TADEAS:

Initiative for Leadership and Sustainability: Facts on Deep Adaptation in response to a New York Times style article
http://iflas.blogspot.com/2020/12/facts-on-deep-adaptation-in-response-to.html?m=1

The NYT article includes a comment from Dr Kate Marvel that is presented as a criticism of the science in the DA paper and yet does not relate to what is in my paper. I paste in a relevant section of the paper and the article below. I do not confuse albedo effect and tipping points. I cite experts on the albedo effect and a study on how much radiative forcing arises from ice loss. This criticism is used in the NYT article as the basis for implying that the field of collapse anticipation is based on faulty science. One could argue against the scientific basis for collapse anticipation in more informed and nuanced ways that might aid our understanding of our situation. However, the way the article treats the topic reflects an approach that over 500 scientists and scholars have recently criticised as unhelpful suppression of the discussion of collapse risk and readiness. It also suggests a conflict between scholars which might not actually exist, and simply be misunderstandings of what one or the other has written or said. It is unfortunate that people reading the NYT might think I dismiss Dr Marvel or any climatologist, when the quoted sentence was within my explanation about the importance of seeking granular expertise on specific matters. Therefore, in clarifying this, I would like to confirm that I do not disrespect or disregard the work of Dr Marvel, or any other climatologist, but still encourage journalists to look further than the most famous names in the broad field of climatology when engaging in contentious aspects of climate change. For instance, it is quite easy to contact the scientists I referenced in the paper on albedo and the Arctic.


The NYT article talks about DA implying it is too late to ‘save the world’. Neither myself or anyone I work with uses that frame or phrasing. Such a phrase reflects a set of anthropocentric patriarchal assumptions about the world and the human relationship to it. Perhaps some people assume that current industrial consumer societies constitute the only “world” worth “saving”. Following the work of Sheldon Solomon, perhaps that reaction is because these societies are the ones that have been the source of our identity, and as we become more anxious, unless we support each other's equanimity, we become more attached to our existing stories of identity, belonging and purpose. That is why it is so important to listen to the insights of indigenous scholars and people who work with them, such as Professor Vanessa Andreotti, who is on the holding group (advisory board) of the DA Forum. It may also be a reason why the DA Forum itself recently questioned the ‘save the world’ framing in their most recent review of where the Forum is now at since I left it in September. It is also why loosening our attachment to stories which affirm our separation and superiority with the rest of creation are central to the ethos of DA activities, as we explain in detail in a recent paper.

happy new year .)

Brabec: Prioritami pro nový rok je invazní novela a rozjetí Modernizačního fondu - Ekolist.cz
https://ekolist.cz/...odajstvi/zpravy/brabec-priority-jsou-invazni-novela-a-rozjet-modernizacni-fond

"Největšími prioritami je rozjezd Modernizačního fondu, který by měl přispět k zásadní dekarbonizaci české energetiky, dále dokončení starého a rozjezd nového Operačního programu životní prostředí 2021- 2027 a Fondu spravedlivé transformace," uvedl Brabec. Do Modernizačního fondu půjde do roku 2030 z prodeje emisních povolenek, v závislosti na jejich ceně, 120 až 150 miliard korun. MŽP spustilo fond, zatím formou předregistračních výzev, na sklonku listopadu. První ostré výzvy by měly být vypsány v prvním čtvrtletí 2021.

Thread by @syn_efou on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1344248822931795968.html

2020 Changes in North Atlantic atmospheric circulation in a warmer climate favor winter flooding and summer drought over Europe
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0311.1/JCLI-D-20-0311.1.xml

Our paper “Changes in North Atlantic atmospheric circulation in a warmer climate favor winter flooding and summer drought over Europe” is now released online in Journal of Climate:

We used a very high resolution climate model (GFDL CM2.6: gfdl.noaa.gov/cm2-6/) to assess changes in atmospheric circulation patterns under an experiment of increasing carbon dioxide concentrations

The high resolution of the model allows for mesoscale oceanic eddies to be resolved and it has a realistic representation of the AMOC. This is important for the ocean-atmosphere interactions that play a significant role in forming the dominant atmospheric circulation patterns

...

we find robust changes in certain atmospheric circulation patterns over the North Atlantic

In winter (and particularly in February), zonal regimes (NAO+ like) are increasing by ~30% in frequency in the 2xCO2. In summer (and particularly in August), Atlantic Ridge, a high-pressure system off the UK coast, is increasing by ~60%

