Z cyklu #doomed

BP imposes hiring freeze and halts new offshore wind projects | BP | The Guardian
https://amp.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/27/bp-imposes-hiring-freeze-and-halts-new-offshore-wind-projects

New boss Murray Auchincloss reverses move away from fossil fuels, which had weighed on company’s share price

The head of BP has imposed a hiring freeze and halted new offshore wind projects, in an apparent attempt to placate investors who are unhappy with the oil company’s green targets.
...
Looney, who had committed BP to some of the industry’s greenest climate goals, was ousted last September for failing to disclose relationships with colleagues.

The decision to slow BP’s green ambitions has stoked concerns that Looney’s plan to move the company away from fossil fuels, with a pledge to “become a net zero company by 2050 or sooner”, may soon be derailed.

BP has come under pressure from shareholders over its green targets because some renewable projects have proved more costly than expected, and profits from oil and gas have soared after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine more than two years ago.

In response, the company set out plans earlier this year to cut oil and gas production by just 25% between 2019 and 2030 – well short of its previous target of a 40% reduction over the same timeframe.
...
Earlier this month BP’s rival Shell set out its own plans to scale back its green growth ambitions, reducing the number of staff working on low-carbon solutions by about 200 roles while shifting the focus towards high-profit oil projects and expanding its gas business.

PAN_SPRCHA:"A že bychom se měli bát Ruského útoku na jadernou elektrárnu je absurdní, vždyť by se to rovnalo jadernému útoku a Rusko jaderné zbraně má."

Nevim, kdes byl posledni 2 roky, ale tohle se stalo letos v dubnu: 3 prime zasahy UAV do kontejnentu Zapor. JE
A predtim xkrat po ostrelovani beh prim. chlazeni na jedinej poruchovej agregat, s dochazejici naftou a zmlacenou zajatou obsluhou.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/07/europe/russian-controlled-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-reactor-damaged-following-drone-attack/index.html
The drone attack included three direct hits against the facility’s main reactor containment, the agency’s director-general, Rafael Grossi, said on X.

a tomuhle verili US zpravodajci (kteri jedini spravne varovali UA a svet tesne pred invazi):
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/09/politics/us-prepared-rigorously-potential-russian-nuclear-strike-ukraine/index.html
In late 2022, the US began “preparing rigorously” for Russia potentially striking Ukraine with a nuclear weapon

%%%

'Německá veřejnost si opravdu autenticky přála ukončit provoz JE. Právě pod vlivem Ruskem řízené propagandy. '

Presne tuhle odpoved jsem cekal, ale nechtel jsem predbihat. Takze prosim tvou domenku podloz dukazy, ze Nemci, kteri v DDR zalozili prvni protijaderna hnuti v Evrope, byli uspesne zmanipulovani Ruskem k Atomausstieg a nejednali z vlastniho usudku.

PAN_SPRCHA: neni, muze se to samofrejme menit zeme od zeme, ale treba u nas jsou rusko-afiliovany subjekty zpravidla vyrazne projaderny.
obecne rusko vyuziva jadernou technologii k vytvareni zavislosti podobne jako vyuziva fosil. casto dokonce vyuziva zdroje z fosilni energetiky, aby cenove podhazoval nabidky -viz treba finsko (resp tvrdi napriklad veli-pekka tynkkynen zde
The Energy of Russia: Hydrocarbon Culture and Climate Change Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen )

The Energy of Russia
https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/the-energy-of-russia-9781788978590.html

mohlo by nekoho zajimat...

The Energy of Russia
Hydrocarbon Culture and Climate Change

This timely book analyses the status of hydrocarbon energy in Russia as both a saleable commodity and as a source of societal and political power. Through empirical studies in domestic and foreign policy contexts, Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen explores the development of a hydrocarbon culture in Russia and the impact this has on its politics, identity and approach to climate change and renewable energy.

Cogent and compelling, this book demonstrates how the Russian state leverages its oil and gas reserves in order to create and maintain power both domestically and internationally. Tynkkynen uses empirical studies of key topics such as the national gas programme Gazprom, the Arctic, climate discourse and anthropogenic climate change denial, and the Russia-Finland energy trade to critically examine the situation. The book concludes with a convincing argument for the potential of renewable energy to build a more resilient and sustainable future for Russia and how this might be achieved.

