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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Linking complexity economics and systems thinking, with illustrative discussions of urban sustainability | Cambridge Journal of Economics | Oxford Academic
    https://academic.oup.com/cje/article/45/4/695/6300006?login=true
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Thomas Ronge
    https://twitter.com/RemoteLongitude/status/1419182970024480773?s=19

    For perspective: Predicted Antarctic (red) and Greenland (blue) ice mass loss as well as sea level rise (green) in the RCP8.5 scenario vs. observed patterns (solid red, blue, and black lines)

    20210725-192313
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global ice loss accelerating at record rate, study finds
    https://theguardian.com/environment/2021/jan/25/global-ice-loss-accelerating-at-record-rate-study-finds

    Over the period studied, the rate of ice loss accelerated by 57%, the paper found, from 0.8tn tonnes a year in the 1990s to 1.2tn tonnes a year by 2017. About half of all the ice lost was from land, which contributes directly to global sea level rises. The ice loss over the study period, from 1994 to 2017, is estimated to have raised sea levels by 35 millimetres.

    The greatest quantities of ice were lost from floating ice in the polar regions, raising the risk of a feedback mechanism known as albedo loss. White ice reflects solar radiation back into space – the albedo effect – but when floating sea ice melts it uncovers dark water which absorbs more heat, speeding up the warming further in a feedback loop

    ...

    Glaciers showed the next biggest loss of ice volume, with more than 6tn tonnes lost between 1994 and 2017, about a quarter of global ice loss over the period. The shrinking of glaciers threatens to cause both flooding and water shortages in some regions, because as large volumes melt they can overwhelm downstream areas, then shrunken glaciers produce less of the steady water flow needed for agriculture.

    Inès Otosaka, report co-author and a PhD researcher at the University of Leeds centre for polar observation and modelling, said: “As well as contributing to global mean sea level rise, mountain glaciers are also critical as a freshwater resource for local communities. The retreat of glaciers around the world is therefore of crucial importance, at both local and global scales.”
    SEJDA
    SEJDA --- ---
    DZODZO: vpodstate dela chybu jenom v tom, ze mluvi smerem k EU o zemich (clenech) a ne o regionech, tak jak to EK resi.
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    lol to je truhlik a to sa uz nedeje? zaplavy, sucho, poziare... tie skody asi plati zazracny dedusko z bezodnej kapsy :)

    "Principiálně nejsme proti větší ekologizaci. Je to správná cesta, avšak musí se respektovat rozdílnost jednotlivých zemí, jejich energetický mix a průmyslová struktura, a nesmí se zničit evropské hospodářství a průmysl."

    Havlíček: Od jádra a plynu neucukneme ani o milimetr - Novinky.cz
    https://www.novinky.cz/domaci/clanek/havlicek-od-jadra-a-plynu-neucukneme-ani-o-milimetr-40367142
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Anya Fernald: Regenerative Farming and the Art of Cooking Meat | Lex Fridman Podcast #203
    https://youtu.be/ew8U43IXTfk
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Jo, jenže ani ta vrchnost problému nerozumí nebo nemá moc ho řešit. Možná s výjimkou manažerů Exxonu a Shellu, jeden osvícený politik nic nezmůže.
    Nate Hagens má dobrý přehled, např v tomhle rozhovoru, který stojí za shlédnutí celý.
    OMEGA - Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future
    https://youtu.be/Sq-pYBe2mKk?t=2854
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    TUHO: ja v tom jeste vidim tu bezmoc obycejnych lidi. naomi klein pise o "germans and belgians", jako by bylo dulezity, co si oni mysli. germans and belgians jsou ale ve skutecnosti ve stejne pozici jako byli pred sto lety. kdyz se cisar pan rozhodne, ze bude valka, bude valka. v zakopech na Stedry den muzou na sebe nemci a francouzi navzajem zpivat koledy, ale rano zase vstanou a pujdou se nesmyslne strilet, protoze vrchnost ma dojem, ze je to vyhodny.

