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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    DZODZO
    DZODZO --- ---
    TADEAS: to spojenie propalestincov s klimou ma trochu pletie, z ineho clanku linknuteho v tomto clanku:

    "In a letter sent to the Board of Directors on 24 April, signatories asked the institution to outline two "time-bound action plans": one detailing plans to "cut all collaborations with Israeli institutions complicit in the ongoing ethnic cleansing of Palestinians", and another setting out "effective and binding action to implement [the university's] 2030 transition plans"."

    to druhe by sa dalo vyriesit ciastocne zateplenim budovy skoly a solarmi na streche, co chodia decka do skoly, tak po rekonstrukcii im poskocil energeticky stitok z G na B

    tomu prvemu poziadavku ovsem nerozumiem, ake ma univerzita kolaboracie s izraelskou armadou...
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Palestine and Climate Activists Are Joining Forces at UK University Encampments | Novara Media
    https://novaramedia.com/2024/05/09/palestine-and-climate-activists-are-joining-forces-at-uk-university-encampments/
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    hlavní město ropné Kanady evakuováno kvůli lesním požárům. za posledních deset let jednou málem zhořelo (2016), potom záplavy (2020), teď znovu požáry.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/wildfire-evacuation-notice-issued-alberta-town-fort-mcmurray-2024-05-11/

    Canada's oil production is set to jump by about 10 per cent over the next year and become one of the largest sources of increased supply around the world. This is fine.
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Nevím jestli někdo nesdílel, ale nepostřehl jsem? -
    Earth at risk: An urgent call to end the age of destruction and forge a just and sustainable future
    Human development has ushered in an era of converging crises: climate change, ecological destruction, disease, pollution, and socioeconomic inequality. This review synthesizes the breadth of these interwoven emergencies and underscores the urgent need for comprehensive, integrated action. Propelled by imperialism, extractive capitalism, and a surging population, we are speeding past Earth's material limits, destroying critical ecosystems, and triggering irreversible changes in biophysical systems that underpin the Holocene climatic stability which fostered human civilization. The consequences of these actions are disproportionately borne by vulnerable populations, further entrenching global inequities. Marine and terrestrial biomes face critical tipping points, while escalating challenges to food and water access foreshadow a bleak outlook for global security.
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    MARSHUS: incidence ve spojenych statech je v podstate zanedbatelna, stejne jako c.auris, ta je dvakrat castejsi s 2,3k nemocnych rocne. jako ja jsem pro kazdou senzaci, ale ten clanek na livescience odporuje ceskym wikiskriptum v mnoha bodech
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    Pesticide Use Has Increased by Over 80% since 1990, Causing Pollinator Declines and Water Contamination
    The reliance on pesticides in industrial agriculture has skyrocketed over the past three decades, with a staggering 80% increase since 1990. This heavy dependence on chemicals to control pests and weeds has come at a significant cost to the environment, particularly to pollinators and water resources.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Systemic Risks | Research Institute for Sustainability
    https://www.rifs-potsdam.de/en/research-group/risks
    MARSHUS
    MARSHUS --- ---
    PALEONTOLOG: a pořád se priony straší, neboj.

    Chronic wasting disease - Wikipedia
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_wasting_disease
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    YMLADRIS: ai bude rozhodne potrebovat jiny udaje nez obsahuje clanek, patogenita a zivotaschopnost tohoto druhu kvasinky se v clanku dost precenuje
    YMLADRIS
    YMLADRIS --- ---
    SHEFIK: pokud AI nevypocita co s tím, tak další indicie jak asi bude vypadat nový světový pořádek - hermeticky uzavřené citadely, které si dovnitr nepouští žádný bio materiál (natožpak špinavé migranty)
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    TUHO: taky po zvolení Trumpa se propadla cena ropy až ke 30 dolarům.

    Během Trumpova prezidentství měl exxon čistý zisk "jenom" 7 miliard dolarů ročně.
    Během Obamova to bylo 31 miliard a během Bidenova 38 miliard dolarů zisku ročně.


    Netvrdím že teď budou podporovat demokraty, ale jen že to není úplně černobílé.

    Osobně očekávám že po zvolení Trumpa půjde cena ropy dolů a když vyhraje Biden tak půjde nahoru. (Bez podkladů, jen pocit analytika)
    PALEONTOLOG
    PALEONTOLOG --- ---
    SHEFIK: je tam par nepresnosti, osobne neverim, ze to prezije na povrchu dezinfekci. multiresistence jsou, i kdyz je to variabilni jako vsechno v biologii. ja si pamatuju, jak svyho casu strasily lidstvo priony, uz jsem o nich dlouho necetl

    Candida auris – WikiSkripta
    https://www.wikiskripta.eu/w/Candida_auris
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    Z cyklu #doomed

    How the rise of C. auris was inevitable | Live Science
    https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/microbiology/the-most-critically-harmful-fungi-to-humans-how-the-rise-of-c-auris-was-inevitable

    Fifteen years ago, scientists discovered a new species of deadly, drug-resistant fungus: Candida auris. It is now considered one of the most dangerous fungal pathogens on Earth. In this excerpt from "What if Fungi Win?" (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2024), author Arturo Casadevall looks at the rise of this deadly fungus, which could be the first to have emerged as a result of climate change.

    ...

    And C. auris laid low for a while, remaining an obscure unknown yeast in most parts of the planet — until it was found in hospitalized patients in all corners of the world, at roughly the same time. Strikingly, between 2012 and 2015, doctors in South Africa, Venezuela and on the Indian subcontinent simultaneously reported treating patients severely ill with what turned out to be C. auris infections (remember, no one had heard of this fungal species a few years earlier).

    With no contact or commonalities between them, these C. auris cases had appeared independently on three dif­ferent continents, with each fungus genetically distinct from the others.

