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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models | Nature Food
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-021-00400-y

    Here we report new twenty-first-century projections using ensembles of latest-generation crop and climate models. Results suggest markedly more pessimistic yield responses for maize, soybean and rice compared to the original ensemble. Mean end-of-century maize productivity is shifted from +5% to −6% (SSP126) and from +1% to −24% (SSP585)—explained by warmer climate projections and improved crop model sensitivities. In contrast, wheat shows stronger gains (+9% shifted to +18%, SSP585), linked to higher CO2 concentrations and expanded high-latitude gains. The ‘emergence’ of climate impacts consistently occurs earlier in the new projections—before 2040 for several main producing regions. While future yield estimates remain uncertain, these results suggest that major breadbasket regions will face distinct anthropogenic climatic risks sooner than previously anticipated.

    TADEAS:
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Our hunter-gatherer future: Climate change, agriculture and uncivilization - ScienceDirect
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328719303507

    In the discussion below, the period two to three centuries in the future is used as a general reference point for the ultimate effects of human-caused climate changes. This long-term view avoids the quagmire of the “immediate collapse” versus the “peak and decline” discussions (2012, Randers, 2008) and also gets us close to the likely ultimate business-as-usual peak of temperature and CO2 levels.

    ...

    nevim, jak je tohle presny, ale:

    Most projections of global warming focus on either the year 2100 or the effects of a doubling of CO2 (from the pre-industrial level of 275 ppm–550 ppm). The lack of attention to the very long run is a serious shortcoming, since integrated carbon-climate models project that if CO2 from current in situ fossil fuel resources continues to be released into the atmosphere, the peak concentration of atmospheric CO2 could exceed 1400 ppm by the year 2300 and the average global temperature could warm by 8 °C or more (Bala et al., 2005; Kasting, 1998). A CO2 level of 1400 ppm would increase the risk of a rise in temperature as high as 20 °C which will certainly have catastrophic consequences for all life on Earth. It is sobering to consider that current levels of CO2 are higher than at any time in the last 15 million years (World Bank, 2012 p. xiv).

    ...

    Agriculture will be impossible in the post-Holocene climate

    With the future climate instability already locked into the system by recent human activity we will most likely return to the climate volatility of the Pleistocene. Climate change will adversely affect agriculture in a number of ways including sea level rise, higher average temperatures, heat extremes, changes in rainfall patterns, and the loss of pollinators. Less understood changes include the effects on agricultural pests, soil composition, and the growth response of crops to rising CO2 levels. Fig. 2 shows the possible volatility in climate if the Earth returns to the climate regime of the last few thousand years of the Pleistocene. Future volatility will not, of course, follow exactly the same pattern but Fig. 2 represents a rough guess as to what might occur. Agriculture was impossible in the past because of climate/weather instability and it is likely to again be impossible if similar conditions return.

    ...

    Increased climate volatility could occur quite soon. According to Batissti (Quoted in Wallace-Wells, 2017):
    By 2050, under a typical middle-of-the-road emissions scenario, you’re looking at a doubling of the volatility for grains in the mid-latitudes. In places like China, the U.S., Europe, Ukraine—the breadbasket countries of the world—the volatility from year-to-year just from natural climate variability at a higher temperature is going to be much higher. The impact on crops is going to be greater and greater.


    The ability of agriculture to adapt to climate change will depend on the rapidity of changes as well as their severity. Intensively growing high-tech crops on the massive scale required to support billions more people will be prohibitively expensive just in terms of the energy required. The feasibility of massively moving crops North to avoid warmer temperature is limited because of poor quality soils in places like northern Canada and Russia. Also, temperature fluctuations will be greater toward the poles. Much of the evidence is anecdotal, but there are already indications of climate instability more than offsetting the advantages of longer growing seasons in northern regions, For example, although longer summers in Greenland have increased the growing season by two weeks, they are becoming drier and rainfall has become more unpredictable with adverse effects on crops and livestock (Kintisch, 2016).

    Sea level rise will be a major stress factor on agricultural output with the loss of agricultural land and increasing salinity from storm surges. According to Hansen et al. (2016): during the last interglacial, about 140,000 years ago, the earth was about 1 °C warmer than today and sea levels were 6–9 meters higher with evidence of extreme storms. Their modelling implies that a 2 °C warming would cause an eventual shutdown of the North Atlantic current, an ice melt in the North Atlantic and Southern oceans causing increased temperature gradients and more severe storms, and sea level rise of several meters within a very short time span of 50–150 years. Fischer et al. (2018 p. 474) write:

    A global warming average of 1−2 °C with strong polar amplification has, in the past, been accompanied by significant shifts in climate zones and the spatial distribution of land and ocean ecosystems. Sustained warming at this level has also led to substantial reductions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, with sea-level increases of at least several meters on millennial timescales.