    stejne tak vrchnost zatim nema pocit, ze je vyhodny stabilizovat klima. vrchnost vzdycky zdrhne nekam do citadely, az se vyjasni, kde to bude nejstabilnejsi. viz jak voytex nize psal, ze merkel kvantova fyzicka kamoska schellnhubera 30 let vidi a vi jak to jde do prdele, ale s kapitanama prumyslu muze tak akorat obedvat, nemuze je nijak zmenit

    cili ano, zasahne to i evropu. vrcholne kapitalisty to ale nezasahne (z jejich modelu nevyplyva ze by jiz nyni bylo zadouci radikalne menit kurz)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Cely je to dost o efektivnim umeni vypraveni, presvedcivosti, ziskavani duvery, spravnym fungovani instituci etc. Not easy job .]
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Jj, castej argument je, ze "dopady jsou uz tak ocividny, ze se nedaj ignorovat". A to si myslim, ze uplne tak nefunguje. Ty dopady totiz ukazujou na zmenu klimatu jenom skrze velmi komplikovanej aparat vedecky analyzy. Jinak je to izolovana katastroficka udalost, ktera tady byla vzdycky (a vzdycky bude). No a tim, jak je zkousnuti ty vedecky verze emocionalne narocny, tak ziskava na atraktivite narativ, ze to je vsechno vedeckej komplot, prefukovani a vlastne se nic tak dramatickyho nedeje. Za par let bude stejne doba ledova etc .]
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    GOJATLA: species suicide? spis modern civilization collapse

    muhaha:
    In the mid-2030s, every U.S. coast will experience rapidly increasing high-tide floods, when a lunar cycle will amplify rising sea levels caused by climate change.
    Study Projects a Surge in Coastal Flooding, Starting in 2030s | NASA
    https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/study-projects-a-surge-in-coastal-flooding-starting-in-2030s
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    YMLADRIS: Asi ne. Jen to trochu komplikuje tu představu, že na naše emise doplatí někdo jiný. Climate genocide není až tak projev sobectví, jako spíš další level popření, lidé neví co s tím, doufají, že se jich to nedotkne a třetí svět má prostě smůlu. Když na to upozorníš, tak vyvoláš jen vztek. Pocity viny ale nejsou na místě, ve skutečnosti jsme ale na cestě ke species suicide. Spravedlnost bude.
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    GOJATLA: jak loni shorela ta australie, .. zpusobilo to obrat klimaticke politiky tam? nevim
    GOJATLA
    GOJATLA --- ---
    Stuck in the Smoke as Billionaires Blast Off
    https://theintercept.com/2021/07/23/stuck-in-the-smoke-as-billionaires-blast-off/
    Naomi Klein

    ...something dramatic is changing in public perception: a dropping away of the fantasy of safety in the wealthier parts of the world, as well as the beginnings of cracks in the faith that money and technology will find solutions just in the nick of time.

    Climate inaction in the rich world was never really about denial. Belgians and Germans knew climate change was real; they just thought poorer countries would bear the brunt of it. And up until recently, they were right.

    In this summer of fires and floods, it appears to be dawning on many that even this sinister form of climate apartheid is likely an illusion for all but the ultrarich. As Nasheed said, and as the New York Times echoed in an ominous headline overlaid on a photograph of a burning building: “No one is safe.” We are all trapped in this crisis — whether under that relentless pall of smoke, or in a heat that hits like a physical wall, or under rains and winds that will not stop.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    TADEAS: : algoritmicky modely nikdy nepostihnou veskerej chaos sveta. To by musely bejt tak komplexni, jako svet samotnej. Lidstvo bude jeste prekvapeny
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Komentar k nedavnemu IEA reportu o vzacnych kovech potrebnych pro dekarbonizaci"

    It doesn’t have to be this way, and here are three reasons why:

