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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    TADEAS: Nj, ale ja Manna chapu. Je to klimatolog, nikoliv sociolog ani politolog. A ty svinarny, ktery proti nemu rozjel fosilni prumysl jsou takovy, ze tezko se tomu nevenovat :))
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    The Manichean Mann | Issues in Science and Technology
    https://issues.org/new-climate-war-michael-mann-hulme-review/#.YLtLOYZ-TNk.twitter

    The tragedy, however, of Mann and people who think like him is that they view arguments about these questions through a Manichean lens: the source of all opposition to the “correct” view—Mann’s view—of what should be done about climate change is traced back to an orchestrated evil empire. The basic doctrine of Manicheanism is that of a structural conflict between good and evil. For Mann, the source of this evil is the fossil fuel industry representing, as he puts it, “the eye of Sauron,” that omnipotent dark power in The Lord of the Rings.

    There is no doubting the need for an accelerating transition away from fossil fuels. And there is also no doubt that vested political interests have obstructed its progress. But Mann is so conditioned by his Manichean worldview that wherever he looks in the public, scientific, and political debates around climate change he sees the shadows of the Koch brothers (52 name checks in the book), Exxon Mobil (23), and the Heartland Institute (15). The nefarious hand of the fossil-fuel lobby is everywhere. This worldview leads him to some ludicrous contentions that, taken together, result in The New Climate War: The Fight to Take Back Our Planet offering an incoherent and distinctly unhelpful narrative on climate change.

    ...

    If one looks beyond the battle-posturing, the calling out of enemies, and the settling of Twitter disputes, what do we learn from The New Climate War about how to frame, enact, and deliver changes in the world that might ameliorate the risks of climate change? The strategy offered—it is of course a “battle plan”—has four elements: resist the doomists; learn from children; educate the uneducated; and focus on systemic change, not individual lifestyle choices. I certainly have a lot of sympathy for the first of these goals, having been arguing for the last 15 years that warnings of imminent global catastrophe are neither scientifically warranted nor politically constructive (although this does not prevent Mann from putting me on “the wrong side,” a contrarian).

    But the most intriguing of his four points is the final one: changing the system requires systemic change. Now, “systemic change” can mean different things for different people, but for Mann it means pricing carbon and promoting 100% renewables for meeting the world’s energy needs (other technological innovations seem to be ruled out by Mann). This is certainly not what some climate activists—such as the anticapitalist Naomi Klein or the young Swedish environmentalist Greta Thunberg—would mean by systemic change, and it is notable that while he is willing to challenge Klein’s position, he works hard in the book to keep Thunberg inside his circle of the virtuous.

    ...

    Mann seems uninterested in building the alliances necessary for political change. Above all, the book offers little for those seeking a guide to the complex global politics of climate change. This is an America-first book. It perpetuates the fallacy that the global politics of climate change can be read through the peculiar lens of American political partisanship. The other climate superpowers—the European Union (6 mentions), China (8), Brazil (3), and India (0)—seem bit players for Mann. There is no analysis about the political economy of the global energy transition, and he is dismissive of the global challenge of alleviating energy poverty (“a contrived concept”). And Mann uses a trick he accuses his enemies of using—trivialization—when the concerns of those arguing for a just transition for the world’s poor are swept aside with his disdainful comment “there are always winners and losers.”
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    vystizny random quote a duvod tohoto auditka ,)

    The climate crisis is outside the frame of any cultured discussion within societies of the global north. It questions everything these societies are based on.

    So journalists can only minimalize the crisis. Otherwise they break the frame they are operating in. https://twitter.com/wunder2welt/status/1400824954497732611?s=19
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    Why Biofuels Are Terrible
    https://youtu.be/OpEB6hCpIGM
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    LEAK: EU’s carbon border tariff to target steel, cement, power – EURACTIV.com
    https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy-environment/news/eus-carbon-border-tariff-to-target-steel-cement-power/
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    This article has shown that while renewable energies may now be widely competitive with fossil fuels on price, it is far from clear that they are competitive in relation to the producer profits they afford. In fact, the evidence strongly indicates otherwise, even in the wake of the depressive impact of the coronavirus pandemic on oil prices. This suggests that there is good reason to be cautious about the pace and extent of the transition from being dirty fossil-fuel companies to clean energy companies that three of the West's biggest oil and gas producers – BP, Shell and Total – have recently said they propose to pursue

    ...

    Some environmentally-minded commentators have found hope in the fact that, in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, the markets have turned against fossil-fuel producers. Total's shares have lost around a third of their value since the onset of the pandemic; BP's and Shell's have fared even worse, falling by 40–50 per cent. Seeing the loss of market confidence and unable to issue new equity on the favourable terms they were previously able, the companies, it is thought, will hasten their exit from a dying business.