This will prove crucial reading for scholars and students of Russian and Eastern European studies and energy and environmental studies, as well as geographers, anthropologists and political scientists. Those working in governments, international organizations and corporations with an interest in Russian energy will also find its insights useful.

The Energy of Russia
https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/the-energy-of-russia-9781788978590.html

Russia’s Addiction: How Oil, Gas, and the Soviet Legacy Have Shaped a Nation's Fate - Softcover
Russia’s dependence on its oil and gas wealth is much deeper than generally recognized. Since their privatization in the 1990s, a small number of oligarchs have taken control of the economy, and the fates of millions of Russians. Vladimir Putin’s system of personal protection has been successful in keeping peace among these oligarchs and Russia’s industrial heartland but can it continue?
In Russia’s Addiction, Clifford Gaddy and Barry Ickes argue that the country’s addiction to oil and gas are a comparable to a physiological compulsion the country understands that it is destroying itself by continuing down this road, but is unable to stop. They investigate the country’s dependence on oil, and how Putin manages to run his corrupt system, focusing on keeping oligarchs happy and expecting their full support in return. And they ask the important question: What will happen to this system when Putin is gone?

Russia’s Addiction: How Oil, Gas, and the Soviet Legacy Have Shaped a Nation's Fate - Gaddy, Clifford G.; Ickes, Barry W.: 9780815727705 - AbeBooks
https://www.abebooks.com/9780815727705/Russia%E2%80%99s-Addiction-Oil-Gas-Soviet-0815727704/plp

Starsi ale zajimavy

Russian Energy in a Changing World
What is the Outlook for the Hydrocarbons Superpower?

Description
For a long time Russia’s position as a key global energy player has enhanced Moscow’s international economic and political influence whilst causing concern amongst other states fearful of becoming too dependent on Russia as an energy supplier. The Global Financial Crisis shook this established image of Russia as an indispensable energy superpower, immune to negative external influences and revealed the full extent of Russia’s dependence on oil and gas for economic and political influence. This led to calls from within the country for a new approach where energy resources were no longer regarded wholly as an asset, but also a potential curse resulting in an over reliance on one sector thwarting modernization of the economy and the country as a whole. In this fascinating and timely volume leading Russian and Western scholars examine various aspects of Russian energy policy and the opportunities and constraints that influence the choices made by the country’s energy decision makers. Contributors focus on Russia’s energy relations with the rest of the world alongside internal debates about the need for diversification and modernisation in a changing economy, country and world system where overdependence on energy commodities has become a key concern for customer and supplier alike.

Russian Energy in a Changing World: What is the Outlook for the Hydroc
https://www.routledge.com/Russian-Energy-in-a-Changing-World-What-is-the-Outlook-for-the-Hydrocarbons-Superpower/Godzimirski/p/book/9781138279780

Russia, one of the world's top emitters of greenhouse gases, is already feeling the impacts of climate change. But compared to Western countries, where concerns about the climate crisis are widespread, this topic is nearly invisible in Russian media, politics and education.

In this episode, we decided to find out how Russian society views climate change and the factors that cause many Russians to ignore environmental issues. Climate activist Arshak Makichyan and climate scientist Alexei Kokorin join us to discuss.

Why Is Climate Change Not on the Agenda in Russia? - The Moscow Times
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/10/20/why-is-climate-change-not-on-the-agenda-in-russia-a82834

Germany is a case study — perhaps the case study — of a Western middle power which made a strategic bet on a full embrace of interdependence and globalization in the late 20th century: it outsourced its security to the U.S., its export-led growth to China, and its energy needs to Russia. It is now finding itself excruciatingly vulnerable in an early 21st century characterized by great power competition and an increasing weaponization of interdependence by allies and adversaries alike. The war in Ukraine, which touches on almost every one of Germany’s bilateral, regional, and global interests, only accentuates its exposure. That this horrific conflict is taking place in the region that was part of the “Bloodlands” (the term coined by Yale historian Timothy Snyder), where Hitler and (to a lesser degree) Stalin murdered tens of millions of people is lost on few of my fellow citizens.

For much of the three decades after German reunification in 1990, Berlin saw Moscow (as well as Beijing) as a reliable strategic partner in a two-way bargain: Germany would import cheap energy, and export good governance in much the way that Eastern Europe had been transformed through entry into NATO and the EU. Ultimately, German policymakers hoped, this would transform not only these countries’ economies but also their political systems. And they believed — in an attempt to reconfigure West Germany’s Cold War Ostpolitik for a united Germany in the middle of Europe — that NATO and the European Union could and should be encompassed in a pan-European security architecture that included Russia.

