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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    DZODZO: taky se můžeme přestěhovat komplet všichni 100 metrů pod zem a nemusíme topit vůbec :) tyhlety "sithovské" absolutisty nemám rád :) Energie je dost pro všechny, stačí ji proměnit
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    DZODZO: powered down znamena, ze vyuzivas takove mnozstvi energie, ktere je snesitelne pro klima a ekosystemy planety. jako kdyz ti jde proud hodinu denne :)

    kolaps/peak civilizacni infrastruktury [asi] vzdycky obnasi nasledne tenhle krok - pro lidi uz neni vyhodny se dal ucastnit toho budovani civilizacni infratruktury a je vyhodnejsi nasednout na nizkoenergetictejsi, lokalizovanejsi zpusob zivota, odliv z mest smerem do vysocin, odklon od plantazi a obilovin, relokalizace do ekosystemu. tentokrat do toho akorat hodi vidle velka zmena tech ekosystemu samotnejch.

    2.5 stupne ... fakt to bude hodne jina situace.
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    TADEAS: powered-down mysli ako? ze bude kazdy zit vo svojom domku na venkove a kurit drevom, ktore regeneruje kazdy rok? na to nemame dostatok priestoru, tie renewables aspon na m2 vyrobia viac energie ako km2 lesa, ktory musi rast 50 rokov, ale mozno to mysli ako doplnok k renewables?
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS: znamej to komentuje na fb XR:

    Screenshot-20220407-132407-Facebook
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    shifting baselines syndrome

    XR Cambridge
    https://www.facebook.com/232224781008707/posts/1097309811166862/

    Today the Met Office reported that they are changing the threshold at which they declare a heatwave.

    As we normalise high temperatures, extreme weather events, frequent flooding, loss of biodiversity and drastically declining insect, bird, animal and fish populations, we miss opportunities to notice what is happening to our world - the unravelling of the climate and our ecosystems.

    Don’t accept this as inevitable - it is our duty to resist, in whatever way we can.

    The Met Office will declare fewer heatwaves: what a gift for climate crisis deniers | Eleanor Salter | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/30/met-office-fewer-heatwaves-england-optics-action
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global GHG Emissions Are at Highest Level Ever. #IPCC.

    The @IPCC_CH report on how to tackle climate change is finally out, covering nearly 3,000 pages.

    Check out @CarbonBrief's in-depth summary.

    Brace for contact, this is going to be a bumpy ride. Global GHG emissions are at highest level ever.

    From the technical summary: despite all those net-zero goals, emissions of CO₂, CH₄, N₂O et al are all still pointing up and up. And we are not even discussing CO2e. And yes, that's from emissions, what we add every year. Stabilizing them isn't enough. They need to be cut to zero.

    In-depth Q&A: The IPCC’s sixth assessment on how to tackle climate change - Carbon Brief
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/in-depth-qa-the-ipccs-sixth-assessment-on-how-to-tackle-climate-change
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    NASA Scientist Arrested at Chase Bank Amid Global Climate Protests
    https://www.businessinsider.com/scientists-risk-arrest-in-global-climate-protests-2022-4
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Rebellious Climate Scientists Have Message for Humanity: 'Mobilize, Mobilize, Mobilize'
    https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022/04/06/rebellious-climate-scientists-have-message-humanity-mobilize-mobilize-mobilize

    "We need a billion climate activists...The time is now. We've waited far too long!”

    ‘ In face of the "escalating climate emergency," the advocacy group Scientist Rebellion warns that IPCC summary to global policymakers remains "alarmingly reserved, docile, and conservative."

    Amid a weeklong global civil disobedience campaign to demand climate action commensurate with mounting evidence about the need for swift decarbonization, Scientist Rebellion is highlighting specific gaps between what experts say is necessary and what governments allowed to be published in a summary of the United Nations' latest climate assessment. ‘

    … a 64-page Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the report—a key reference point for governments—required the approval of all 195 member states of the IPCC and was edited with their input. ‘

    ...

