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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Much chatter, little impact: Net zero reference slipped into German constitution - Euractiv
    https://www.euractiv.com/section/eet/news/germany-climate-law-legislation/

    BERLIN – As part of the deal over Germany's massive defence and infrastructure spending package, the Greens managed to write spending earmarks with a reference to climate neutrality into the country's constitution.

    Champions and critics of climate action alike have been trying to play up the significance of adding in a mention of Germany's 2045 net-zero goal, although legal experts largely see the change as lacking broader legal significance.

    The amendment to Article 143 of the Basic Law, Germany's constitution, allows for “a special fund with its own credit authorization for additional investments in infrastructure and for additional investments to achieve climate neutrality by 2045, with a volume of up to €500 billion.”

    One line in the paragraph specifically sets aside €100 billion in an off-budget special fund for climate projects toward bringing emissions down to net zero, a goal already set down in Germany's Climate Action Act.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Germany’s Merz secures breakthrough on gargantuan spending plan
    The apparent deal with the Greens paves the way for up to €1 trillion in new spending for defense and infrastructure.

    Germany’s Merz secures breakthrough on gargantuan spending plan – POLITICO
    https://www.politico.eu/article/germanys-merz-secures-breakthrough-on-historic-spending-plan/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    10 Years Since the Paris Agreement: What do the climate data show?
    https://youtu.be/xOYbDRHQF7k?si=fHvG7wk5mAAmU34W


    Professor Stefan Rahmstorf - Co-Head of Research Department on Earth System Analysis & Professor of Physics of the Oceans at the University of Potsdam, Germany bei Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    JIMIQ: nasiel som nejake konkretnejsie cisla k tym cenam aj odhadovanemu casu potrebnemu na restart, maju to rozdelene na kategorie

    Restarting Germany’s Reactors: Feasibility and Schedule
    https://www.radiantenergygroup.com/reports/restarting-germanys-reactors-feasibility-and-schedule
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Jiri Jerabek

    Co slibují německé strany ve volbách v energetice a klimatu? 🇩🇪💚⚡
    Klimatickou neutralitu a rozvoj OZE chtějí všechny kromě AFD. EU ETS 2 a brzký konec uhlí podporuje také většina. Oživení jádra moc silné zastoupení nemá, analyzovat to chtějí CDU a hodně to chtějí AFD. Širší podporu má zrušení národní regulace týkající se budoucího zákazu vytápění plynem, či odsunutí zákazu spalováků. 3 strany navrhují omezení rycholosti na dálnícich.
    -
    1) CDU/CSU
    Klimatická neutralita do roku 2045 (ale hospodárněji, made in Germany a s nižší cenou energie)
    Uhlí do roku 2038, případné urychlení nevylučují, ale podmiňují ekonomickou proveditelností.
    Chtějí umožnit produkci spalovacích motorů na e-paliva i po 2035.
    Chtějí prověřit technické a finanční možnosti obnovení provozu nedávno odstavených jaderných elektráren
    Podporuji EU ETS2, ale výnosy se nemají přerozdělovat do zahraničí.
    2) SPD
    Klimatická neutralita do roku 2045.
    Kompenzace pro nízkopříjmové skupiny a úpravy cen energií tak, aby dopady transformace nebyly neúnosné.
    ETS 2: s jasnými kompenzacemi pro domácnosti.
    Konec spalovacích motorů: 2035.
    Jaderná energetika: Trvají na jejím definitivním ukončení.
    Tempolimit: 130 km/h
    3) Zelení
    Usilují o odklon od uhlí už do roku 2030 a tvrdí, že reálná dekarbonizace průmyslu i dopravy může přijít dříve než 2045.
    Podporují rychlejší a výraznější zavedení ETS 2 i vyšší uhlíkovou daň.
    Konec spalovacích aut: 2035, ideálně by jej ještě uspíšili.
    Jaderná energetika: Jasné odmítnutí.
    Tempolimit: 130 km/h
    4) FDP
    Klimaneutralitu posunout na 2050
    ETS 2: Podporují rozšíření obchodování s emisemi na dopravu a vytápění, preferují tento tržní nástroj před „zákazy a omezeními“
    Konec spalovacích aut: Nesouhlasí s plošným zákazem
    Jaderná energetika: chtějí výstabu jádra nové generace či fůzi
    5) Levice
    Požadují vracení výnosů z emisních povolenek přímo lidem (uhlíková dividenda).
    Konec spalovacích aut: 2035, ale chtějí finanční podporu pro sociálně slabší,
    Jaderná energetika: Jednoznačně proti návratu k jádru.
    6) AfD
    Odmítnutí klimatické politiky: Zpochybňují lidský vliv na změnu klimatu.
    Stop „Energiewende“: Požadují posílení klasických zdrojů energie (uhlí, zemní plyn), otevřeně podporují také jadernou energetiku.
    Konec spalovacích aut: Rezolutní nesouhlas - ohrožení automobilového průmyslu a svobody jednotlivce.
    7) Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
    Klimatická politika nesmí nepřiměřeně zatěžovat nízkopříjmové domácnosti a pracující třídu. Chtějí státní kontrolu cen energií a odmítají růst nákladů na benzín či vytápění bez dostupné alternativy.
    Považují jednostranné zaměření na obnovitelné zdroje a elektrifikaci za riskantní.
    Jaderná energetika: proti
    Emisní povolenky (ETS 2): Kritizují jejich dopad na domácnosti a považují jejich rozšíření za problematické.
    BSW podporuje rozvoj energetických družstev a lokálních řešení, která zahrnují komunitní fotovoltaiku aj.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Lehce k programu AfD