    But it is more likely that the reverse will be true. The majors self-finance most of their investments with cash-flow from operating activities as it is (see, e.g. Total 2020a, p. 75). If the markets really have soured on them, the necessity to self-finance will increase, not decrease, and where else – other than in their profitable core business of hydrocarbon production – will the companies be able to generate the cash needed to continue to invest? This, ultimately, is the terrible paradox: to fund the transition to being something else (renewable energy producers), the oil and gas majors are relying heavily on what they currently are. The more negative market sentiment becomes, the more important the hydrocarbon business becomes. ‘The cash generated by hydrocarbons will be key to supporting [our] transition’, concedes BP (2020b, p. 21). Surviving through, still less prospering from, the energy transition requires ‘allocating sufficient capital to our resilient hydrocarbons business to generate sustainable cash flow’ (p. 28). The sooner governments and regulators recognise this sobering reality, the sooner something substantive can be done about it.
    PER2
    PER2 --- ---
    PAD: se jeste uvidi, nemci maj pred volbama a to slibem nezarmoutis :)
    "However, these financial pledges can only be approved after the German federal election in September."
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    2021 Fossilised Capital: Price and Profit in the Energy Transition

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2021.1926957

    The article proceeds in three sections. For guidance on understanding the economic drivers of capitalist energy transitions, the first section looks primarily to history: that profit, rather than price, is in fact the critical factor, is the lesson of ground-breaking recent research into the ascendancy of fossil fuels during the formative stages of the Industrial Revolution. The first section also situates the article in relation to the existing literature on energy transition. The second section prepares the ground for the analysis of contemporary oil-major strategies by providing a brief overview of the economics of renewable energy production and considering important recent market developments bearing on those economics. The final section examines recent announcements by BP, Shell and Total as to their own respective transition plans. It argues that there are good reasons to be sceptical even of what are, in reality, relatively modest ambitions for transition and thus emissions reduction – and that close attention to the protagonists’ own discussion of their investment priorities underlines why.
    SHEFIK
    SHEFIK --- ---
    #addon TADEAS

    Voda z tajících grónských ledovců zamořuje pobřeží rtutí. V oblasti přitom není průmysl - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/voda-z-tajicich-gronskych-ledovcu-zamoruje-pobrezi-rtuti

    Z tajících grónských ledovců se do řek a fjordů uvolňuje velké množství rtuti. Vysoké koncentrace tohoto těžkého kovu v tamních vodách mohou mít za následek hromadění rtuti v potravním řetězci. Zjistila to nová studie zveřejněná v žurnálu Nature Geoscience. Grónsko je přitom největším vývozcem mořských plodů a v okolních vodách se nacházejí vzácné mořské ekosystémy.

    Hodnoty rtuti ve třech ledovcových řekách a třech fjordech, které vědci měřili, jsou nejvyšší v celé historii měření. Jsou dokonce srovnatelné s hodnotami naměřenými v průmyslem znečištěných čínských řekách. Již před časem některé studie upozorňovaly, že se z tajících ledovců uvolňuje do prostředí rtuť, nynější měření ale ukazují hodnoty o dva řády vyšší než se předpokládalo.
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    V americké Kalifornii má patnáct set vodních nádrží hladinu na polovině běžného stavu. Sucho je tam nejhorší za posledních 44 let. Kritická situace ohrožuje nejen zásobování měst pitnou vodou, ale i rozvinutý zemědělský sektor.

    Kalifornii svírají extrémní sucha. Nejhorší za posledních 44 let — ČT24 — Česká televize
    https://ct24.ceskatelevize.cz/3322104-kalifornii-sviraji-extremni-sucha-nejhorsi-za-poslednich-44-let
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    Melo to bejt green recovery, ale nevypada...

    The nations that make up the G7 have pumped billions of dollars more into fossil fuels than they have into clean energy since the COVID-19 pandemic, despite their promises of a green recovery.
    As the UK prepares to host the G7 summit, a new analysis reveals that the countries attending committed $189 billion to support oil, coal, and gas between January 2020 and March 2021. In comparison, the same countries – the UK, U.S., Canada, Italy, France, Germany and Japan – spent $147 billion on clean forms of energy.
    The support for fossil fuels from seven of the world’s richest nations included measures to remove or downgrade environmental regulations as well as direct funding of oil, gas and coal.

    G7 nations committing billions more to fossil fuel than green energy | Grist
    https://grist.org/accountability/g7-nations-committing-billions-more-to-fossil-fuel-than-green-energy
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    KEB: Uvedomuju, ale nejsem s tim smirenej :))
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:

    Btw maličkost, vadí ti, že panel ipcc nikdo nečte a kdo ho čte mu nedokáže porozumět. Stejně tak ten, kdo nemá angličtinu v malíku si ze všech tvých linků nic neodnese, protože se jima ani nebude zatěžovat, protože jim nerozumí.
    KEB
    KEB --- ---
    TUHO: tohle ve státě, kdee rouška je symbol otroctví, nechat se očkovat z tebe udělá ovci a kde strčit decku špejli do nosu je nehorázné barbarství, doopravdy pobavilo.