    Despite the escalating climate emergency and the total absence of emissions cuts, the framing of the final version of the SPM is still alarmingly reserved, docile, and conservative," Scientist Rebellion, an international alliance of academics who are advocating for systemic political and economic changes in line with scientific findings, said Tuesday in a statement.

    "The science has never been clearer: to have any chance of retaining a habitable planet, greenhouse gas emissions must be cut radically now," the group continued. "Limiting warming to 1.5°C and responding to the climate emergency requires an immediate transformation across all sectors and strata of society, a mobilization of historic proportions: a climate revolution."

    "The IPCC [has] avoided naming the major culprits for 30 years, which is one reason for the absence of real emissions cuts," the group added. "Facts detailing the complicity of the world's richest countries in fueling the climate crisis have been watered down by the IPCC's political review process."
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Climate scientists are desperate: we’re crying, begging and getting arrested | Peter Kalmus | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/06/climate-scientists-are-desperate-were-crying-begging-and-getting-arrested

    On Wednesday, I risked arrest by locking myself to an entrance to the JP Morgan Chase building in downtown Los Angeles with colleagues and supporters. Our action in LA is part of an international campaign organized by a loosely knit group of concerned scientists called Scientist Rebellion, involving more than 1,200 scientists in 26 countries and supported by local climate groups. Our day of action follows the IPCC Working Group 3 report released Monday, which details the harrowing gap between where society is heading and where we need to go. Our movement is growing fast.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Jemmy Seccull
    https://www.facebook.com/643556088/posts/10158803739461089/


    After his arrest on 6 April, with a team of environmental activists in Fireproof Australia, and spending 24 hours in a cell, Dr. Martin Wolterding made this presentation before a Magistrate Judge in a Sydney, NSW court.

    “I am an Environmental Scientist. I have studied various aspects of the field for 55 years and taught it at numerous universities for 40 years. I can say with absolute honesty that I think the climate and biodiversity crises are objective facts.
    In New South Wales Australia, if I have charge of my 5 month old grandchild, and I were not to feed him properly, not keep it clean, nor dry and warm him when he was wed and cold, or leave him in the hot sun during an Australian summer, he would suffer and possibly die.

    Were this to happen, I would be guilty of a form of criminal neglect, perhaps manslaughter or murder. Everyone in this courtroom are members of a human society, with the obligations to do whatever is humanly possible to stop and reverse the climate and biodiversity crises. I we fail to do this, if you turn our backs on the dangers than we will subject our grandchildren’s generation, and those who come after to them to having lives which will be short , filled with suffering and death.

    Were we to do this we would be guilty of a another, higher form of neglect, a form that perhaps, has no name, because in the 100,000 years of human history, no generation has ever actively and knowingly denied to those who are to come after them, a healthy future as we are now doing.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Zbývá 30 měsíců do začátku vymírání lidstva. Šlápneme na plyn, aby to bylo rychlejší?

    Michaela Pixová - Názory Aktuálně.cz
    https://blog.aktualne.cz/blogy/michaela-pixova.php?itemid=42416
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Microplastics found deep in lungs of living people for first time | Plastics | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/apr/06/microplastics-found-deep-in-lungs-of-living-people-for-first-time
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: link?
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    kind of related

    The Jevon's Paradox is a Myth

    In the physical world the consumption of material resources is a necessary activity for sustaining physical life. In the mid 19th century, humanity discovered that the use of mechanical implements allowed for more efficient resource production and material abundance. In this time, childhood mortality was rampant and the population was food and energy resource-scarce. It was so resource scarce that real physical population limits were being materially enforced through the mechanisms observed by a period researcher in political science named Robert (bobby) Malthus. Bobby's theory was that in any given environment a population "check" would occur once the material resource limits were attained in any given region. Not really difficult to understand, this work was groundbreaking because he applied it with scientific precision to the human species as simply another form of herd animal.

