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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Destroying the Future Is the Most Cost-Effective


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. ... I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:

    Btw maličkost, vadí ti, že panel ipcc nikdo nečte a kdo ho čte mu nedokáže porozumět. Stejně tak ten, kdo nemá angličtinu v malíku si ze všech tvých linků nic neodnese, protože se jima ani nebude zatěžovat, protože jim nerozumí.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: The world’s total, direct energy sector subsidies – including those to
    fossil fuels, renewables and nuclear power – are estimated to have been at least USD 634 billion in 2017. These were dominated by subsidies to fossil fuels, which account for around 70% (USD 447 billion) of the total. Subsidies to renewable power generation technologies account for around
    20 % of total energy sector subsidies (USD 128 billion), biofuels for about 6 % (USD 38 billion) and nuclear for at least 3 % (USD 21 billion).
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    In 2017, the costs of unpriced externalities and the direct subsidies for fossil fuels (USD 3.1
    trillion) exceeded subsidies for renewable energy by a factor of 19.

    https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2020/Apr/IRENA_Energy_subsidies_2020.pdf
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: aneb "we are fucking fucked"

    since Paris, $3 trillion have been lent to the coal and oil & gas industry since the Paris Agreement was signed, of which $750 billion in the last year alone. The quantum of capital that's been lent by banks like JP Morgan Chase has gone up. It hasn't gone down. It's gone up. Our own research shows that fossil fuel companies have raised nearly 10 times more capital than renewable energy companies in the last decade or so through public markets in the form of IPOs.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Yes. It is the proven financial consequences of our research that was crucial. There was just such ignorance and cynicism among investors of coal, oil and gas companies. Regulators were not on top of their game and investors weren't understanding the risks. So we thought, let's change mindsets. Let's get regulators understanding the systemic risks of climate change. And let's get the shareholders of these companies thinking about what they could be doing better.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    In the late 90s and early 2000s, with my good friend and co-founder Nick Robins, we started asking simple questions: What happens if Exxon and Shell and all the other companies were to burn all their reserves? How much would that increase atmospheric CO2? And how much would the planet warm by? After years of looking, we just couldn't find anybody who had done that research. So we pulled the analysis together ourselves.

    In essence, we found that there's enough proven reserves already in the world today to take us way past four degrees of warming – and one and a half degrees is the threshold the science tells us we shouldn't exceed. So, this “unburnable carbon” creates what we call “stranded assets”. We describe it as a carbon bubble, a massive overhang of unusable fossil fuels, that has financial consequences for financial regulators and for investors.

    We’re Living Through A Carbon Bubble—Here’s What We Can Do About It
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/ashoka/2021/03/26/were-living-through-a-carbon-bubble--heres-what-we-can-do-about-it/?sh=3b94da581b62
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Carbon bubble?

    - Already in 2011, the world has used over a third of its 50-year carbon budget of 886GtCO2, leaving 565GtCO2

    - All of the proven reserves owned by private and public companies and governments are equivalent to 2,795 GtCO2

    - Fossil fuel reserves owned by the top 100 listed coal and top 100 listed oil and gas companies represent total emissions of 745GtCO2

    - Only 20% of the total reserves can be burned unabated, leaving up to 80% of assets technically unburnable

    Unburnable Carbon: Are the World's Financial Markets Carrying a Carbon Bubble? - Carbon Tracker Initiative
    https://carbontracker.org/reports/carbon-bubble/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: mimo to je otazka, jak by stabilita klimatu a stav ekosystemu mely byt ustavne zakotveny, coz by se odrwzelo i v roli techle instituci. a vpastne nevim, jakej vztah ma parizska dohoda k ustave? je ji nadrazena jako nejaka mezinarodni smlouva?
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    SHEFIK: Ne, takovejch dokuemntu nejsou tisice. IPCC je globalni autorita, ktera sdruzuje vedce z celyho sveta, ktery delaj obri resersi soucasnyho vedeckyho poznani a venuje tisice clovekohodin nejlepsich mozku sveta, aby zmackla doporuceni do par srozumitelnejch stran pro policymakery.

    Pokud to policymakeri nejsou schopny udelat, tak je to znamka uplne bazalni pohrdani vedou, ci neorientace a ignorance. Coz jsou vlastnosti, ktery mi prijde, ze jsou mezi ekonomomama dost rozsireny .]]

    Ad kralovna: ekonomie je plna totalniho axiomatickyho bullshitu, ktery si vymysleli gentlemani u sklenky whisky, zatimco je obskakovalo sluzebnictvo. Pulka jejich teorii je nekonzistentni matematicky, druha je vyvracena antropologii a etnografii. Ale ekonomove zhusta ostatni vedy nectou, takze o tom nevi a tak spokojene vymejvaj mozky dalsim a dalsim generacim nebohejch studentu ekonomie .]]

