What’s the Government’s plan? Its own National Security Assessment warns that: “Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity.” It says every critical ecosy...
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What’s the Government’s plan?

Its own National Security Assessment warns that:

“Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity.”

It says every critical ecosystem is on a pathway to collapse and warns of serious threats from biodiversity loss, food and water insecurity, flooding, drought, extreme heat, displacement and geopolitical instability.

But the assessment released to the public is redacted.

Today we’re taking Love & Rage to the streets of London.

We’re demanding:
• The full, unredacted National Security Assessment
• A UK-wide briefing on the climate and nature risks facing us
• A plan to address the threats the Government’s own assessment identifies

At the heart of today’s procession is a Cacerolazo — hundreds of people banging pots and pans, demanding that the climate and nature crisis can no longer be ignored.

And leading the procession is Le Crucible, our giant simmering casserole.

Because we’re all in the same soup and it’s coming to the boil.

❤️ Love for the Earth and for life itself.
🔥 Rage at continued denial and delay.

Tell the Truth. Act Now. What’s the Plan?

Read the National Security Assessment:

Nature security assessment on global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security - GOV.UK
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/nature-security-assessment-on-global-biodiversity-loss-ecosystem-collapse-and-national-security

More about Love & Rage:

Love & rage - Extinction Rebellion UK
https://extinctionrebellion.uk/love-and-rage/

Natural Disaster Expert: Elites Have NO PLAN for Climate Collapse | Aaron Bastani meets Bill McGuire
https://youtu.be/ee9fYVwhBsU?si=Tiq5P7U_qfbWi5On


The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in 2026 is roughly the same as when, in the very, very distant past, the Earth was between 6 and 8 degrees warmer. If the Earth were to reach those temperatures again, the majority of mammals would go extinct.

While we’re not at those temperatures now, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere could cause the climate to accelerate towards planetary conditions that pre-date the dinosaurs.

This is the stark warning of this week’s guest, Bill McGuire. A geologist and volcanologist by training, he has spent time as an expert and government advisor on extreme weather events, before becoming an author. According to him, there is no plan for the extreme climactic upheaval that is to come.

You can buy Bill’s book here:

The Fate of the World by Bill McGuire – HarperCollins Publishers UK
https://novara.media/3SM0nTd%E2%80%8B

0:00​ Intro
03:30​ The Next Volcanic Eruption
10:31​ Disaster Planning, Prepping, and Britain's Food Security
19:02​ El Niño, and the 1.5°C question
29:40​ Deep History of Climate Change
42:08​ The True Lessons of Geology
54:11​ The Speed of Global Heating
1:03:54​ The Worst Case Scenario
1:13:34​ Why Geoengineering Won't Save Us
1:20:41​ Mass Extinction, Human Folly, and Billionaire Bunkers

John Scheve - Global average 2 meter height air...
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Global average 2 meter height air temperature is now + 1.69 degrees C (+ 3.04 degrees F) above the 1850-1900 baseline. We are likely rocketing to well above + 2 degrees C (+ 3.6 degrees F) in early 2027. There is no sugar coating this. Even though this temperature jump will be largely due to the record intensity El Niño and should ease back slightly by late 2027, the higher that margin goes the more mutual amplifications of climate feedbacks will occur, the more new feedbacks will kick in, and the more tipping points will be crossed irreversibly. There is unfortunately a growing possibility that Antarctic sea ice will shrink so dramatically this coming austral summer - reducing Earth’s reflectivity so much that the atmosphere will continue warming after this El Niño - which would trigger other feedbacks that dramatically accelerate global atmospheric warming to a runaway degree.

We are playing with not just fire but with a bomb in that further warming will trigger massive releases of methane and carbon dioxide from the melting of Arctic tundra and frozen sea floor hydrates on shallow sea floors and shelves in the Arctic plus around Antarctica.

The Holocene which began 11,700 years ago and enabled the rise of human civilization is no more. There is no going back to it barring rapid and massive greenhouse gas emissions reductions to near zero PLUS massive reductions of existing greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere PLUS developing and implementing some method of stopping the massive acceleration of uppermost ocean heat uptake. This is a long shot and it depends not only on global cooperation and resolve by all humanity working together but also on technologies yet to be developed. But we must give it all we’ve got or the warming trajectory we are on leads inexorably to extinction.

John Scheve - No one wants to say this but the...
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/17zDTPumGv/

the Mediterranean and even the Bay of Biscay will soon be mostly dead marine biomes as well as enhanced catalysts for severe thunderstorms, torrential flooding rains, tornadoes, stronger mid latitude cyclones, heavier winter snowfall and even Medicanes in late summer.

Marine Heat Waves (MHWs) are becoming perpetual though annually oscillating in intensity and are generally amplifying year to year. The more sheltered and shallow the body of water the more rapid the heating in calm sunny conditions. When the uppermost ocean is highly stratified as it is increasingly, MHWs can intensify stunningly fast even in the open deep Pacific. The North Pacific marine heatwave which is worst in the NW Pacific now, has recently warmed at a staggering 1 to 2 degrees C per week under calm sunny conditions with sinking air under an atmospheric high pressure dome. These conditions are increasing over the oceans in tandem with MHWs in an amplifying mutual feedback.

Generally speaking, climate and marine feedbacks and mutual amplifications are kicking in with ferocious speed now as global atmospheric warming accelerates - both far faster than modeling predicted. Climate models ignore many feedbacks and amplifications and use linear extrapolations for others which has rendered them useless. Plus climate sensitivity is likely 2 to 3 times greater than modeled due to the accelerating Earth Energy Imbalance caused by our increasing greenhouse gas emissions and the surprising relative reduction of outgoing long wave energy from the upper atmosphere associated with cloud reduction and cloud dimming over warmer ocean surfaces and higher levels of water vapor (the most powerful greenhouse gas).

If we don’t find a way to stop the accelerating heat absorption of the world ocean we will not stop the trajectory towards extinction we are now in.

Image: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) showing an SSTA for the date of + 5.2 degrees C (+ 9.4 degrees F) in the open Mediterranean Sea as of yesterday from earth.nullschool.net

R Hallam

"BEYOND CURRENT EXTINGUISHING CAPACITY"....

2016 - 20,000 evacuations
2026 - 200,000 evacuations
2036 - 2 million evacuations
2046 - 20 million evacuations
2056 - 200 million evacuations
2066 - 2 billion evacuations

The reason the human race is heading for extinction is because of people's unwillingness to understand the exponential function - and act accordingly.

(Note: yes you are right, this projection is almost certainly an underestimate)

Roger Hallam - "BEYOND CURRENT EXTINGUISHING CAPACITY".......
https://www.facebook.com/share/18rQZLQbFz/

get ready for wars, famines, droughts, floods, hurricanes, heatwaves, murders, chaos, refugees, stress, disease, extinction, disaster...


26 million French people under red alert; the fire in Trévillach, in the Pyrénées-Orientales, is "now contained," announces Laurent Nuñez

In a message on X, the Minister of the Interior expressed his "deep gratitude to the 800 firefighters of SDIS 66 and the reinforcements from several departments," as well as to all the other professions mobilized and the volunteers engaged against this fire which has covered 4,900 hectares since July 4.

Client Challenge
https://www.lemonde.fr/planete/live/2026/07/12/en-direct-canicule-un-dimanche-suffocant-en-france-au-c-ur-d-un-episode-caniculaire-durable-intense-et-etendu-l-incendie-dans-le-sud-de-l-espagne-est-stabilise_6720911_3244.html

je hezky


We are deep in the finding out... - Extinction Rebellion
https://www.facebook.com/share/1LoUyE85Ji/

TADEAS:

R Hallam
https://www.facebook.com/share/1Au28JyCiB/

Four points on the "landmark" UK report on the elite's mass death project.

1. If it is a "landmark" report which points to the destruction of the British economy, its way of life, and the very existence of the country at 4C, why does it get two small lines in the middle of the news section of the world's main "liberal" newspaper that sells the idea that facts are "sacred"? The point being the liberal elites exist to smooth the journey to mass death being prepared for us by the business elites.

2. It's not the mean, stupid. What kills is the outlier. What we want to know is not that food production will go down by x% on average - we want to know that every 20 years an outlier probability is there will be destroyed crops two years running, leading to mass starvation of British people, from which they will not recover by the time the next outlier hits.

3. The unit of analysis of the "UK" is also beyond stupid. What will happen in the UK does not depend upon what happens in the UK but in the whole world. When outliers happen in other areas - war, famine, social breakdown, the world economy will collapse and UK living standards will collapse. Meaning poor people will starve and revolutions will happen.

4. The "climate" is not an event. So stopping pretending it is. It is not a matter of "if we get to 4C". It is a matter of if we get to 2C, feedbacks will send our kids to 3C and their kids to extinction at 4/5 and 6C. It's a ball rolling ever faster down the hill, not a bus stop.

'I continue to protest, but with a knot in my stomach': How Sweden is discouraging foreigners fro... - JustPaste.it
https://justpaste.it/gzbbd

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/m-le-mag/article/2026/05/01/i-continue-to-protest-but-with-a-knot-in-my-stomach-how-sweden-discourages-foreigners-from-taking-climate-action_6753046_117.html

On September 17, 2023, Isabelle Letellier left her home in western Stockholm early in the morning. Active for just over four years with the group Scientist Rebellion, a branch of the environmental movement Extinction Rebellion, the university lecturer – who holds a PhD in psychology – was due to meet others at Bromma airport, three kilometers from her home, to join a protest against private jets, which are major emitters of CO₂. Her sons, now 9 and 11, had a basketball game and a birthday party that afternoon. She expected to be home by lunchtime. But nothing went as planned.

With curly hair and round glasses, sitting in her living room with books lining the walls, 43-year-old Letellier recalled the moment everything changed. There were 17 activists that day, gathered in the parking lot in front of the private jet terminal. She was holding a banner calling for a ban on private jets when two of her fellow activists threw red paint on a hangar and a jet. Armed police arrived and placed all the demonstrators under arrest.

In mid-April 2026, all 17 activists stood trial for "vandalism and complicity in vandalism" at the Attunda court, in the north of the capital, during a three-day hearing where they justified their actions as a response to the "climate emergency." The Frenchwoman's case drew particular attention. Beyond illustrating the growing crackdown on environmental activists in Sweden, it shed light on a double penalty for foreign nationals: In August 2024, Letellier was denied Swedish citizenship. "To obtain Swedish citizenship, the applicant must have led and continue to lead a calm and respectable life in Sweden," the immigration authorities argued.

The world is threatened by a “suicidal” model of capitalism that is leading to war, fascism and the potential extinction of humanity, Colombia’s president has said, as he convened 57 governments to address the climate crisis.

Gustavo Petro blamed fossil fuel interests for taking ever more desperate measures to prevent a transition to green energy. “There is inertia in the power and the economy of this archaic form of energy – fossil fuels – that lead to death. Undoubtedly, that form of capital can commit suicide, taking with it humanity and [other] life,” he said. “The question that needs to be asked is whether capitalism can truly adapt to a non-fossil energy model.”

‘Suicidal’ model of capitalism leading to war and fascism, climate summit told | Climate crisis | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/29/capitalism-colombia-climate-summit-gustavo-petro

The Blueprint for System Change | Ash Sarkar Meets Extinction Rebellion Founder Roger Hallam
https://youtu.be/UC2VT3RkiYo?si=WR7F32DXf_pg2Zb9


This week on Downstream, Ash Sarkar is joined by one of the most controversial political figures on the Left: Roger Hallam. Whether you like or loathe his tactics, it’s hard to deny the disruptive impact he has had through the activist organisations he has led; Extinction Rebellion and Just Stop Oil.

He joins us fresh from his latest stint in a prison cell, where he wrote a treatise for Your Party called ‘Grasping the Enormity of the Moment’. It’s a blueprint for a radical change, in which he sets out his vision for an emancipated future, and strategies for how to get there. Does Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana’s party still have potential? What is the point of sending activists to prison? And what role will Zoom calls play in the coming revolution?

00:00​ Intro
02:40​ Your Party’s Moment
05:18​ The Revolutionary Potential of Zoom Calls
11:18​ Creating Networks Through Door Knocking
14:50​ Drawing Inspiration From the Belgian Workers’ Party
17:58​ What Motivates People: Emotion Versus Reason
26:09​ The Problem With the Censorious Left
34:11​ What’s the Point of Political Prisoners?
44:09​ The Demographics of JSO and XR
52:47​ On Sortition
1:04:42​ Building Relationships of Solidarity
1:11:40​ Zack Polanski and the Green Party
1:14:22​ Talking, Listening, Action

Suicide (Paperback) – JUST RELEASED – Revolution in the 21st Century
https://rev21.earth/product/suicide/

From a cell in Wayland Prison, Roger Hallam—farmer, researcher, and co-founder of Just Stop Oil—delivers a searing indictment of a legal system that punishes those who resist, while protecting those who destroy. In July 2024, Hallam was dragged from a British courtroom for refusing to stay silent about the climate crisis. For “conspiracy to cause a public nuisance,” he was sentenced to five years in prison, the harshest punishment for civil disobedience in the UK in modern British history. The case made front-page news and drew global outcry.

Suicide is part memoir, part political reckoning. Drawing on Hallam’s award-winning research and experience representing himself in four Crown Court trials, it lays bare the moral and legal failures of a society sleepwalking into catastrophe. From climate science and the right of necessity, to the collapse of democratic norms and the illusions of secular reason, this is a radical call to rethink justice, truth, and duty in the face of extinction.

lyžujte než to roztajou

Glaciers to reach peak rate of extinction in the Alps in eight years | Glaciers | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/dec/15/alpine-glaciers-rate-extinction-climate-crisis

TADEAS:
Za mě zkrátka za těch pár let co od něj občas něco vidím se snaží diskreditovat to co vybočuje z mainstreamu a přibarvuje realitu (podobně jako Gates/Richie, jestli si pamatuji byla mezi nimi i nějaká spolupráce) a označení "hopium" je na místě - můj problém tedy je, že to není vědecky upřímné - například jako argument používá zjednodušené ZEC modely a TCRE/CWC odhady, zatímco kritizuje ECS odhady a ignoruje ESS. Nemluvě o výrocích, které jsou lživé.

To že potom hází do jednoho pytle to co vybočuje (např. James Hansen, či obecně kritika IPCC apod.) společně s lidmi, kteří propagují NTHE (near-term human extinction) - např. McPherson, Dowd - je přinejmenším nečestné. A stejně lze za "nečestné" a "neupřímné" označit ty, kteří NTHE hlásají, je to v podstatě druhá strana mince.

Takže to není jen o nějaké bublině, tady se bavíme o datech, která selektivně ignoruje. Pokud je třeba ta zmíněná kritika IPCC nebo publikace Hansena fakticky špatná, tak to lze přeci obhájit vědecky místo škatulkování, že jsou to všechno "doomeři". A poté tuto škatuly, do které hází široké spektrum vědců a expertů nazývá "mentální poruchou", H. Richie "horší než popírači" (oprava mé předchozí zprávy)

Some of the friendly fire comes from fellow scientists who have gone down the path of doomism or at least what we might call "soft doomism," that is, emissions reductions alone are not adequate to prevent catastrophic warming.

Even revered climate scientist James Hansen, whose early predictions of warming proved prophetic, has gotten sucked into the vortex of soft doomism. The scientific consensus is that we can still avert a catastrophic planetary warming of 1.5 degrees Celsius (3 degrees Fahrenheit) if we rapidly reduce carbon emissions this decade.
(https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/action-on-climate-change-faces-new-threat-the-doomers-who-think-its-too-late-to-act)

Nicméně samozřejmě jsou mnohem horší lidé a dá se jasně říct, že "taháme za stejný provaz", jen jsme myslím v dostatečně specifickém vláknu, kde je prostor na pro tuto diskuzi.