The Kremlin, for its part, saw Germany as a friend, a partner, and as a strategic bridgehead into Europe — not least because it was importing roughly a third of its oil and gas from Russia. What the Germans called their “modernization partnership” with Moscow made for excellent business for a while; but in every other way, it proved to be a failure. Economic integration turned out to be strictly downstream, while many German businesses got burned by corruption and organized crime; political reform remained elusive.

Putin’s war and European energy security: A German perspective on decoupling from Russian fossil fuels | Brookings
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/putins-war-and-european-energy-security-a-german-perspective-on-decoupling-from-russian-fossil-fuels/

Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination
EUGENE RUMER, RICHARD SOKOLSKY, PAUL STRONSKI
Summary: Russia has big Arctic plans, but how they will be realized is uncertain. For the United States this will likely mean the return to a Cold War–like environment rather than a new chapter in great-power competition in the Arctic.

Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/29/russia-in-arctic-critical-examination-pub-84181

How Russia is leveraging its Arctic region for global influence

For the past decade, while the rest of us weren’t looking, Russia has invested seriously in its Arctic region. Now, some 20% of the country’s GDP and 30% of its exports come from these chilly lands. Climate change has softened the landscape where critical oil and gas reserves were stuck underground, while melting ice caps have allowed tanker ships to transport that fuel across Eurasia.

It’s a fascinating trend that’s set to get more critical in the coming decades. To learn more, we spoke with Malte Humpert, senior fellow and founder of the Arctic Institute. Our interview transcript was lightly condensed and edited for clarity.

FREIGHTWAVES: Just to get started, who or what entities or companies or countries are currently shipping through the Arctic Ocean?

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/stronghow-russia-is-leveraging-its-arctic-region-for-global-influencestrong

Zajimavej report na geopoliticky implikace tajici Arktidy...

Climate change is already affecting geopolitics, and countries are adapting their geopolitical strategies to take account of anticipated future climate change. Russia is leading in this regard, explicitly integrating climate change forecasts into its economic and national security strategies. Vladimir Putin has signaled that he sees the Arctic as an essential resource base and military stronghold for Russia in the decades ahead. Putin also seems to believe that unexploited hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic will be crucial for Russia’s economic future post-Ukraine. Scientists and industry participants are skeptical that this plan will succeed, but the exit of Western firms has removed pressure on Russian policymakers and firms to guard against Arctic environmental risks. Russian activity is increasing the probability of Arctic environmental disasters in the years ahead, including oil spills and radiological leakage.

The United States and its Arctic allies and partners cannot ignore Russia’s actions. As the war in Ukraine still rages, a future military confrontation between Russia and NATO in the Arctic cannot be ruled out. NATO faces the challenge of how to strengthen its defense structures and increase the frequency and scope of Arctic exercises without risking misperceptions and accidents that lead to conflict with Russia. Moscow’s diplomatic isolation and economic weakness may also force it to grant China a greater role in the development of the Northern Sea Route.


The Geopolitics of Climate Change: Scenarios and Pathways for Arctic 2050 | Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/geopolitics-climate-change-scenarios-and-pathways-arctic-2050

Jeste to hodim i sem, kdyby nekdo nahodou vedel:
Rusko pry podporovalo environmentalni NGOs, ktery protestovali proti tezbe bridlicovyho plynu. Ackoliv to neni nijak nepredstavitelny pro me, ale potreboval bych k tomu konkretni podklady a zatim nachazim akorat rumint. Nemate nekdo k tomu vic?

Zatim jsem nasel ctyri zdroje a zadny nedokladaj nejakou overitelny podklady. Nevite o necem dalsim? Dik.

1) Report Strategic and International Studies (CSIS):
which claimed that “Russian-supported consultancies in Europe may be helping some environmental groups oppose hydraulic fracturing”.

The report provides no proof to support this claim. There is also no mention of payments between the Kremlin and green activists while a disclaimer at the end of the paper points out the views expressed within it are “solely those of the author” rather than the CSIS.

2) 2015 článek National Review:
which claimed Russia had “ramped up covert payments to environmental groups in the West”. The article provides no evidence to back up this statement.