    ...

    Will the transition to hunting and gathering result from a catastrophic collapse of civilization or a semi-orderly contraction? A strong case can be made for a sudden catastrophic collapse and a massive dieoff of Homo sapiens (Ehrlich & Ehrlich, 2013; Morgan, 2009; Spratt & Dunlop, 2019

    ...

    Collapse is not a necessary pre-requisite to a hunter-gatherer future for our species. Our species may avoid collapse and have some sort of semi-orderly contraction of the human population and our impact on the biosphere. One way or another, with the environmental stress on agriculture from future climate change and the inevitable decline in food production, the number of humans on the planet will be drastically reduced over the coming centuries. As human populations shrink, and grain production becomes problematic, state societies as we know them will become increasingly difficult to maintain. This will be good for the planet and for individual human well-being. Scott (2017) makes a strong case that the average person was better off after past state societies collapsed. He argues that the period from the first appearance of states until their complete hegemony some 5000 years later was a “golden age of barbarians.” Barbarians had the autonomy to pursue limited agriculture, foraging and hunting, and they had the opportunity to take some of the spoils of the state through raiding and pillaging

    ...

    One can envision a relatively slow decline in food production as climate change becomes more and more pronounced, and a decline in population and economic output. The decrease in economic surplus will increasingly constrain the ability of states to maintain their monopoly on violence and their ability to control the population. It may be unlikely, but if the effects of climate change are gradual enough, a soft landing to a non-agricultural economy may be possible.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TADEAS: tak to je solid
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    5,091,975,057
    People without access to sewage systems

    ...

    19y 123d 00h 33m 44s
    Time left till the world runs out of freshwater
    UNLESS WATER USE IS DRASTICALLY REDUCED

    The World Counts
    https://www.theworldcounts.com/...planet-earth/freshwater/when-will-the-world-run-out-of-water/story
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    planetarni dashboard/stats

    The World Counts
    https://www.theworldcounts.com/
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    nejaky odpovedi jestli vodik je cesta

    The weekend read: Hydrogen and the energy transition – pv magazine International
    https://www.pv-magazine.com/2020/08/29/the-weekend-read-hydrogen-and-the-energy-transition/

    Currently, it is often stated that it is fundamentally impossible to produce all of the hydrogen Germany needs domestically. Fraunhofer ISE’s study does not reach this conclusion. In order to generate the share of hydrogen from imports, the energy of an additional 300 GW of PV systems would be sufficient. Combined with the 400 GW required in the Reference scenario, the total expansion would thus still be well below the technically possible potential, which studies estimate at between 1,000 GW and 3,000 GW. Whether this hydrogen can be produced domestically depends on how much solar and wind power is considered acceptable.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS:

    UPDATE: 29-08-2020
    Yesterday, Blyth, Ferhat and Steven were granted bail, under stringent conditions.
    Blyth and Ferhat are out of prison and safe. We very much hope that Steven is released, at the latest, next Tuesday.

    We still waiting for Diane's lawyers to tell us what's next; at the moment she is in prison. We hope that the court will grant her bail too.

    Roger's appeal for bail was turned down, the bail conditions so harsh the judge couldn't make a decision without Roger being present. He is on remand (in Pentonville Prison) until the next bail hearing on the 22 nd September.

    The court hearing for all defendants is provisionally set for late February, 2021.

    Quarantine conditions in prison are brutal. It means isolation for two weeks. In a cell, on their own. These rules apply to all prisoners, including those waiting for trial, and those -as it's the case with Diane and Roger- on remand.

    We can't really be sure if Diane, Roger and Steven still are on hunger strike inside jail. We know, Ferhat will carry on with his, in solidarity with those inside.
    We can't say much more about any other stuff, as it's quite unclear what effect posting details could have on the defendants' case.

    We hope we will be able to say more, once we know more.

    We also would like to thank you for your messages, and actions of solidarity. Frankly, we are overwhelmed by the love and support you are giving us.

    That Roger Hallam is in prison, isolated and with little chances of getting out, is telling. The establishment's media is keeping it as quiet as they possibly can. We know why, you know why.