    The AfD Program:
    - Withdrawal from the EU
    - Exit the Euro (€)
    - Reversal of the transformation to renewable energies
    - Reversing the phase-out of coal and nuclear power
    - Withdrawal from Nato
    - Expel all foreigners (as Hitler's Germany planned and did)

    This is the party Elon said will save Germany - unbelievable.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    SCHWEPZ: vetrny turbiny prece zpusobily ten pozar v LA. predpovedeli to uz simpsonovi



    Thousands protest at far-right AfD rally as German election campaign begins | The Independent
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-germany-election-alice-weidel-elon-musk-wind-turbines-b2677965.html

    AfD would tear down all wind turbines – which she described as “windmills of shame” – if it came to power
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Hm, hodne smutny. AfD, ktera otevrene koketuje s neonacismem, je masivne podporovana Ruskem a Naomi Seibt je fosilni lobby podporovana jako tzv Anti-Greta, pozdjie taky aktivni v anti-vax scene. Smutnej vyvoj a nebezpecnej. Nemam z toho ani trochu dobrej pocit. Zatim to vypada, ze druhej mandat Trumpa bude jeste vetsi katastrofa nez ten prvni. A bohuzel nejen pro USA:

    Elon Musk @elonmusk
    Only the AfD can save Germany

    @SeibtNaomi
    🚨🇩🇪CHANCELLOR FRONTRUNNER SLAMS MUSK & MILEI❗️
    The presumptive next chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) is horrified by the idea that Germany should follow Elon Musk’s and Javier Milei’s example.
    He staunchly rejects a pro-freedom approach and refuses any discussion with the AfD.
    Show more
    ...
    x.com
    https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869986946031988780
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Climate crisis leaves European farmers vulnerable to far right, say campaigners | Europe | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/04/climate-crisis-europe-farmers-vulnerable-far-right

    In recent years, farmers in western Europe have fought with increasing ferocity against policies to protect the planet that they say cost them too much. From the Netherlands, where the backlash has been strongest, to Belgium, France, Spain, Ireland, Germany and the UK, protests have led to convoys of tractors clogging roads and ports, farmer-led occupations of capital cities and even cows being herded into the offices of government ministers.