    Jinak o problematice vycislovani mas samozrjeme pravdu, nicmene treba takovej neoklasickej mainstream to resi elegantne - tvari se, ze vycislit jdou a tim to hasne .]]

    Ad optimum: problem je, ze neexistuje nic jako jedno "optimum". Pri nejlepsi snaze muzem mluvit o multidimenzionalni krajine, kde jsou rozesety lokalni optima v zavislosti na ruznejch cilech a potrebach, politickejch preferencich, technologickejch moznostech, klimatickejch a ekosytemovejch vlivech etc.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Ono my to optimum ve vysledku nasledujeme, ale ta cesta jeho neustala konvergence a divergence - viz stridani politickejch stran (nebo bankeru x aktivistu). Pri odzoomovani ale lidstvo koreluje s nejakou optimalizacni krivkou, v nekterych castech sveta rychleji, v nekterych pomaleji.

    Tenhle stret nazoru, expertiz, specializace atd. je ale pro dlouhodobe dosahovani toho optima zadouci.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TUHO: rozumim kam miris. problem je, ze takovejch dokumentu sou tisice. Prob by meli vsichni cist zrovna tenhle a ne jinej? Tady si asi muzeme poplacat po zadech, ze argument zname, ale ze nekdo neco nevi, ho nedela negramotnym. Predpokladam, ze taky nevis vsecko

    Co se tyka wanabe kralovny, to neni zadna poza. Nas zivot je uzce spojenej s tim, jak dokazeme sami sebe nasytit /maaslowova hierarchie potreb/, a proto ten opernej bod je v ekonomii. Ten problem, na kterej narazis je imho jinde - ze nektery veci se velmi spatne vycislujou, jelikoz sou bud komplexni/multifaktorialni a jejich vliv tezko modelovatelnej, nebo moc fuzzy. Proto se jako prvni zahrnou vzdycky ty nejsnaze vycislitelny faktory. Proto mame levici a pravici a pak ruzny nazorovy podskupiny, eko frakce zelenejch... nikdo neumi oojmout veskerou komplexitu naseho sveta.

    Bejt vsecko snadno vycislitelny a modelovatelny, nemusime se ridit nazory a dojmy, ale muzeme velmi snadno nasledovat optimum.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: Jo a ten dokument je btw tady (a ackoliv filmarsky je dementni, tak jsou tam dobry rozhovory .)

    https://vimeo.com/ondemand/symbioticearthhv
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    SHEFIK: No, tak pokud jses na strategicky pozici, ktera ovlivnuje fungovani celyho hospodarstvi, tak bys mel mit aspon elementarni zaklady stezejnich disciplin. Nejde o to, a bejt klimatolog, ale ty vole bejt aspon schopnej precist si "IPCC report for policymakers", coz je par desitek stran napsany tak, ze je pochopi kazdej.
    Ale ja myslim, ze tohle je systematickej bias, kterej plyne z ekonomickejch teorii a hlavne celyho toho kretenskyho etosu wannabe kralovny spolecenskejch ved. Kdyz sledujes vyjadreni ekonomu, jsou konzistentne zcela naprosto mimo misu, s totalni ignoranci neekonomickycho vedeni. Jako trochu se to pomalu meni, ale jinak je to hruza a dle myho "trained incompetence" jak to hezky popsala v jednom dokumentu Lynn Margulis.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TUHO: neni to spis o case, ktery tematu venujes, nebo ses schopnej venovat? cas je limitovanej. odsuzovanej nekoho za to, ze nema prehled ve vsem mi prijde dost omezeny. je to jak rikat detem, ze sou hloupy, protoze jim neni jasny to co tobe. raketovej inzenyr asi nebude mit nikdy cas zkoumat, jaky procesy fungujou na arktide a entomolg bude tezko expertem na ekonomicky rizeni statu.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    DNF
    DNF --- ---
    TUHO: Mno, to je jeden z duvodu, proc si uz dlouho myslim, ze lidstvo vyhynout musi: protoze vetsina elit jsou psychopati co toho nahledu nejsou schopni, tak trochu pro spolecnost menecenni jedinci.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: SHEFIK: Jinak je husty, jakou uroven negramotnosti dosahuji elity, predevsim potom ekonomicke a bankerske. Z toho vyjadreni CNB je zrejmy, ze se neorientuje v absolutnich zakladech problematiky...
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    SHEFIK: Jo, ale to vyzaduje znovu promysleni role centralnich bank v ekonomice. To taky vyzaduje vyhodit dogmatickou ekonomickou expertizu, ktera poslednich nekolik desetileti opanuje ekonomicky mainstream a vymyva mozky generacim studentu, ktery pak konci ve vedoucich funkcich .]
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #demographics #negative

