions by about 200 roles while shifting the focus towards high-profit oil projects and expanding its gas business.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    How the rise of C. auris was inevitable | Live Science
    https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/microbiology/the-most-critically-harmful-fungi-to-humans-how-the-rise-of-c-auris-was-inevitable

    Fifteen years ago, scientists discovered a new species of deadly, drug-resistant fungus: Candida auris. It is now considered one of the most dangerous fungal pathogens on Earth. In this excerpt from "What if Fungi Win?" (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2024), author Arturo Casadevall looks at the rise of this deadly fungus, which could be the first to have emerged as a result of climate change.

    ...

    And C. auris laid low for a while, remaining an obscure unknown yeast in most parts of the planet — until it was found in hospitalized patients in all corners of the world, at roughly the same time. Strikingly, between 2012 and 2015, doctors in South Africa, Venezuela and on the Indian subcontinent simultaneously reported treating patients severely ill with what turned out to be C. auris infections (remember, no one had heard of this fungal species a few years earlier).

    With no contact or commonalities between them, these C. auris cases had appeared independently on three dif­ferent continents, with each fungus genetically distinct from the others.

    ...

    It quickly became clear that this fungus was remarkably resistant to treatment. More than one in three patients with invasive C. auris infections in their blood were dying. In hospitals where this invasive fungal disease had been nonexistent, it was now a significant cause of death.

    To this day, C. auris remains mostly resistant to the antifungal treatments we have at our disposal, so once patients (and hospitals) become infected, it's nearly impossible to get rid of. Usually, doctors diagnose fungal infections after ruling out other sources, say, when a hospitalized patient has a fever that doesn't go away after treatment with antibiotics. Blood tests will likely indicate high white blood cell counts, another sign of an infection, but doctors often can't tell what type of microbe is doing the damage — or necessarily know how to treat it.

    ...

    It could do this because, as doctors would learn, it can colonize human skin, last for weeks on surfaces and tolerate heavy-duty hospital disinfectants. Some hospitals have reported finding C. auris spores lingering in hospital rooms long after a patient was discharged or died, even after other fungal species have been eliminated by cleaning agents. C. auris didn't just stay overseas.

    ...

    Within a decade of it being identified, C. auris was killing people in 40 countries on six continents. We don't have exact numbers, as many cases go unreported or unrecognized, but the figure is certainly in the thousands. In the US alone, there were more than 2,000 infections in 27 states

    ...

    Body temperature may have long protected us from fungus, but we would quickly learn that C. auris was dif­ferent. Unlike most of its fungal cousins, it can grow at temperatures as high as 42 degrees Celsius (107.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

    ...

    "Global warming could have a significant effect on fungal populations," we wrote. "First, a warmer climate could change the distribution of heat-tolerant and susceptible species by favoring those that are more thermotolerant, and by creating conditions for more environmental fungi to spread and enter into closer contact with human populations. Second, under strong selective pressure, the prevalence of species adapted to heat tolerance may increase."

    It wasn't a matter of if fungi would adapt to temperatures high enough that they could threaten humans, we warned, but when.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    :: OSEL.CZ :: - Další zdroj CO2 s kterým se nepočítalo
    https://www.osel.cz/13309-dalsi-zdroj-co2-s-kterym-se-nepocitalo.html

    V nejnovějším čísle časopisu Frontiers in Marine Science jsou uveřejněny výsledky studie zaměřené na uvolňování uhlíku do atmosféry následkem lovu ryb. Pokud má Trisha Brooke Atwoodová z University státu Utah pravdu, tak vlečení sítí po dně víří usazeniny tak mocně, že se znovu dává do koloběhu uhlík, který by jinak zůstal umrtven v kalu dna. Tisícileté usazeniny pohřbeného uhlíku se následně v podobě oteplovacího plynu uvolňuj do atmosféry.
    ...
    Týká se hlavně sítí o rozměrech fotbalového hřiště a větších. Jsou ve tvaru tašky a táhnou se podél dna oceánu.
    ...
    Pokud má tým Atwoodové z Utah State University a jejích kolegů z NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Columbia University, University of California a James Cook University pravdu, tak vlečení sítí po dně v letech 1996–2020 uvolňovalo v celosvětovém měřítku do atmosféry ročně až 0,34–0,37 Pg CO2. (1 Pg = 1 petagram = 1015 gramů = 1 miliarda tun). Řádově má jít o ekvivalent emisí všech leteckých společností. Nemilé na tom je, že se situace rok od roku dál zhoršuje.
    ...
    Necelá polovina ze sítěmi „vyprodukovaného“ CO2 má zůstávat ve vodě v podobě kyseliny uhličité s nežádoucím okyselením mořské vody. Do atmosféry se podle vědců neplánovaně vzniklého oxidu oxidu uhličitého uvolní 55 - 60 % během 7 - 9 let. Jsou-li kalkulace mezinárodního týmu složeného z ekologů, fyziků, geologů a matematiků správné, tak z toho plyne, že prognostickému modelování klimatu se v rozmezí několika měsíců dostalo další ťafky. Nedávno totiž vrásky na čele klimatickým inženýrům přidělal poznatek z boreálních lesů. Nechovají se tak, jak se od nich očekávalo
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    popotajem

    Rapid ice melt in west Antarctica now inevitable, research shows | Polar regions | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/23/rapid-ice-melt-in-west-antarctica-now-inevitable-research-shows

    Accelerated ice melt in west Antarctica is inevitable for the rest of the century no matter how much carbon emissions are cut, research indicates. The implications for sea level rise are “dire”, scientists say, and mean some coastal cities may have to be abandoned.

    The ice sheet of west Antarctica would push up the oceans by 5 metres if lost completely. Previous studies have suggested it is doomed to collapse over the course of centuries, but the new study shows that even drastic emissions cuts in the coming decades will not slow the melting.

    The analysis shows the rate of melting of the floating ice shelves in the Amundsen Sea will be three times faster this century compared with the previous century, even if the world meets the most ambitious Paris agreement target of keeping global heating below 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

    Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century | Nature Climate Change
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01818-x
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