    These movements have been fuelled by the genuine grievances of farmers, who say that the burden of paying more for their pollution is a step too far, after an energy crisis and pandemic left many struggling to make ends meet. They say they feel overburdened by rules and undervalued by city dwellers, who eat the food they grow without any interest in where it came from.

    ...

    Richard Seymour, whose latest book, Disaster Nationalism, examines how the far-right is capitalising on economic shocks and climate chaos, small farmers reeling from the blows of globalisation, a changing climate, and high energy prices is part of a wider trend.

    Seymour said: “For farmers there’s all of this resentment requiring a target. But many of the things that are causing the harm – globalisation, capitalism, climate change – are abstract; you can’t take climate change to court, you can’t shoot globalisation … But conspiracy theories and far-right narratives allow you to identify some specific individuals or groups – cultural Marxists, globalists, Muslims – who are doing you down, that is the appeal.”

    “Downwardly mobile” farmers – those that have seen their living standards and social standing decline during their lifetimes – are particularly susceptible, according to Seymour. “The toxic feeling of failure, the feeling of being buffeted by these global forces, the feeling you have been abandoned, betrayed, when you traditionally had some sort of status, that is a toxic mix and that is where the far right comes in.”
    SCHWEPZ
    SCHWEPZ --- ---
    Německo schválilo plány na výstavbu vodíkové sítě za přibližně 19 miliard eur, v přepočtu zhruba 459 miliard korun. Návrhy tamních provozovatelů přenosových soustav počítají s tím, že vodíková síť bude kompletně zprovozněna už do roku 2032. Projekt má zemi pomoci s dosažením klimatické neutrality do roku 2045.

    Délka německé vodíkové sítě má dosahovat na 9 040 kilometrů a očekává se, že bude plně funkční již do osmi let. Má propojit i klíčová průmyslová centra včetně důležitých výrobců oceli, kteří v posledních letech pracují na dekarbonizaci své výroby, píše agentura Bloomberg.

    Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-22/germany-approves-plans-for-19-billion-hydrogen-network?srnd=homepage-europe
    Investice za půl bilionu. Německo schválilo plány na vybudování vodíkové sítě - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/nemecko-vodik-infrastruktura-investice-sit-plynovod-naklady.A241023_131937_eko-zahranicni_jla
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    meanwhile:
    x.com
    https://x.com/GeoRebekah/status/1843380512020410673
    Rebekah Jones
    @GeoRebekah
    Double, triple and quadruple checked it.

    Number of extra-tropical systems maintaining tropical storm wind speed and hurricane features through France and into Germany since 1851:

    0.
    Null.
    Zéro.

    By Thursday, that number will be 1.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    20 let staré studie (níže), tedy dnes nepříliš relevatní, vzhledem k obrovskému posunu v klimatologii, ale jen pro kontext.
    Těch faktorů je samozřejmě více, ale pakliže má člověk povědomí o tom jak planetární systémy fungují a jsou ovlivněny, tak je zkrátka realitou, že jakýkoliv extrém je dnes amplifikován globálním ohříváním - ať už mluvíme o síle nebo četnosti.

    Ač se energetická bilance opravdu rozjela až v začátcích 21. století, tan surplus byl obrovský již na přelomu století


    Summer Floods in Central Europe – Climate Change Track? (2005)
    In Central Europe, river flooding has been recently recognized as a major hazard, in
    particular after the 1997 Odra /Oder flood, the 2001 Vistula flood, and the most destructive
    2002 deluge on the Labe/Elbe.

    Having observed that flood risk and vulnerability are likely to have grown in many areas,
    one is curious to understand the reasons for growth. These can be sought in socio-economic
    domain (humans encroaching into floodplain areas), terrestrial systems
    (land-cover changes – urbanization, deforestation, reduction of wetlands, river regulation),
    and climate system.
    The atmospheric capacity to absorb moisture, its potential water content, and thus
    potential for intense precipitation, are likely to increase in a warmer climate.

