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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    collapse now and avoid the rush ,)

    Delší sucho se v ČR podepisuje i na lesích, 60 procent z nich trpí vysokým stresem - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/delsi-sucho-se-v-cr-podepisuje-i-na-lesich-60-pct-z-nich-trpi-vysokym-stresem
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    A catastrophic climate event is upon us. Here is why you’ve heard so little about it | George Monbiot | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/apr/23/catastrophic-climate-event-scientists-atlantic-system-collapse-billionaire-existential-crisis
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought | Oceans | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/15/critical-atlantic-current-significantly-more-likely-to-collapse-than-thought
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    XCHAOS: collapse is the solution ,)
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    inspirativni... brzy jiste i u nas

    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1CYp6kAs41/


    The Trump administration is attempting to dismantle the U.S. Forest Service. The goal is to cause constant chaos so you can’t follow what’s happening day to day. Here is what’s going on.

    BREAKING: The administration just announced a sweeping restructuring and it’s as bad as it sounds. Headquarters is leaving Washington D.C. for Salt Lake City. All nine regional offices are closing. More than 50 research facilities across 31 states are being eliminated. The regional system the agency has used since its founding in 1907 is gone.

    In their place 15 political “state directors,” embedded with the same state officials and industry groups that have long pushed for more logging and fewer protections mirroring the Bureau of Land Management model that public lands advocates have fought for decades.

    That puts 193 million acres (the largest public land system in the nation, bigger than Texas) under a structure designed for political access, not scientific stewardship.

    Forest Service Chief Tom Schultz framed it as getting “closer to the forests.” What it actually does is gut the career scientists and independent oversight that stood between those forests and the people who want to exploit them.

    Scientists won’t relocate en masse. Long-term studies, datasets, and research partnerships built over decades will collapse. Once that expertise walks out the door, it doesn’t come back.

    The Forest Service was built by Theodore Roosevelt and Gifford Pinchot to keep professional, science-based management out of the hands of industry. That vision is being systematically dismantled not with a bang, but with a press release. 193 million acres. Gone from federal protection in all but name.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    az 2030, tak nohy hore



    Our National Food Security is at Risk - by Rupert Read
    https://rupertsreads.substack.com/p/our-national-food-security-is-at

    The contents of a secret U.K. Govt report on Britain’s ‘critical systems’ and their grave vulnerability have just been made public by The Times and The Sunday Times.

    The report was stark in its findings:

    “Britain’s food security…could be “at strategic risk of catastrophic failure” by 2030”.

    Food was only one of the critical systems analysed in the report, and found to be at risk of collapse from the end of the decade, >unless< collectively we change course to a safer, more resilient path.
    ROGER_WILCO
    ROGER_WILCO --- ---
    Models are highly confident on a Blue Ocean Event this summer.
    Reddit - The heart of the internet
    https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1rl7z9m/models_are_highly_confident_on_a_blue_ocean_event/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TADEAS: related

    Antarctica just saw fastest glacier collapse ever recorded
    Antarctica’s Hektoria Glacier lost nearly half its ice in just 2 months after lifting off a flat seabed and shattering apart
    Such events could accelerate global sea level rise much faster than predicted

    Antarctica just saw the fastest glacier collapse ever recorded | ScienceDaily
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/02/260226042454.htm
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Suicide (Paperback) – JUST RELEASED – Revolution in the 21st Century
    https://rev21.earth/product/suicide/

    From a cell in Wayland Prison, Roger Hallam—farmer, researcher, and co-founder of Just Stop Oil—delivers a searing indictment of a legal system that punishes those who resist, while protecting those who destroy. In July 2024, Hallam was dragged from a British courtroom for refusing to stay silent about the climate crisis. For “conspiracy to cause a public nuisance,” he was sentenced to five years in prison, the harshest punishment for civil disobedience in the UK in modern British history. The case made front-page news and drew global outcry.

