• úvod
  • témata
  • události
  • tržiště
  • diskuze
  • nástěnka
  • přihlásit
    registrace
    ztracené heslo?
    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Russia-Ukraine war live: Moscow claims advance in Ukraine’s east has ‘accelerated’ | Ukraine | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/nov/23/russia-ukraine-war-live-latest-news-updates

    Russia has included the territories it occupies in Ukraine in its recent greenhouse gas inventory report to the United Nations, drawing protests from Ukrainian officials and activists at the Cop29 climate summit this week.

    ...

    “We see that Russia is using international platforms to legalise their actions, to legalise their occupation of our territory,” Ukraine’s deputy environment minister Olga Yukhymchuk told Reuters.

    She said Ukraine is in touch with officials from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the U.N.’s main climate body, to ask it to resolve the dispute.

    Officials representing the Russian foreign ministry and the UNFCCC did not respond to requests for comment sent on Thursday.

    At issue is Russia’s National Inventory Report of greenhouse gas emissions for 2022, which Moscow submitted to the UNFCCC on 8 November. In the submission, reviewed by Reuters, Russia said it could only provide data for 85 out of 89 of its territories “due to the absence of baseline data on land use for the territories of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Luhansk People’s Republic, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, annexed in September 2022.”

    Russia had already included emissions from Ukraine’s Crimea region, annexed in 2014, in its last few reporting submissions to the UNFCCC. It also included Crimea’s land development plans in a report to the UN Global Biodiverity Framework in 2020.

    Ukrainian environment minister Svitlana Grynchuk raised the issue in a speech to delegates at the Cop29 summit earlier this week, saying Russia’s reporting on Ukraine territories undermines the integrity of global climate efforts.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Climate change presents serious problems for Russia, from intensifying forest fires to the melting of the permafrost that covers roughly two-thirds of Russian territory. However, in the coming decades, Russia’s most serious problems will be caused not by climate change itself, but by the actions other governments are taking to mitigate it. Chief among these is the shift away from the burning of fossil fuels towards renewable sources of energy.

    Russia, Climate Change and the Global Energy Transformation | Royal United Services Institute
    https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russia-climate-change-and-global-energy-transformation
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Ano, trochu už to pár týdnů sleduji, ne že by od toho mohl člověk moc očekávat. :shrug:
    “China and US push each other on priorities for UN COP29 climate talks…

    “Washington’s top climate diplomat John Podesta has pressed Chinese leaders to come up with ambitious plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 in one of the final meetings between the world’s two largest polluters ahead of the UN COP29 climate summit in November.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/784bb728-a0d7-485a-9ab9-89da0d516f61
    https://archive.fo/ecZe9
    ___
    “Good Cop, Bad COP29: Azerbaijan’s greenwashing ahead of crucial climate summit…

    “Since it was announced as this year’s host in November last year, Azerbaijan has intensified crackdowns on independent media and academics, arresting dozens on falsified charges this year alone. And concerns are intensifying around Azerbaijan’s commitments to expanding its fossil fuel industry.”
    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/podcast-episode/good-cop-bad-cop29-azerbaijans-greenwashing-ahead-of-crucial-climate-summit/j5qm1xxq5
    ___
    "Satellite data shows an increase in gas flaring since Azerbaijan last reported its emissions six years ago, calling into question BP and state oil company’s pledge to eliminate methane flaring by 2030."

    "Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries are required to submit their emissions data every two years. Yet Azerbaijan, which will host the COP29 climate summit in November, has failed to do so since 2018. "
    wonderful

    "The Presidency of COP29 is headed by Mukhtar Babayev, who is currently serving as Ecology and Natural Resources of Azerbaijan, Babayev previously worked as the SOCAR’s Vice President for ecology."

    https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/fossil-gas/cop29-host-azerbaijan-failing-report-ever-growing-methane-emissions/
    ___
    Several major oil-producing countries, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, are pushing back against talks on an agreement at the upcoming COP29 climate summit to mitigate the use of fossil fuels.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Petrostates-Push-Back-Against-UN-Talks-on-Shift-from-Fossil-Fuels.html
    ___
    “COP29 host’s own climate plans are ‘critically insufficient’, says expert group…

    “Campaigners have expressed concerns about the selection of yet another country that is heavily reliant on the sale of oil and gas to oversee the world’s most important climate negotiations. Questions about human rights followed after several arrests of government critics.”

