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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective
    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."

    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.

    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Facebook
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1Fz7JAoznf/

    The rate of the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) increase and global Ocean Heat Content (OHC) increase (mostly to deep into the uppermost 2000 meter layer) more than doubled starting in ~2017 and is related to the strong El Niño (EN) of 2015-2016. With the 2026-2027 EN looking like it will be stronger by a large margin, the inference is that this could lead to a sharp additional rise in the rate of global OHC increase and of the EEI around 2028. If that is the case then a larger average global 2 m height air temperature increase is already baked in unless we drastically and very rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and existing atmospheric concentrations.

    The sharp increase and subsequent acceleration in global OHC starting in ~2017 is primarily driven by accelerating atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and the accumulation of Earth's excess thermal energy deep within the ocean layers. Because the world's oceans absorb more than 90% of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases, full-depth OHC acts as the primary indicator of global warming, experiencing less year-to-year fluctuation from temporary weather events than surface temperatures do.

    Scientists point to several overlapping factors that explain the distinct surge around 2017:

    1. The planet experienced one of the most powerful El Niño events on record between 2015 and 2016. During an El Niño, vast amounts of ocean heat are released into the atmosphere, causing atmospheric surface temperatures to spike. Once that cycle ended, the ocean surface cooled slightly, but the ongoing global energy imbalance meant the oceans immediately resumed absorbing massive amounts of heat. Instead of staying at the surface, this heat was mixed and stored deep into the 0–2000 meter layers.

    2. According to findings published by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), the sharp spike in 2017 was not uniform across the planet. An unusually massive amount of thermal energy was deposited into the Atlantic Ocean and the Southern Ocean, pushing full OHC to record-breaking thresholds—absorbing an extra 1.51 x 10^22 Joules compared to previous baselines.

    3. Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirmed that 2017 saw atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations hit 405 parts per million (ppm), which was the highest in modern recorded history. Currently it is 427 to 429 ppm. As these gases trap more energy, Earth’s energy imbalance worsens, forcing the oceans to continually uptake greater quantities of heat at a much faster rate.

    4. According to data tracked by NASA’s Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO), the upper 200 meters of the ocean saw a pronounced acceleration in heat content right after 2017. This acceleration means that the ocean is warming more than twice as fast over the last decade compared to previous decades.

    Because water has a much higher heat capacity than air (the oceans have a total heat capacity about 1,000 times that of the atmosphere) the oceans act as Earth's primary climate buffer.

    In 2025, ocean heat content (OHC) set yet another consecutive record high, storing an immense volume of energy.

    The oceans absorb about 90% of the EEI while EEI is accelerating. While the total amount of heat the ocean absorbs is skyrocketing - because the total EEI is accelerating - the 90% share is projected to remain relatively stable in the near future, though subtle shifts are possible.

    The absolute velocity of heat absorption is accelerating. Due to rising greenhouse gases and declining global reflectivity (albedo) from melting ice and fewer marine clouds, the Earth's total energy imbalance has dramatically widened. 👉The rate of ocean warming has effectively quadrupled over the past four decades.👈

    As the top layer of the ocean warms, it becomes less dense than the cold water beneath it, leading to increased stratification (layering). This makes it harder for the ocean to mix. If the warm surface layer cannot efficiently transport heat down into the deep ocean, the surface layer will heat up even faster. Over a long timeframe, this could decrease the ocean’s efficiency as a heat sink, leaving a slightly higher fraction of heat to remain in the atmosphere and accelerate land warming.

    Large -scale ocean currents like the AMOC act as a conveyor belt that pushes heat into the deep ocean. Climate models indicate that as fresh meltwater from glaciers flows into the sea, the AMOC may weaken. A weaker conveyor belt alters regional heat uptake patterns and reduces how effectively the deep ocean stores excess energy.

    While the ocean’s heat absorption remains high, its carbon dioxide absorption is a different story. The ocean absorbs about 25–30% of human-emitted CO2. However, warmer water physically holds less dissolved gas. Scientists have observed that the ocean’s carbon sink capacity is showing signs of weakening during extreme heat years. If the ocean absorbs less CO2, atmospheric CO2 will rise faster, widening the EEI and forcing the ocean to absorb even more heat.