    Suicide is part memoir, part political reckoning. Drawing on Hallam’s award-winning research and experience representing himself in four Crown Court trials, it lays bare the moral and legal failures of a society sleepwalking into catastrophe. From climate science and the right of necessity, to the collapse of democratic norms and the illusions of secular reason, this is a radical call to rethink justice, truth, and duty in the face of extinction.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    A New Calculation of Global Trends. Are we Close to Collapse?
    https://senecaeffect.substack.com/p/a-new-calculation-of-global-trends

    Here, Berndt Warm describes an update based on the “World3” model, directly based on the German case and on the idea that motor vehicles are a “proxy” for the whole economic system.

    Warm’s main result is shown at the beginning of this post. The world’s industrial system appears to be at the peak, while the global decline of population is expected to start around 2030. Don’t take this, or any other model-based scenarios, as prophecies; they are extrapolations of the existing data based on reasonable assumptions.

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    IEA, NO PROGRESS ON COAL CONSUMPTION TO 2030

    International Energy Agency, Coal 2025.

    2030 World coal consumption 55% higher than 2000, and the same as 2020.

    China 2030 projected same as 2020.

    China's big 2020 jump is maintained

    World headed for climatic biospere collapse fast.

    https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/113a8274-500c-4684-951f-947d25bef3c9/Coal2025.pdf

    FB-IMG-1771415699915
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    R Hallam

    Isn't this also treason - only publish a "partial" version of a report of the greatest ever threat to the UK state? Again - just saying - obviously people will say in 2026 calling it treason is bonkers, but then in 2036 won't people be saying it's bonkers that anyone cannot see that it is treason?
    "On that, the UK’s Joint Intelligence Committee, on which heads of MI5 and MI6 sit, would surely agree. Last month, a partial version of its national security assessment of global biodiversity loss was published, and it came with a stark warning: some ecosystems will start to collapse “by 2030 or sooner”, posing an immediate threat to national security, prosperity, food systems and public health. There won’t be enough water for people to drink or food to eat; livelihoods will be lost; displacement and migration will accelerate, and geopolitical competition for resources will intensify."

    Biodiversity collapse threatens UK security, intelligence chiefs warn | Biodiversity | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/20/biodiversity-collapse-threatens-uk-security-intelligence-chiefs-warn
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Governments must fix ‘faulty radar’ in economic climate models as storm approaches, scientists warn - Carbon Tracker Initiative
    https://carbontracker.org/governments-must-fix-faulty-radar-in-economic-climate-models-as-storm-approaches-scientists-warn/

    Flawed economic models mean climate crisis could crash global economy, experts warn | Green economy | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/05/flawed-economic-models-mean-climate-crisis-could-crash-global-economy-experts-warn



    This report by the Carbon Tracker Initiative and the University of Exeter makes clear that the economic modeling currently employed by many governments, regulators, and financial managers greatly underestimates the potential impacts of climate change. What this means is that we are speeding towards Armageddon while wearing rose-tinted glasses.

    - - - - - - - - - -

    "Flawed economic models mean the accelerating impact of the climate crisis could lead to a global financial crash, experts warn.

    Recovery would be far harder than after the 2008 financial crash, they said, as “we can’t bail out the Earth like we did the banks”.

    As the world speeds towards 2C of global heating, the risks of extreme weather disasters and climate tipping points are increasing fast. But current economic models used by governments and financial institutions entirely miss such shocks, the researchers said, instead forecasting that steady economic growth will be slowed only by gradually rising average temperatures. This is because the models assume the future will behave like the past, despite the burning of fossil fuels pushing the climate system into uncharted territory.

    Tipping points, such as the collapse of critical Atlantic currents or the Greenland ice sheet, would have global consequences for society. Some are thought to be at, or very close to, their tipping points but the timing is difficult to predict. Combined extreme weather disasters could wipe out national economies, the researchers, from the University of Exeter and financial thinktank Carbon Tracker Initiative, said.

    Their report concludes governments, regulators and financial managers must pay far more attention to these high impact but lower likelihood risks, because avoiding irreversible outcomes by cutting carbon emissions is far cheaper than trying to cope with them.

    “We’re not dealing with manageable economic adjustments,” said Dr Jesse Abrams, at the University of Exeter. “The climate scientists we surveyed were unambiguous: current economic models can’t capture what matters most – the cascading failures and compounding shocks that define climate risk in a warmer world – and could undermine the very foundations of economic growth.”

