Natural Disaster Expert: Elites Have NO PLAN for Climate Collapse | Aaron Bastani meets Bill McGuire
https://youtu.be/ee9fYVwhBsU?si=Tiq5P7U_qfbWi5On


The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in 2026 is roughly the same as when, in the very, very distant past, the Earth was between 6 and 8 degrees warmer. If the Earth were to reach those temperatures again, the majority of mammals would go extinct.

While we’re not at those temperatures now, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere could cause the climate to accelerate towards planetary conditions that pre-date the dinosaurs.

This is the stark warning of this week’s guest, Bill McGuire. A geologist and volcanologist by training, he has spent time as an expert and government advisor on extreme weather events, before becoming an author. According to him, there is no plan for the extreme climactic upheaval that is to come.

You can buy Bill’s book here:

The Fate of the World by Bill McGuire – HarperCollins Publishers UK
https://novara.media/3SM0nTd%E2%80%8B

0:00​ Intro
03:30​ The Next Volcanic Eruption
10:31​ Disaster Planning, Prepping, and Britain's Food Security
19:02​ El Niño, and the 1.5°C question
29:40​ Deep History of Climate Change
42:08​ The True Lessons of Geology
54:11​ The Speed of Global Heating
1:03:54​ The Worst Case Scenario
1:13:34​ Why Geoengineering Won't Save Us
1:20:41​ Mass Extinction, Human Folly, and Billionaire Bunkers

John Scheve - Global average 2 meter height air...
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/19kfohArNF/

Global average 2 meter height air temperature is now + 1.69 degrees C (+ 3.04 degrees F) above the 1850-1900 baseline. We are likely rocketing to well above + 2 degrees C (+ 3.6 degrees F) in early 2027. There is no sugar coating this. Even though this temperature jump will be largely due to the record intensity El Niño and should ease back slightly by late 2027, the higher that margin goes the more mutual amplifications of climate feedbacks will occur, the more new feedbacks will kick in, and the more tipping points will be crossed irreversibly. There is unfortunately a growing possibility that Antarctic sea ice will shrink so dramatically this coming austral summer - reducing Earth’s reflectivity so much that the atmosphere will continue warming after this El Niño - which would trigger other feedbacks that dramatically accelerate global atmospheric warming to a runaway degree.

We are playing with not just fire but with a bomb in that further warming will trigger massive releases of methane and carbon dioxide from the melting of Arctic tundra and frozen sea floor hydrates on shallow sea floors and shelves in the Arctic plus around Antarctica.

The Holocene which began 11,700 years ago and enabled the rise of human civilization is no more. There is no going back to it barring rapid and massive greenhouse gas emissions reductions to near zero PLUS massive reductions of existing greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere PLUS developing and implementing some method of stopping the massive acceleration of uppermost ocean heat uptake. This is a long shot and it depends not only on global cooperation and resolve by all humanity working together but also on technologies yet to be developed. But we must give it all we’ve got or the warming trajectory we are on leads inexorably to extinction.

J Scheve
https://www.facebook.com/share/1D4kxTHmbB/


Latest U.S. Climate Prediction Center CFSv2 Forecast Ensemble Mean Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) for the date in the ENSO 3.4 region of the central/ eastern equatorial Pacific for November is + 4.0 degrees C (+ 7.2 degrees F) (first Image). This would be + 1.4 degrees C (+ 2.5 degrees F) higher than ever recorded.

We are likely going to have catastrophic weather impacts in many areas of the world including record flooding, record heat, and record drought. Crop failures in many regions will likely be the worst on record.

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies for the date in the Southern Hemisphere as a whole will break records by a large magin by January while Northern Hemisphere anomalies remain high (last frame of second image) and I think the global average 2 meter height air temperature increase will be much larger than predicted up till now. It could reach + 0.5 degrees C (+ 1 degree F) or more. This is catastrophic for climate because it means feedbacks will accelerate massively.

We are sailing deep into uncharted waters.

TADEAS:

A landmark May 2026 study in Nature Climate Change (Duke/Fudan Universities) found that airborne microplastics are net warming agents — colored micro- and nanoplastics suspended in the atmosphere contribute to warming at a level equal to roughly 16% of that caused by black carbon (soot) (Gizmodo) . Dark or pigmented particles absorb up to 74.8 times more solar radiation than pristine clear plastic, and in regions like the North Pacific Garbage Patch, local warming from plastic rivals or exceeds that from soot. (Karmactive) Separately, microplastics also act as ice-nucleation seeds in clouds, triggering freezing at warmer-than-normal temperatures and potentially altering precipitation patterns and cloud cover globally. (psu) On glaciers, dark particles reduce surface reflectivity and accelerate melt. Storms amplify the problem: during typhoons, researchers recorded massive deposition events that redistribute ocean plastics onto land

• Nature Climate Change (May 4, 2026) — Original paper: Atmospheric warming contributions from airborne microplastics and nanoplastics
• Scientific American — Airborne microplastics could be making climate change worse
• Gizmodo — Scientists identify another contributor to global warming
• Penn State — Microplastics impact cloud formation, likely affecting weather and climate
• C&EN — Airborne microplastics could be making the world warmer
• Business Standard — Microplastics found to trap heat, play role in global climate change
• Karmactive — Airborne microplastics carry 16.2% of black carbon's warming power

Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are now approaching 32 degrees C (90 degrees F) in the open ocean of the South China Sea, the Arabian Sea, off the Mexico Pacific coast - and in the Caribbean around Cuba’s Isle of Youth although that last one is not in the open ocean. It’s highly likely readings in these locations will exceed 32 degrees C if not 33 degrees C by late summer. There has never been an SST of 33 C recorded anywhere in the world in the open ocean. 2026 will likely set a record for highest global average SST and highest global average 2 m height air temperature ever recorded and likely the highest in at least 120,000 years. 2027 could be even warmer.

The accelerating warming of the uppermost ocean is causing atmospheric warming to accelerate.

Don’t fuck with a water planet. It’s a steam engine. Especially the only planet in the universe known to harbor life.

John Scheve - Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are now...
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/18ng2FHN6S/

opáčko 2022, oze v čr nechceme


Energy crises must accelerate the fight against climate change
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/article/2026/03/21/energy-crises-must-accelerate-the-fight-against-climate-change_6751671_23.html

Breaking free from dependence on fossil fuels is, beyond the climate benefits a crucial issue of national sovereignty and the only way to protect ourselves against geopolitical shocks, such as those caused by the war in the Middle East.

The mistake would be to respond to this situation with broad subsidies for fossil fuels, as was done in 2022. At the time, the urgency justified massive price controls. Today, France no longer has the budgetary means, and Europe cannot afford to indefinitely subsidize its dependency.

Every euro of public funding must be directed toward measures that structurally reduce fossil fuel consumption: thermal renovation of buildings, electrification of uses and support for low-carbon industrial sectors.

Energy crises must accelerate the fight against climate change - JustPaste.it
https://justpaste.it/i356c

TADEAS: related

Antarctica just saw fastest glacier collapse ever recorded
Antarctica’s Hektoria Glacier lost nearly half its ice in just 2 months after lifting off a flat seabed and shattering apart
Such events could accelerate global sea level rise much faster than predicted

Antarctica just saw the fastest glacier collapse ever recorded | ScienceDaily
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/02/260226042454.htm

R Hallam

Isn't this also treason - only publish a "partial" version of a report of the greatest ever threat to the UK state? Again - just saying - obviously people will say in 2026 calling it treason is bonkers, but then in 2036 won't people be saying it's bonkers that anyone cannot see that it is treason?
"On that, the UK’s Joint Intelligence Committee, on which heads of MI5 and MI6 sit, would surely agree. Last month, a partial version of its national security assessment of global biodiversity loss was published, and it came with a stark warning: some ecosystems will start to collapse “by 2030 or sooner”, posing an immediate threat to national security, prosperity, food systems and public health. There won’t be enough water for people to drink or food to eat; livelihoods will be lost; displacement and migration will accelerate, and geopolitical competition for resources will intensify."

Biodiversity collapse threatens UK security, intelligence chiefs warn | Biodiversity | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/20/biodiversity-collapse-threatens-uk-security-intelligence-chiefs-warn

TADEAS:

New Record for Annual Increase in Keeling Curve Readings | The Keeling Curve
https://keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/2025/01/17/new-record-for-annual-increase-in-keeling-curve-readings/

“This record growth, it certainly got a boost from the 2023-2024 El Niño event, which also helped explain the record growth that we reported last May,” said Keeling. “Although this El Niño event ended early in 2024, it is often the case that El Niño events are associated with higher than normal CO2 growth extending into the northern hemisphere summer following the El Niño event.”

“This last year fit that pattern, but the CO2 growth might have been further boosted by wildfires in North and South America,” Keeling added.

The ultimate cause of the CO2 rise is the burning of fossil fuels, but the rise rate also fluctuates from year to year due to CO2 exchanges with the ocean and land ecosystems, including from fires. CO2 levels are not just at the highest level in millions of years, they are also rising at a record pace.

“These latest results further confirm that we are moving into uncharted territory faster than ever as the rise continues to accelerate,” said Keeling.

This analysis coincides with a new report from Keeling and the UK’s Met Office, which issues forecasts of the annual CO2 rise. Met Office researchers noted that the rise is now incompatible with scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to assess limiting long-term average global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial times.

“Limiting global warming to 1.5°C would require the CO2 rise to be slowing, but in reality the opposite is happening,” said Richard Betts, who leads the Met Office CO2 forecast team. “Even without the boost from El Niño last year, the CO2 rise driven by fossil fuel burning and deforestation would now be outpacing the IPCC’s 1.5°C scenarios.”

Trees and land absorbed almost no CO2 last year. Is nature’s carbon sink failing?
The sudden collapse of carbon sinks was not factored into climate models – and could rapidly accelerate global heating

It begins each day at nightfall. As the light disappears, billions of zooplankton, crustaceans and other marine organisms rise to the ocean surface to feed on microscopic algae, returning to the depths at sunrise. The waste from this frenzy – Earth’s largest migration of creatures – sinks to the ocean floor, removing millions of tonnes of carbon from the atmosphere each year.

This activity is one of thousands of natural processes that regulate the Earth’s climate. Together, the planet’s oceans, forests, soils and other natural carbon sinks absorb about half of all human emissions.

But as the Earth heats up, scientists are increasingly concerned that those crucial processes are breaking down.

Trees and land absorbed almost no CO2 last year. Is nature’s carbon sink failing? | Oceans | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe?CMP=twt_a-environment_b-gdneco

XCHAOS: collapse now and avoid the rush, jak rikal archdruid ,)

ale kapitani prumyslu veli accelerate now and don't think about collapse at all

počasí

Ex-Hurricane Kirk: Potential Severe Impact for Western Europe this week
https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/hurricane-season-2024-forecast-major-storm-kirk-north-atlantic-uk-france-mk/

North Atlantic hurricane season 2024 is particularly busy with tropical systems this month, with multiple systems ongoing. One system caught our attention as it turned towards Europe—a major hurricane Kirk. It is forecast to accelerate across the North Atlantic and become an intense post-tropical storm, impacting France, the northwestern tip of Spain, and the UK.

A new study says that thawing permafrost probably won’t cause a runaway process. Permafrost is permanently frozen ground that covers about a quarter of the landmass in the Northern Hemisphere. It stores large amounts of methane and carbon dioxide that will be released when it thaws. If that release were to cause enough further warming to accelerate its own release, the process would inevitably “run away” until everything is released. The new study now says that the pace of release depends strongly on the ground conditions and in general wouldn’t be fast enough to actually speed itself up.

Single view - AWI
https://www.awi.de/en/about-us/service/press/single-view/tauender-permafrost-kein-globales-klima-kippelement-trotzdem-gravierende-auswirkungen.html