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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Trocha horkych zajmavosti

    BREAKING: Hottest Day On Record 3rd Day In A Row — Global Heating Is Here - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2024/07/25/breaking-hottest-day-on-record-3rd-day-in-a-row-global-heating-is-here/

    Already back in May, Reuters reported, “Meteorologists say a weather phenomenon known as a ‘heat dome’ ‌has trapped hot air over the southern Gulf of Mexico and northern Central America, causing temperatures to soar to 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit) in some areas. Between May 12 and May 21, authorities said 22 people died from heat-related causes, adding to a total of 48 deaths since March 17. In comparison, during the same period in 2022 and 2023, heat waves claimed the lives of two and three people, respectively.”

    ...

    Meanwhile, over in Delhi, India, the capital city of famously hot India set a new heat record in May, before summer officially arrived, reaching 52.3 degrees Celsius (Fahrentheit)! “The highest temperature ever recorded in India has been recorded.

    ...

    And down in Venezuela, the country lost its last glacier — in early May.

    ...

    Then, this past Sunday, the world — the Earth as a whole — reached its hottest day on record. But that was short lived, as the record was broken again the next day, on Monday.

    ...

    Temperatures in Fairbanks, Alaska, were forecast to hit 90 degrees Fahrenheit (32 degrees Celsius) yesterday. Earlier in July, Las Vegas “saw five straight days with a high temperature of 115 degrees Fahrenheit or more, breaking the old record of four consecutive days set in July 2005, per The Guardian. It also hit a record high of 120 degrees on July 7.”

    ...

    June was the 13th month in a row to set a new heat record for the month. We can be sure July will be the 14th month in a row.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    New Delhi recorded its highest temperature ever on Wednesday — 126 degrees Fahrenheit, or 52.3 degrees Celsius. For weeks now, temperatures in several Indian states have been well over 110, and hospitals have been reporting a rise in heatstroke.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/29/world/asia/india-delhi-hottest-day-ever.html?smtyp=cur&smid=bsky-nytime
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    April Heat Waves from Gaza to the Philippines Were Made Worse by Climate Change | Scientific American
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/april-heat-waves-from-gaza-to-the-philippines-were-made-worse-by-climate/

    Extreme heat has left hundreds of millions of people sweltering in record-breaking temperatures above 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) over the past few weeks across a broad swath of Asia. From the Palestinian territories in the west to India, Thailand and the Philippines to the east, scorching conditions have caused at least dozens of deaths, ruined crops and forced thousands of school closures. Relentless heat waves have worsened the already precarious conditions for those living in refugee camps and in makeshift housing in dense urban areas. And the 1.2 degrees C of warming the world has already experienced has significantly cranked up such events’ severity, a new analysis shows.
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    SHEFIK: i jaro není co bývalo

    India saw a 55% rise in deaths due to extreme heat between 2000-2004 and 2017-2021, a recent study published in the medical journal, The Lancet, has found.

    Exposure to heat also caused a loss of 167.2 billion potential labour hours among Indians in 2021, the study noted.

    This, it adds, resulted in loss of incomes equivalent to about 5.4% of the country's GDP.

    India has faced increasingly intense heatwaves in recent years.

    India heatwave: High temperatures killing more Indians now, Lancet study finds
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-63384167
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    Reportedly zacalo horiet na Den Zeme

    Toxic smoke from burning garbage mountain blankets India’s capital | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/ghazipur-landfill-delhi-fire-toxic-smoke-b2532597.html
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    “The whole climate discourse is elite. It comes out of universities and from scientists, and is centred on the West. What about fishermen in India? They understand climate change. Many of us trust scientists but, as we saw in the pandemic, there is also scepticism about who these people are, telling us how to live our lives. The voices of fishermen carry credibility too.”

    Ghosh cited Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 Paris Agreement, and George W Bush’s withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol, as examples of Western nationalism hindering climate action. But he also pointed to the way poorer nations use nationalism as an argument against decarbonisation: why should they curb growth when the West has profited at their expense? For these nations climate action “is not about the future, but about the past”, he said.

    “When you come from a poor country such as India, you learn not to listen to what politicians say, but to look at what they do. Politicians around the world talk a good game, but they are basically preparing for war. Climate change is essentially becoming an all-out war and this is just the beginning.

    Amitav Ghosh: “Climate change is becoming an all-out war” - New Statesman
    https://www.newstatesman.com/environment/2022/10/amitav-ghosh-climate-change-war
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Revealed: the 1,200 big methane leaks from waste dumps trashing the planet | Greenhouse gas emissions | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/12/revealed-the-1200-big-methane-leaks-from-waste-dumps-trashing-the-planet

    Scientists have said emissions from unmanaged landfills could double by 2050 as urban populations grow, blowing the chance of avoiding climate catastrophe.

    A total of 1,256 methane super-emitter events occurred between January 2019 and June 2023, according to the new data. Pakistan, India and Bangladesh lead the list of nations with the most large leaks, followed by Argentina, Uzbekistan and Spain.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    National self-interest stymying global cooperation, report finds | World news | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/12/national-self-interest-stymying-global-cooperation-report-finds-munich-security-conference

    The report, setting the conference themes, identifies a trend away from global cooperation towards transactional thinking that rules out cooperation beyond narrow, short-term gains

    ...

    Polling accompanying the report also finds deep western pessimism about the economic outlook and the scale of risks ahead relative to the views of voters in BRICs countries, such as India or China. The Munich Security Index, a survey of 32 perceived risks in 11 major countries, finds European voters are also increasingly worried by migration caused by climate change and war, and by the threat of radical Islamic terrorism



    Chapter 7 – Climate: Heated Atmosphere - Munich Security Conference
    https://securityconference.org/en/publications/munich-security-report-2024/climate/
    INK_FLO
    INK_FLO --- ---
    taky z tama:

    "You are stuck in your body right here, but in a technical way you could be said to be in India and Iraq, you are in the sky causing storms, and you are in the sea herding whales towards the beach. You probably don´t feel your body in those places. It is as if you have two distinct bodies. You have an individual body in which you exist, eat, sleep and go about you day-to-day life. You also have a second body which has an impact on foreign countries and on whales...a body which is not so solid as the other one, but much larger." (Daisy Hildyard - The Second Body)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    The draft “really doesn’t meet the expectations of this COP in terms of the urgently needed transition to clean sources of energy and the phaseout of fossil fuels,” U.S. climate envoy John Kerry said during a fractious, closed-door meeting late Monday night and early Tuesday, which POLITICO listened to via an unsanctioned feed.
    But representatives of other countries, including a bloc that includes China and India, said they would not accept any language proposing either a “phaseout” or “phase-down” of specific energy sources.

    Negotiations at the Expo City campus on Dubai’s outskirts were expected to continue through the wee hours on Tuesday — the scheduled final day of the summit.

    Earlier that evening, summit president Sultan al-Jaber urged the nearly 200 governments assembled to be flexible and make a deal. The “world is watching” after almost two weeks of discussion, said al-Jaber, who is also the CEO of the United Arab Emirates’ state-owned oil company.

    Protesters stood outside chanting: “This text is bullshit.”

    Former U.S. Vice President Al Gore unloaded on the proposal, saying in a statement that “COP28 is now on the verge of complete failure.”
    “The world desperately needs to phase out fossil fuels as quickly as possible, but this obsequious draft reads as if OPEC dictated it word for word,” Gore said. “It is even worse than many had feared.”

    Greens erupt as oil, gas and coal ‘phaseout’ is dropped from proposed COP28 climate deal - POLITICO
    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/11/fossil-fuel-phaseout-dropped-cop28-00131066
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    1.8 Million Barrels of Oil a Day Avoided from Electric Vehicles - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2023/12/09/1-8-million-barrels-of-oil-a-day-avoided-from-electric-vehicles/

    Two- and three-wheeled EVs account for about 60% of the oil demand avoided in 2023 due to their rapid adoption and large fleet, particularly in China, Southeast Asia and India.

    ...

    Naturally, less oil being burnt means less CO2 emissions. BNEF estimates that electric vehicles currently prevent 112 million metric tons of CO2 emissions per year. And this is net emissions reductions, also taking into account the emissions from extra electricity generation.
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    India builds its largest renewable energy project in salt deserts - ABC News
    https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/salt-deserts-bordering-pakistan-india-builds-largest-renewable-105378304

    Indie staví hybridní gigaelektrárnu. Bude stát na ploše velké jako Singapur - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/indie-gudzarat-elektrarna-hybridni-solarni-panely-vetrne-turbiny-stavba.A231205_124045_eko-zahranicni_jadv

    Indie připravuje na solných pláních státu Gudžarát, jedné z největších solných pouští na světě, hybridní energetický projekt na výrobu energie z obnovitelných zdrojů.