    “For financial institutions and policymakers, it’s a fundamental misreading of the risks we face,” he said. “We are thinking about something like a 2008 [crash], but one we can’t recover from as well. Once we have ecosystem breakdown or climate breakdown, we can’t bail out the Earth like we did the banks.”

    Mark Campanale, CEO of Carbon Tracker, said: “The net result of flawed economic advice is widespread complacency amongst investors and policymakers. There’s a tendency in certain government departments to trivialise the impacts of climate on the economy so as to avoid making difficult choices today. This is a big problem – the consequences of delay are catastrophic.”

    Hetal Patel, at Phoenix Group, which manages about £300bn of long-term investments for its customers, said: “Underestimating physical risk doesn’t just distort investment decisions, it underplays the real‑world consequences that will ultimately affect society as a whole.”

    Actuaries predicted in 2025 that the global economy could face a 50% loss in GDP between 2070 and 2090 from catastrophic climate shocks, far higher than previously estimated.

    The new report drew on expert judgments from 68 climate scientists from research institutions and government agencies in the UK, US, China and nine other countries. A key finding was that while economic modelling traditionally links climate damages to changes in average temperatures, societies and markets suffer most from extremes, such as heatwaves, floods and droughts.

    Another finding was that GDP can mask the full cost of climate damage by failing to account for deaths and ill health, social disruption and degraded ecosystems. GDP can actually increase after disasters owing to spending on recovery, the researchers added.

    They said that rather than waiting for perfect models of risk, greater emphasis should be placed on extremes, not just central estimates, and on the vulnerability of the entire financial system. Investors should also speed up the move away from fossil fuels as a fiduciary duty to avoid large future losses, said Campanale.

    Current economic models can give estimates of losses that look precise but which the scientists said were wildly optimistic. “Some are saying we’ll have a 10% GDP loss at between 3C and 4C degrees [of global heating], but the physical climate scientists are saying the economy and society will cease to function as we know it. That’s a big mismatch,” Abrams said.

    Laurie Laybourn, at the Strategic Climate Risks Initiative, said: “We are currently living through a paradigm shift in the speed, scale and severity of risks driven by the climate-nature crisis. Yet many regulations and government actions are dangerously out of touch with reality.” - Damian Carrington
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapseand national security - A national security assessment

    Nature security assessment on global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security - GOV.UK
    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/nature-security-assessment-on-global-biodiversity-loss-ecosystem-collapse-and-national-security

    This assessment is an analysis of how global biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse could affect UK national security.

    It shows how environmental degradation can disrupt food, water, health and supply chains, and trigger wider geopolitical instability. It identifies 6 ecosystems of strategic importance for the UK and explores how their decline could drive cascading global impacts.

    This assessment, which was developed by analysts and experts across HM Government, supports long-term resilience planning. Publishing the assessment highlights opportunities for innovation, green finance and global partnerships that can drive growth while safeguarding the ecosystems that underpin our collective security and prosperity.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    BOREC: collapse is the solution
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: aneb naznaky klimatickeho povstani, pro mainstream levicova anarchie.


    We can no longer afford the rich.
    We can initiate the end of the imperial lifestyle.
    We can stop the plundering of the Earth.
    In the greed for energy, the Earth is being drained, sucked dry, burned, abused, razed, raped, and destroyed. Entire regions are rendered uninhabitable by the heat. They simply burn up. Or habitats disappear beneath the waves during floods or due to rising sea levels.
    Shutting down fossil fuel power plants is a task that can be accomplished by hand. Have courage.
    We know we must interrupt this destruction. We know we are not alone. Don't give up hope for a world where life has space, not the greed for money, power, and destruction.

    ...

    Last year, the CO₂ concentration in the atmosphere rose to 423.9 parts per million, a value that surpasses all previous records. At the same time, climate scientists agree that the massive transatlantic ocean currents will collapse sooner or later due to global warming. This collapse of ocean currents, which has so far afforded the North a mild climate, is only one part of the catastrophe that awaits us. The extent of this devastation is simply ignored, abstracted, and discussed at global climate conferences until the scale of the destruction disappears into tables and declarations of intent.
    But the insatiable hunger for energy is eating its way through the Earth's crust and our lives, among other things to feed artificial intelligence, which then spouts stereotypes and absurdities, confusing, disorienting, and/or manipulating us. Meanwhile, with each new "learning" of the AI ​​using previous data, language, expression, and vitality are increasingly reduced, mutilated, and limited.