3) Je report Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies z roku 2016:
The report states: “According to one interviewee, mining shale gas in the EU would disadvantage Russia due to its financial dependency on the EU’s gas imports. The Russian government has therefore invested €82 million in NGOs whose job is to persuade EU governments to stop shale gas exploration.”
The source for this comment is an “interview with an anonymous contributor” in May 2015.

4) Fogh Rasmussen, ktery ale rekl, ze je to ciste jeho spekulace

Claim that Russia funded fracking opposition is Unsupported
https://theferret.scot/claim-russia-funded-fracking-opposition-unsupported/

get an umbrella. .)

TUCKER: Let’s touch on climate change. It’s still being pushed in the United States and Europe. What’s your position?

PUTIN: Humanity is not even a Type 1 civilization on the Kardashev scale. If we can’t harness the energy potential of the planet how can we control the climate?

TUCKER: Are you at least concerned?

PUTIN: I’m more concerned with real issues. Climate change is not one of them. The Earth does a fairly good job of regulating itself. And if Siberia gets a little warmer all the better. More farmland for Russia.

TUCKER: But what would you tell the true believers who’re convinced we’re headed for disaster?

PUTIN: I’d tell them worrying about climate change is like complaining about the weather. If you don’t like the climate, move. If you are worried about the weather, get an umbrella.

Soviet and Russian perspectives on geoengineering and climate management

Soviet science contributed significantly to our understanding of anthropogenic climate change and, as part of this, played a central role in the emerging science underpinning climate modification and geoengineering initiatives. A key focus of discussion was the use of stratospheric aerosols linked to the innovative ideas of Mikhail Budyko and colleagues. This work had its origins in what has been termed the theory of aerosol climatic catastrophe, which gained prominence in the Soviet context during the early 1970s. Following the breakup of the Soviet Union, the ideas of Budyko concerning the use of stratospheric aerosols were advanced by Yuri Izrael and his collaborators. The associated body of work gained traction during the 2000s and engendered a wider debate concerning the efficacy of geoengineering solutions amongst Russia's climate scientists. The legacies of this scientific discussion are also evident in recent high-level international debates such as those linked to the activities of the IPCC. While significant geopolitical obstacles remain in the way of an international agreement linked to the possible deployment of geoengineering measures, interest continues to grow. The maturity of Russian science in the area of geoengineering and climate modification ensures that it remains an important voice within the broader scientific debate. At the same time, the progressive isolation of Russian science from the international scene due to wider geopolitical events risks deflecting attention away from contemporary popular and political debate in this area and alienating this rich scientific tradition at a critical juncture.

https://wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.829

Sceptical diplomacy: Should heads of state bother to talk climate change science with Putin?

This policy brief illustrates how the Russian top leadership discusses climate change and responds to interventions and efforts made by other countries’ leaders and high-level diplomats on the topic of climate change. The policy brief presents one data set examining the distribution of the Kremlin’s attention to the issue and one illustration of Russian participation in international science diplomacy, using the example of the IPCC. The aim is to make recommendations as to how diplomats and politicians can, in order to foster more fruitful diplomatic exchange, better utilize the flexibility of climate change discourse within Russia and Russia/Soviet Union’s longstanding contributions to international climate science.

View article
https://scholar.google.no/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=R8P1Z60AAAAJ&cstart=20&pagesize=80&sortby=pubdate&citation_for_view=R8P1Z60AAAAJ%3ARYcK_YlVTxYC

K historii ruske klimatologie #Rusko #historie


Climate science, Russian politics, and the framing of climate change
Elana Wilson Rowe

Historical studies have shown how Soviet scientists figured in politics in unexpected ways. However, little research has been done on the interplay between scientific expert knowledge and contemporary Russian policymaking. This article reviews existing research on a question central to understanding Russia's positions on climate change: What is the relationship between expert knowledge and politics in Russia today? We first address the narratives and practices that have emerged around environmental problems and the science–policy interface in Russia and the Soviet Union more generally and then provide a brief overview of Russia's international and domestic climate politics. How climate change has been framed in the Russian media and the role that scientists have played in these framings and in the Russian policymaking process more generally is then examined. Conceptually, this review draws upon scholarly work in Science and Technology Studies and international relations on the politics of scientific reception. WIREs Clim Change 2013, 4:457–465. doi: 10.1002/wcc.235

https://wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wcc.235