    Tady nedokážeš přesvědčit prostý lid, že rouška a mytí rukou je to nejmenší a nejzákladnější ochrana, že očkování je jeden z největších vynálezů lidstva a divíš se, že nebereme v potaz ipcc.

    Uvedomujes si, že svět řídí lidi jako Babiš, který nedokáže říct tři věty aby dávaly smysl?

    SorrY, ale muselo to ven
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    who cares

    Arctic sea ice thinning twice as fast as thought, study finds | Arctic | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jun/04/arctic-sea-ice-thinning-twice-as-fast-as-thought-study-finds

    “Sea ice has begun forming later and later in the year, so the snow on top has less time to accumulate,” said Mallett. “Our calculations account for this declining snow depth for the first time.” The research is published in the journal The Cryosphere.

    “We are still learning about the changes to the Arctic environment, and one of the big unknowns – or less well-knowns – is snow cover,” said Walt Meier, at the US National Snow and Ice Data Center, and not involved in the new research. “The approach in the study is a significant improvement over older methods, and the results fit with other changes we’re seeing with Arctic sea ice, including earlier melt onset, lower summer ice cover, and later freeze-up.”

    ...

    Prof Julienne Stroeve, at UCL, said: “There are [still] a number of uncertainties but we believe our new calculations are a major step forward. We hope this work can be used to improve climate models that forecast the effects of long-term climate change in the Arctic – a region that is warming at three times the global rate and whose ice is essential for keeping the planet cool.”

    TC - Faster decline and higher variability in the sea ice thickness of the marginal Arctic seas when accounting for dynamic snow cover
    https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/2429/2021/
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    JIMIQ: Aha, ne tak kecam. Mas pravdu ty (spatne jsem si to prelozil)
    TUHO
    TUHO --- ---
    JIMIQ: 150gw (+95 gw vetru)
    JIMIQ
    JIMIQ --- ---
    PAD: wow! 100GW solaru behem 9,5 roku, dost husty
    PAD
    PAD --- ---
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    TADEAS:

    Kai Heron
    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1400799563292811267.html


    Brazil on drought alert, faces worst dry spell in 91 years | Successful Farming
    https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/update-2-brazil-on-drought-alert-faces-worst-dry-spell-in-91-years

    3 Big Things Today, June 2, 2021 | Successful Farming
    https://www.agriculture.com/news/three-big-things/3-big-things-today-june-2-2021

    The situation isn’t looking good. Already this year farmers from Canada to California have experienced droughts and the US’ soy growing states have been been hit hard. So guess what? The price of soy is rising.

    ...

    As the climate crisis escalates, it’s not hard to imagine droughts hitting Brazil and the US simultaneously, devastating corn and soy yields, and sending food prices spiralling upwards.

    Recall that the Arab Spring was in part initiated by rising food prices – by a crisis in labour's reproduction within the circuits of capital – to get a sense of where this can go.

    That’s one thread we can pull on. One series of tentacular relations. There are others. One is that the drought has reduced Brazil’s hydropower capacity to such an extent that the country is importing natural gas to cover the deficit. -- https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Brazils-Worst-Drought-In-91-Years-Is-Good-News-For-LNG.amp.html

    That’s more carbon produced in transnational shipping and logistics, more GHGs burned, more global heating, more droughts, more food insecurity. Meanwhile, Bolsonaro is trying to create a favourable regulative environment for the fossil fuel industry.

    Another thread is that this drought has been worsened by the very process that made Brazil one of the world’s largest producers of corn and soy in the first place: aggressive deforestation and the forceful removal of Indigenous peoples and wildlife.

    Rainforests *create* precipitation. Rainforest loss means less rain, means lower crop yields, means a crisis in labour’s reproduction, a crisis in profitability for capital, soaring food insecurity, potential social upheavals, and so on. Elliptical.
    TADEAS
    TADEAS --- ---
    Global food prices post biggest jump in decade
    https://amp.ft.com/content/8b5f4b4d-cbf8-4269-af2c-c94063197bbb

    Global food prices have surged by the biggest margin in a decade, as one closely watched index jumped 40 per cent in May, heightening fears that the inflation initially stoked by pandemic disruption was accelerating.

    ...

    The world’s consumer price inflation for food has already jumped 6.3 per cent in 2020, up from 4.6 per cent in 2019, according to the FAO as the pandemic played havoc with global supply chains, affecting the production and distribution of food. South America, with 21 per cent food price inflation, Africa and South Asia with 12 per cent and Oceania with 8 per cent were among the most affected regions.

    The latest jump in food commodity prices reflected China’s soaring appetite for grain and soyabeans is adding to upward pressure on prices, along with a severe drought in Brazil and growing demand for vegetable oil for biodiesel, said analysts.
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