    Tohle asi s vyvojem klimatu bude taky souviset. Nejlidnatejsi zeme s nejvetsim prymyslem uvolnuje politiku ke 3 detem

    Chce to víc dělníků. Klesající porodnost ohrožuje čínský ekonomický růst - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/cina-populace-ekonomika-rust-hdp.A210602_152528_eko-zahranicni_mato
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #interventions

    Relativne vyvazenej clanek na tema proc by narodni banky mely/nemely resit klimatickou zmenu

    Artur Linhart: Klimatická změna a Česká národní banka - proč se vytrhovat ze spánku - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/publicistika/nazory-a-komentare/arturn-linhart-klimaticka-zmena-a-ceska-narodni-banka-proc-se-vytrhovat-ze-spanku
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #notEvil

    Obři se spojili. Velké firmy vytvořily alianci pro boj s klimatickou změnou - iDNES.cz
    https://www.idnes.cz/ekonomika/zahranicni/netflix-amazon-google-microsoft-disney-klimaticka-aliance-globalni-oteplovani-emise.A210604_121558_eko-zahranicni_kou

    Cílem klimatické aliance, která nese název Business Alliance for Scaling Climate Solutions, tedy obchodní aliance pro škálování klimatických řešení, BASCS, by měla být podpora investic firem do životního prostředí a kontrola, kam přesně peníze, které firmy do ekologie investují, jdou.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    UPDATED ANALYSIS | Is the Czech Recovery and Resilience Plan for the EU Recovery Facility #NextGenerationEU aligned with the green transition? Read our analysis of the new plan, with thanks to @AMO_cz
    https://twitter.com/GreenRecTracker/status/1400384727857741825?s=19


    Country Report | Green Recovery Tracker
    https://www.greenrecoverytracker.org/country-reports/czech-republic

    In May 2021, after a contentious process, the Czech government adopted the national Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP), with significant changes relative to previously released drafts. Throughout the process, civil society actors have criticized the lack of opportunities for effective participation. Overall, we find that the measures included in the plan, with investments of €7.9bn, can make a positive contribution to the green transition, though there are several specific shortfalls.

    ‍Green Spending Share

    We find that Czechia’s recovery plan (RRP) achieves a green spending share of 25%, below the EU’s 37% benchmark. Furthermore, we find that 15% (€1.1bn) may have a positive or negative impact on the green transition depending on the implementation of the relevant measures, illustrating the importance of further scrutiny during the further planning, review and implementation of the recovery measures. According to the government, the plan’s climate spending share is 37% (see page 5 of the full country report for more details).

    Our calculation of the green spending share aims to mirror the approach used for the official assessment of national recovery plans.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Are there basic physical constraints on future anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide? | SpringerLink
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-009-9717-9
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Elektrárnu Počerady, kterou vlastní skupina Sev.en uhlobarona Pavla Tykače, přestanou pojišťovat všechny tři společnosti, jež jí podle evropské databáze TED dosud krytí poskytovaly.

    Zjištění DR: Tykačovy Počerady už v České republice nechce nikdo pojistit
    https://denikreferendum.cz/clanek/32780-zjisteni-dr-tykacovy-pocerady-uz-v-ceske-republice-nechce-nikdo-pojistit
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Zack Labe
    https://twitter.com/ZLabe/status/1399055035510575104?s=19

    More reading! A thread of peer-reviewed studies evaluating projections of 21st century Arctic sea-ice extent/area/thickness (seasonally ‘ice-free’)

    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    via tuho


    https://diem25.org/have-new-policy-agenda-for-the-2020s/

    In 2020 the EU officially endorsed a so-called ‘Green Deal’. Regrettably, it was endorsed “more in the breach than in the observance”: No real funding was ever put aside for this ‘Green Deal’ and, worse still, the EU continues to pursue the extraction and distribution of fossil fuels in a manner that increases geopolitical tensions.
    In particular, plans to extract oil and gas in the Aegean Sea and the Eastern Mediterranean are causing geopolitical tensions that only benefit arms dealers and the financial vultures who profit from ‘securitising’ fossil fuels and gas pipelines and that will, most probably, not even see the light of day. They also fuel the pre-existing migration crisis by turning Turkey against the EU and vice versa.
    The geopolitical tensions caused by the cynical hypocritical “Green Deal” of the EU are not limited to its southeastern borders. They are expanding to the northeast, where, for example, Germany and Russia are moving along the Nordstream2 pipeline, fostering dark business interests that boost both EU intra-European and international relations, increase the likelihood of military conflict and, in addition to environmental damage, costs to the people of the region.