Those robust changes in a warmer world may have great implications for European climate. In winter the increase of zonal circulation is linked to increased rainfall over northwestern Europe, increasing the risk of flooding in the area

In summer, the increase of the AR is linked to less precipitation and longer dry spells over western and central Europe, contributing to higher drought risk. Those dynamical changes act supplementary to the thermodynamic effects of a warming world, exacerbating the impacts

LINKOS: jasne, neni to cernobily. ja reagoval konkretne na desertifikaci, na kterou si narazel. spolu se skotem, nebo podobnejma lokalnima zviratama uchovavas prirodu a to daleko vic nez kdyz budujes lany vyoranejch poli

pro primarni obzivu lidstva fandim hydro/aero/aquaponii .) a nejaky maso se v tom klidne schova. pro me za me umely.

...nedavno sem mel burger z cervu (kosik.cz, mrazeny, bohuzel z nemecka) a byl vybornej.

SHEFIK: tak vidíš a ta studie ti i řekne jaké to má limity, což u mám dojem je docela problém. On se tam ten substrát se zivinama nebere jen tak. Možná mluvíš o něčem jiném, ale já myslel, že to zemědělství nás má taky uživit. A to prostě při takové spotřebě jakou máme na západě není možný, a už absolutně to není možný, když se na nás standart budou postupně chtít dostat lidi po celé planetě. A o tom mluví, není možné udělat to tak aby to více plodilo, více chytlo co2, neprodukovalo to metan a ještě sme měli více prostoru pro divokou přírodu. Samozřejmě to jde dělat líp, ale ne vždy to je něco za něco.

LINKOS: me v tomhle tematu docela zmenil nazor carbon cowboys. tusim, ze to byl dil: one hundred thousand beating hearts

https://www.carboncowboys.org/films

kde je videt, ze skot dokaze z "pouste" udelat po par letech znovu fungujici ekosystem, vcetne navratu dalsi fauny a biodiverzity. tohle ti zadnej traktor ani barel NPK nezaridi (resp. za obrovskyho usili, nakladu a vstupu)

a ono to ma logicky opodstatneni, neni moc co na tom studiema rozporovat. ze zadku jim proste pada teplej a vlhkej substrat s zivinama, vcetne semen. co vic by si regenerace prirody mohla prat

2019 Toward a General Theory of Societal Collapse: A Biophysical Examination of Tainter’s Model of the Diminishing Returns of Complexity
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41247-018-0049-0

The collapse of large social systems, often referred to as “civilizations” or “empires,” is a well-known historical phenomenon, but its origins are the object of an unresolved debate. In this paper, we present a simple biophysical model which we link to the concept that societies collapse because of the “diminishing returns of complexity” proposed by Tainter (The collapse of complex societies, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1988). Our model is based on the description of a socio-economic system as a trophic chain of energy stocks which dissipate the energy potential of the available resources. The model is based on the idea that we observe that the exploitation of a non-renewable resource stock (“production”) has a strongly nonlinear relation with the complexity of the system, assumed to be proportional to the size of the stock termed “The Economy” (or “capital”), producing various trajectories of decline of the economy, in some cases rapid enough that they can be defined as “collapses.” The evolution of the relation of production and the economy produces a curve similar to the one proposed by Tainter, for the decline of a complex society

2020 We need to (find a way to) talk about … Eco-anxiety
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02650533.2020.1844166?journalCode=cjsw20

Eco-anxiety may not be new, but could now be seen as an emergent phenomenon attracting increasing attention as public awareness about the climate and bio-diversity crisis grows. There may also be some generational differences in how we respond emotionally, with children often talking about feelings framed by their experience of adult misunderstanding or inaction.

What often scares children the most is how they see the ‘adult world’ failing to take sufficient urgent action on these threats, whilst at the same time dismissing, criminalising, pathologising and patronising their feelings and voices. Children and young people are increasingly taking centre stage in protests about the need to take urgent action, whilst simultaneously often being the focus of society’s anxieties about the psychological impact of the crises; ‘we mustn’t frighten the children’.

This paper focuses on children and young people’s perspectives; introducing eco-anxiety, drawing on clinical practice examples, research findings and finally offering conceptual frames to help us broaden and deepen our understanding of this evolving syndrome.

TADEAS: budes prednaset? :)

SHEFIK: jj TADEAS

LINKOS: je to pro me naprosto pochopitelny.