    Two specific machines that were created during this time created the impetus for massive population growth by freeing up material resource for consumption. The first was the implementation of a machine that would plant seeds at the appropriate depth and spacing and in physical rows. This device was called a "seed drill" and is basically the reason that the plow was invented. By growing row crops, the greater efficiency of food production allowed for more abundant food supplies for the same amount of invested energy. Therefore the "efficiency" of food greatly increased.

    The second machine that was equally responsible for the explosion of population during a period of time that would later be called the "industrial revolution" is the pulsometer pump created by an engineer named Charles Henry (Chucky) Hall. Chucky found that by allowing for the expansion and contraction of the volume of steam in metal cylinders one could create sufficient vacuum force and use the power of suction to remove water from accumulating in coal mines. This machine greatly increased the access of humanity to deeper coal mines and allowed for a much more efficient extraction of coal.

    After this invention a schoolboy noticed that the piles of coal being placed in his family chute for the warming of his flat was becoming cheaper and cheaper, so they decided to burn more of the coal to allow for a much more comfortable environment. Later on, this schoolboy came up with an idea that if any resource is made to be cheaper then the resource would be consumed at a higher level, growing without end. Of course his idea was revolutionary at the time because nobody else on the schoolyard gave a damn about such trivial pursuits and would rather address their time and energy kicking hard rubber balls on the pitch and pulling girl's pigtails. Jevons though himself quite a smart little lad!

    However, being just a simple schoolboy, his understanding was limited to his extremely myopic period and limited exposure to the world. His fanciful projection of unlimited consumption increases occurring at increased efficiencies of material resources, or in the case of food, unlimited population growth and increased material resource consumption would always hit a limit.

    In the modern world then, the concept of energy efficiency is often attacked by disciples of Bobby Malthus who wish to assert that in the current world's resource system, we have or are fast approaching a population "check". They want to assert this kind of "disaster porn" scenario so intently that they make up cute acronymns like EROEI and tend to have invested heavily in wooded land in remote parts of their respective countries where they like to do crafty things like bury schoolbuses as bomb shelters and store canned goods and ammunition. They also tend to like post apocalyptic science fiction scenarios that usually include zombies and guns.

    In the real world, the Jevon's paradox doesn't exist, at least not in the simplistic schoolyard view of a 9 year old boy. In the real world of energy efficiency, the residential energy efficiency gains for low-income sectors do experience a 'takeback' of energy efficiencies. This is due to the resource constrained nature of the low-income experience. This is also the environment that is the most analogous to the mid 19th century school-yard experience of Jevons. This low-income takeback has been widely studied and can be accurately assessed to be between 15% and 25% of total efficiency gains in a household.

    Similarly, in industrial applications, arguments have been made with varying success to indicate that any production efficiency would naturally lead to price reductions and consumption increases, to an unlimited degree so that any increase in efficiency would naturally lead to increased material consumption, without out end. This, of course is laughable as there are limits to economic growth and consumption.

    The physical nature of modern economy is fraught with improvisations placed upon the collective understanding by those who wish to maintain control of our labor and resources. The most insidious of these falsehoods are those regarding organized religion and modern economics. Of course these are basically the same thing. One believes in an invisible entity and the other believes in an invisible hand that will magically balance out the inherent assumptions being made by dimwitted theoreticians. Similar to the oil-industry myth that oil consumption (or even CO2 production) is a proxy for economic activity, the idea that all energy efficiencies must be met with equal increases in consumptions similarly relies on such magical thinking. The real-world examples of per-capita annual driven miles under price fluctuations in gasoline and the differences in energy intensity (joules per $ GDP) among different societies are only a few of the literally millions of real-world examples that disprove the Jevon's Paradox's null hypothesis.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS: jak uznas za vhodny ,)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    I've been covering IPCC reports for 20 years so I've got a pretty good handle on them. And what I'm reading in this one is eye-opening in a lot of ways. So to all my reply guys who are like "well don't you already know what's in the report, things are still bad," I say actually what's in this report are the seeds for revolution, so let's take it all in shall we?
    Throughout the month of April, I'll be posting weekly installments (at least) of analysis on this report, sometimes accompanied by bonus podcast episodes, sometimes not. These posts will be free, so feel free to forward or share. If you run a media outlet you're welcome to re-run anything, with appropriate attribution. If you feel so inclined, you can sign up for a paid subscription here, or via the button at the bottom of this post. Okay, here we go!