    ...

    During the recent intensification of the global capitalist economic crisis due to Covid-19, the Eurozone suffered the largest decline in investment (50%), the largest flight of capital (€500 billion) and the largest increase in the “output gap” (i.e. the difference between the total product we could produce and that produced) relative to the US, China and the UK. Moreover, intra-European imbalances (which had already grown before and after the euro crisis) increased exponentially. However, the EU has administered the smallest fiscal stimulus in the strongest economic regions of the world and done the least to boost investment – relying almost exclusively on the so-called Recovery Fund, which is both macroeconomically insignificant and politically poisonous. As a result, the 2020s are projected to be Europe’s second lost decade in a row.
    ....
    European Green Recovery & Investment Program: The European Council should give the green light to the European Investment Bank to issue annual bonds of 5% of EU GDP, which the ECB says it will “support” in secondary bond markets. These funds finance a new European institution, the European Green Transition Works Agency whose main purpose is to create the European Green Energy Union and the elaboration of the EU’s Green Transition in general.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS, TADEAS:

    Sweden-based startup Volta Greentech raises 1.7 million Euro to fight burps from cows — and is now eying to build the world’s largest algae factory | by Volta Greentech | May, 2021 | Medium
    https://medium.com/@VGreentech/sweden-based-startup-volta-greentech-raises-1-7-49de3e7923c4
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    precision grazing - virtual fencing / nova era plotologie TADEAS

    Session 5: Leo Barthelmess & Todd Parker - Virtual fencing for land, livestock and landscape health
    https://youtu.be/rpMJF1Q7Qug


    Agersens: Home page
    https://www.agersens.com/

    Halter
    https://halterhq.com/

    Nofence - World’s first virtual fence for livestock
    https://www.nofence.no/en/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO:

    The Ecology of Care: Medicine, Agriculture, Money, and the Quiet Power of Human and Microbial Communities: Pershouse, Didi, Donovan, Peter: 9780692613030: Amazon.com: Books
    https://www.amazon.com/dp/069261303X/

    soil health -- human health

    Didi Pershouse is the founder of the Center for Sustainable Medicine, where she developed a model for systems-based ecological medicine that restores health to individuals as well as the social and natural communities around them. Over the past 22 years, her health-care practice has expanded in its scope from treating individual patients to treating whole systems



    Didi Pershouse - The Ecology of Care: Shifting from a Sterile to a Fertile Paradigm - LSSM 2017
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSodiDANHQg
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    YMLADRIS:

    Jet stream: Is climate change causing more ‘blocking’ weather events? | Carbon Brief
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/jet-stream-is-climate-change-causing-more-blocking-weather-events

    “[Blocking] tends to be less persistent in the southern hemisphere as the westerly jets are stronger. Despite this, they do have some important impacts, such as over Australia, New Zealand and southern South America.”

    For example, blocking events were behind the record hot, dry weather that saw devastating bushfires during Australia’s 2019-20 summer, and a major drought in southeastern Brazil in 2014-15.

    ...

    Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking in CMIP5 and Future Changes in the Australia-New Zealand Sector
    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL083264

    Climate models often do not simulate enough blocking events, though most research on this problem has focused on the Northern Hemisphere and less is known about the Southern Hemisphere. We survey 23 climate models and show that during winter some models simulate too many blocking events, while others simulate too few, whereas during summer, almost all models simulate too few events to the south of Australia. We also show that with higher concentrations of greenhouse gases we expect there to be less blocking, particularly to the south of Australia and over New Zealand during winter.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #goodEnough

    Praha schválila klimatický plán, opozice ho nepodpořila - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/praha-schvalila-klimaticky-plan-opozice-ho-nepodporila
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Whether caring for the human gut, a farm, or a regional prairie landscape, the turn to “rewilding” is gaining traction in policy and science across disciplines and scales. In his book, The Probiotic Planet: Using Life to Manage Life, Dr. Jamie Lorimer calls this the “probiotic turn.” Lorimer ties this probiotic turn to an uptake in Gaian thinking and places it on a timeline in relation to a growing realization of “antibiotic” modes of managing life and their socioecological blowbacks.

    In March 2021, I sat down with Dr. Lorimer to discuss his new book and what “probiotic recalibration” means for the future of microbiomes and (macro)biomes. More than one year into COVID-19 and amidst ongoing activism around racial inequality, we also discuss his research’s importance for thinking about pandemics, uneven development, and environmental justice.

    Stream or download our conversation here.

    Geographer Jamie Lorimer on the Probiotic Management of Life
    https://edgeeffects.net/jamie-lorimer/
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