    Pole větrných turbin a solárních panelů o výkonu 30 gigawattů vyroste podél hranice s Pákistánem. Plocha elektrárny má být tak velká, že bude viditelná z vesmíru

    Po dokončení to bude pravděpodobně největší projekt obnovitelné energie na světě.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    jinak z druhe strany barikady (techno optimismus), vitalik buterin ted postl takovy svuj manifest, je tam pasaz o climate change a prokliky dal, takhle to asi vnimaji progressive techno thinkers

    A major exception to the trend of pretty much everything getting better over the last hundred years is climate change:

    Even pessimistic scenarios of ongoing temperature rises would not come anywhere near causing the literal extinction of humanity. But such scenarios could plausibly kill more people than major wars, and severely harm people's health and livelihoods in the regions where people are already struggling the most. A Swiss Re institute study https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/impact-climate-change-global-gdp/ suggests that a worst-case climate change scenario might lower the world's poorest countries' GDP by as much as 25%. This study https://www.lse.ac.uk/economics/Assets/Documents/personal-pages/robin-burgess/weather-climate-change-and-death.pdf suggests that life spans in rural India might be a decade lower than they otherwise would be, and studies like this one https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24487-w#Fig3 and this one https://www.v-20.org/new-health-data-shows-unabated-climate-change-will-cause-3.4-million-deaths-per-year-by-century-end suggest that climate change could cause a hundred million excess deaths by the end of the century.These problems are a big deal.

    My techno-optimism
    https://vitalik.ca/general/2023/11/27/techno_optimism.html
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Revealed: the huge climate impact of the middle classes | Greenhouse gas emissions | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/revealed-huge-climate-impact-of-the-middle-classes-carbon-divide


    The world’s richest 10% encompasses most of the middle classes in developed countries – anyone paid more than about $40,000 (£32,000) a year. The lavish lifestyles of the very rich – the 1% – attract attention. But the 10% are responsible for half of all global emissions, making them key to ending the climate crisis.

    ...

    When climate negotiations began in the 1990s, most of the inequality in people’s carbon emissions was between rich and poor nations. Three decades on, the situation has reversed. Now, most of the inequality in emissions between the rich and poor exists within individual countries.

    This shift has enormous implications for how the climate crisis can be ended, researchers say, although international support for the poorest and least polluting nations remains vital.

    Data from the International Energy Agency (IEA) details the energy-related CO2 emissions per person in 2021 in a dozen major countries, plus the 27-nation EU. In the US, UK, EU and Japan, the richest 10% have carbon footprints about 15 times greater than the poorest 10%. In China, South Africa, Brazil and India, the top 10% cause 30-40 times more emissions than the bottom 10%.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    Věděli jste, že v US je nelegální koupit uhelný důl a zavřít ho?

    Scott Alexander má program do republikanskCh I demokratických primárek :)

    Fight Climate Change And Racism With Giant Statues
    20% of CO2 emissions come from coal. But attempts to decrease reliance on coal have met political resistance. The industry of some key swing states centers around coal mining, and despite calls that coal miners should “learn to code” or go into the caring professions, re-skilling them has proven difficult and they’re unwilling to go on welfare.

    Some environmentalists have argued that we should buy coal mines to shut them down. Fearing job loss, states with coal mines have responded by making it illegal to own coal mines and not use them.

    One environmentally friendly compromise would be to buy the coal mines, mine the coal, but not burn it. But then what do we do with all the coal?

    I propose building giant statues of black people. Coal is already artistically suited for this, and it would help address our nation’s 300 year history of racial oppression. If each statue were the size of the largest existing statue, the Statue of Unity in India, then it would take about five thousand statues to fully consume the US’ yearly coal production. Wikipedia’s List Of [Famous] African-Americans has about four thousand names, so that would only last us about one year. I would encourage more African-Americans to become famous, so we could continue using this solution to the environmental crisis.

    Still, this would only buy us a few more years, and eventually we would have to think bigger. Mt. Rushmore (the whole mountain, not just the faces) is big enough that copying it would take twenty years of national coal production. Given that all the faces on Rushmore are white, I propose a companion mountain on the opposite side of the observation plaza, “Mt. Racemore”, featuring Martin Luther King, Malcolm X, Henrietta Lacks, and Ibram X Kendi.


    (source)
    Probably this will also create jobs or something.