    More: https://ecco-group.org/ohc.htm

    FB-IMG-1788898857647
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TADEAS: ty ledovce jsou evidentně bezprostřední část průšvihu a nastane to třeba i v Evropě v Alpách... další pak bude růst hladiny moří, to budu scény jako z toho Nepálu, akorát z pobřeží (taky se to vlastně už místy děje, ale zatím jen tam, kde třeba mírný růst podemele kus břehu...)

    Každopádně podle mě je ten klíčový moment, že je to potřeba přestat bagatelizovat.
    Climate crisis could be destabilising mountain areas like Nepal, experts warn | Nepal-Tibet flood disaster | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/27/climate-crisis-mountain-areas-glaciers-nepal-tibet
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    OMNIHASH: no to je snad jasny, akorat, kdyz se ti otepluje, tak ta sance se krapet zvysuje...

    January 21, 2026
    University of Portsmouth
    Mountain regions around the world are heating up faster than the lands below them, triggering dramatic shifts in snow, rain, and water supply that could affect over a billion people. A major global review finds that rising temperatures are turning snowfall into rain, shrinking glaciers, and making mountain weather more extreme and unpredictable. These changes threaten water sources for huge populations, including those in China and India, while also increasing risks of floods, ecosystem collapse, and deadly weather events.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Climate crisis could be destabilising mountain areas like Nepal, experts warn | Nepal-Tibet flood disaster | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/27/climate-crisis-mountain-areas-glaciers-nepal-tibet
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    zabalit posledni ledovcovou vodu...

    https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/glaciers-permafrost/dozens-of-swiss-glaciers-are-likely-to-disappear-this-summer/91892119

    20 to 30 Swiss glaciers could disappear this summer

    Switzerland is on course for its second-most severe glacier melt on record.Small glaciers are especially vulnerable, with around 20–30 potentially losing their remaining ice completely.

    The severe melt is driven by little winter snow and intense heat early in the summer.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    fake news!

    The Trump administration has... - Alt National Park Service
    https://www.facebook.com/share/1DKzeHHfeh/

    The Trump administration has pulled federal funding for the Arctic Report Card, an annual scientific assessment that has tracked the rapidly changing Arctic for the past two decades. This report documents what is actually happening across one of the fastest-warming regions on Earth disappearing sea ice, shrinking snow cover, thinning glaciers, changing ecosystems, expanding vegetation and increasingly severe wildfires.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Tak uz nepomahaj zachranit svet ani bily plachty na ledovcich..

    Last week in the Alps the freezing temperatures stayed above freezing even at the highest peaks like Mont Blanc, 4,800m!
    All Alpine #glaciers were melting

    Sheets laid over the ice to protect from sun & heat felt like a veil draped over a dying patient

    Marco Lambertini on X: "Last week in the Alps the freezing temperatures stayed above freezing even at the highest peaks like Mont Blanc, 4,800m! All Alpine #glaciers were melting Sheets laid over th...
    https://x.com/i/status/2073783871884206238
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Snow and ice on Swiss glaciers melting at alarming rate amid heatwave, expert says | Glaciers | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jun/27/snow-and-ice-on-swiss-glaciers-melting-at-alarming-rate-amid-heatwave-expert-says

    Accumulation on Switzerland’s glaciers from last winter expected to all be gone by Monday amid ‘enormous’ melt rates across Alps.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Snow and ice on Swiss glaciers melting at alarming rate amid heatwave, expert says | Glaciers | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jun/27/snow-and-ice-on-swiss-glaciers-melting-at-alarming-rate-amid-heatwave-expert-says
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Europeans should learn to love the air-conditioner
    https://www.economist.com/europe/2026/06/18/europeans-should-learn-to-love-the-air-conditioner

    ❝ Americans and Europeans differ loudly on many issues, from health-care policy to gun-carrying etiquette. But a quieter division appears every summer when they visit each other’s continents. Europeans touring America complain that shops and restaurants are so frigidly air-conditioned as to require a jacket; step outside again and your glasses fog over. Yanks holidaying in Europe expect cool comfort, and grow surly on finding that many old-world buildings require them to sweat and bear it.