    Subscribe to read
    https://www.ft.com/content/8ca61260-743a-4e4b-8699-e937a07d7cfc
    https://archive.fo/Nlg2O
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Australian fossil fuel exports ranked second only to Russia for climate damage with ‘no plan’ for reduction | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/aug/12/australian-fossil-fuel-exports-ranked-second-globally-for-climate-damage-with-no-plan-for-reduction

    Australia ranked second on an emission basis. It overtook the US due to a majority of Australia’s exports being coal, a particularly emissions-intensive fuel.

    It meant that while Australia releases about only 1% of global emissions at home, it was linked to about 4.5% once its exports were counted.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Keir Starmer refuses to intervene over lengthy Just Stop Oil prison sentences
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/19/former-justice-secretary-uncomfortable-just-stop-oil-prison/

    Millionaire Labour donor Dale Vince pressures Keir Starmer to repeal protest law that led to Just Stop Oil founder being jailed for 'disproportionate' five years over M25 plot - likening it to somethi...
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13651323/Millionaire-Labour-donor-Dale-Vince-pressures-Keir-Starmer-repeal-protest-law-led-Just-Stop-Oil-founder-jailed-disproportionate-five-years-M25-plot-likening-Putins-Russia.html
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    CHOSIE: si mi jeste pripomnel:

    "The reserves uncovered are said to contain around 511 billion barrels worth of oil, equating to around 10 times the North Sea’s output over the last 50 years."

    Russia reportedly finds vast oil and gas reserves in British Antarctic territory | Offshore
    https://www.offshore-mag.com/geosciences/article/55039736/russia-reportedly-finds-vast-oil-and-gas-reserves-in-british-antarctic-territory
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    BP imposes hiring freeze and halts new offshore wind projects | BP | The Guardian
    https://amp.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/27/bp-imposes-hiring-freeze-and-halts-new-offshore-wind-projects

    New boss Murray Auchincloss reverses move away from fossil fuels, which had weighed on company’s share price

    The head of BP has imposed a hiring freeze and halted new offshore wind projects, in an apparent attempt to placate investors who are unhappy with the oil company’s green targets.
    ...
    Looney, who had committed BP to some of the industry’s greenest climate goals, was ousted last September for failing to disclose relationships with colleagues.

    The decision to slow BP’s green ambitions has stoked concerns that Looney’s plan to move the company away from fossil fuels, with a pledge to “become a net zero company by 2050 or sooner”, may soon be derailed.

    BP has come under pressure from shareholders over its green targets because some renewable projects have proved more costly than expected, and profits from oil and gas have soared after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine more than two years ago.

    In response, the company set out plans earlier this year to cut oil and gas production by just 25% between 2019 and 2030 – well short of its previous target of a 40% reduction over the same timeframe.
    ...
    Earlier this month BP’s rival Shell set out its own plans to scale back its green growth ambitions, reducing the number of staff working on low-carbon solutions by about 200 roles while shifting the focus towards high-profit oil projects and expanding its gas business.
    VOYTEX
    VOYTEX --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA:"A že bychom se měli bát Ruského útoku na jadernou elektrárnu je absurdní, vždyť by se to rovnalo jadernému útoku a Rusko jaderné zbraně má."

    Nevim, kdes byl posledni 2 roky, ale tohle se stalo letos v dubnu: 3 prime zasahy UAV do kontejnentu Zapor. JE
    A predtim xkrat po ostrelovani beh prim. chlazeni na jedinej poruchovej agregat, s dochazejici naftou a zmlacenou zajatou obsluhou.