Další materiál k tématu:

I read Michael Mann’s The New Climate War so you don’t have to. – Another End of the World is Possible
https://anotherendoftheworld.org/2021/03/23/i-read-michael-manns-the-new-climate-war-so-you-dont-have-to/

GBU Episode 2: Good Bad & Ugly - Science Communicators - Michael Mann / Bill Nye Corporate Shills.
https://youtu.be/YxMCxgv5wGE

David King

We passed the 1.5C climate threshold. We must now explore extreme options | David King | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/apr/07/climate-solutions-extreme-options


R Hallam
https://www.facebook.com/share/1AP5yJSuWn/


The former UK government’s chief scientific adviser, the foreign secretary’s special representative for climate change and the head of the University of Cambridge’s chemistry department, Sir David King states that as we have passed 1.5C "we must now explore extreme options". I could not agree more. I trust and respect science experts when they say we cannot save ourselves without geo-engineering. This goes against my culture as a former organic farmer but facts are facts and I am not an expert.

The question then is whether natural scientists like Sir David King will trust social scientists/experts like myself who have been saying for the last decade that only through mass civil disobedience and resistance will the policies insisted upon by him and others be implemented. This is not because I like creating disruption any more than scientists like the risks of geo-engineering. It is simply a matter of rationally looking at reality.

We are in an existential emergency; without drastic action the deaths of billions of people will be locked in in the next decade, not to mention the prospect of human extinction. It is time to do what is necessary - what is most likely to work.

As I wrote recently on the news that JSO has been prevented from continuing its actions due to the mass imprisonment of its organisers, the reason for our failure is the refusal of key members of the elites to "defect," as is the word in the literature. This means they lead the marches, get arrested, and receive prison sentences.

I would bet my life that if 50 individuals of Sir David's social standing decided to act to save our country to the point of being imprisoned then policy change would happen in the UK. And the same would happen in other Western states. The reason nothing is happening is that civil society leaders refuse to act on their sacred duty and honour to protect the people of our country. They are violating their values through their cowardice, and they know it.

As Sir David says, we don't want to leave it too late. "The longer we delay, the fewer options remain on the table and the more likely that deployment will happen without the proper due diligence at a point of desperation." In social scientific terms what he means is that if we don't act now because it is only poor black people (over there) that will die, by the time we are forced to engage in civil resistance because "nice" white people in the home counties are dying, it will be way too late for us too. Won't it.

⚰️ Why The Human Race is Going Extinct this Century
https://rogerhallam.com/blog-extinct/

TADEAS: lehce malm vibrs

In the first chapter, Malm describes a protest he participated outside the COP1 United Nations climate conference in 1995.[2] He asks "At what point do we escalate?",[5]: 8  stating that the modern climate movement has remained committed to "absolute non-violence" and avoided property destruction.[5]: 22–23  He criticizes what he defines as "moral pacifism" for failing to account for defensive violence[5]: 30–32  and argues that "strategic pacifism" as advocated by Bill McKibben and Extinction Rebellion is ahistorical, discussing the radical flank effect in the context of the civil rights movement and questioning whether there are "convincing reasons" to believe that "the struggle against fossil fuels ... will succeed only on condition of utter peacefulness".[5]: 34–54 

Malm describes Ende Gelände 2016, during which he and other activists blockaded the Schwarze Pumpe power station, writing that politicians and the media described the action as violent because the activists broke fences. He quotes The Wretched of the Earth by Frantz Fanon, stating that Fanon wrote violence "frees the native 'from his despair and inaction; it makes him fearless and restores his self-respect'". He concludes that "There has been a time for a Gandhian climate movement; perhaps there might come a time for a Fanonian one. The breaking of fences may one day be seen as a very minor misdemeanour indeed."[5]: 158–161 

How to Blow Up a Pipeline - Wikipedia
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_to_Blow_Up_a_Pipeline