    My Presidential Platform - by Scott Alexander
    https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-presidential-platform
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO:

    In August 2021, UNICEF warned that over one billion children are at extreme risk of the impacts of AGW [161]. According to the Children’s Climate Risk Index (CCRI) [161],
    240 million children are exposed to coastal flooding;
    330 million to riverine flooding;
    400 million to cyclones;
    600 million to vector borne diseases;
    815 million to lead pollution;
    820 million to heatwaves;
    920 million to water scarcity and
    one billion children to dangerously high levels of air pollution.
    Looking at the problem from different perspectives provides convergent evidence for an estimate of 1 billion deaths at 2 °C of warming:
    The estimate corresponds to 10% of the projected future world population. All 10 billion humans will need food and fresh water to survive, and AGW will seriously affect both.
    Since CO2 stays in the atmosphere for about a century, the prediction implies that, on average, 10 million additional deaths per year will be due to AGW.
    If the wet-bulb temperature exceeds skin temperature, perspiration can no longer cool the body. Already in 2022, this effect was life-threatening for a billion people in India and Pakistan [162]. In the same countries in 2023, maximum temperatures were consistently above 40 °C for over two weeks [161].
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Chakrabarty: The planet is a political orphan. Theoretically, people have been designing global governance, but they still do so, naturally, in terms of nations. Think of the Himalayas. There are eight or nine rivers issuing from the Himalayas that service about eight or nine countries, from Pakistan to Vietnam, so the glaciers are important to these countries. But the glaciers are all nationalized. India owns India’s glaciers, Pakistan owns Pakistan’s glaciers, etc. The result is that the Himalayas have become the most militarized mountain range in the world. India and China have fought wars there. If you look at the number of tanks, the number of military bridges built, the blasting of the mountain, you can see that nation-states remain totally invested in geopolitics.

    How do we move from here to a planetary-level governance? Can we move on the basis of a planetary calendar? The IPCC’s report last year and the year before was described by the UN as “code red” for climate, and they used the expression “climate emergency.” Now clearly “emergency” connotes a sense of time because it signals urgency. It’s urgency on a planetary calendar; it’s asking for some kind of synchronization of national and subnational actions. It is saying to nations, “Can you come together on this by this time? Because that’s what the planet needs.” But nations remain mired in the temporality and politics of development.

    Dipesh Chakrabarty On Planetary Politics
    https://www.noemamag.com/the-planet-is-a-political-orphan/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    amoc kolaps mam ve svem osobnim timelinu zarazeny na druhou pulku stoleti, tak prosim zadna prekvapka, diky


    Gulf Stream could collapse as early as 2025, study suggests | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/25/gulf-stream-could-collapse-as-early-as-2025-study-suggests

    The new analysis estimates a timescale for the collapse of between 2025 and 2095, with a central estimate of 2050, if global carbon emissions are not reduced. Evidence from past collapses indicate changes of temperature of 10C in a few decades, although these occurred during ice ages.

    Other scientists said the assumptions about how a tipping point would play out and uncertainties in the underlying data are too large for a reliable estimate of the timing of the tipping point. But all said the prospect of an Amoc collapse was extremely concerning and should spur rapid cuts in carbon emissions

    ...

    A collapse of Amoc would have disastrous consequences around the world, severely disrupting the rains that billions of people depend on for food in India, South America and west Africa. It would increase storms and drop temperatures in Europe, and lead to a rising sea level on the eastern coast of North America. It would also further endanger the Amazon rainforest and Antarctic ice sheets.


    Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation | Nature Communications
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39810-w
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ade4248

    Measurements made on subglacial sediment from the Camp Century ice core in northwestern Greenland show that the location was ice free during the interglacial that occurred around 400,000 years ago.
    The absence of ice at that location means that the Greenland Ice Sheet must have contributed more than 1.4 meters of sea-level equivalent to the high sea-level stand, when the average global air temperature was similar to what we will soon experience because of human-caused climate warming.

    If Greenland’s ice sheet saw rapid melting during a period of moderate warming, it may be more sensitive to human-caused climate change than previously understood – and will be vulnerable to irreversible, rapid melting in coming centuries.

    “It’s really the first bulletproof evidence that much of the Greenland ice sheet vanished when it got warm,” Bierman said. “Greenland’s past, preserved in 12 feet of frozen soil, suggests a warm, wet, and largely ice-free future for planet Earth,” he added.

    The potential implications for sea level rise are enormous, Tammy Rittenour, a professor from Utah State University and study co-author said in a statement. “We are looking at meters of sea level rise, probably tens of meters. And then look at the elevation of New York City, Boston, Miami, Amsterdam. Look at India and Africa – most global population centers are near sea level.”
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    Je pravedpodobne ze populace Indie je o 50-70M nizsi nez puvodne odhadovano a Ciny o 150M nizsi

    China and India have fewer people than the U.N. thinks | The Japan Times
    https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2023/06/04/commentary/world-commentary/china-india-populations/
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