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/07/europe/russian-controlled-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-reactor-damaged-following-drone-attack/index.html
    The drone attack included three direct hits against the facility’s main reactor containment, the agency’s director-general, Rafael Grossi, said on X.

    a tomuhle verili US zpravodajci (kteri jedini spravne varovali UA a svet tesne pred invazi):
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/09/politics/us-prepared-rigorously-potential-russian-nuclear-strike-ukraine/index.html
    In late 2022, the US began “preparing rigorously” for Russia potentially striking Ukraine with a nuclear weapon

    %%%

    'Německá veřejnost si opravdu autenticky přála ukončit provoz JE. Právě pod vlivem Ruskem řízené propagandy. '

    Presne tuhle odpoved jsem cekal, ale nechtel jsem predbihat. Takze prosim tvou domenku podloz dukazy, ze Nemci, kteri v DDR zalozili prvni protijaderna hnuti v Evrope, byli uspesne zmanipulovani Ruskem k Atomausstieg a nejednali z vlastniho usudku.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: neni, muze se to samofrejme menit zeme od zeme, ale treba u nas jsou rusko-afiliovany subjekty zpravidla vyrazne projaderny.
    obecne rusko vyuziva jadernou technologii k vytvareni zavislosti podobne jako vyuziva fosil. casto dokonce vyuziva zdroje z fosilni energetiky, aby cenove podhazoval nabidky -viz treba finsko (resp tvrdi napriklad veli-pekka tynkkynen zde
    The Energy of Russia: Hydrocarbon Culture and Climate Change Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen )

    The Energy of Russia
    https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/the-energy-of-russia-9781788978590.html
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    mohlo by nekoho zajimat...

    The Energy of Russia
    Hydrocarbon Culture and Climate Change

    This timely book analyses the status of hydrocarbon energy in Russia as both a saleable commodity and as a source of societal and political power. Through empirical studies in domestic and foreign policy contexts, Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen explores the development of a hydrocarbon culture in Russia and the impact this has on its politics, identity and approach to climate change and renewable energy.

    Cogent and compelling, this book demonstrates how the Russian state leverages its oil and gas reserves in order to create and maintain power both domestically and internationally. Tynkkynen uses empirical studies of key topics such as the national gas programme Gazprom, the Arctic, climate discourse and anthropogenic climate change denial, and the Russia-Finland energy trade to critically examine the situation. The book concludes with a convincing argument for the potential of renewable energy to build a more resilient and sustainable future for Russia and how this might be achieved.

    This will prove crucial reading for scholars and students of Russian and Eastern European studies and energy and environmental studies, as well as geographers, anthropologists and political scientists. Those working in governments, international organizations and corporations with an interest in Russian energy will also find its insights useful.

    The Energy of Russia
    https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/the-energy-of-russia-9781788978590.html
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russia’s Addiction: How Oil, Gas, and the Soviet Legacy Have Shaped a Nation's Fate - Softcover
    Russia’s dependence on its oil and gas wealth is much deeper than generally recognized. Since their privatization in the 1990s, a small number of oligarchs have taken control of the economy, and the fates of millions of Russians. Vladimir Putin’s system of personal protection has been successful in keeping peace among these oligarchs and Russia’s industrial heartland but can it continue?
    In Russia’s Addiction, Clifford Gaddy and Barry Ickes argue that the country’s addiction to oil and gas are a comparable to a physiological compulsion the country understands that it is destroying itself by continuing down this road, but is unable to stop. They investigate the country’s dependence on oil, and how Putin manages to run his corrupt system, focusing on keeping oligarchs happy and expecting their full support in return. And they ask the important question: What will happen to this system when Putin is gone?

    Russia’s Addiction: How Oil, Gas, and the Soviet Legacy Have Shaped a Nation's Fate - Gaddy, Clifford G.; Ickes, Barry W.: 9780815727705 - AbeBooks
    https://www.abebooks.com/9780815727705/Russia%E2%80%99s-Addiction-Oil-Gas-Soviet-0815727704/plp
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Starsi ale zajimavy

    Russian Energy in a Changing World
    What is the Outlook for the Hydrocarbons Superpower?

    Description
    For a long time Russia’s position as a key global energy player has enhanced Moscow’s international economic and political influence whilst causing concern amongst other states fearful of becoming too dependent on Russia as an energy supplier. The Global Financial Crisis shook this established image of Russia as an indispensable energy superpower, immune to negative external influences and revealed the full extent of Russia’s dependence on oil and gas for economic and political influence. This led to calls from within the country for a new approach where energy resources were no longer regarded wholly as an asset, but also a potential curse resulting in an over reliance on one sector thwarting modernization of the economy and the country as a whole. In this fascinating and timely volume leading Russian and Western scholars examine various aspects of Russian energy policy and the opportunities and constraints that influence the choices made by the country’s energy decision makers. Contributors focus on Russia’s energy relations with the rest of the world alongside internal debates about the need for diversification and modernisation in a changing economy, country and world system where overdependence on energy commodities has become a key concern for customer and supplier alike.