    The divide is rooted in both climate and culture. Long before General Electric began cooling using circulating chemicals, southern Europe was built to handle heat. In traditional houses, white paint and shaded courtyards keep things cool. Windows are thrown open and rooms aired in the mornings. Shutters keep out the midday sun, and siestas allow one to skip the hours when it is too hot to do much anyway. Europe’s southerners think coddled Americans don’t know how to cope with heat naturally. Northern Europe, meanwhile, is mostly spared the problem: June days can be cold enough for a Scandinavian knitted sweater. Flinty northern Protestants regard buying an air-conditioner for the year’s few scorchers as an expensive environmental sin.

    These days, climate change is putting such attitudes to the test. Europe is expecting a broiling summer, in part thanks to the El Niño weather event. As it is, heat contributes to around 175,000 deaths a year on the continent, the UN reckons. Yet Europeans who think first-world lifestyles are largely to blame for global warming may feel pangs of carbon guilt about equipping their houses with air-conditioning, or using it if they have it. They needn’t. The impressive build-out of renewable energy in Europe’s hottest places means that judiciously dialling down the temperature will not do much to melt the glaciers.

    Take Spain, where solar capacity has grown nearly tenfold in the past decade. Readers sweating it out in Seville can head to app.electricitymaps.com to reassure themselves: on June 10th a kilowatt-hour of Spanish electricity produced just 86 grams of CO2 equivalent. In the American state of Georgia the figure was 442. On a sunny summer day at noon, only about 10% of Spain’s electricity comes from fossil fuels; around half comes from solar. Portugal does just as well, and France better still, thanks to its dozens of nuclear reactors. Italy is a laggard, getting 30-40%of its electricity from gas. But its 224g of CO2 per kilowatt-hour is positively verdant next to much of America.

    Not all of Europe can congratulate itself. Poland remains heavily reliant on coal, making its electricity mix about as bad as America’s. Germany’s rash decision in 2011 to eliminate nuclear power left it dependent on coal and gas, producing three times as much CO2 per watt-hour as Spain. Britain, depending on the weather, falls between Italy and Iberia. There are also unexpected bright spots like Albania, which sometimes gets 100% of its electricity from hydroelectric dams. Latvia is the greenest of the Baltics, thanks to more solar power than you might expect.

    Climate morality aside, many on the old continent fret about how to pay for cranking up the aircon dial. Americans are roughly a third richer than Europeans, and to add insult to injury their household electricity costs about half as much. Even middle-class Europeans worry about a sudden bump in energy prices owing to an unexpected geopolitical crisis—say, a war in Iran.

    Yet European homes are smaller than American ones, and use about a third as much electricity on average. Moreover, the solar boom means that power is not just greener but cheaper on hot, sunny afternoons. Setting the dishwasher to run overnight (prices are generally highest around 9pm) can free up room in one’s budget to cool off the home before going to bed. Smart meters make this sort of demand-shifting easier. And astute governments offer funding to make old houses energy-efficient, which can pay for itself (provided they do not make the mistake of Italy’s “Superbonus” programme: failing to check that the renovations take place).

    The war in Iran has driven up fossil-fuel prices, but in parts of Europe (notably France and Spain) electricity bills have risen much less. That reflects smart policies. After the war in Ukraine many Europeans not only throttled their use of Russian gas, but reduced reliance on it in general. The countries that decarbonised fastest have reaped the greatest benefits. Voters might consider taking the revolutionary step of rewarding politicians who made good decisions. They are probably best equipped to bring Europe the vast expansion of power capacity it needs for the future.

    A chilling realisation

    To be sure, Europe faces an energy crunch. It must electrify industries to compete with China and expand its data centres, dwarfed by America’s, lest the artificial-intelligence revolution render it a vassal. That means better-connected electricity markets; France should let its reactors compete with Spanish solar farms. It means accelerating the build-up of battery storage, upgrading grids, and adding vastly more renewable energy. In this equation a bit more domestic air-conditioning is little more than a rounding error.