    ...

    It quickly became clear that this fungus was remarkably resistant to treatment. More than one in three patients with invasive C. auris infections in their blood were dying. In hospitals where this invasive fungal disease had been nonexistent, it was now a significant cause of death.

    To this day, C. auris remains mostly resistant to the antifungal treatments we have at our disposal, so once patients (and hospitals) become infected, it's nearly impossible to get rid of. Usually, doctors diagnose fungal infections after ruling out other sources, say, when a hospitalized patient has a fever that doesn't go away after treatment with antibiotics. Blood tests will likely indicate high white blood cell counts, another sign of an infection, but doctors often can't tell what type of microbe is doing the damage — or necessarily know how to treat it.

    ...

    It could do this because, as doctors would learn, it can colonize human skin, last for weeks on surfaces and tolerate heavy-duty hospital disinfectants. Some hospitals have reported finding C. auris spores lingering in hospital rooms long after a patient was discharged or died, even after other fungal species have been eliminated by cleaning agents. C. auris didn't just stay overseas.

    ...

    Within a decade of it being identified, C. auris was killing people in 40 countries on six continents. We don't have exact numbers, as many cases go unreported or unrecognized, but the figure is certainly in the thousands. In the US alone, there were more than 2,000 infections in 27 states

    ...

    Body temperature may have long protected us from fungus, but we would quickly learn that C. auris was dif­ferent. Unlike most of its fungal cousins, it can grow at temperatures as high as 42 degrees Celsius (107.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

    ...

    "Global warming could have a significant effect on fungal populations," we wrote. "First, a warmer climate could change the distribution of heat-tolerant and susceptible species by favoring those that are more thermotolerant, and by creating conditions for more environmental fungi to spread and enter into closer contact with human populations. Second, under strong selective pressure, the prevalence of species adapted to heat tolerance may increase."

    It wasn't a matter of if fungi would adapt to temperatures high enough that they could threaten humans, we warned, but when.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: Mel jsem dojem, ze minuly Trumpovo volebni obdobi takovy bylo. I kdyz samozrejme ty veci, ktery velkohube tvrdil, ze provede - jako zruseni EPA - nakonec nedal (ale dosadil tam Scotta Pruitta, ktery ji likvidoval zevnitr)
    CHOSIE
    CHOSIE --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    TUHO: zkusím něco vyhrabat, na tohle téma jsem viděl několik rozumných přednášek.


    TUHO: ano, ale nikdy to nebylo takový že jeden blb naplno řekne že všechno uvolní a začne to opravdu dělat. Tohle se jim líbit nebude.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Plus z tehle cisel vypada, ze je celkme zrejmy, co fosilni korporace chtej...



    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    btw jeste ke kontextu svetovymu fossil majors .]

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    // jinak, ze ten trend k oligarchizaci existuje, to vim, ale mel jsem za to prave, ze to je obecnejsi tredn, ktery souvisi v US s postupnym rusenim anti-oligopolni legislativy prijaty Rooseveltem v ramci politik New Dealu. Devadesaty leta byly hodne deregulacni a byly umoznovany merge, ktery by driv nikdy projit nemohly, z duvodu ohrozeni volnyho trhu. Ostatne Standard Oil byl na pocatku 20. stoleti nucene rozdelenej na desitky navzajem si konkurujicich spolecnosti, aby postupne zase skoncily takhle...

    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    PAN_SPRCHA: No, hele to je zajimava predstava, nicmene tipuju, ze nejvetsi vytlak a nejvetsi lobbing delaji predevsim ty velky hraci. Za druhy fosilni prumysl je dlouhodobe jeden z nejvetsich "investoru" do anti-environmentalniho, ale taky obecne anti-regulacniho hnuti. Vsechny ty klima-dezinformacni skupiny od SEPP, TASS, CO2 Coalition, etc zaroven jeli anti-regulacni libertarianstvi a vsechny vyznamny libertariansky skupiny v US byly bud primo zalozeny fosilnima magnatama (jako Cato institute, ktera vznikla z nadace Charlese Kocha) nebo jima financovany (Heartlad Institute, Heritage Foundation, Americans for Prosperity, etc etc).

    Takze na prakticky rovine tahle hypoteza nema oporu. Mozna existuje nejakej pro-regulacni frakce fosilniho prumyslu, ale popravde receno, nenapada me moc ted zadnej pripad, kdezto do tech anti-regulacnich skupin se lijou z fosilniho byznysu dekady stovky milionu a tech prikladu jsou tisice.

    "v devadesátých letech začaly environmentální restrikce a díky ním je postupně přebíraly velké firmy, protože malé si nemohly dovolit vzrůstající administrativu a rostoucí počet opatření na ochranu prostředí." - to je zajimavy, nevedel jsem, nemas k tomu nejakej tip na literaturu?
    PAN_SPRCHA
    PAN_SPRCHA --- ---
    SCHWEPZ: no .....ona je vlastně otázka jestli tohle ropné společnosti chtějí.
    Právě regulace a omezení drží ceny nahoře a drží celý business v rukách oligopolu několika společností.
    Profit ropných společností byl vcelku stabilní od osmdesátých let až někdy k roku 2005, od té doby je v průměru pětinásobný což je v absolutních hodnotách šílené číslo.

    Právě v USA bývaly tisíce nezávislých těžařských firem, v devadesátých letech začaly environmentální restrikce a díky ním je postupně přebíraly velké firmy, protože malé si nemohly dovolit vzrůstající administrativu a rostoucí počet opatření na ochranu prostředí.

    Trump veřejně uvolňující restrikce na těžbu=pád ceny ropy=nižší zisky pro těžaře. Reakce společností to taky dost potvrzuje.
    Kliknutím sem můžete změnit nastavení reklam