    Russian Energy in a Changing World: What is the Outlook for the Hydroc
    https://www.routledge.com/Russian-Energy-in-a-Changing-World-What-is-the-Outlook-for-the-Hydrocarbons-Superpower/Godzimirski/p/book/9781138279780
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Energy, climate change and security: The Russian strategic conundrum

    Abstract
    Global and regional energy markets are increasingly influenced by policies aimed at climate change mitigation, with possible grave implications for major producers and exporters of fossil fuels – including Russia, which is planning further increases. This article examines the evolution of Russian official thinking on the role of climate change as a strategic factor in policymaking as expressed in key documents on security and in strategic statements made by Presidents Putin and Medvedev (2000–2020). The set of strategic statements examined in this article show surprisingly little attention to this important matter.

    https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/18793665211054518
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russia, one of the world's top emitters of greenhouse gases, is already feeling the impacts of climate change. But compared to Western countries, where concerns about the climate crisis are widespread, this topic is nearly invisible in Russian media, politics and education.

    In this episode, we decided to find out how Russian society views climate change and the factors that cause many Russians to ignore environmental issues. Climate activist Arshak Makichyan and climate scientist Alexei Kokorin join us to discuss.

    Why Is Climate Change Not on the Agenda in Russia? - The Moscow Times
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/10/20/why-is-climate-change-not-on-the-agenda-in-russia-a82834
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Germany is a case study — perhaps the case study — of a Western middle power which made a strategic bet on a full embrace of interdependence and globalization in the late 20th century: it outsourced its security to the U.S., its export-led growth to China, and its energy needs to Russia. It is now finding itself excruciatingly vulnerable in an early 21st century characterized by great power competition and an increasing weaponization of interdependence by allies and adversaries alike. The war in Ukraine, which touches on almost every one of Germany’s bilateral, regional, and global interests, only accentuates its exposure. That this horrific conflict is taking place in the region that was part of the “Bloodlands” (the term coined by Yale historian Timothy Snyder), where Hitler and (to a lesser degree) Stalin murdered tens of millions of people is lost on few of my fellow citizens.

    For much of the three decades after German reunification in 1990, Berlin saw Moscow (as well as Beijing) as a reliable strategic partner in a two-way bargain: Germany would import cheap energy, and export good governance in much the way that Eastern Europe had been transformed through entry into NATO and the EU. Ultimately, German policymakers hoped, this would transform not only these countries’ economies but also their political systems. And they believed — in an attempt to reconfigure West Germany’s Cold War Ostpolitik for a united Germany in the middle of Europe — that NATO and the European Union could and should be encompassed in a pan-European security architecture that included Russia.

    The Kremlin, for its part, saw Germany as a friend, a partner, and as a strategic bridgehead into Europe — not least because it was importing roughly a third of its oil and gas from Russia. What the Germans called their “modernization partnership” with Moscow made for excellent business for a while; but in every other way, it proved to be a failure. Economic integration turned out to be strictly downstream, while many German businesses got burned by corruption and organized crime; political reform remained elusive.

    Putin’s war and European energy security: A German perspective on decoupling from Russian fossil fuels | Brookings
    https://www.brookings.edu/articles/putins-war-and-european-energy-security-a-german-perspective-on-decoupling-from-russian-fossil-fuels/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination
    EUGENE RUMER, RICHARD SOKOLSKY, PAUL STRONSKI
    Summary: Russia has big Arctic plans, but how they will be realized is uncertain. For the United States this will likely mean the return to a Cold War–like environment rather than a new chapter in great-power competition in the Arctic.

    Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/29/russia-in-arctic-critical-examination-pub-84181
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    How Russia is leveraging its Arctic region for global influence

    For the past decade, while the rest of us weren’t looking, Russia has invested seriously in its Arctic region. Now, some 20% of the country’s GDP and 30% of its exports come from these chilly lands. Climate change has softened the landscape where critical oil and gas reserves were stuck underground, while melting ice caps have allowed tanker ships to transport that fuel across Eurasia.