    For green politicians buffeted in recent years by falling support, a call to chill out in front of the AC may sound like surrender. That, however, is a script that ought to be flipped. It is precisely because climate-conscious governments have prodded Europe to quit fossil fuels that the continent’s electricity is becoming less harmful to the planet—and less expensive. As the world warms, Europe is heating up faster than any other region. Europeans poor and rich will be using more air conditioning, both to make lives more pleasant and in extreme cases to save them. Those who prefer to tough out the summer are free to do so. But the goal should be to make cheap, clean air-conditioning available to everyone. ❞
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    A landmark May 2026 study in Nature Climate Change (Duke/Fudan Universities) found that airborne microplastics are net warming agents — colored micro- and nanoplastics suspended in the atmosphere contribute to warming at a level equal to roughly 16% of that caused by black carbon (soot) (Gizmodo) . Dark or pigmented particles absorb up to 74.8 times more solar radiation than pristine clear plastic, and in regions like the North Pacific Garbage Patch, local warming from plastic rivals or exceeds that from soot. (Karmactive) Separately, microplastics also act as ice-nucleation seeds in clouds, triggering freezing at warmer-than-normal temperatures and potentially altering precipitation patterns and cloud cover globally. (psu) On glaciers, dark particles reduce surface reflectivity and accelerate melt. Storms amplify the problem: during typhoons, researchers recorded massive deposition events that redistribute ocean plastics onto land

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    ‘Planetary destruction on fast-forward’: witnessing the disappearance of Indonesia’s ‘eternity glaciers’ | Climate crisis | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/27/witnessing-the-disappearance-of-indonesia-eternity-glaciers

    An expedition to document the end days of the last tropical glaciers in Oceania has revealed sombre footage of “planetary destruction on fast-forward”.

    The once-mighty ice sheets on Puncak Jaya, a mountain surrounded by dense rainforests in West Papua, Indonesia, have survived beyond projections they would disappear by 2026 but have shrunk to a fraction of their original size.

    The most significant of the two remaining glaciers, which are known locally as “eternal snow” and referred to in English as the “eternity glaciers”, has lost 95% of its area since 2002, the expedition found.

    “The ice will be gone: it’s not a question of if, it’s a question of when,” said Klaus Thymann, a Danish explorer and the founder of Project Pressure, an environmental charity. “And ‘when’ is coming very, very soon.”

    Tropical glaciers are mostly found in the Andes, but also exist in East Africa and Indonesia. They are rapidly losing mass as fossil fuel pollution heats the planet and melts the ice.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    lyžujte než to roztajou

    Glaciers to reach peak rate of extinction in the Alps in eight years | Glaciers | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/dec/15/alpine-glaciers-rate-extinction-climate-crisis
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    SHEFIK: after all, why not?

    Switzerland’s glaciers have faced “enormous” melting this year with a 3% drop in total volume — the fourth-largest annual drop on record — due to the effects of global warming.

    The shrinkage this year means that ice mass in Switzerland — home to the most glaciers in Europe — has declined by one-quarter over the last decade.

    Switzerland is home to nearly 1,400 glaciers, the most of any country in Europe, and the ice mass and its gradual melting have implications for hydropower, tourism, farming and water resources in many European countries.

    More than 1,000 small glaciers in Switzerland have already disappeared.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Scientists have uncovered that glaciers can temporarily cool the air around them, delaying some effects of global warming. This self-cooling, driven by katabatic winds, is nearing its peak and will likely reverse in the next two decades. Once glaciers lose enough mass, they will heat up faster, speeding their decline. The team urges immediate global action to curb emissions and manage dwindling water resources wisely.

    Glaciers’ secret cooling power won’t last much longer | ScienceDaily
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/10/251025084606.htm
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Toplist pro priznivce checklistu. Od pohledu uz budem nejmin za tretinou, lokalni stastlivci budou mit za chvili bingo

    Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change

    1. Acid rain
    2. Algae blooms
    3. Ash & smoke
    4. Bees dying & pollination loss
    5. Climate refugees & migration
    6. Coral bleaching
    7. Crop failures
    8. Deforestation
    9. Desertification
    10. Disease, pandemics (plants & animals)
    11. Droughts
    12. Drying up of lakes, rivers, wells, springs
    13. Earth axis shift
    14. Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Volcanoes
    15. Extreme cold
    16. Financial/bank/stock collapse
    17. Fires
    18. Floods
    19. Food & water riots
    20. Hazardous, smoke-filled & polluted air
    21. Heat waves: frequency, power, duration
    22. Hunger, famine & starvation
    23. Infrastructure collapse
    24. Melting Antarctic & Greenland land ice
    25. Melting Arctic & Antarctic sea ice / Blue Ocean Event
    26. Melting glaciers (drinking water crisis)
    27. Methane bomb (Siberian permafrost methane & Clathrates from ESAS)
    28. Nuclear plant meltdown
    29. Ocean acidification & deoxygenation
    30. Ozone layer depletion
    31. Permafrost thaw
    32. Price instability & inflation
    33. Reanimated bacteria/viruses
    34. Sea level rise (e.g. Thwaites glacier)
    35. Shutdown of AMOC, SMOC
    36. Species extinction (100+/day)
    37. Storms — more frequent, power, duration
    38. Supply chain & transportation collapse
    39. Unemployment & poverty
    40. War, extremism, fascism & terrorism

    Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change – Watching the World Go Bye
    https://climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-40-impacts-of-climate-change/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    ACCELERATING SEA LEVEL RISE & 2024 JUMP

    Acceleration of sea level rise is unquesionable
    NASA said a jump in 2024 was unexpected.
    Loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is increasing, and ice loss from mountain glaciers is accelerating- which has major effect on se level. Most of the sea level rise is actually now from land ice melt. It's a good indicator of the power of global warming.

    nasa.gov/missions/jason…

    https://x.com/PCarterClimate/status/1963686850792661035?t=X_TQhvgYKax9C_BCvrupYw&s=19
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx0298

    An Unprecedented Drying of the Continents: A Decline in Freshwater Availability

    This study analyzes changes in terrestrial water storage—which includes all forms of water stored on land, such as ice, snow, surface water, vegetation water, soil moisture, and groundwater.

    It reveals that since 2002, the continents have experienced an unprecedented loss of terrestrial water storage—a critical indicator of freshwater availability.

    Each year, areas undergoing drying have expanded by an amount equivalent to twice the size of California, creating “mega-dry” regions across the Northern Hemisphere. While most of the world’s dry areas are getting drier and wet areas wetter, the rate of drying is now outpacing the rate of wetting. This shift is driven by water losses in high latitudes, severe droughts in Central America and Europe, and widespread groundwater depletion—which alone accounts for 68% of the non-glacial continental water loss.

    “The drying of the continents has profound global consequences. Since 2002, 75% of the world’s population has lived in 101 countries that have lost freshwater. Furthermore, continents now contribute more to sea level rise than ice sheets do, with drying regions contributing more than glaciers and ice sheets combined. Urgent action is needed to prepare for the major impacts highlighted by these findings.”

    The Rise of Mega-Dry Regions on Land

    Previous studies identified key features of changing terrestrial water storage across continents, consistent with climate model projections, glacier and ice sheet melt, global groundwater depletion, and shifts in flood and drought extremes. This study demonstrates how recent regional and continental trends in water storage are accelerating continental drying.

    Implications for Freshwater Availability

    Today, excessive groundwater pumping is the main driver behind the decline in terrestrial water storage in drying regions. It significantly worsens the effects of rising temperatures, increased aridity, and extreme drought. Continued overexploitation of groundwater—such as what's happening in California at an accelerating pace—threatens both regional and global water and food security in ways that remain largely underrecognized worldwide.

    Groundwater depletion is directly influenced by water management decisions—and can also be stopped by them.

    In many areas, once groundwater is depleted, it will not naturally replenish on a human timescale. The disappearance of groundwater from the Earth’s aquifers represents a new and serious threat to humanity, creating cascading risks that are rarely considered in environmental policy, water management, or governance. This is an intergenerational resource that is being poorly managed—or not managed at all—by today’s societies, at a tremendous and deeply underestimated cost to future generations.

    Protecting the world’s groundwater reserves is essential in a warming world and on continents we now know are drying out.

    A Call to Action

    Just as efforts to slow climate change are faltering, so too are efforts to curb the drying of the continents.

    Key policy decisions and new management strategies—particularly those promoting groundwater sustainability at both national and regional levels—alongside international initiatives for global groundwater sustainability, can help safeguard this vital resource for generations to come.

    Major, coordinated efforts—national, international, global, and transdisciplinary—are urgently needed to raise awareness and spur action on the drying of the continents and the decline in freshwater availability.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    no fear

    ‘It can’t withstand the heat’: fears ‘stable’ Patagonia glacier in irreversible decline | Glaciers | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/11/glacier-patagonia-perito-moreno-decline
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    A jeste pop

    World's glaciers are losing enough ice to fill 3 Olympic pools every second, terrifying new study finds | Live Science
    https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/worlds-glaciers-are-losing-enough-ice-to-fill-3-olympic-pools-every-second-terrifying-new-study-finds
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