    General acceleration of hydrological cycle in the warming world, observed already to
    some extent and projected in the future to a larger extent, leads to the con-
    clusion that intense summer precipitation events could be on the rise.
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-004-4547-6


    The central European floods of August 2002: Part 2 - Synoptic causes and considerations with respect to climatic change (2003)
    The Elbe flood of August 2002 was caused by extreme rainfall in a large area. The associated
    circulation pattern was rather typical of previous flood events both in recent years and in
    the more distant past.

    The model simulations consid ered suggest that their frequency might increase in the future.

    According to Fricke and Kaminski (2001) an increase of days with extreme precipitation can
    already be observed in the long station time-series of the Hohenpeissenberg Observatory
    in southern Germany.

    This seems to agree with the trends produced in simulations of anthropogenic climate change.
    https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/32832/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tak muzem ty Evropsky automobilky jeste vic podusit, zvednout si nezamestnanost a jeji implikace (kriminalita, ...) a nechat se udolat Asijskou konkurenci, vcetne bezpecnostnich rizik 'connected cars' z nich vyplyvajicich, nebo ten svet proste nechame horet dal.

    Kdo vi, napovi.

    Germany joins Italy to call for earlier revision of CO2 targets for cars – Euractiv
    https://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/germany-joins-italy-to-call-for-earlier-revision-of-co2-targets-for-cars/

    If the revision were brought forward, it could allow changes to carmakers’ current 2025 deadline to reduce the average emissions of their newly sold cars by 15%. The industry fears this obligation could lead to multiple billion euro fines as of next year.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    kdo chvili stal, uz stoji opodal

    ‘A very serious situation’: Volkswagen could close plants in Germany for the first time in history
    https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/02/investing/volkswagen-factory-closure-germany
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    Hops for beer flourish under solar panels. They're not the only crop thriving in the shade. | AP News
    https://apnews.com/article/climate-beer-solar-panels-hops-germany-ee3d00a1877837eb85053335e3b68a00
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    pocasie musi narusovat masovu ludovu zabavu, aby si to uvedomilo co najviac ludi :)

    Germany vs Denmark Match, temporarily suspended due to weather and thunderstorms #germany #denmark
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uxmqrTslWrQ
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Eight climate activists arrested in Germany over airport protest | Germany | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/18/climate-activists-arrested-germany-munich-airport
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    :))

    Fossil Fuel Companies Build Structures To Hide Methane Flaring From Satellites - CleanTechnica
    https://cleantechnica.com/2024/05/03/fossil-fuel-companies-build-structures-to-hide-methane-flaring-from-satellites/

    According to a report in The Guardian, oil and gas equipment intended to cut methane emissions is preventing scientists from accurately detecting greenhouse gases and pollutants, a satellite image investigation has revealed. In the US, UK, Germany, and Norway, they have installed technology that could stop researchers from identifying methane, carbon dioxide emissions, and pollutants at industrial facilities that regularly employ flaring.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    How climate policies are becoming focus for far-right attacks in Germany | Germany | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/30/how-climate-policies-are-becoming-focus-for-far-right-attacks-in-germany
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: “Our analysis shows that climate change will cause massive economic damages within the next 25 years in almost all countries around the world, also in highly-developed ones such as Germany, France and the United States,” says PIK scientist Leonie Wenz who led the study. ”These near-term damages are a result of our past emissions. We will need more adaptation efforts if we want to avoid at least some of them. And we have to cut down our emissions drastically and immediately – if not, economic losses will become even bigger in the second half of the century, amounting to up to 60% on global average by 2100. This clearly shows that protecting our climate is much cheaper than not doing so, and that is without even considering non-economic impacts such as loss of life or biodiversity.”

    38 trillion dollars in damages each year: World economy already committed to income reduction of 19 % due to climate change — Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
    https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/38-trillion-dollars-in-damages-each-year-world-economy-already-committed-to-income-reduction-of-19-due-to-climate-change
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