    The IEA itself highlights that “recycling relieves the pressure on primary supply,” and that recycled copper, lithium, nickel, and cobalt from spent batteries could reduce combined primary supply requirements by approximately 10% by 2040;
    Research that Earthworks recently published, prepared by the Institute for Sustainable Futures at the University of Technology Sydney, shows much more optimistic results of 25-55% potential demand reduction through increased recycling of nickel, cobalt, lithium, and copper from EV batteries alone;
    Recycling has the potential to be a major source of jobs, as EV and other batteries capable of being recycled increase in production. This job can and must be done with the strictest labor and safety laws.
    Other strategies, such as public and collective transportation solutions, have significant potential to reduce demand for metals used in electric vehicle batteries. It’s not enough to move from one type of “take-make-waste” extraction-based linear economy; to comprehensively address the climate crisis the world writ large (but especially wealthy and/or Western countries) must commit to fundamentally reshaping our approach to consumption. Specifically, this means moving towards what the UK-based NGO War on Want calls a circular economy, not just for minerals but for all resources and goods, and eventually a circular society, “in which not only waste is minimised, but consumption itself is questioned.” We must no longer assume the planet can handle infinite growth and production.


    https://www.earthworks.org/blog/whats-missing-from-the-new-iea-report-on-mining-and-the-renewable-energy-transition/
    XCHAOS
    XCHAOS --- ---
    TUHO: tak ono to souvisí, protože jedno vlhké jaro podle všeho nestačilo, aby se obnovila integrita půdy a holt se to zřejmě o to snadněji spláchlo. na většině míst jsou vidět přívaly bláta. (to město v Německu, které si na svém okraji kutalo obří jámu, to je kapitola sama pro sebe, to ani nespadá do kapitoly krimatická klize, to je poučka z obecného betonářství, že se vytěží hromada písku do betonu a pak se do té díry spláchne okolí :-)

    přívalové deště jsou i na pouštích, občas.. .akorát tam chybí půda, do které by se vsákly
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TUHO: A Belgie minuly rok

    Belgium is facing its driest May since the 19th century, with conditions that have stunted crop growth and cut yields in the agricultural province of West Flanders.
    The region’s governor Carl Decaluwe on Monday banned water pumping from streams running off the Yser river, after levels fell below 2.9 metres.
    “We had to do it because otherwise the damage would be irreparable,” Decaluwe said, adding a prolonged drought could cost the region “tens of millions” of euros in damages.
    “We haven’t seen such low water levels in 30 years, and we are experiencing the driest weeks in 120 years.”
    For farmers, who usually pump riverwater into their fields, the ban has left them waiting for rain.
    “Normally I get 50 to 60 tonnes of corn from an acre. But now we will have to be happy with only half of that - on the condition that it will start raining again,” Joel Van Coppenolle, a farmer from the town of Kaaskerke, said. As he spoke, he stood in fields where his corn seedlings are half their usual size, and the soil is cracked and dusty.

    Drought adds to Belgian farmers' coronavirus misery | Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belgium-drought-idUSKBN2351I7
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Belgium has been hit by floods for the second time in just over a week.
    The provinces of Namur and Walloon Brabant southeast of the capital city Brussels were among the worst hit, after thunderstorms and heavy rain reached the country on Saturday.

    Severe Flooding Carries Cars and Leaves Heavy Damage in Dinant, Belgium
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCiN6rdEHZY


    Drought adds to Belgian farmers' coronavirus misery | Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belgium-drought-idUSKBN2351I7
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Herrington, 39, says she undertook the update (available on the KPMG website and credited to its publisher, the Yale Journal of Industrial Ecology) independently “out of pure curiosity about data accuracy”. Her findings were bleak: current data aligns well with the 1970s analysis that showed economic growth could end at the end of the current decade and collapse come about 10 years later (in worst case scenarios).

    The timing of Herrington’s paper, as world economies grapple with the impact of the pandemic, is highly prescient as governments largely look to return economies to business-as-usual growth, despite loud warnings that continuing economic growth is incompatible with sustainability.

    Earlier this year, in a paper titled Beyond Growth, the analyst wrote plainly: “Amidst global slowdown and risks of depressed future growth potential from climate change, social unrest, and geopolitical instability, to name a few, responsible leaders face the possibility that growth will be limited in the future. And only a fool keeps chasing an impossibility.”

    Yep, it’s bleak, says expert who tested 1970s end-of-the-world prediction | Climate change | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/25/gaya-herrington-mit-study-the-limits-to-growth
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