    ...

    We don't claim to know the way out. But we do know we must stop this destruction. Hedonism can no longer hold us captive once we've tasted the sweat of fear that spreads when there's no way out. No going forward, no going back. Only the horror of where we, as humanity, have ended up. When the question falls back on us, what did you actually do to prevent what was coming? You saw it coming, the survivors, the next generations, ask us. Please don't bring up the political parties. Please don't bring up the brown-shirted alternatives in pinstriped suits and dresses. And not the Greens or the Left either. Don't bring up the economy, whose free market will supposedly solve the problem. Economics and politics deal with death every day. With dictatorships and butchers. Their concerns vanish into thin air when it comes to satisfying our energy needs, for example. Russia is still supplying gas to Europe via Nord Stream 1. And the US wants Venezuela's oil. That's why military attacks are now taking place. And fracked gas arrives by ship from all over the world. Currently, 79% comes from the USA! Fracking is extremely environmentally damaging in its production. Even during extraction, a methane loss of 6 to 10 percent is assumed, which further warms the atmosphere.

    95% of the gas burned in Germany is imported. At climate summits, only tactical lip service is forthcoming because the oil-producing countries are not interested in climate protection but in money. Because the major cities base their policies on money and growth, lobbyists in Europe are being handed the end of the combustion engine phase-out.

    For example, the German Minister of Economic Affairs, Katharina Reiche, was State Secretary in the Federal Ministry of Transport, a lobbyist for the Association of Municipal Enterprises (VKM), and a manager at the E.ON subsidiary Westenergie. Minister Reiche presents herself as a supporter of hydrogen but primarily relies on natural gas. She intends to issue tenders for additional gas-fired power plants with a capacity of 10 gigawatts, which are to be connected to the grid by 2031, corresponding to approximately 25 new power plants. 20 billion euros are earmarked for these new gas-fired power plants.

    Reiche would prefer to postpone Germany's climate neutrality target from 2045 to 2050 anyway.

    The main culprits behind human-induced climate destruction are not those who suffer the most, those who pay with their health and their lives. The people of the Global South are already paying the highest price. The countries of the Global North, and soon China among others, are deciding the fate of everyone. China, as a communist, racist, and patriarchal dictatorship, can use "rare earth elements" to blackmail countries that don't toe the line, gradually weaving countries, cultures, and political systems into the cocoon of this new dictatorial world power. Over 85% of the world's refined "rare earth elements" come from China. And it is the rich who are the problem. It is the super-rich who are setting the world ablaze. In the East, in the West, in the South, and in the North. Sixty percent of the super-rich's investments worldwide go into gas and oil. And around 300 super-rich countries emit more CO₂ than the 110 poorest countries in the world. These criminals know it. They don't care. Their greed for even more wealth and power sets the standard by which everyone else follows
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    AMOC collapse would like a word
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Are we on the Edge of Collapse? Impressive Data from a Recalibration of World3
    https://senecaeffect.substack.com/p/are-we-on-the-edge-of-collapse-impressive

    According to this model, the collapse of industrial production should start next year. Agricultural collapse will be at about the same time. Population should start collapsing a few years later, and pollution will reach a peak around 2080 at levels some three times higher than the current ones. If this is a good prediction, we are in for a rough ride, a VERY rough ride.

    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jiec.13442

    IOM_NUKSO
    IOM_NUKSO --- ---
    TADEAS: ode mne to chce subscribe, tak kdyz tak tady
    Acrucial system of ocean currents may be on course to collapse. This country just declared it a national security threat
    https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/15/climate/iceland-warming-current-amoc-collapse-threat

    In September, Iceland’s National Security Council designated the current’s potential collapse as a national security risk, marking the first time a climate impact has received this designation in the country.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
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