    Debunking Demand (IPCC Mitigation Report, Part 1)
    https://www.drilledpodcast.com/debunking-demand-ipcc-mitigation-report-part-1/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TUHO: jakej rozsah by cca ta recenze mela mit? :D
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global team of scientists determine 'fingerprint' for how much heat, drought is too much for forests
    https://phys.org/news/2022-04-global-team-scientists-fingerprint-drought.html

    Just published in the journal Nature Communications, the study compiles the first global database of precisely georeferenced forest die-off events, at 675 locations dating back to 1970. The study, which encompasses all forested continents, then compares that information to existing climate data to determine the heat and drought climatic conditions that caused these documented tree mortality episodes.

    "In this study, we're letting the Earth's forests do the talking," said William Hammond, a University of Florida plant ecophysiologist who led the study. "We collected data from previous studies documenting where and when trees died, and then analyzed what the climate was during mortality events, compared to long-term conditions."

    After performing the climate analysis on the observed forest mortality data, Hammond noted, a pattern emerged.

    "What we found was that at the global scale, there was this consistently hotter, drier pattern—what we call a 'hotter-drought fingerprint' – that can show us how unusually hot or dry it has to get for forests to be at risk of death," said Hammond, an assistant professor in the UF/IFAS agronomy department.

    The fingerprint, he says, shows that forest mortality events consistently occurred when the typically hottest and driest months of the year got even warmer and drier.

    "Our hotter-drought fingerprint revealed that global forest mortality is linked to intensified climate extremes," Hammond said. "Using climate model data, we estimated how frequent these previously lethal climate conditions would become under further warming, compared to pre-industrial era climate—22% more frequent at plus 2 degrees Celsius (plus 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), to 140% more frequently at plus 4 degrees Celsius (plus 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS: no a co, das recenzi na knizku?
    jinak teda ten celej koncept vzniknul castecne i na zaklade debat s tebou, tady a elsewhere a koukam, ze jsem te nenapsal do podekovani, tak sorry.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Juries keep letting Extinction Rebellion off the hook — here’s why | Evening Standard
    https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/juries-judges-extinction-rebellion-innocent-just-stop-oil-protests-climate-activists-b992610.html

    When it came to our turn to defend ourselves there were limits to what we could say. We were allowed to talk about who we were, what we had done, and why. We couldn’t give a lecture on the disaster of climate breakdown, but we could speak about our ‘subjective belief’ that it was taking place. Similarly, we couldn’t tell the jury about Shell’s wickedness, how it had lied for decades about what it knew about the effects of burning fossil fuels, and the damage its drilling had done to environments and communities around the world, but we were allowed to say why we wrote what we did on the walls of the company’s HQ. Each of us is a different character, and each of us had a different story to tell.

    It is a strange, quite primitive experience to face a jury of your peers and explain your actions to them directly – the way I imagine it might happen in a tribe or a mediaeval village. With the mystification of the law removed, it was an intensely personal interaction, even with the judge’s many interruptions. Our jury reflected the diversity of London: mostly young, ethnically diverse, the majority women. I felt glad to be in their hands.

    After the jury cleared us, some of the press coverage commented on our ingenious tactics. But they were no such thing. There wasn’t even much by way of eloquence or persuasion. What happened over the two weeks was that we shared something with the jurors – our understanding of the science, yes, but also our vulnerability, our grief at what was happening to the planet and the people who live on it, and our gratitude to them for listening.
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