    The days, weeks, and months ahead might be the last chance we have to stop the Fuckery, the ultimate fuckery, from ending it all, forever.

    The only solution is to bring down the government and put Citizen's Assemblies in its place. Whatever it takes.

    Remember: this is not extinction, this is annihilation.
    #BurningPink

    https://burningpink.org

    https://m.facebook.com/events/352895775712172?view=permalink&id=354484068886676
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    V moji bubline ted koluje tento Boček - datovy novinar rozhlasu, ktery rozebira, proc v Cesku nejde nic posunout a resit. Netyka se primo klimatu, ale vidi to jako obecnejsi tema = "budeme vyckavat".

    Presne pojmenoval moji slepou ulicku a bezradnost. Nebavi me toto cyklit.

    Třeba se to vyřeší samo. Různá témata, stejný příběh | Finmag.cz
    https://finmag.penize.cz/kaleidoskop/419955-treba-se-to-vyresi-samo-ruzna-temata-stejny-pribeh

    1. Je problém.
    2. Vědělo se o něm roky a jen se čekalo, kdy se projeví. Nikdo se na něj ale nepřipravoval: Jak asi? Problém musí nejdřív být, aby se dal řešit. (Často se to svede na všemocný a špatný zákon.)
    3. Je pravda, že jinde ten problém řeší, často docela šikovně. Jenže to jsou oni, ti pro to mají podmínky. To by u nás neprošlo.
    4. Všechno jede setrvačností dál. Počká se, až jestli je to opravdový problém.
    5. „Ne, data vám nedáme.“
    6. Vrať se na 1.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TADEAS: kinda related

    Turecká advokátka držela hladovku za spravedlivý proces. Po 238 dnech zemřela — ČT24 — Česká televize
    https://ct24.ceskatelevize.cz/...dvokatka-drzela-hladovku-za-spravedlivy-proces-po-238-dnech-zemrela
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    The Dow Jones just dropped its oldest member: Exxon Mobil | The Optimist Daily: Making Solutions the News
    https://www.optimistdaily.com/2020/08/the-dow-jones-just-dropped-its-oldest-member-exxon-mobil/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: k tomu ta cina, jeste se priste prida extremni sucho v evrope a mame ten multibreadbasket failure

    Iowa's farmers count the cost of a rare storm – photo essay | US news | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/aug/26/iowa-derecho-storm-photos-farmers
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Hurricane-force storm in Iowa flattens 10 million acres of crops
    https://theweek.com/speedreads/930959/hurricaneforce-storm-iowa-flattens-10-million-acres-crops

    Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds (R) said the storm, which had hurricane-force winds up to 112 mph, destroyed at least one-third of the entire state's crops. More than 10 million acres were completely flattened, leading Reynolds to say she thinks the storm should qualify for federal disaster declaration. The Washington Post reports between 180 and 270 million bushels of corn were likely damaged, shortly before harvesting usually begins in September.

    LINKOS
    LINKOS --- ---
    LINKOS: jo a taky už prý Čína skupuje jídlo po světě, protože tady toho pěstovali fakt dost, v článku tvrdili 20% světový produkce rýže atd...
    LINKOS
    LINKOS --- ---
    On to teda průser je i bez prolomení Tří soutěsek, tý úrody nebylo zrovna málo. Co jsem četl před týdnem, čtrnácti dny, odpouštěli soutěsky co to šlo, záplavy nad, záplavy pod. Měli taky odstřelit nějaké menší přehrady
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    PER2: napr. tato restauracia, tam to musi smrdiet jak v zumpe :D

    https://twitter.com/zheng_rider/status/1296410690874474502
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    MRTVEJ: jako porad to tam neni ok, dost toho je pod vodou, porad prsi, jiny prehrady jsou plny atp, hodne urody dead , na vychode ted tajfun k tomu jeste
    MRTVEJ
    MRTVEJ --- ---
    aha tak to me zmatli vypadalo to ze to tam tece furt :o)
    tak nic no :o)
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    MRTVEJ: uz par dni, byli nekde na 166m tusim
    dnes


    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    svede se to pak na Trumpa

    Another Trump term would mean severe and irreversible changes in the climate - Vox
    https://www.vox.com/...0/8/27/21374894/trump-election-second-term-climate-change-energy-russia-china
    MRTVEJ
    MRTVEJ --- ---
    jako ze uz pritok slabne ? nevim nesleduju online :o)
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    MRTVEJ: trosku stary zpravy
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam