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    TUHOKlimaticka zmena / Thank you so much for ruining my day


    "Given the sheer enormity of climate change, it’s okay to be depressed, to grieve. But please, don’t stay there too long. Join me in pure, unadulterated, righteous anger."


    "I don’t want your hope. I don’t want you to be hopeful. I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. And then I want you to act. Once you start to act, the hope is everywhere."

    "Our best scientists tell us insistently that a calamity is unfolding, that the life-support systems of the Earth are being damaged in ways that threaten our survival. Yet in the face of these facts we carry on as usual."

    “We’ve got to stop burning fossil fuels. So many aspects of life depend on fossil fuels, except for music and love and education and happiness. These things, which hardly use fossil fuels, are what we must focus on.”

    A nejde o to, že na to nemáme dostatečné technologie, ty by na řešení použít šly, ale chybí nám vůle a představivost je využít. Zůstáváme při zemi, přemýšlíme až moc rezervovaně. Technologický pokrok to sám o sobě nevyřeší. Problém jsme my, ne technologické nástroje.

    Rostouci hladiny oceanu, zmena atmosferickeho proudeni, zmeny v distribuci srazek a sucha. Zmeny karbonoveho, fosforoveho a dusikoveho cyklu, okyselovani oceanu. Jake jsou bezpecnostni rizika a jake potencialni klady dramatickych zmen fungovani zemskeho systemu?
    Ale take jak funguji masove dezinformacni kampane ropneho prumyslu a boj o verejne mineni na prahu noveho klimatickeho rezimu post-holocenu.
    rozbalit záhlaví
    TADEAS
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    Jak by mohl vypadat konec kapitalismu? Utopista Robinson v novém románu nabízí alternativu – A2larm
    https://a2larm.cz/2024/05/jak-by-mohl-vypadat-konec-kapitalismu-utopista-robinson-v-novem-romanu-nabizi-alternativu/

    Belicek: Uvidíme, jak se povede dnešnímu dílu věnovanému "poslednímu žijícímu utopistovi" Kimu Stanley Robinsonovi a jeho dalšímu příspěvku do žánru klimatická fikce. V próze Ministerstvo pro budoucnost ukazuje svět, který sice tvrdě zasáhne klimatická změna, ale společným celoplanetárním úsilím se lidstvu podaří tento problém vyřešit. Francis Fukuyama román označil za "komicky nerealistický" a my s Eva Klíčová se ptáme, jestli už jen to, že utopickou dimenzi románu Ministerstvo pro budoucnost vnímáme jako podezřelou a vadnou, náhodou dokonale neilustruje to, jak v naší kultuře zvítězila dystopie nad utopií.
    TADEAS
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    Kim Stanley Robinson: a climate plan for a world in flames
    https://www.ft.com/content/ff94df96-b702-4e01-addd-f4253d0eecf6

    Pluralistic: 23 Aug 2021 – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow
    https://pluralistic.net/2021/08/23/dont-wanna-spoil-the-surprise/#monocausotaxophilia

    WWII was visible on the horizon for years, this impending doom that everyone saw coming – that people might have done something about. They tried – the League of Nations – but in the end, the crisis couldn't be averted.

    For Robinson, the climate emergency is a WWII kind of emergency, and the Paris Accord is our League of Nations – thought whether it will enough to blunt the emergency is a great unknown.

    Robinson lays out the problem. The world's petrostates – America, Canada, Russia, Australia, Saudi, Norway, etc – need to be bribed or coerced or shamed or convinced not to murder us all in order to make a couple trillion before the music stops.

    It's a wicked problem, and in a fundamental sense, it's a monetary problem. A market system can't solve this. Re-engineering the world's infrastructure to decarbonize it is all costs, no profit. Stranding fossil fuel assets is market poison.

    The market inescapably misprices existential risk: "The market systemically misprices things by way of improper discounting of the future, false externalities and many other predatory miscalculations, which have led to gross inequality and biosphere destruction."

    Saving the planet is not high-yield. Building a "planetary sewage system" to "retrieve and disposing of the waste we’ve been dumping into the atmosphere" is a money-loser: "no one actually wants thousands of billions of tons of dry ice."

    Despite the looming disaster, Robinson is bullish on the 89 large central banks' Network for Greening the Financial System and its "climate scenarios," which seriously contemplates reorienting the planet's productive capacity to climate mitigation.

    ...

    Given the power of science and the possibility of "carbon quantitative easing" (a possibility that owes itself to the collapse of deficit hawkism after the 2008 and 2020 stimuluses, which had many defects, but didn't trigger runaway inflation), Robinson sees cause for hope.

    "The time has come to admit we control our economy for the common good. Crucial at all times, this realisation is especially important in our current need to dodge a mass-extinction event. The invisible hand never picks up the cheque; therefore we must govern ourselves."
    TADEAS
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    New York 2140 - Wikipedia
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_2140

    New York 2140 is a 2017 climate fiction novel by American science fiction author Kim Stanley Robinson. The novel is set in a New York City that has been flooded and altered by rising water
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    fukuyamovo review

    We're Cooked
    https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/were-cooked/

    Robinson’s most recent book is his 2020 novel The Ministry for the Future, which Barack Obama named as one of his favorite books. The novel begins sometime in the mid-21st century, when global warming has continued largely unabated from the present. It begins with a massive heat wave that kills 20 million people in India in a single week, and ends, somewhat later in the century, in a happy place (spoiler alert) where enough carbon has been sucked out of the atmosphere to not just slow but to reverse global warming.

    ...

    The premise of the novel is that, following the Indian heat wave, the climate crisis has gotten so dangerous and immediate that governments around the world start throwing everything they have into fighting it. The crisis stimulates a shadowy underground movement called the Children of Kali that starts to assassinate executives of fossil fuel companies, blows up refineries, and shoots down airliners for their carbon output. Governments do not wait for international agreement, but on their own launch ambitious geo-engineering projects to do things like increase earth’s albedo or slow the melting of Antarctic glaciers. The most important initiative carried out by Mary Murphy and her Ministry is to convince a group of central bankers to issue unlimited numbers of carbon coins, which in effect pay people to either not produce or sequester carbon. Rather than making money from pumping oil and gas, fossil fuel companies find that they can earn more profits keeping their reserves in the ground. In addition to reversing the climate crisis, these massive interventions permit governments to cap incomes and institute something like universal basic income, so that everyone is protected from the huge economic disruptions that take place.

    ...

    I suppose that this novel is intended to be a hopeful blueprint for a way out of the climate crisis. Knowing what I do about global politics and human nature, however, The Ministry for the Future left me rather despairing that it will ever be solved. For all of his seeming political sophistication, Robinson posits the most optimistic possible political developments at every turn, developments that enable Russia, China, the United States, Europe, and the developing world to work together cooperatively to solve the problem. For example, the first three countries listed take their aircraft carriers out of military service and use them to support the pumping of groundwater in the Artic. After the heat catastrophe, India gets its act together and acts boldly as a world leader in geo-engineering. The assassinations of corporate executives and the downing of commercial airliners does not lead to repression of the eco-terrorists, but rather convinces people that they should travel by steamship and dirigible instead. They discover that they don’t actually need to get from Zurich to San Francisco in a day, but are much more productive spending several weeks on a ship. The massive economic downturn provoked by the effective withdrawal of liquidity produces global unemployment higher than that of the Great Depression, but it lasts less than a year as central banks create massive amounts of liquidity and are put under the effective control of the people of their respective countries. After being kidnapped and held hostage at one Davos conference, the world’s elites are safely released and agree to climb onboard with the policies demanded by their kidnappers. Five million people spontaneously march on Tiananmen Square and force the Communist Party to work to save the planet instead of prioritizing economic growth. At the same time that they deal with the climate crisis, governments around the world cap wealth and implement something like universal basic income. They do this as they are depopulating millions of square miles of their own territory and allowing it to be reclaimed by native flora and fauna.

    ...

    Robinson is right that our future depends on some big governance choices we have yet to make, both at national and international levels. I’m afraid, however, that if he’s right about the needed agenda, we’re all cooked
    TADEAS
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    THE MINISTRY FOR THE FUTURE by Kim Stanley Robinson | Orbit Books
    https://www.orbitbooks.net/orbit-excerpts/the-ministry-for-the-future/

    In The Ministry for the Future, the most important book on climate politics since Naomi Klein’s This Changes Everything, Kim Stanley Robinson sets the scene with a hyper-lethal heatwave. It takes place in Uttar Pradesh in the year 2025. The combination of heat and humidity is such that the air feels like a sauna, impossible to escape for days on end. Human bodies cannot take it for that long. In a town near Lucknow where one of the characters, the American volunteer Frank, finds himself, families sleep on the roofs and wake up to discover that elders and children have expired during the night: ‘wails of dismay cut the air’. The corpses rot in the sun. All the air conditioners in the region overburden the electricity grid and power goes out; generators give insufficient protection; tens of thousands of panicking humans scramble into a nearby lake and sink into the water, to little avail: the lake itself feels ‘only a few degrees from boiling’. Heads with red eyes about to pop out of their sockets dot the surface, fewer and fewer alive. Some 20 million people die in the northern Indian heatwave – more than in World War I, over the course of a week. The first chapter of The Ministry for the Future is a punch in the belly of the reader. No one should then be able to put the book aside.
    TUHO
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    TADEAS: thanatocene :)
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    2021 Planet on Fire - A Manifesto for the Age of Environmental Breakdown
    by Mathew Lawrence and Laurie Laybourn-Langton
    Verso
    https://www.versobooks.com/books/3702-planet-on-fire

    Planet on Fire is an urgent manifesto for a fundamental reimagining of the global economy. It offers a clear and practical road map for a future that is democratic and sustainable by design. Laurie Laybourn-Langton and Mathew Lawrence argue that it is not enough merely to spend our way out of the crisis; we must also rapidly reshape the economy to create a new way of life that can foster a healthy and flourishing environment for all.

    Planet on Fire offers a detailed and achievable manifesto for a new politics capable of tackling environmental breakdown.
    TADEAS
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    Michael Dorman
    https://twitter.com/MichaelDorman84/status/1401618973951729669?s=19

    We'll also have to admit, at some point, that the "collapse" pathway is what humanity (as a whole) wants. It sure would look that way, from a safe distance.

    “You are what you do, not what you say you'll do.”
    ― Carl Gustav Jung
    TADEAS
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    TUHO: TADEAS:

    Melt ponds are visible on satellite (blue shading) across much of the landfast sea ice along Siberia; e.g., in this image above the Lena River Delta.

    [Satellite from 6 June 2021 using Sentinel-2; https://t.co/Bx6RpyhCCL] https://t.co/eNZWVBw29x

    TUHO
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    TADEAS: Nj, ale ja Manna chapu. Je to klimatolog, nikoliv sociolog ani politolog. A ty svinarny, ktery proti nemu rozjel fosilni prumysl jsou takovy, ze tezko se tomu nevenovat :))
    TADEAS
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    The Manichean Mann | Issues in Science and Technology
    https://issues.org/new-climate-war-michael-mann-hulme-review/#.YLtLOYZ-TNk.twitter

    The tragedy, however, of Mann and people who think like him is that they view arguments about these questions through a Manichean lens: the source of all opposition to the “correct” view—Mann’s view—of what should be done about climate change is traced back to an orchestrated evil empire. The basic doctrine of Manicheanism is that of a structural conflict between good and evil. For Mann, the source of this evil is the fossil fuel industry representing, as he puts it, “the eye of Sauron,” that omnipotent dark power in The Lord of the Rings.

    There is no doubting the need for an accelerating transition away from fossil fuels. And there is also no doubt that vested political interests have obstructed its progress. But Mann is so conditioned by his Manichean worldview that wherever he looks in the public, scientific, and political debates around climate change he sees the shadows of the Koch brothers (52 name checks in the book), Exxon Mobil (23), and the Heartland Institute (15). The nefarious hand of the fossil-fuel lobby is everywhere. This worldview leads him to some ludicrous contentions that, taken together, result in The New Climate War: The Fight to Take Back Our Planet offering an incoherent and distinctly unhelpful narrative on climate change.

    ...

    If one looks beyond the battle-posturing, the calling out of enemies, and the settling of Twitter disputes, what do we learn from The New Climate War about how to frame, enact, and deliver changes in the world that might ameliorate the risks of climate change? The strategy offered—it is of course a “battle plan”—has four elements: resist the doomists; learn from children; educate the uneducated; and focus on systemic change, not individual lifestyle choices. I certainly have a lot of sympathy for the first of these goals, having been arguing for the last 15 years that warnings of imminent global catastrophe are neither scientifically warranted nor politically constructive (although this does not prevent Mann from putting me on “the wrong side,” a contrarian).

    But the most intriguing of his four points is the final one: changing the system requires systemic change. Now, “systemic change” can mean different things for different people, but for Mann it means pricing carbon and promoting 100% renewables for meeting the world’s energy needs (other technological innovations seem to be ruled out by Mann). This is certainly not what some climate activists—such as the anticapitalist Naomi Klein or the young Swedish environmentalist Greta Thunberg—would mean by systemic change, and it is notable that while he is willing to challenge Klein’s position, he works hard in the book to keep Thunberg inside his circle of the virtuous.

    ...

    Mann seems uninterested in building the alliances necessary for political change. Above all, the book offers little for those seeking a guide to the complex global politics of climate change. This is an America-first book. It perpetuates the fallacy that the global politics of climate change can be read through the peculiar lens of American political partisanship. The other climate superpowers—the European Union (6 mentions), China (8), Brazil (3), and India (0)—seem bit players for Mann. There is no analysis about the political economy of the global energy transition, and he is dismissive of the global challenge of alleviating energy poverty (“a contrived concept”). And Mann uses a trick he accuses his enemies of using—trivialization—when the concerns of those arguing for a just transition for the world’s poor are swept aside with his disdainful comment “there are always winners and losers.”
    TADEAS
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    vystizny random quote a duvod tohoto auditka ,)

    The climate crisis is outside the frame of any cultured discussion within societies of the global north. It questions everything these societies are based on.

    So journalists can only minimalize the crisis. Otherwise they break the frame they are operating in. https://twitter.com/wunder2welt/status/1400824954497732611?s=19
    PER2
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    Why Biofuels Are Terrible
    https://youtu.be/OpEB6hCpIGM
    TADEAS
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    LEAK: EU’s carbon border tariff to target steel, cement, power – EURACTIV.com
    https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy-environment/news/eus-carbon-border-tariff-to-target-steel-cement-power/
    TADEAS
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    TADEAS:

    This article has shown that while renewable energies may now be widely competitive with fossil fuels on price, it is far from clear that they are competitive in relation to the producer profits they afford. In fact, the evidence strongly indicates otherwise, even in the wake of the depressive impact of the coronavirus pandemic on oil prices. This suggests that there is good reason to be cautious about the pace and extent of the transition from being dirty fossil-fuel companies to clean energy companies that three of the West's biggest oil and gas producers – BP, Shell and Total – have recently said they propose to pursue

    ...

    Some environmentally-minded commentators have found hope in the fact that, in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, the markets have turned against fossil-fuel producers. Total's shares have lost around a third of their value since the onset of the pandemic; BP's and Shell's have fared even worse, falling by 40–50 per cent. Seeing the loss of market confidence and unable to issue new equity on the favourable terms they were previously able, the companies, it is thought, will hasten their exit from a dying business.

    But it is more likely that the reverse will be true. The majors self-finance most of their investments with cash-flow from operating activities as it is (see, e.g. Total 2020a, p. 75). If the markets really have soured on them, the necessity to self-finance will increase, not decrease, and where else – other than in their profitable core business of hydrocarbon production – will the companies be able to generate the cash needed to continue to invest? This, ultimately, is the terrible paradox: to fund the transition to being something else (renewable energy producers), the oil and gas majors are relying heavily on what they currently are. The more negative market sentiment becomes, the more important the hydrocarbon business becomes. ‘The cash generated by hydrocarbons will be key to supporting [our] transition’, concedes BP (2020b, p. 21). Surviving through, still less prospering from, the energy transition requires ‘allocating sufficient capital to our resilient hydrocarbons business to generate sustainable cash flow’ (p. 28). The sooner governments and regulators recognise this sobering reality, the sooner something substantive can be done about it.
    PER2
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    PAD: se jeste uvidi, nemci maj pred volbama a to slibem nezarmoutis :)
    "However, these financial pledges can only be approved after the German federal election in September."
    TADEAS
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    2021 Fossilised Capital: Price and Profit in the Energy Transition

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2021.1926957

    The article proceeds in three sections. For guidance on understanding the economic drivers of capitalist energy transitions, the first section looks primarily to history: that profit, rather than price, is in fact the critical factor, is the lesson of ground-breaking recent research into the ascendancy of fossil fuels during the formative stages of the Industrial Revolution. The first section also situates the article in relation to the existing literature on energy transition. The second section prepares the ground for the analysis of contemporary oil-major strategies by providing a brief overview of the economics of renewable energy production and considering important recent market developments bearing on those economics. The final section examines recent announcements by BP, Shell and Total as to their own respective transition plans. It argues that there are good reasons to be sceptical even of what are, in reality, relatively modest ambitions for transition and thus emissions reduction – and that close attention to the protagonists’ own discussion of their investment priorities underlines why.
    SHEFIK
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    #addon TADEAS

    Voda z tajících grónských ledovců zamořuje pobřeží rtutí. V oblasti přitom není průmysl - Ekolist.cz
    https://ekolist.cz/cz/zpravodajstvi/zpravy/voda-z-tajicich-gronskych-ledovcu-zamoruje-pobrezi-rtuti

    Z tajících grónských ledovců se do řek a fjordů uvolňuje velké množství rtuti. Vysoké koncentrace tohoto těžkého kovu v tamních vodách mohou mít za následek hromadění rtuti v potravním řetězci. Zjistila to nová studie zveřejněná v žurnálu Nature Geoscience. Grónsko je přitom největším vývozcem mořských plodů a v okolních vodách se nacházejí vzácné mořské ekosystémy.

    Hodnoty rtuti ve třech ledovcových řekách a třech fjordech, které vědci měřili, jsou nejvyšší v celé historii měření. Jsou dokonce srovnatelné s hodnotami naměřenými v průmyslem znečištěných čínských řekách. Již před časem některé studie upozorňovaly, že se z tajících ledovců uvolňuje do prostředí rtuť, nynější měření ale ukazují hodnoty o dva řády vyšší než se předpokládalo.
    TUHO
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    V americké Kalifornii má patnáct set vodních nádrží hladinu na polovině běžného stavu. Sucho je tam nejhorší za posledních 44 let. Kritická situace ohrožuje nejen zásobování měst pitnou vodou, ale i rozvinutý zemědělský sektor.

    Kalifornii svírají extrémní sucha. Nejhorší za posledních 44 let — ČT24 — Česká televize
    https://ct24.ceskatelevize.cz/3322104-kalifornii-sviraji-extremni-sucha-nejhorsi-za-poslednich-44-let
    TUHO
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    Melo to bejt green recovery, ale nevypada...

    The nations that make up the G7 have pumped billions of dollars more into fossil fuels than they have into clean energy since the COVID-19 pandemic, despite their promises of a green recovery.
    As the UK prepares to host the G7 summit, a new analysis reveals that the countries attending committed $189 billion to support oil, coal, and gas between January 2020 and March 2021. In comparison, the same countries – the UK, U.S., Canada, Italy, France, Germany and Japan – spent $147 billion on clean forms of energy.
    The support for fossil fuels from seven of the world’s richest nations included measures to remove or downgrade environmental regulations as well as direct funding of oil, gas and coal.

    G7 nations committing billions more to fossil fuel than green energy | Grist
    https://grist.org/accountability/g7-nations-committing-billions-more-to-fossil-fuel-than-green-energy
    TUHO
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    KEB: Uvedomuju, ale nejsem s tim smirenej :))
    KEB
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    TUHO:
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    TUHO:
    TUHO:
    TUHO:

    Btw maličkost, vadí ti, že panel ipcc nikdo nečte a kdo ho čte mu nedokáže porozumět. Stejně tak ten, kdo nemá angličtinu v malíku si ze všech tvých linků nic neodnese, protože se jima ani nebude zatěžovat, protože jim nerozumí.
    KEB
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    TUHO: tohle ve státě, kdee rouška je symbol otroctví, nechat se očkovat z tebe udělá ovci a kde strčit decku špejli do nosu je nehorázné barbarství, doopravdy pobavilo.

    Tady nedokážeš přesvědčit prostý lid, že rouška a mytí rukou je to nejmenší a nejzákladnější ochrana, že očkování je jeden z největších vynálezů lidstva a divíš se, že nebereme v potaz ipcc.

    Uvedomujes si, že svět řídí lidi jako Babiš, který nedokáže říct tři věty aby dávaly smysl?

    SorrY, ale muselo to ven
    TADEAS
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    who cares

    Arctic sea ice thinning twice as fast as thought, study finds | Arctic | The Guardian
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jun/04/arctic-sea-ice-thinning-twice-as-fast-as-thought-study-finds

    “Sea ice has begun forming later and later in the year, so the snow on top has less time to accumulate,” said Mallett. “Our calculations account for this declining snow depth for the first time.” The research is published in the journal The Cryosphere.

    “We are still learning about the changes to the Arctic environment, and one of the big unknowns – or less well-knowns – is snow cover,” said Walt Meier, at the US National Snow and Ice Data Center, and not involved in the new research. “The approach in the study is a significant improvement over older methods, and the results fit with other changes we’re seeing with Arctic sea ice, including earlier melt onset, lower summer ice cover, and later freeze-up.”

    ...

    Prof Julienne Stroeve, at UCL, said: “There are [still] a number of uncertainties but we believe our new calculations are a major step forward. We hope this work can be used to improve climate models that forecast the effects of long-term climate change in the Arctic – a region that is warming at three times the global rate and whose ice is essential for keeping the planet cool.”

    TC - Faster decline and higher variability in the sea ice thickness of the marginal Arctic seas when accounting for dynamic snow cover
    https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/2429/2021/
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