    It’s a fascinating trend that’s set to get more critical in the coming decades. To learn more, we spoke with Malte Humpert, senior fellow and founder of the Arctic Institute. Our interview transcript was lightly condensed and edited for clarity.

    FREIGHTWAVES: Just to get started, who or what entities or companies or countries are currently shipping through the Arctic Ocean?

    https://www.freightwaves.com/news/stronghow-russia-is-leveraging-its-arctic-region-for-global-influencestrong
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Zajimavej report na geopoliticky implikace tajici Arktidy...

    Climate change is already affecting geopolitics, and countries are adapting their geopolitical strategies to take account of anticipated future climate change. Russia is leading in this regard, explicitly integrating climate change forecasts into its economic and national security strategies. Vladimir Putin has signaled that he sees the Arctic as an essential resource base and military stronghold for Russia in the decades ahead. Putin also seems to believe that unexploited hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic will be crucial for Russia’s economic future post-Ukraine. Scientists and industry participants are skeptical that this plan will succeed, but the exit of Western firms has removed pressure on Russian policymakers and firms to guard against Arctic environmental risks. Russian activity is increasing the probability of Arctic environmental disasters in the years ahead, including oil spills and radiological leakage.

    The United States and its Arctic allies and partners cannot ignore Russia’s actions. As the war in Ukraine still rages, a future military confrontation between Russia and NATO in the Arctic cannot be ruled out. NATO faces the challenge of how to strengthen its defense structures and increase the frequency and scope of Arctic exercises without risking misperceptions and accidents that lead to conflict with Russia. Moscow’s diplomatic isolation and economic weakness may also force it to grant China a greater role in the development of the Northern Sea Route.



    The Geopolitics of Climate Change: Scenarios and Pathways for Arctic 2050 | Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/geopolitics-climate-change-scenarios-and-pathways-arctic-2050
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Russian Industry Discourses on Climate Change

    How has Russian industry responded to climate change? Understanding industry narratives on climate change is an important element of Russia’s broader climate change discourse. This chapter focuses specifically on Russia’s largest oil and gas companies, which hold significant responsibility for the country’s GHG emissions and whose participation in global attempts to address climate change is vital. It considers how companies have conceptualised the issue of climate change, and how this links to broader narratives within Russia and internationally. The evidence indicates an emphasis on energy saving and efficiency, technology and industrial modernisation, and limited direct engagement on climate change policy and mitigation efforts. Oil and gas industry discourse on climate change is set within a market-based framework and contiguous with government policy.

    Russian Industry Discourses on Climate Change
    https://research-repository.griffith.edu.au/handle/10072/391111
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Jeste to hodim i sem, kdyby nekdo nahodou vedel:
    Rusko pry podporovalo environmentalni NGOs, ktery protestovali proti tezbe bridlicovyho plynu. Ackoliv to neni nijak nepredstavitelny pro me, ale potreboval bych k tomu konkretni podklady a zatim nachazim akorat rumint. Nemate nekdo k tomu vic?

    Zatim jsem nasel ctyri zdroje a zadny nedokladaj nejakou overitelny podklady. Nevite o necem dalsim? Dik.

    1) Report Strategic and International Studies (CSIS):
    which claimed that “Russian-supported consultancies in Europe may be helping some environmental groups oppose hydraulic fracturing”.

    The report provides no proof to support this claim. There is also no mention of payments between the Kremlin and green activists while a disclaimer at the end of the paper points out the views expressed within it are “solely those of the author” rather than the CSIS.

    2) 2015 článek National Review:
    which claimed Russia had “ramped up covert payments to environmental groups in the West”. The article provides no evidence to back up this statement.

    3) Je report Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies z roku 2016:
    The report states: “According to one interviewee, mining shale gas in the EU would disadvantage Russia due to its financial dependency on the EU’s gas imports. The Russian government has therefore invested €82 million in NGOs whose job is to persuade EU governments to stop shale gas exploration.”
    The source for this comment is an “interview with an anonymous contributor” in May 2015.

    4) Fogh Rasmussen, ktery ale rekl, ze je to ciste jeho spekulace

    Claim that Russia funded fracking opposition is Unsupported
    https://theferret.scot/claim-russia-funded-fracking-opposition-unsupported/
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam